Core Viewpoint - 吉利汽车 reported strong performance in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 89.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, 吉利汽车 achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.82 billion yuan, an increase of 1.4 billion yuan year-on-year and 0.2 billion yuan quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company sold 760,000 vehicles in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 43% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.9% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 16.6%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year but down 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Cost Management - Sales expense ratio in Q3 2025 was 6.0%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year and down 0.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - Management expense ratio was 1.5%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year and down 0.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - R&D expense ratio was 4.9%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year and down 0.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 3: Product Strategy and Market Outlook - 吉利汽车 is launching a new product cycle with competitive models such as 银河A7 and 银河星耀8, which have achieved monthly sales of over 13,000 and 10,000 units respectively [2] - The company expects to maintain strong sales momentum, with projected total sales of 3.04 million, 3.73 million, and 4.02 million vehicles for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year increases of 40%, 23%, and 8% respectively [2] - The introduction of high-end models is expected to significantly enhance the company's product structure and profitability [2] Group 4: Profitability Forecast - Projected net profit margins for 2025-2027 are 5.2%, 6.0%, and 6.4%, with attributable net profits of 17.8 billion, 24 billion, and 27.2 billion yuan respectively [3] - The core net profit estimates for the same period are 14.3 billion, 23 billion, and 26.2 billion yuan [3] - The company is considered a top pick for the upcoming recovery in the automotive sector due to its low valuation and strong growth potential [3] Group 5: Investment Recommendation - Based on the strong new product cycle and improved product structure, the profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards [3] - The target price for 吉利汽车 is set at 26.00 HKD, representing a potential upside of 51% based on a 10x PE ratio for 2026 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company's profitability continues to improve, with exports expected to become a new growth driver [2] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1.68, 2.04, and 2.40 RMB respectively, with a target price set at 22.44 RMB and 24.62 HKD, based on a PE ratio of 11 times for comparable companies in 2026 [3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million RMB) is projected to grow from 179,204 in 2023 to 448,685 in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.1%, 34.0%, 33.0%, 21.3%, and 15.8% respectively [5] - Operating profit (in million RMB) is expected to increase from 3,806 in 2023 to 23,173 in 2027, with significant growth rates of 4.3%, 100.8%, 110.0%, 22.2%, and 18.1% [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million RMB) is forecasted to rise from 5,308 in 2023 to 24,318 in 2027, with growth rates of 0.9%, 213.3%, 2.5%, 20.9%, and 18.0% [5] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 15.3% in 2023 to 17.3% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to stabilize around 5.3% [5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is expected to maintain a strong market share, with sales growth outpacing the industry average, particularly in the electric vehicle segment [10] - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with exports anticipated to become a significant source of revenue and profit growth [10]

New Car Launches - The new Zeekr 7X has been launched with a price range of 229,800 to 269,800 CNY, featuring three models and significant upgrades in design and technology [2][3][11] - The new Avita 12 Four Laser Edition is priced between 269,900 and 429,900 CNY, offering both range-extended and pure electric versions with advanced driving assistance systems [14][20][22] - Smart's new model, the Smart 5 EHD, is priced from 189,900 to 239,900 CNY, featuring a hybrid system and a luxurious interior [23][30] - The new Denza N8L is launched at a price of 299,800 to 329,800 CNY, showcasing a modern design and advanced technology features [4][38] - Beijing Hyundai's EO model is available for pre-sale at 119,800 to 149,800 CNY, targeting the compact SUV market with competitive features [5][47] - Chery's new model, the Wind Cloud T11, is priced between 189,900 and 249,900 CNY, boasting high-end configurations and a spacious interior [6][54] - The Galaxy Star 6 has been launched with a price range of 74,800 to 105,800 CNY, featuring a new design and advanced technology [7][58] - The Deep Blue L06 has opened for pre-sale with a price range of 139,900 to 161,900 CNY, featuring a sporty design and advanced driving assistance [8][67] Company Dynamics - Horizon Robotics has partnered with ZF to develop a city navigation assistance system, set