尽管能源市场部分领域近期已呈现出明显的泡沫化迹象，但华尔街却认为有一个板块不会陷入泡沫困 境，那就是电网科技类股。 摩根大通公司董事总经理兼高级股票分析师史蒂夫・图萨表示，尽管该板块今年整体涨幅已达 30% 左 右，但电网科技类股仍是颇具吸引力的投资标的。电网科技领域涵盖各类硬件制造商、软件开发商以及 公用事业级电池安装商。图萨建议投资者不妨把握股价小幅回落的时机进行布局。 "现阶段任何回调都是买入良机。" 图萨称。 以维谛技术公司为例，该公司为数据中心提供微电网及储能解决方案。图萨指出，尽管其股价今年已上 涨约 60%，且相较标普指数存在 "相当显著的溢价"，但公司的增长势头足以支撑这一溢价水平。 受数据中心热潮带动，其他电网科技类股今年同样录得大幅上涨。韩国变压器制造商晓星重工和乐星电 气领涨该领域，年内涨幅分别高达 400% 和 230%。美国市场方面，逆变器系统制造商阳光动力科技股 价已翻倍，工程公司威尔丹集团股价也逼近历史高点。 "这不仅仅是人工智能带来的红利。" 摩根士丹利亚太地区（不含日本）可持续发展研究主管蒂姆・陈 表示，"整体能源需求正在不断增长。" 富达国际可持续投资策略主管加布里埃尔 - ...

新华财经上海12月8日电（葛佳明）大宗商品表现出较为分化的走势，呈现出"避险资产领涨，工业金属 分化，能源农产品承压"的特征。截至12月8日，伦敦现货金涨超60%，伦敦现货银涨幅超102%领跑大 类资产。新华财经汇总的信息显示，多数分析师均表示，2026年贵金属、能源金属和有色金属有望延续 2025年上涨趋势，农产品和能源的趋势启动仍需等待基本面条件配合。 贵金属：周期性与结构性机会共振 2025年美国关税政策打破全球宏观环境，贵金属资产受益于不确定性环境中的确定性溢价，截至发稿， 今年年内，国际金价累计上涨逾50%、国际银价累计上涨逾70%，领涨大宗商品市场和全球主要大类资 产。 上海市黄浦区黄金珠宝首饰区的足金首饰报价显示，12月8日各品牌平均报价为每克1320元，较1月1月 每克799元涨幅达到65%。 中金公司研究部大宗商品研究负责人、首席分析师郭朝辉表示，过去三年，新兴国家央行加速增持黄金 储备，成为全球黄金投资需求的边际增量来源，为金价提供了结构性上涨支撑。但这一情况在今年发生 了变化，今年贵金属价格的强势突破得益于欧美ETF为代表的周期性需求回归所驱动，市场表现为白银 涨幅反超黄金。 根据世界黄 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an optimistic outlook for the electricity, utilities, and renewable energy sectors over the next 12 months, with an average stock return exceeding 100% in 2025 [2]. Core Insights - China's electricity demand is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8%-9% from 2028 to 2030, surpassing market expectations by 4-5 percentage points, driven by AI data centers, manufacturing electricity demand from exports, and the electrification process [1][3]. - The global shortage of power equipment presents opportunities for Chinese companies to act as major international brand suppliers and to increase their market share [3][8]. - Investment in power supply equipment for AI data centers accounts for approximately 15% of total capital expenditure, creating new market opportunities for related companies [4][5]. Summary by Sections Electricity Demand Growth - China's electricity demand is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8%-9% from 2028 to 2030, with additional growth driven by AI data centers, manufacturing electricity demand from exports, and the electrification process [3][4]. - The construction scale of data centers in China is projected to be 5-6 GW from 2025 to 2027, significantly lower than the 40-45 GW expected in the U.S. during the same period, indicating substantial growth potential for China [4][5]. Power Equipment Exports - Chinese companies are positioned to benefit from global power equipment shortages, with opportunities to serve as suppliers for major global brands and to enhance their international market share [3][8]. - The penetration rates for transformers and switches in the global market are currently low at 7%-8%, and even lower for gas turbine blades at 1%-2%, suggesting significant room for growth [8][9]. AI Data Centers - The demand for high-power equipment in AI data centers is increasing, with capital expenditure in this area expected to create new market space for related enterprises [4][5]. - The anticipated growth in electricity demand from manufacturing, particularly due to exports, is expected to contribute an additional 1.5 percentage points annually to manufacturing electricity consumption [4][6]. Investment Opportunities - The "14th Five-Year Plan" indicates that electricity demand growth will drive related capital expenditures to increase by 12%, higher than the 11% growth during the previous plan, reflecting stronger government support for the sector [5]. - Recent policy changes encouraging the use of domestic chips for data center construction and providing additional subsidies may accelerate the resolution of supply chain issues, further promoting industry growth [5].

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in international copper prices, with LME copper futures nearing $11,000 per ton, is driven by supply concerns and increasing demand, despite a recent decline of over 2% to $10,578 per ton [1][3]. Group 1: Supply Concerns - Global copper production issues have emerged, particularly at major mines such as the Grasberg mine in Indonesia, which has suspended operations due to a landslide, and the Escondida mine in Chile facing operational disruptions [5][7]. - The International Copper Study Group has revised its global mine production growth forecast for this year down from 2.3% to 1.4% due to these supply constraints [7]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - There is a structural increase in demand for copper driven by the AI boom, rising defense spending, and the acceleration of global electrification [9][11]. - BHP's CEO noted that the development of AI is creating new growth opportunities for the copper industry, particularly due to the rapid construction of data centers [11]. Group 3: Future Projections - BHP anticipates that global copper demand could increase by up to 70% by 2050, while the exploration and development of new copper mines are becoming increasingly challenging [13]. - Goldman Sachs predicts that copper prices will enter a new trading range starting next year, with $10,000 per ton as the new lower limit and $11,000 as the upper limit, driven by limited supply, structural demand growth, and strategic reserves [17]. Group 4: Economic Influences - The monetary policy of the Federal Reserve also impacts copper prices, as a weaker dollar and expectations of interest rate cuts enhance the attractiveness of copper as an investment [15][17].