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香港交易所(0388.HK):市场交投活跃 关注业绩与估值弹性
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:30
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported strong performance in H1 2025, with total revenue of HKD 14.076 billion (YoY +33%) and net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 8.519 billion (YoY +39%) [1] Revenue Breakdown - Trading fees and system usage fees increased by 49%, settlement and clearing fees by 48%, listing fees by 13%, custody and agency services fees by 23%, market data fees by 6%, and net investment income by 14% [1] - Revenue from the cash market, equity securities and financial derivatives, commodities, data and connectivity, and corporate projects grew by 62%, 15%, 8%, 5%, and 28% respectively [1] Quarterly Performance - In Q2 2025, total revenue reached HKD 7.219 billion (YoY +33%, QoQ +5%), and net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 4.442 billion (YoY +41%, QoQ +9%), both setting new quarterly records [1] Market Activity - The Hang Seng Index saw a cumulative increase of 20% in H1 2025, with the average daily turnover in the cash market reaching HKD 240.2 billion, more than double that of H1 2024 [2] - The average daily turnover for the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect was HKD 171.3 billion (YoY +32%), while the Hong Kong Stock Connect averaged HKD 111 billion, nearly three times that of H1 2024 [2] IPO Activity - In H1 2025, 44 companies went public in Hong Kong, raising HKD 109.4 billion, which is over eight times the amount raised in H1 2024, driven by an increase in listings from mainland and international issuers [2] Derivatives Market - The derivatives market maintained an upward trend, with average daily turnover for structured products reaching HKD 17.4 billion (YoY +72%) and trading fees increasing by 64% [2] - Average daily contracts traded for derivatives reached 1.7 million (YoY +11%), with a decrease in futures contracts but an increase in stock options [2] Commodity Division - The LME trading and settlement fees grew, with average daily trading volume for metal contracts at 715,000 lots (YoY +3%) and trading fees of HKD 766 million (YoY +6%) [3] Investment Income - Investment income increased due to a rise in the average amount of self-owned funds to HKD 36.4 billion (YoY +8%) and an annualized investment return of 5.73% (YoY +0.40 percentage points) [3] - Margin requirements increased, leading to an average amount of margin and clearing funds of HKD 227.2 billion (YoY +15%) [3] Future Outlook - HKEX is expected to maintain high profit growth in 2025, with revised net profit forecasts of HKD 18.8 billion and HKD 20 billion for 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting YoY increases of 44% and 6% [4] - The anticipated PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 29.7, 27.9, and 26.5 times respectively, maintaining a "recommended" rating [4]
香港交易所(0388.HK)2025年半年报点评:市场活跃度高涨驱动业绩高增 新股市场重回全球首位
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:30
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit, driven by heightened market activity and a resurgence in IPO fundraising [1][2]. Revenue Performance - For H1 2025, HKEX achieved revenue of HKD 14.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, and a net profit of HKD 8.519 billion, up 39.1% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached HKD 7.219 billion, reflecting a 33.2% year-on-year growth and a 5.3% quarter-on-quarter increase, while net profit was HKD 4.442 billion, up 40.8% year-on-year and 9.0% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Revenue Structure - The revenue sources for HKEX include trading and trading system usage fees, settlement and clearing fees, listing fees, custodial services, investment income, and market data fees [1]. - In H1 2025, trading fees, settlement fees, and custodial service fees accounted for 62.0% of total revenue, an increase of 5.9 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Market Activity - The stock market showed robust activity, with the average daily turnover of Hong Kong stocks reaching HKD 222.8 billion, a 122% increase year-on-year, marking a new half-year high [2]. - The average daily turnover for the Stock Connect program was HKD 111 billion, up 196% year-on-year, indicating a significant increase in participation from mainland investors [2]. IPO Market - In H1 2025, HKEX's listing fees amounted to HKD 4.35 billion, a 1% increase year-on-year, with total IPO fundraising reaching HKD 109.4 billion, a remarkable 716% increase year-on-year, reclaiming the top position in the global IPO market [2]. - A total of 44 companies were listed in the Hong Kong market during the first half of 2025, including the largest IPO globally since 2023 [2]. Derivatives Market - The trading fees from derivatives, including warrants and options, totaled HKD 1.298 billion in H1 2025, a 14% increase year-on-year, with average daily trading volume rising by 11% [3]. - Investment income from margin and clearing funds reached HKD 1.831 billion, a 13% increase year-on-year, driven by an increase in average margin size [3]. Strategic Outlook - HKEX is expected to benefit from a favorable capital market environment and ongoing reforms aimed at attracting high-quality companies to list in Hong Kong [4]. - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, projecting EPS of HKD 13.72, 15.03, and 16.90 respectively, with a target price of HKD 494 based on a 36x PE valuation for 2025 [4].
