高盛认为，市场对微软股价的负面反应，主要反映了投资者对连续几个季度高于预期的资本支出的焦 虑。375亿美元的单季支出(含融资租赁)表明微软正在积极构建AI基础设施。然而，这种投入并未立即 转化为Azure增长率的同比例跃升。 分析称，这实际上是微软的一种战略取舍。公司正在将宝贵的算力资源优先分配给Copilot等战略性产品 以及内部研发项目，而非仅仅为了追求短期的Azure外部收入。高盛相信，这种策略最终将在技术堆栈 的多个层面推动更具战略意义的AI定位，并在中期内带来更好的回报。 财报显示，微软第二季度营收达到810亿美元，同比增长17%，高于市场预期1%；非GAAP每股收益 (EPS)为4.41美元，同比增长23%，超出市场预期5%。备受关注的Azure云业务在固定汇率下增长38%， 也略高于华尔街预期的37%。 尽管核心数据表现稳健，但投资者对微软不断攀升的资本支出表示担忧。数据显示，微软该季度资本支 出高达375亿美元，比市场普遍预期高出9%。市场原本期待如此巨额的投入能带来Azure增长率的显著 提速，但现有数据未能即时满足这一高涨的胃口。 周四，微软(MSFT.US)盘前跌逾6%，报450.20美 ...

Company Earnings - Meta Platforms (META) reported better than expected fourth quarter results and forecast first quarter revenues above analyst estimates, leading to a 9.2% spike in pre-market trading [2] - IBM Corp. (IBM) also exceeded expectations on both top and bottom lines in its fourth quarter results, resulting in a sharp increase in pre-market trading [2] - Tesla (TSLA) reported better than expected fourth quarter results, which may contribute to an upward movement in its stock [2] Market Reactions - Microsoft (MSFT) shares dropped by 6.3% in pre-market trading after reporting slowing cloud computing growth and disappointing third quarter operating margin guidance [3] - Major U.S. stock indexes ended the previous session mixed, with the S&P 500 down 0.57 points, the Dow up 12.19 points, and the Nasdaq up 40.35 points [4] - Gold stocks surged by 2.7% to a new record closing high amid rising gold prices, while computer hardware stocks also saw a 2.6% increase [8][9] Economic Indicators - The U.S. trade deficit widened significantly to $56.8 billion in November from a revised $29.2 billion in October, driven by a 5.0% spike in imports and a 3.6% drop in exports [26][27] - Initial jobless claims decreased to 209,000, down 1,000 from the previous week's revised level, while the four-week moving average increased to 206,250 [25][26]

Futures are higher, led by tech, after the first batch of Mag7 earnings with gold breaking new record highs again, rising as high as $5600. As of 8:00am ET, S&P futures are up 0.2% while the Nasdaq if barely in the green; pre-mkt it's a mixed picture with META (+7.9%) rising on higher than expected capex forecast, while MSFT (-6.6%) tumbles on... higher than expected capex forecast; TSLA is also modestly in the green, up +2.8%; AAPL reports today today then AMZN / GOOG next week. Cyclicals are trading highe ...

智通财经1月29日讯（编辑 夏军雄）周四，美股股指期货小幅走高，投资者正在权衡多家大型科技公司 发布的财报，以及美联储最新的利率决定。欧洲主要指数普遍上涨。 （来源：英为财情） 据报道，英伟达、亚马逊与微软正在商讨向OpenAI投资高达600亿美元，英伟达投资至多300亿美元， 融资前OpenAI估值可能达7300亿美元。 Meta在盘前交易中大涨9%，此前该公司给出了好于预期的一季度销售指引。同为"科技七巨 头"（Magnificent Seven）成员的特斯拉股价也上涨2%，其第四季度业绩超出市场预期。 不过，微软股价下跌近7%，限制了大盘涨幅。微软报告称，第二财季云业务增长放缓，同时对第三财 季的营业利润率给出了偏弱的指引。 目前，投资者将目光转向苹果，该公司计划于周四美股收盘后公布财报。 在其他财报方面，卡特彼勒盘前股价上涨逾1%，这家工业巨头公布的第四季度业绩大幅好于华尔街预 期。 美联储周三维持利率不变，符合市场预期。联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）表示，多项指标显示"经济 活动正以稳健的步伐扩张"，失业率"已显现出一定的稳定迹象"。 根据芝商所美联储利率观察工具，市场目前仍预计今年会有两次幅度为2 ...

After ending the previous session little changed, stocks may move to the upside in early trading on Thursday. The major index futures are currently pointing to a modestly higher open for the , with the S&P 500 futures up by 0.2 percent.A positive reaction to earnings news from Meta Platforms (META) may lead to early strength on Wall Street, as the Facebook parent is spiking by 9.2 percent in pre-market trading.The surge by Meta comes after the company reported better than expected fourth quarter results an ...