to be mass-produced by 2026 [70][75] - Xiaopeng Motors is establishing the first low-altitude flying car "6S" store in Guangzhou, aiming to integrate various flying services [76][79] - 4D Map has rebranded to SEEWAY.AI, focusing on AI strategies and expanding into autonomous driving technologies [81][84] - SAIC Group reported a growth in both sales and revenue in Q3, driven by strong performance in the electric vehicle segment [87][90] - BYD's Q3 revenue decreased by 3.05% to 194.99 billion CNY, with net profit down 32.6% due to competitive pressures [91][92] - Seres reported a 15.75% increase in revenue to 48.13 billion CNY, while net profit slightly declined [94][95] Sales Performance - BYD's October passenger car sales reached 436,856 units, maintaining a leading position in the electric vehicle market [100][104] - SAIC Group sold 207,000 new energy vehicles in October, leading the industry in total sales [106] - Geely's October new energy vehicle sales were 177,882 units, with significant contributions from its Galaxy brand [107][110] - Chery's new energy vehicle sales reached 110,346 units in October, marking a significant milestone [111][112] - Chang'an's new energy vehicle sales were 119,000 units, with strong performance from its Deep Blue brand [119] - Great Wall Motors sold 46,155 new energy vehicles in October, reflecting its ongoing transition to electric vehicles [120][121] - Leap Motor delivered 70,289 units in October, showcasing its strong market presence [122] - Hongmeng Zhixing delivered 68,216 units in October, benefiting from increased production capacity [125][127] - Xiaopeng Motors delivered 42,013 units in October, with new models contributing to sales growth [128][130] - NIO delivered 40,397 units in October, reflecting a successful year for the brand [131][133] - Xiaomi's vehicle deliveries exceeded 40,000 units in October, supported by favorable market conditions [134][136] - FAW delivered 38,900 new energy vehicles in October, marking a significant achievement [137][138] - Li Auto delivered 31,767 units in October, facing competitive pressures in the market [143][144] - Dongfeng Yipai Technology delivered 31,107 units in October, showing steady growth [146][148] - BAIC New Energy sold 30,542 units in October, driven by new model launches [149][152] - Lantu delivered 17,218 units in October, continuing its upward trajectory [153][155] - Jishi delivered 1,426 units in October, with plans for future expansion [156][159]

Group 1 - Chery's new model, the Fengyun T11, has been launched with a price range of 189,900 to 249,900 yuan, featuring four variants [1][3][15] - The vehicle is positioned as a full-size SUV with dimensions of 5205mm in length, 1998mm in width, and 1800mm in height, along with a wheelbase of 3120mm [4] - The T11 boasts a high-end interior with 11 premium features, including a 30-inch front display and advanced driver assistance systems, indicating its competitive positioning against luxury vehicles [6][8] Group 2 - The Galaxy Xingyao 6 has been launched with a price range of 74,800 to 105,800 yuan, featuring a compact design and a focus on user-friendly technology [9][11] - It is equipped with a new generation of hybrid technology, offering a maximum power of 82kW from its 1.5L engine and a pure electric range of 60km for the entry-level model [14] - The vehicle's competitive pricing allows it to compete effectively against rivals like the Qin PLUS [14] Group 3 - The Deep Blue L06 has opened for pre-sale with a price range of 139,900 to 161,900 yuan, featuring a sporty design and advanced technology [15][17] - It offers impressive performance with a 200kW motor and a pure electric range of up to 670km, showcasing its capabilities in the competitive mid-size sedan market [19][22] - The inclusion of unique features like a magnetorheological suspension system enhances its driving experience, setting it apart from competitors [20][22] Group 4 - SAIC Motor Corporation reported a significant increase in both sales and revenue in its third-quarter financial results [23][24] - The company has introduced several competitive models this year, including the MG4 electric vehicle and the collaboration with Huawei on the Shangjie H5, contributing to its growth [29] - SAIC regained the title of the top-selling domestic automaker in September, surpassing BYD, indicating strong market performance [29][30]

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile reported strong sales and revenue growth in August 2025, indicating a positive trend in the company's performance and market position [1] Sales Performance - In August 2025, Geely's wholesale sales reached 250,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 38% and a month-on-month increase of 5.2% [1] - Domestic sales accounted for 214,000 units, up 58% year-on-year, while exports were 36,000 units, down 22% year-on-year [1] - The Galaxy brand showed significant growth, with sales of 111,000 units in August, a year-on-year increase of 320% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Geely achieved revenue of 150.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27%, and a core net profit of 6.7 billion yuan, up 100% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 77.