香港交易所:延长交易时间需审慎
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-21 11:05
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported strong mid-term results for 2025, highlighting ongoing efforts to enhance market infrastructure and adapt to changing global client needs [1] Group 1: Market Initiatives - HKEX is open to suggestions for extending trading hours but emphasizes the need for careful consideration due to potential market impacts and the necessity of consulting all market participants [1] - The exchange has already extended the trading hours for its derivatives market until 3 AM from Tuesday to Saturday [1] Group 2: Future Developments - HKEX is developing the "Navigator" derivatives platform to improve trading, clearing, and risk management capabilities in the derivatives market [1] - The company plans to continue enhancing market vitality and competitiveness in the second half of the year, including discussions on shortening the settlement cycle for the cash market and optimizing trading and settlement services [1]
香港交易所(00388):市场活跃度高涨驱动业绩高增,新股市场重回全球首位
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-21 09:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (0388.HK) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in performance driven by high market activity, with the IPO market returning to the global forefront [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 14.076 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 8.519 billion, up 39.1% year-on-year [1] Revenue Structure - The revenue structure shows a continued rise in market activity, leading to an increase in the proportion of trading and settlement fees. In the first half of 2025, trading and trading system usage fees, settlement and clearing fees, and custody services accounted for 62.0% of total revenue, up 5.9 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The listing fees from the Stock Exchange accounted for 5.8% of total revenue, down 1.0 percentage point year-on-year, while net investment income accounted for 20.4%, down 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [2] Market Activity - The report notes that the stock market's trading activity remains robust, with the IPO fundraising amount returning to the top globally. In the first half of 2025, the total amount raised through IPOs reached HKD 109.4 billion, a staggering increase of 716% year-on-year [4] - The average daily turnover of Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 1.110 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 196%, indicating a significant rise in participation from mainland investors [3] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the total revenue from the cash segment, including trading and settlement fees, reached HKD 5.995 billion, a year-on-year increase of 71% [3] - The report projects that the company will maintain high trading volumes in 2025, benefiting from the favorable conditions in the Hong Kong capital market and the valuation recovery of Chinese stocks [9] Earnings Forecast - The report raises the earnings forecast for the company, estimating EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be HKD 13.72, HKD 15.03, and HKD 16.90 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 32, 29, and 26 times [9] - The target price is set at HKD 494.0, based on a 36 times PE valuation for 2025 [5]
香港交易所(00388):2025年中报点评:各项业务表现强劲,中期业绩创同期新高
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-21 08:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (0388.HK) [2][9]. Core Views - The report highlights that the Hong Kong Exchanges has shown strong performance across various business segments, achieving record high mid-year results for 2025. The company reported revenue and other income of HKD 140.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 85.19 billion, up 39.1% year-on-year [6][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 140.76 billion, representing a 32.53% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 85.19 billion, reflecting a 39.1% year-on-year growth [6][9]. - Revenue breakdown by fee types shows significant growth: trading and trading system usage fees increased by 49.12%, listing fees by 12.55%, settlement and clearing fees by 48.47%, and market data fees by 14.04% [6][9]. Market Activity - The report notes a substantial increase in trading activity across various markets. The average daily turnover for stock securities rose by 122.1%, with the Stock Connect programs showing increases of 31.6% and 196.0% respectively [6][9]. - The derivatives market also saw growth, with trading fees increasing by 13.8% due to heightened activity in stock options and warrants [6][9]. Future Projections - The report projects that from 2025 to 2027, the company will achieve revenues of HKD 283.44 billion, HKD 303.43 billion, and HKD 322.26 billion respectively, with net profits of HKD 176.18 billion, HKD 188.76 billion, and HKD 200.46 billion [2][10]. - The expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these years are 31.75, 29.63, and 27.90 respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation [2][10].
高盛:上调香港交易所盈测 目标价升至509港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 08:21
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) exceeded expectations in Q2 performance, primarily driven by higher-than-expected investment income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Core profit, excluding investment income, showed a strong year-on-year growth of approximately 40%, aligning with expectations [1] - The average daily turnover in the cash market nearly doubled year-on-year during the period [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - Following the Q2 performance and recent market turnover trends, Goldman Sachs has raised its earnings per share forecasts for HKEX for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 3%, 1%, and 2% respectively [1] - The target price for HKEX has been increased from HKD 500 to HKD 509 [1] Group 3: Management Insights - Management indicated that with the decline in HIBOR and the reduction of external investment portfolios due to funding headquarters acquisitions, the outlook for investment income is expected to weaken [1] - Goldman Sachs' forecasts already incorporate these factors, predicting a year-on-year decline in investment income of approximately 17% and 11% for the current and next year, respectively [1] - Despite the anticipated decline in investment income, strong profit growth is expected to continue in the second half of the year [1]
高盛:上调香港交易所(00388)盈测 目标价升至509港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-21 08:17
管理层表明在HIBOR回落,加上资助总部购置而减持外部投资组合下,投资收益前景将转弱。高盛的 预测已纳入相关因素,目前预期今明两年投资收入将同比跌约17%及11%,但仍相信强劲的盈利增长将 于下半年持续。 高盛发布研报称,香港交易所(00388)第二季业绩胜预期,主要来自于高于预期的投资收益所带动。撇 除投资收益的核心利润同比强劲增长约40%,符合预期,期内现货市场日均成交额几乎同比翻倍。计入 第二季业绩及近期市场成交量表现,高盛将港交所2025至2027年每股盈利预测分别上调3%、1%及2%, 重申"买入"评级,目标价从500港元上调至509港元。 ...
