Overall Analysis - The delivery volume of passenger cars is steadily recovering, with a total of 438,000 units delivered from August 11 to August 17, representing a 14.22% increase month-on-month. New energy vehicles accounted for 248,000 units, up from 219,000 units, marking a 12.94% increase, with a penetration rate of 56.6% [1] - The recovery in delivery volume is attributed to the resumption of production by companies like AITO after the summer break, and it is expected to continue rising with the upcoming peak sales months of September and October [1] Brand Analysis BYD - BYD delivered 65,000 units this week, the highest in nearly seven weeks, driven by price competition and internal market dynamics. However, challenges include product definition and competition from Geely [3] - Specific models like the Sea Lion 06 and Sea Leopard 06 are performing well, with deliveries of 5,800 and 5,600 units respectively. The Han L and Tang L models, however, are underperforming, with weekly deliveries below 1,000 units [3] Geely - Geely's deliveries reached 26,000 units this week, leveraging high configurations at low prices to capture market share from BYD. The Galaxy A7 model has seen rapid adoption, with 4,200 units delivered since its launch [5] - Other models like the Galaxy Starry 8 and Galaxy E5 are also performing well, indicating a strong competitive strategy against BYD [5] New Forces Li Auto - Li Auto delivered 5,600 units this week, maintaining stable sales. However, competition and public relations challenges have impacted performance. Future focus will be on the delivery of the i8 and the launch of the i6 [7] NIO - NIO's delivery of the L90 model reached 2,300 units, with expectations to hit 10,000 units soon. The company has also announced a price reduction for its 100 kWh battery, which may boost sales [8] Xpeng - Xpeng delivered 7,900 units this week, with a focus on new models like the P7 and the recently announced extended-range version of the X9. The company reported a gross margin of 17.3% for Q2 2025, driven by product mix optimization [9] AITO - AITO delivered 7,700 units this week, with production capacity gradually increasing post-summer break. Anticipation for the M7 model's major update is growing [11] Leap Motor - Leap Motor achieved over 10,000 deliveries this week and reported its first half-year net profit, becoming the second new force in China's automotive sector to achieve this milestone [12]

Core Insights - Geely Automobile reported strong mid-year performance for 2025, with revenue of 150.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.5%, and a total sales volume of 1.409 million vehicles, up 47.4% year-on-year, achieving a core net profit of 6.66 billion yuan, a 102% increase year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Geely achieved revenue of 77.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.3% [1] - Total sales in Q2 2025 reached 705,000 units, with significant growth in the Galaxy series, which saw a year-on-year increase of 249.8% [1] - The gross profit margin in Q2 2025 was 17.1%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Product Strategy and Innovation - Geely plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, including 5 new models and several updated versions under the Geely brand [2] - The company is focusing on smart technology, with new models expected to feature advanced driving assistance systems and the latest Nvidia Thor chip in flagship models [2] - The GEA architecture supports the new vehicle cycle, enhancing the performance of the Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy brands [3] Group 3: Market Position and Outlook - Geely's market share reached 10.4% in the first half of 2025, marking a 2.4 percentage point increase year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 16.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3X, maintaining a "buy" rating [3] - The transition to electric vehicles is progressing well, with scale effects expected to enhance profitability [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in H1 2025, achieving revenue of 150.28 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26.5%, and a total sales volume of 1.409 million units, up 47.4% year-on-year. The core net profit attributable to shareholders reached 6.66 billion, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 102% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 77.79 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.3%. Total sales volume for Q2 was 705,000 units, with year-on-year growth of 46.9% [7]. - The company’s market share reached 10.4% in H1 2025, marking a 2.4 percentage point increase year-on-year [7]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 17.1%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.7 percentage points but an increase of 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [7]. Brand and Product Strategy - The company is entering a new product era supported by the GEA architecture, with a successful transition to new energy vehicles across its brands, including Galaxy, Lynk & Co, and Zeekr [2][7]. - In 2025, the company plans to launch 10 new energy models, with significant new releases from its various brands throughout the year [7]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong profitability due to scale effects and a solid foundation in fuel vehicles, alongside innovative overseas expansion strategies [2][7]. - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 16.1 billion, with a corresponding price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3X [7].