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28%, and a net profit of 3.6 billion yuan, up 19 billion yuan year-on-year [1] Strategic Developments - Geely is advancing its electric and intelligent transformation, with new models set to launch, including the Galaxy M9 and Lynk & Co 10 EM-P [1] - The company has raised its 2025 sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million units, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory [1] - The integration of Geely, Galaxy, Lynk & Co, and Zeekr brands is expected to enhance cost efficiency and drive profitability [1] Future Outlook - The company forecasts total sales of 3.02 million, 3.4 million, and 3.96 million units for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 53%, 13%, and 16% respectively [1] - Geely's long-term strategy includes building an AI ecosystem through industry chain integration, which is anticipated to enhance competitiveness and business model [1] Investment Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards to 353.5 billion, 449.7 billion, and 530.1 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 47%, 27%, and 18% [2] - The net profit estimates have also been revised to 16 billion, 21.8 billion, and 26.6 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 10.8, 7.9, and 6.5 [2] - The target price is set at 26.04 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 39%, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [2]

Group 1 - In August, Geely's total sales reached 250,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 38.0% and a month-on-month increase of 5.2% [1] - New energy vehicle sales for Geely in August were 147,300 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 95.2% and a month-on-month increase of 13.2% [1] - Geely's total sales from January to August amounted to 1,897,100 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47.3%, achieving 63.2% of the annual target of 3 million units by the end of August [1] Group 2 - In August, Geely's brand sales were 205,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 45.9% and a month-on-month increase of 6.1% [1] - The Geely Galaxy model sold 110,700 units in August, marking a year-on-year increase of 172.6% and a month-on-month increase of 16.4% [1] - The Geely Galaxy M9, a new large six-seat SUV, has begun pre-sales with a competitive price range of 193,800 to 258,800 yuan, achieving over 40,000 orders within 24 hours [1] Group 3 - Zeekr brand sales in August were 17,600 units, a year-on-year decrease of 2.2% but a month-on-month increase of 3.8% [2] - Lynk & Co brand sales in August reached 27,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 20.8% [2] - The Zeekr 9X has officially started pre-sales with a price range of 479,900 to 569,900 yuan, receiving over 42,000 orders within the first hour, indicating strong consumer demand for higher-end versions [2] Group 4 - The forecast for EPS from 2025 to 2027 is 1.49, 1.75, and 2.12 yuan respectively, maintaining a target price of 22.35 yuan [3] - The average PE valuation for comparable companies in 2025 is set at 15 times [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile [4][7]. Core Views - Geely's sales continue to improve, with a projected increase in market share [2]. - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.49, 1.75, and 2.12 RMB respectively, while maintaining a target price of 22.35 RMB, equivalent to 24.54 HKD [4]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023A: 179,204 million RMB - 2024A: 240,194 million RMB - 2025E: 319,444 million RMB (33.0% YoY growth) - 2026E: 381,363 million RMB (19.4% YoY growth) - 2027E: 442,685 million RMB (16.1% YoY growth) [6]. - **Operating Profit**: - 2023A: 3,806 million RMB - 2024A: 7,644 million RMB (100.8% YoY growth) - 2025E: 14,116 million RMB (84.7% YoY growth) - 2026E: 16,739 million RMB (18.6% YoY growth) - 2027E: 20,314 million RMB (21.4% YoY growth) [6]. - **Net Profit**: - 2023A: 5,308 million RMB - 2024A: 16,632 million RMB (213.3% YoY growth) - 2025E: 15,121 million RMB (-9.1% YoY decline) - 2026E: 17,735 million RMB (17.3% YoY growth) - 2027E: 21,451 million RMB (21.0% YoY growth) [6]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: 0.53 RMB - 2024A: 1.65 RMB - 2025E: 1.49 RMB - 2026E: 1.75 RMB - 2027E: 2.12 RMB [6]. - **Profitability Ratios**: - Gross Margin: Expected to increase from 15.3% in 2023A to 16.7% in 2027E - Net Margin: Expected to improve from 3.0% in 2023A to 4.8% in 2027E - Return on Equity (ROE): Expected to rise from 6.6% in 2023A to 14.6% in 2027E [6]. Sales Performance Summary - In August, Geely's total sales reached 250,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 38.0% and a month-on-month increase of 5.2% [11]. - New energy vehicle sales in August were 147,300 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 95.2% [11]. - The company has achieved 63.2% of its annual sales target of 3 million units by the end of August [11]. Product Development and Market Position - The Galaxy brand's sales are on the rise, with significant contributions from new product launches [11]. - The Galaxy A7 and Galaxy M9 are expected to enhance market competitiveness, with pre-sales showing strong demand [11]. - Zeekr 9X has also shown promising pre-sale figures, indicating strong consumer interest in high-end models [11].

