Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of generating alpha through independent investment strategies, focusing on sectors with perceived potential against the S&P 500 [1] Investment Approach - The company employs a generalist approach, analyzing various sectors as long as there is perceived alpha potential [1] - The typical holding period for investments ranges from a few quarters to multiple years [1] Research Methodology - The company builds and maintains spreadsheets that track historical financial data, key metrics, guidance trends, and performance indicators [1] - In addition to company filings, the company monitors relevant industry news and reports, as well as other analysts' coverage [1] - During significant events, such as CEO changes, the company conducts in-depth research on the leader's background and performance history [1] Valuation Techniques - The company rarely utilizes DCF models for long-term projections, believing they offer limited value [1] - Instead, the focus is on assessing company performance and the outlook on five key drivers of DCF valuation: revenues, costs and margins, cash flow conversion, capital expenditures, and interest rates [1] - For companies with high multiples, reverse DCF analysis is conducted to understand implied growth rates [1]

Shares of Microsoft are down 11.7% in Thursday trading after the company reported fiscal second-quarter results that beat Wall Street estimates but failed to satisfy investor expectations around Azure cloud growth and AI infrastructure spending. ...

Market Overview - The S&P 500 edged up by less than 0.1% and is near its all-time high set earlier this week [4][6] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 162 points, or 0.3% [4][6] - The Nasdaq composite slipped 0.6%, impacted by losses in large technology stocks [4][6] Company Performance - Microsoft shares fell 10.4% despite reporting stronger-than-expected profit and revenue, as investors were concerned about rising capital expenditure and growth in its Azure cloud business [4][6] - Meta Platforms' stock jumped 8.6% after beating profit expectations, indicating continued heavy investment in AI [4][6] - Tesla traded lower by 0.7% after initially positive results, with CEO Elon Musk urging investors to focus on long-term projects [4][6] - IBM rose 7.1% after exceeding profit and revenue forecasts [5][6] - Southwest Airlines surged 9.7% despite missing profit estimates, driven by a strong outlook for 2026 due to operational changes [5][6] - ServiceNow slid 9.2% even after delivering better-than-expected quarterly profits, as investors trimmed positions following a strong run earlier in the year [5][6] Commodity and Currency Trends - Gold prices increased by 4.5% to $5,579 an ounce, marking a gain of over 25% this year and roughly doubling over the past 12 months [5][6] - The US dollar weakened slightly against major currencies, continuing a broader downtrend [5][6] - Treasury yields remained steady, with the 10-year yield holding at 4.26% [5][6] Economic Context - Markets are digesting the Federal Reserve's decision to pause further interest-rate cuts after three reductions late last year, as inflation remains above the 2% target [5][6] - Stock markets rose across much of Europe and Asia, with South Korea's Kospi gaining 1% to another record, aided by strong advances in chipmaker SK Hynix [5][6]

Core Insights - Tech giants Meta Platforms Inc and Microsoft Corp reported strong earnings results, but their stock movements diverged sharply in the market [1] Group 1: Meta Platforms Inc (META) - META's stock rose by 7.7% to $719.96, reaching its highest level since October and on track for its largest single-day percentage gain since July [2] - The company announced better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings and revenue, along with an increase in current-quarter sales guidance [2] - META plans to nearly double its AI spending by 2026, indicating a strong commitment to technology investment [2] Group 2: Microsoft Corp (MSFT) - MSFT's stock fell by 11.3% to $427.01, marking its lowest level since May 2025 and potentially its worst single-day percentage loss since the Covid-19 crash [3] - Despite reporting better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results, the stock is negatively impacted by higher capital spending and slower growth in cloud computing [3] - A soft operating margin outlook is also contributing to the downward pressure on MSFT shares [3] Group 3: Options Activity - Both META and MSFT are experiencing significantly higher trading volumes in the options market [4] - The most popular options for META are the weekly 1/30 750-strike call, while for MSFT, it is the March 435 call, with new positions being opened for both [4]

This story was originally published on CIO Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily CIO Dive newsletter. Dive Brief:  Microsoft’s capital expenditures reached $37.5 billion for the period ending Dec. 31, 2025, with roughly two-thirds going to GPUs and CPUs as “customer demand continues to exceed our supply,” Microsoft EVP and CFO Amy Hood said during the company’s Q2 2026 earnings call on Wednesday. Remaining spend was allocated to assets including large data center sites.  W ...