Core Viewpoint - Geely is positioned to challenge BYD's dominance in the NEV market, with expectations of revenue growth and improved profitability driven by domestic market share expansion and overseas growth initiatives [1][10]. Financial Performance - In 2Q25, Geely's revenue grew by 7.3% QoQ to RMB77.8 billion, while core net profit slightly decreased to RMB3.2 billion from RMB3.5 billion in 1Q25 [1][2]. - The gross margin improved by 1.3 percentage points QoQ to 17.1%, although it eroded by 0.7 percentage points YoY due to lower sales from higher-margin exports and increased marketing expenses [2][6]. - The company maintains a 2025 net profit forecast of RMB15 billion and raises the 2026 forecast by 13% to RMB20 billion, reflecting higher volume assumptions and positive margin outlook [1][6]. Market Strategy - Geely's management has outlined a comprehensive global expansion strategy, restructuring operations into five regional hubs to enhance local expertise while maintaining global coordination [3]. - The company aims to increase its domestic market share, having secured 11.44% of the NEV market in 1H25, and plans to launch several new models to fill product gaps in cost-sensitive segments [3][7]. - Geely's dual-track export strategy will include both ICE and NEV models, with a forecasted 50% YoY increase in overseas volume to 600,000 units in 2026 [8]. Technological Advancements - A major integration of Geely's intelligent driving units has been executed, consolidating teams to enhance technological capabilities and streamline resources [4][5]. - This consolidation is expected to reinforce Geely's leadership in autonomous driving technology and innovation [5]. Valuation - Geely's shares are currently trading at a significant discount, with a P/E ratio of 12x for 2025E and 9x for 2026E, compared to BYD's 18-20x [9]. - The target price has been raised to HK$32.00 based on a 15x 2026E P/E multiple, reflecting confidence in Geely's potential to close the valuation gap with BYD [10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [6][11]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 150.29 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-over-year (YOY) increase of 26.5%. The net profit reached RMB 9.29 billion, with core profit (excluding foreign exchange gains and asset disposal gains) increasing by 102% YOY [7]. - The company is accelerating its electrification transformation, with a high cost-performance product strategy yielding positive results across various price segments. The integration of automotive operations is expected to lower procurement costs and enhance product competitiveness [7]. - The company plans to strengthen its export efforts, with an anticipated improvement in export growth rates [7]. Financial Performance - The company’s Q2 2025 revenue was RMB 77.79 billion, a 28.4% increase YOY, with a net profit of RMB 3.62 billion, indicating a near doubling of core profit YOY [7]. - Q2 2025 saw vehicle sales of 705,000 units, a 47% increase YOY, with new energy vehicles (NEVs) accounting for 54.7% of total sales, up 6.5 percentage points from Q1 [7]. - The company’s gross margin for Q2 was 17.1%, showing a slight decrease of 0.71 percentage points YOY but an increase of 1.29 percentage points from Q1 [7]. Sales and Market Position - In July 2025, the company sold 238,000 vehicles, a 57.7% increase YOY, with NEV sales reaching 130,000 units, representing 55% of total sales [7]. - The company’s cumulative vehicle sales from January to July 2025 reached 1.647 million units, a 48.8% increase YOY, with a target of 3 million units for the year, reflecting a 38% increase from the previous year [7]. - The company has a rich pipeline of new products set to launch in the second half of 2025, which is expected to enhance both sales and average selling prices [7]. Earnings Forecast - The report revises the company's net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to RMB 16.11 billion, RMB 18.09 billion, and RMB 22.57 billion, respectively, with YOY growth rates of 70%, 12%, and 25% [7][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the same years are adjusted to RMB 1.60, RMB 1.80, and RMB 2.24, respectively [9]. - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 10.7, 9.6, and 7.7 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, supporting the "Buy" recommendation [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported strong revenue performance with a significant increase in sales driven by a new vehicle cycle, leading to a projected rapid growth in sales [1][7] - The company has adjusted its annual sales target from 2.71 million units to 3 million units due to strong sales momentum [7] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 150.28 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 39%, while net profit was 9.29 billion RMB, a decrease of 14% [7] - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 77.79 billion RMB, up 41.6% year-on-year and 7.3% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit at 3.62 billion RMB, down 60% year-on-year [7] - The company plans to launch 10 new models in 2025, focusing on mid-sized sedans and SUVs to capture market trends [7] - The company’s core net profit for the first half of 2025, excluding one-off gains, was 6.66 billion RMB, reflecting a 102% year-on-year increase [7] Sales Performance - The company sold 1.409 million vehicles in the first half of 2025, a 47% increase year-on-year, with a market share exceeding 10% [7] - New energy vehicle sales reached 725,000 units, representing a 126% year-on-year increase, with a penetration rate of 51.5% [7] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.4% in net profit from 2025 to 2027 [7] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the company's leading position in the domestic automotive market and the anticipated continuous growth in performance due to new product launches [7]

