Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Geely Automobile [6] Core Views - Geely Automobile's Q1 2025 performance is impressive, with total sales reaching 704,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 47.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.5%. Total revenue reached 72.5 billion RMB, up 24.5% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.67 billion RMB, a significant increase of 263.4% year-on-year [1][2] - The increase in sales, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment, which saw sales of 339,000 units (up 135.4% year-on-year), has positively impacted revenue. The average selling price (ASP) for Q1 2025 is estimated at 103,000 RMB, a decrease of 19,000 RMB year-on-year [1][2] - The gross margin improved slightly to 15.8%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points. The report attributes this to changes in export structure and product mix, as well as a decrease in expenses due to better integration and collaboration within the company [2] - Geely's plan to privatize Zeekr (ZK.N) is seen as a strategic move to consolidate resources and enhance operational efficiency, aligning with the company's focus on high-end luxury electric vehicles [3] Financial Forecasts - The revenue forecasts for Geely from 2025 to 2027 are projected at 404.78 billion RMB, 489.69 billion RMB, and 572.83 billion RMB, respectively. The net profit forecasts for the same period are 16.21 billion RMB, 22.09 billion RMB, and 25.98 billion RMB, respectively [3][5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.61 RMB, 2.19 RMB, and 2.58 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11, 8, and 7 [3][5]

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile Holdings Limited reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, driven by strong sales growth and strategic integration with Zeekr [2][4]. Financial Performance - Geely achieved a revenue of 72.5 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25% [2]. - The net profit reached 5.67 billion yuan, marking a remarkable year-on-year growth of 264%, surpassing the total annual profit of previous years [3][4]. - The total sales volume for Q1 2025 was 704,000 units, a historical high and a 48% increase year-on-year [4][5]. Strategic Integration - Geely announced a strategic integration plan with Zeekr to enhance competitiveness and resource efficiency, aiming to eliminate redundancy and reduce costs [2][8]. - The management restructuring includes the appointment of An Conghui as CEO of Geely Holding Group and Gan Jiayue as CEO of the merged Geely Automobile Group [7][8]. - The integration aims to achieve cost reductions of over 3% in production, 10%-20% in R&D optimization, and 10%-20% in management efficiency [8]. Market Position and Competitiveness - Geely's net profit for Q1 2025 was second only to BYD among major competitors, highlighting its strong market position [4]. - The company’s new energy vehicle sales accounted for 48% of total sales, with a domestic penetration rate of 52% [5]. - Geely's export volume for Q1 2025 was 89,953 units, ranking fifth among the top ten exporters in China [6]. Future Outlook - The integration with Zeekr is expected to enhance profitability and operational efficiency, with initial targets set for over 5% improvement in overall effectiveness [8][9]. - Geely aims to leverage scale effects and systematic advantages to improve resource utilization and market competitiveness [9].

大摩维持吉利汽车目标价21港元以及"增持"评级 金十数据5月16日讯，摩根士丹利发报告指，维持吉利汽车(00175.HK)目标价21港元以及"增持"评级。 吉利汽车强调整合及聚焦于集团资源应对具挑战性市场迫在眉睫。管理层相信，对极氪潜在私有化可能 会增加吉利汽车的经营效率15—20%，这将反映在供应链，研发等成本节约中，及减少冗余投资。更多 交易以及重组的细节待披露。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile is confident in achieving or exceeding its annual sales target, with a strong performance in Q1 2025, showcasing significant revenue and profit growth driven by its transition to new energy vehicles and improved operational efficiency [1][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Geely reported total revenue of 72.5 billion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.67 billion yuan, up 264% [1]. - The gross profit for the quarter reached 11.4 billion yuan, a 26% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 15.8%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous year [1]. Sales and Market Performance - Geely's Q1 sales reached a record high of 703,800 units, a 48% year-on-year increase, achieving 26% of its annual target of 2.71 million units [4]. - The new energy vehicle segment saw a significant boost, with sales from the Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy brands totaling 339,000 units, a 135% increase year-on-year [4]. Product Strategy - Geely plans to accelerate its product launch strategy, focusing on both fuel and new energy vehicles, with multiple new models set to be released in 2025 [5]. - The fourth-generation Boyue L SUV has been launched, priced between 92,900 to 119,900 yuan, emphasizing "intelligent equality" in fuel vehicles [5]. Operational Efficiency - Geely has implemented deep internal integration under the "Taizhou Declaration," focusing on strategic alignment and cost reduction, leading to improved operational efficiency [6][9]. - The merger of Zeekr and Lynk & Co has resulted in a significant increase in financial performance, with Zeekr achieving a gross margin of 19.1% in Q1 [6][7]. Strategic Integration - The company is moving towards a "One Geely" strategy to eliminate redundant investments and improve resource allocation, which has positively impacted its stock performance [8][9]. - The integration aims to enhance efficiency across R&D, management, and marketing, targeting a 5% overall efficiency gain and a 15% to 20% improvement in operational metrics [10].