香港交易所24小时交易倒计时!230家企业IPO排队,年底咨询新规 !
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 07:51
24小时交易革命!港交所230家IPO排队背后的全球金融博弈 1. 全球IPO冠军的回归2025年上半年,港交所IPO融资额达1094亿港元(约140亿美元),同比增长超700%,一举超越纳斯达克和纽交所,重夺全球IPO募资 榜首。蓝思科技(募资54.8亿港元)、富卫集团(36.6亿港元)等巨头领衔,7月单月9只新股上市再吸金193.8亿港元。目前排队企业达230家,主板占比 86%(197家),立讯精密、胜宏科技等A股龙头密集递交申请,"A+H"双平台战略成主流。 2. 外资回流与中东资本入场北向资金占港股日均成交额23%,剩余交易中机构投资者主导,中东、东南亚及欧美资金显著增加。上半年外资在新股基石投资 中的参与度创五年新高,沙特公共投资基金(PIF)等主权基金频繁现身。港交所CEO陈翊庭直言:"中东时差红利是延长交易时间的核心动因"——迪拜与 香港时差仅4小时,延长交易可直击中东资本"交易空窗期"。 ⚡ 二、24小时交易:传统交易所的生死保卫战 1. 全球交易所的"时间竞赛" - 美国:纽交所申请延长交易至22小时,纳斯达克计划2026年实现全天候交易; 当纽交所、纳斯达克竞相延长交易至22小时,当迪拜 ...
香港交易所(00388):市场交投活跃,关注业绩与估值弹性
Ping An Securities· 2025-08-21 02:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Strong Buy" (maintained) [1][11] Core Views - The report highlights that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has shown strong performance in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 14.076 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 33%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 8.519 billion HKD, up 39% year-on-year [2][6] - The report emphasizes the recovery of trading sentiment and the potential for performance and valuation recovery, driven by increased trading activity and improved market conditions [4][6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the trading fees and transaction system usage fees increased by 49%, settlement and clearing fees by 48%, and listing fees by 13% [6] - The average daily trading volume in the cash market reached 240.2 billion HKD, more than double that of the first half of 2024, with the average daily trading volume for the Stock Connect program also showing significant growth [6] - The report projects a strong growth trajectory for the company, with net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 revised to 18.8 billion HKD, 20 billion HKD, and 21.1 billion HKD respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 44%, 6%, and 5% [6][8]
中金:维持香港交易所跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至500港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 02:49
Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised its profit forecasts for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) for 2025 and 2026 by 7.3% and 4.0% to HKD 165 billion and HKD 173 billion respectively, maintaining an outperform rating and increasing the target price by 8% to HKD 500, indicating a potential upside of 15.3% [1] Group 1 - HKEX's Q2 2025 main fee income met expectations, while profits exceeded both CICC's and market forecasts [2] - Q2 2025 total revenue increased by 33% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 72.2 billion, with main fee income rising by 31% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 55.4 billion, and profits up by 41% year-on-year and 9% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 44.4 billion [2] - For the first half of the year, total revenue rose by 33% year-on-year to HKD 140.8 billion, and profits increased by 39% year-on-year to HKD 85.2 billion [2] Group 2 - Q2 trading and settlement income grew by 40% year-on-year but decreased by 5% quarter-on-quarter, with active spot trading and weakening marginal performance in derivatives [2] - Spot trading and settlement income increased by 65% year-on-year but decreased by 4% quarter-on-quarter, with an average daily turnover (ADT) of HKD 2,377 billion, up 95% year-on-year [2] - The number of IPOs completed in Q2 was 27, raising HKD 907.5 billion, a significant increase of 960% year-on-year and 386% quarter-on-quarter [2] Group 3 - Total investment income in Q2 increased by 31% year-on-year and 16% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 16.8 billion, with a 17% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter increase when excluding non-recurring foreign exchange gains [3] - Margin and clearing house fund income rose by 25% year-on-year and 24% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 10.1 billion, driven by increased margin requirements and higher open interest in derivatives [3] - Proprietary fund income, excluding foreign exchange impacts, grew by 6% year-on-year but fell by 19% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 3.9 billion, attributed to an increase in fund scale [3]