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile reported strong sales growth in July 2025, with a total of 238,000 vehicles sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 57.7% and a month-on-month increase of 0.7% [1] Sales Performance - July sales reached 238,000 units, with a cumulative total of 1.647 million units sold from January to July 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 48.8% [1] - New energy vehicle sales in July exceeded 130,000 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 120.4% and accounting for 54.7% of total sales, an increase of 15.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] Model Breakdown - Sales by brand in July included 194,000 units for Geely, 27,000 units for Lynk & Co, and 17,000 units for Zeekr, with year-on-year increases of 70.0%, 27.9%, and 8.4% respectively [1] - The Galaxy model sold 95,000 units in July, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 237.2% [1] Export Performance - In July, Geely exported 35,000 vehicles, which is a year-on-year increase of 6.0% but a month-on-month decrease of 11.8% [1] Product Strategy - Geely plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, including 5 new models and several updated versions under the Geely brand [2] - The company is focusing on smart technology integration, with new models expected to feature advanced driving assistance systems [2] Platform and Profitability - The GEA architecture is expected to support a new product cycle, enhancing the transition to new energy vehicles and improving profitability [3] - The company anticipates a net profit of 16.1 billion yuan for 2025, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 10X [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - Geely Automobile reported July 2025 sales of 238,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 57.7% and a month-on-month increase of 0.7%. Cumulative sales for January to July 2025 reached 1.647 million units, up 48.8% year-on-year. The new platform is expected to empower Geely to enter a new product era [2][4][8]. - The GEA architecture supports a new vehicle cycle, with brands such as Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy performing well. The transition to new energy vehicles is progressing smoothly, and the scale effect is expected to enhance profitability. The company maintains a solid foundation in fuel vehicles and continues to explore overseas markets through innovative joint ventures. The smart driving strategy is set to accelerate, enhancing driving capabilities [2][8]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In July 2025, Geely's sales reached 238,000 units, with a year-on-year growth of 57.7% and a month-on-month growth of 0.7%. The cumulative sales from January to July 2025 were 1.647 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 48.8% [2][4][8]. - Breakdown of sales by brand shows Geely brand at 194,000 units, Lynk & Co at 27,000 units, and Zeekr at 17,000 units, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 70.0%, 27.9%, and 8.4% [8]. New Product Launches - Geely plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, including 5 new models and several updated versions under the Geely brand. Notable launches include the Galaxy Star 8 and various SUVs and sedans throughout the year [8]. Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on electrification and intelligence, with a strong new vehicle cycle continuing. The new product launches are expected to significantly enhance the smart driving capabilities across all brands [8]. Financial Outlook - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 16.1 billion, with a corresponding PE ratio of 10X, indicating substantial profit elasticity under the new vehicle cycle [8].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [9][55]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant shift in the automotive sales structure, with the proportion of vehicles priced above 200,000 yuan declining to 21% in the first five months of 2025, down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [9][10]. - The report suggests that while competition has driven down vehicle prices, consumer preferences are shifting towards larger vehicles, indicating a trend of "cars becoming larger but cheaper" [10][9]. - The report anticipates a strong market performance in the second half of the year, despite the traditional off-season in July and August, due to factors such as reduced price war risks and inventory adjustments [10][9]. Summary by Sections Sales by Price Range - The report provides detailed analysis of sales trends across various price ranges, indicating that: - The 0-10 million yuan segment saw a slight increase in market share to 32.7%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [10]. - The 10-15 million yuan segment increased to 33.8%, up 4.4 percentage points year-on-year, driven by models like Qin L and Galaxy E5 [10]. - The 15-20 million yuan segment decreased to 12.2%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by price adjustments of models like Sea Leopard and Accord [10]. - The 20-25 million yuan segment increased to 9.1%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, supported by consumption upgrades and electric vehicle growth [10]. - The 30-40 million yuan segment saw a decline to 6%, down 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [10]. Sales by Vehicle Class - The report categorizes vehicle sales by class, revealing: - In the 0-20 million yuan category, A-class vehicles' market share decreased to 38%, while B-class vehicles increased to 37% [10]. - In the 20 million yuan and above category, C-class vehicles gained market share to 48.9%, while A and B-class vehicles saw declines [10]. - The overall market dynamics indicate a shift towards larger vehicle classes, with a notable increase in the C-class segment [10]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like Jianghuai Automobile, which are expected to perform well in terms of volume and profitability [9]. - It suggests monitoring new models from companies like Li Auto and Xiaomi, as well as traditional automakers like SAIC and Great Wall, which are anticipated to reach profitability this year [9].

Group 1 - Chery's new model, the Fengyun A9L, has been launched with a price range of 149,900 to 207,900 yuan, and a special trade-in price of 139,900 to 197,900 yuan, achieving over 53,565 orders in just 35 days [1] - The Fengyun A9L is built on Chery's high-performance electric hybrid E platform, featuring plug-in hybrid technology with a pure electric range of 230 kilometers [1] - The E platform took six years to develop with an investment exceeding 10 billion yuan, and the A9L's four-wheel-drive version boasts a maximum power of 470 kW and a maximum torque of 854 N·m, achieving 0-100 km/h in under 4 seconds [1] Group 2 - The Fengyun A9L is the first model launched after the Fengyun brand was upgraded to an independent brand, focusing on the mainstream hybrid market [2] - Chery's internal restructuring aims to enhance strategic focus, resource integration, and brand collaboration, with the Fengyun division dedicated to Chery's new energy series [2] - The Fengyun A9L is positioned as a crucial model for Chery's transition to the new energy and intelligent era, especially given the low sales of previous models like the A8 and T9 [3]