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile has reported record quarterly performance for Q1 2023, with significant increases in revenue and net profit, driven by strong sales growth and effective cost management [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 72.495 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 25% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.672 billion yuan, marking a substantial year-on-year growth of 264% [2][3]. - Q1 sales volume reached 703,800 units, a 48% increase compared to the same period last year [3]. - The gross margin and net margin improved to 15.78% and 8.10%, respectively, reflecting increases of 2.12 percentage points and 5.42 percentage points year-on-year [6]. Sales and Product Performance - The sales of the Galaxy brand surged by 214% year-on-year, contributing significantly to overall sales growth [3]. - The company sold 238,500 pure electric vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 181%, and 100,700 plug-in hybrid vehicles, up 70% [3]. - In April 2023, Geely's sales continued to grow, reaching 153,300 units, a 53% increase year-on-year [6]. Cost Management - Distribution and sales expenses decreased by 12.05% to 3.635 billion yuan, while administrative expenses slightly reduced by 2.01% [4]. - The cost of sales increased to 61.058 billion yuan, a 24.28% rise, but this growth rate was lower than that of revenue [5]. Strategic Developments - Geely aims to achieve a sales target of 2.71 million units for 2025, a 25% increase from 2024, with specific targets for various brands [7]. - The company is in the process of privatizing Zeekr, aiming to consolidate its assets and enhance competitiveness in the passenger vehicle market [8][9]. - A significant management restructuring has occurred, with An Conghui appointed as the CEO of Geely Holding Group [10].

在2025年5月9日提及的吉利汽車(00175)相關衍生產品表現亮眼，其中瑞銀認購證15942兩日後升幅達8%，跑贏正股同期1.74%的升幅；滙豐認購證16184亦 錄得6%升幅，而花旗牛證68585則上漲7%，反映市場資金積極部署吉利短線升勢，槓桿產品表現明顯優於正股。 吉利汽車(00175)同樣將於日內公佈業績，截止11點43分，最新價報19.54港元，單日升幅達2.09%，盤中曾高見19.66元，創52周新高。成交量顯示資金持續 流入。技術指標方面，RSI升至69，接近超買區，但「強力買入」信號仍佔主導，MACD、保利加通道及一目均衡表均發出買入訊號，顯示短線仍有上行動 支持位與阻力位分析 支持位方面，首個關鍵位在17.6元，第二支持位15.5元；阻力位則看19.9元，突破後有望挑戰22.1元。10天線(17.88元)已升穿30天線(16.51元)，形成黃金交 叉，短線趨勢偏強。 窩輪方面，滙豐認購證29483行使價19.64元，槓桿7倍，適合看好吉利突破阻力位的投資者；花旗認購證28798行使價19.5元，引伸波幅最低，槓桿6.34倍， 成本效益較高。牛證方面，瑞銀牛證54535收回價16.1元，溢價 ...

Core Insights - The core strategy of Geely Holding is focused on synergy and integration, aiming for significant cost savings in R&D and procurement, as well as a reduction in management and marketing expenses [2] - The recent acquisition of Zeekr by Geely has garnered strong support from shareholders, indicating a high level of confidence in the company's strategic adjustments [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Geely achieved total revenue of 72.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 5.67 billion yuan, up 264% [2] - The total sales volume reached 704,000 units, representing a 48% increase year-on-year, significantly outperforming the industry average [2] - Sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) were particularly strong, with cumulative sales of 339,000 units from the Galaxy, Zeekr, and Lynk & Co brands, marking a 135% increase [2] Brand Performance - The Galaxy series has entered a rapid growth phase, with Q1 sales nearing 260,000 units, a 214% increase year-on-year [3] - Zeekr achieved total sales of 114,000 units, with a 16.1% increase in vehicle sales revenue and a gross margin of 16.5% [3] - Lynk & Co's Q1 sales reached 73,000 units, a 19% increase, with strong market response to the Lynk 900 model [3] Technological Advancements - Geely is increasing its investment in the new energy sector, having integrated its battery business into a new entity to enhance technological competitiveness [3] - The launch of the "Qianli Haohan" intelligent safety driving system marks a significant advancement in AI and autonomous driving capabilities [5] Global Expansion - In Q1 2025, Geely exported approximately 90,000 vehicles, expanding its global sales network to 86 countries with over 900 service points [5] - The establishment of local production facilities in Egypt, Indonesia, and Vietnam is part of Geely's strategy to enhance brand recognition and reduce trade risks [6] Strategic Integration - The acquisition of Zeekr is a key move in Geely's strategic integration, expected to enhance R&D, management, and marketing efficiency by 15% to 20% [7] - The integration aims to optimize resource allocation across R&D, supply chain, and sales, thereby improving operational efficiency in a rapidly changing market [7]