Market Overview - The S&P 500 is attempting to reach the 7,000 level again, with mixed earnings results creating some headwinds [2][5] - Initial unemployment claims data is expected to be lower than street expectations, which could be bullish for the market [3] - The dollar is declining, positively impacting commodity prices, particularly copper, which is seeing significant gains [3][4] Meta Platforms - Meta's shares are up approximately 8.7% in pre-market trading, with revenue exceeding expectations at $59.8 billion, compared to the expected $58.5 billion [7][8] - Adjusted earnings per share came in at $8.88, beating the expected $8.81, and guidance for future revenue was a major beat by about $3.5 billion [8] - Q4 revenue increased by 24% year-over-year, with strong advertising revenue [8] - The company is cutting costs in certain areas while increasing capital expenditures in strategic areas, particularly AI [9][10] - Analysts are raising price targets for Meta following its strong results [11] Microsoft - Microsoft shares are down about 6.7% in pre-market trading despite revenue exceeding expectations at $81.2 billion, compared to the expected $80.2 billion [12] - Adjusted earnings per share were $4.14, above the expected $3.88, but guidance for Q3 was in line with expectations, lacking a significant upside surprise [12][13] - Azure growth was 39% year-over-year, slightly below expectations, and future guidance for Azure growth is also lower than anticipated [13][14] - Concerns are arising regarding the concentration of spend with OpenAI, which constitutes 45% of Microsoft's backlog [16][17] - Morgan Stanley has removed Microsoft from its top pick list for 2026, contributing to selling pressure [18] IBM - IBM shares are up more than 8% following strong earnings, with revenue at $19.69 billion, exceeding the expected $19.2 billion [19] - Adjusted earnings per share were $4.52, above the expected $4.32, with automation unit growth at 18% year-over-year [19] - The AI business grew by $3 billion, and the data unit saw a 22% increase [20] - The government shutdown previously impacted the Red Hat business, but recovery is expected now that the government is operational [20] - IBM is also making strides in quantum computing, which may position it favorably against competitors [22]

Core Insights - Microsoft exceeded earnings expectations with Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $81.27 billion and EPS of $4.14, surpassing the anticipated $80.27 billion and $3.97 respectively [2][8] - Despite positive earnings, the stock dropped 7% after hours due to slowing Azure growth and significant reliance on OpenAI, which accounts for 45% of its $625 billion backlog [2][3][9] Financial Performance - Q2 revenue increased by 17% year-over-year, driven by strong cloud and productivity software growth, with Microsoft 365 Copilot reaching 15 million paid subscriptions [8] - Q3 revenue guidance is projected between $80.65 billion and $81.75 billion, aligning with consensus expectations, indicating no positive surprise [7] Growth and Margins - Azure's growth guidance for Q3 is projected at 37-38% in constant currency, barely meeting the 37.1% consensus, reflecting a deceleration trend over three consecutive quarters [2][9] - Operating margin guidance for Q3 is approximately 45.1%, below the 45.5% consensus, as Microsoft increases investments in AI infrastructure with quarterly capital expenditures of $37.5 billion [4][6] Backlog and Risks - OpenAI's commitment to $250 billion in cloud spending inflated Microsoft's backlog by 110% year-over-year, but excluding OpenAI, the backlog only expanded by 28% [6] - The heavy reliance on OpenAI raises concerns about revenue generation and the potential impact on Microsoft's financial stability if OpenAI fails to meet its obligations [3][6] Valuation and Market Sentiment - Microsoft currently trades at a P/E ratio of around 30x, which is not excessive but reflects market concerns over growth acceleration in AI [10] - The stock's current valuation presents an attractive entry point, with a potential upside of 35% based on the Street's average estimate of $620 [10][12]

Group 1: Tech Earnings Overview - The earnings season for major tech companies, particularly the "Magnificent Seven," has commenced, with investors expecting strong guidance for 2026 and evidence of profitability from AI investments in Q4 [1] - Prominent venture capitalist Bill Gurley predicts a correction in the tech sector due to high burn rates among venture-backed companies, which are reportedly losing more money than Uber and Amazon at their peak [2] - The initial tech earnings reports did not meet all investor expectations, although some companies performed well [2] Group 2: Tesla's Performance - Tesla's recent earnings call revealed a more efficient approach, with a focus on future projects like robotaxis and humanoid robots, despite a 16% drop in total deliveries [3] - Elon Musk expressed a vision for a new era of abundance and indicated plans to build a "TeraFab" for semiconductor manufacturing, which will require significant investment [3] - Analysts noted multiple areas of progress for Tesla, including robotaxi and chip design, but expressed concerns that current stock prices may already reflect this success [3] Group 3: Microsoft's Earnings Call - Microsoft's recent earnings call was criticized for being filled with corporate jargon, leading to confusion among investors regarding the company's current projects [4]

近年来，美科技公司一直是其大盘的关键增长驱动力。聚焦2025年第四季度，剔除科技板块，标普500指数的盈利增长将从9.2%降至5.5%。 投资研究公司扎克斯估算，2026年科技板块将占标普500指数盈利增长的近一半。 本周是美科技股的财报周，科技股展示出喜忧参半的局面，投资者依旧重点关注各家公司在AI大额支出和回报方面的表现。1月30日晨间，苹果 将公布财报，为此番财报季画上尾声。 押注AI业绩喜忧参半 1月28日盘后，特斯拉公布2025年第四季度及全年财务报告，季度盈利与收入均超出市场预期，但全年营收出现首次同比下降，凸显出其核心汽 车业务面临的挑战。 具体来看，去年第四季度，特斯拉总收入较去年同期的257亿美元下降约3%；汽车业务收入同比下滑11%，至177亿美元。2025年全年，特斯拉总 收入从2024年的977亿美元降至948亿美元，降幅为3%。公司解释称，下降主要源于"车辆交付量减少"及"监管信贷收入下降"。 盈利方面，特斯拉第四季度净利润为8.4亿美元，同比暴跌61%。同时运营费用激增39%，公司称部分由人工智能（AI）及其他研发项目推动。 同日，科技巨头Meta与微软也都发布了超出预期的营收，但 ...

格隆汇1月29日｜伯恩斯坦：将微软(MSFT.US)目标股价从645美元下调至641美元。 ...