Core Insights - Geely Automobile Holdings Limited reported record-high revenue, profit, and sales for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 150.3 billion yuan, a 27% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 9.29 billion yuan, representing a 102% growth [1][2] Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross profit of 24.7 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 16.4%, and total cash levels increased to 58.8 billion yuan [1][2] - The annual sales target was raised from 2.71 million to 3 million units, reflecting strong market confidence and resilience [1] Strategic Initiatives - Geely's "One Geely" strategy has been effectively implemented, enhancing internal resource integration and operational synergy [2] - The merger of Zeekr and Lynk & Co has led to significant synergies in R&D, manufacturing, and management costs [2] New Energy Growth - Geely's total sales reached 1.409 million units, a 47% increase year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales soaring to 725,000 units, a 126% increase, achieving a market share of over 10% [3] - The Galaxy brand, after becoming independent, saw sales rise by 232% to 548,000 units, while Zeekr maintained its leading position in the high-end market with 90,740 units sold [3] Technological Advancements - Geely has established a comprehensive AI ecosystem, launching the "Smart Geely 2025" strategy, which includes the industry's first "full-domain AI" technology system [4] - The company has developed advanced battery technologies and AI-powered systems, enhancing product competitiveness and safety [4] Global Expansion - Geely's export sales exceeded 180,000 units in the first half of the year, with the Galaxy E5 international version entering 26 countries [5] - The company aims to solidify its leading position in the global smart electric vehicle market with the launch of five new energy products in the second half of the year [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the reports indicates that Geely Automobile is expected to see significant growth in vehicle deliveries and profitability from 2025 to 2027, with projected deliveries of 3.09 million, 3.53 million, and 3.93 million vehicles, and a corresponding increase in new energy penetration rates to 54%, 55%, and 63% respectively [1] - The company reported a revenue of 150.28 billion RMB in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 27%, which slightly exceeded market expectations [1] - Geely's vehicle sales reached 1.409 million units in the same period, marking a 47% year-on-year increase, leading to a market share increase to 10.4%, up 2.4 percentage points from the previous year [1] Group 2 - The merger between Geely and Zeekr is progressing, with both shareholder meetings scheduled for September, aiming to finalize the merger by the end of the year [2] - Post-merger, Geely plans to establish two major business groups: Geely Galaxy and Zeekr Technology, while retaining its existing fuel vehicle series, thus creating a diversified brand portfolio [2] - The company aims to accelerate the launch of new products in the second half of the year, focusing on healthy and high-quality development amidst market competition [2] Group 3 - Several new models from Geely are anticipated in the second half of 2025, including the Galaxy A7, which has already launched, and the Galaxy M9, expected to set a benchmark in the mid-to-large SUV market [3] - The Galaxy Xingyao 6 is projected to redefine the compact hybrid car segment upon its release in the fourth quarter [3] - The Zeekr 9X, based on the Haohan-S architecture, is expected to launch in the third quarter and is anticipated to represent Geely's new generation of flagship technology [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Geely Automobile is expected to see significant growth in vehicle deliveries and profitability from 2025 to 2027, with projected deliveries of 3.09 million, 3.53 million, and 3.93 million vehicles, and an increasing penetration rate of new energy vehicles [1] - Geely's revenue for the first half of the year reached 150.28 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 27%, slightly exceeding market expectations, while vehicle sales reached 1.409 million units, up 47% year-on-year, leading to a market share increase to 10.4% [1][2] - The company aims to narrow the gap with industry leaders to within 4% and has set a goal to surpass them in market share [1] Group 2 - The merger between Geely and Zeekr is progressing, with both shareholder meetings scheduled for September, and if approved, the merger is expected to be completed by the end of the year [2] - Post-merger, Geely will establish two major business groups: Geely Galaxy and Zeekr Technology, while retaining the China Star fuel vehicle series, creating four distinct brands to cover diverse markets [2] - The company plans to accelerate the launch of new products in the second half of the year, focusing on fair and high-quality development amidst market challenges [2] Group 3 - Several new models from Geely are anticipated in the second half of 2025, including the Galaxy A7, Galaxy M9, and Galaxy Xingyao 6, which are expected to set benchmarks in their respective segments [3] - The Zeekr 9X, based on the Haohan-S architecture, is also expected to launch in the third quarter, representing Geely's new flagship technology [3]