Core Viewpoint - Geely Auto is integrating Zeekr into its operations to enhance competitiveness in a challenging market environment, emphasizing the need for rapid problem-solving and resource consolidation [2] Group 1: Integration and Management Changes - Geely Auto's CEO, Gan Jiayue, will lead the newly merged entity, while An Conghui, CEO of Zeekr Technology Group, will take over as CEO of Geely Holding Group [2] - The merger aims to improve overall efficiency by over 5%, with R&D, management, and marketing efficiencies expected to reach 15%-20% [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Zeekr reported a total revenue of 22 billion yuan in Q1, with a significant reduction in net losses by over 60%, achieving a profit of 510 million yuan under Hong Kong accounting standards [3] - The gross margin for complete vehicles was 16.5%, an increase of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the overall gross margin reached a historic high of 19.1% [3] Group 3: Product Launches and Market Reception - Zeekr's new products, including the Zeekr 007GT, have been well-received, with the model achieving 10,000 deliveries in its first month [4] - The Lynk & Co 900 has also seen strong market interest, with over 30,000 pre-orders as of May 15, and its delivery volume surpassing that of other popular six-seat models [4]

Core Insights - Geely Automobile's subsidiary Zeekr reported a total vehicle delivery of 114,011 units in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 21.1% [1] - The Zeekr brand delivered 41,403 vehicles, up 25.2% year-on-year, while the Lynk brand delivered 72,608 vehicles, reflecting an 18.9% increase, with 52.4% of deliveries coming from new energy vehicles [1] - Zeekr's automotive sales revenue for Q1 2025 reached RMB 19,096 million, a 16.1% increase compared to Q1 2024 [1] Financial Performance - The automotive profit margin for Q1 2025 was 16.5%, compared to 13.1% in Q1 2024 and 14.3% in Q4 2024 [1] - Zeekr's gross profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 4,213 million, an 18.8% increase from Q1 2024, with a gross profit margin of 19.1% [1] - The profit margin for the Zeekr brand reached a record high of 21.2% in Q1 2025 [2] Strategic Developments - The company achieved a significant milestone in Q1 2025 with the full integration of Zeekr and Lynk, expanding its global user base to over 1.9 million [2] - The CEO highlighted the initial technical integration of the two brands, optimizing R&D and sharing platforms to enhance profitability [2] - The CFO emphasized the strengthening of platform synergies and supply chain management, leading to historic high profitability levels [2]

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Geely Automobile achieved revenue of 72.495 billion yuan, a 25% increase from 58.225 billion yuan in the same period last year [2][3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.672 billion yuan, up 264% from 1.565 billion yuan year-on-year [2][3] - Total sales volume reached 703,800 units, a 48% increase from 475,700 units in the previous year, marking a historical high for the company [3][4] Brand Performance - The Galaxy brand sold nearly 260,000 units in Q1, a 214% increase, with the Star Wish model achieving over 35,000 monthly sales for two consecutive months [4] - The China Star brand sold 330,000 units, a 10% increase, while Lynk & Co sold 73,000 units, up 19%, with 38,000 of those being electric vehicles [4] - Zeekr delivered 41,000 units, a 25% increase year-on-year [4] Strategic Developments - Geely plans to privatize Zeekr, acquiring all issued shares, which would make Zeekr a wholly-owned subsidiary and lead to its delisting from the NYSE [8] - Following the merger of Zeekr and Lynk & Co, management changes were announced, with Li Donghui becoming Vice Chairman and An Conghui as CEO of Geely Holding Group [8][7] - Zeekr reported a total revenue of 22.019 billion yuan in Q1, with vehicle revenue of 19.096 billion yuan, a 16.1% increase year-on-year [7]