Industry Overview - Software stocks are experiencing a significant sell-off, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) dropping approximately 5% in morning trading, marking its largest one-day decline since last April [2] - The ETF is now down about 21% from its recent high, indicating that the software industry has entered bear-market territory [2] Company Performance - ServiceNow reported fourth-quarter earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations, yet its shares fell more than 11% on the day of the announcement [2] - Analysts from Morgan Stanley commented that while ServiceNow's performance was good, it was not sufficient to change the negative narrative surrounding incumbent application vendors [3] Market Sentiment - Investor concerns regarding the potential impact of artificial intelligence on traditional software business models are overshadowing positive earnings reports [3] - The sell-off has also affected major tech companies, with Microsoft experiencing a 10% decline after reporting a slowdown in cloud growth and providing softer-than-expected guidance for operating margins [4]

It's a tale of two different megacaps so far this earnings season when it comes to artificial intelligence.Meta Platforms surged after showing signs that investments in AI is boosting the bottom line, while Microsoft shares dropped as the company struggled to justify recent spending plans to investors and showed a slowdown in its cloud segment. The money flowing into AI and new technology has been a major source of debate on Wall Street as investors increasingly want to see that companies are reaping reward ...

Stocks Turn Lower as Big Tech Names StruggleLIVE[Nasdaq Slides as Microsoft Stocks Gets Pummeled]Last Updated:---8 min ago# Stocks Turn Lower as Big Tech Names StruggleBy[Connor Smith]Technology stock selling accelerated around 10 a.m. ET.The Nasdaq Composite sank 1.6%. The S&P 500 fell 0.8%. The Dow dropped 80 points, or 0.2%.A majority of stocks in the S&P 500 were on the rise, but the index's tech sector was down 3%. Big losers included Microsoft, which sank 12% after earnings. The iShares Expanded Tech- ...

1月29日，挪威央行投资管理（Norges Bank Investment Management）正式发布 2025 年年度投资报告。 数据显示，全球最大主权财富基金之一的挪威政府全球养老基金（Government Pension Fund Global，GPFG）在2025年实现15.1%的整体回报率，基金规模 于2025年12月31日达到21.268万亿挪威克朗（约合15.47万亿人民币）。 从基金规模变动细节来看，2025年基金会计收益达2.362万亿克朗（约1.72万亿人民币），但受挪威克朗对多国主要货币升值影响，汇率因素导致基金价值 缩水。同时，扣除管理费用后的资金净流入为319亿克朗，多重因素共同作用下，基金全年规模净增1.526万亿克朗。 从资产类别表现来看，权益类投资成为基金收益的核心驱动力。2025年，基金股票投资回报率高达19.3%，显著跑赢其他资产类别。其中，科技、金融及 基础材料板块表现尤为突出，贡献了权益投资的主要收益。挪威央行投资管理首席执行官尼古拉・丹根（Nicolai Tangen）在声明中强调："2025年基金交 出了极具说服力的成绩单，科技、金融与基础材料领域的优质股票持续 ...

北京时间1月29日晚，美股周四早盘走低，微软重挫逾11%，令股指承压。交易员正在消化Meta与微软 等科技股财报，以及美联储昨日公布的最新利率决议。苹果将在周四收盘后公布业绩。 道指跌69.09点，跌幅为0.14%，报48946.51点；纳指跌331.41点，跌幅为1.39%，报23526.04点；标普 500指数跌40.49点，跌幅为0.58%，报6937.54点。 Facebook的母公司Meta Platforms公布强于预期的第一季度销售预测后，股价大幅上涨。作为最早披露 业绩的AI巨头之一，Meta Platforms表示，今年资本开支最高可达1350亿美元，显著高于市场约1100亿 美元的预期。 同为科技股"七巨头"成员的特斯拉股价也有所上涨，此前该公司公布的第四季度业绩超出预期。 但大盘涨幅受到微软股价下跌的抑制。这家科技巨头报告称，在第二财季，其云业务增长放缓。该公司 还对财年第三季度的运营利润率给出了疲软的指引。 投资者现在将注意力转向苹果，该公司定于周四收盘后公布财报。 摩根大通分析师指出："从META和微软目前释放的信息看，一个共同主题是资本开支高于预期，表明 AI支出仍在加速上行。"他 ...