Group 1 - Nucor's shares have underperformed over the past year, losing 9% of their value [1] - The anticipated benefits of President Trump's tariff policies for domestic steelmakers have not materialized [1] Group 2 - The article reflects a contrarian investment approach based on macro views and stock-specific turnaround stories [1]

Core Insights - Nucor reported Q2 2025 GAAP earnings per share of $2.60, slightly exceeding analyst expectations of $2.55, but lower than $2.68 from the previous year, indicating a year-over-year decline of 3% [1][2] - Revenue for the quarter was $8.46 billion, a 4.7% increase from $8.08 billion in Q2 2024, showcasing operational strength despite profitability pressures [2] - The company’s total steel mill shipments increased by 10.3% year-over-year, reflecting strong demand across various product categories [2][5] Financial Performance - Net earnings attributable to Nucor stockholders were $603 million, down 6.5% from $645 million in Q2 2024 [2] - EBITDA for the quarter was reported at $1.30 billion, up 4.8% from $1.24 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - The operating rate reached 85%, significantly higher than 75% in Q2 2024, indicating improved utilization of production capacity [5] Operational Highlights - Steel Mills segment reported a pre-tax profit of $843 million, an increase from $645 million a year ago, while Steel Products segment profit decreased to $392 million from $442 million [6] - The Raw Materials segment profit rose to $57 million from $39 million, driven by better scrap processing results [6] - Downstream steel product shipments increased by 6% year-over-year, with notable growth in joist, rebar fabrication, and tubular products [6] Cost Structure and Challenges - Average scrap cost per ton increased to $403, a 2% rise from Q1 2025 and a 1.8% increase from Q2 2024, impacting gross margins [7] - Operating costs, particularly for energy and conversion, have risen, contributing to margin pressures [7] - Start-up costs related to expansion projects totaled $136 million, reflecting investments in new facilities [7] Balance Sheet and Shareholder Returns - Nucor reported $2.48 billion in cash and short-term investments, with a fully undrawn $2.25 billion revolving credit facility [8] - The company continued its shareholder return strategy by repurchasing 1.8 million shares and maintaining a quarterly dividend of $0.55 per share, marking 209 consecutive quarterly payouts [8][9] Future Outlook - Management anticipates Q3 2025 earnings to be "nominally lower" than Q2 2025 due to expected margin compression in the steel mills segment [10] - Steel products and raw materials segments are expected to remain stable, while high start-up and operating costs are projected to persist [10] - Backlogs for key products are at historic highs, indicating sustained demand from infrastructure and advanced manufacturing sectors [10][11]

Company Performance - Nucor reported quarterly earnings of $2.6 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.62 per share, and down from $2.68 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -0.76% [1] - The company posted revenues of $8.46 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.61% and up from $8.08 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Nucor has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates four times [2] Stock Performance - Nucor shares have increased approximately 25% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 8.6% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.56 on revenues of $7.97 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $8.21 on revenues of $31.82 billion [7] Industry Outlook - The Steel - Producers industry, to which Nucor belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 13% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - The performance of Nucor's stock may be influenced by the overall outlook for the industry, as research shows that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [8]

[Q2 2025 Earnings Report](index=1&type=section&id=Nucor%20Reports%20Results%20for%20the%20Second%20Quarter%20of%202025) [Financial Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Second%20Quarter%20of%202025%20Highlights) Nucor reported Q2 2025 net earnings of $603 million, showing strong sequential growth but a slight year-over-year decline Quarterly Earnings Comparison | Metric | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Earnings (attributable to Nucor) | $603M | $156M | $645M | | Diluted EPS | $2.60 | $0.67 | $2.68 | First Half Earnings Comparison | Metric | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Earnings (attributable to Nucor) | $759M | $1.49B | | Diluted EPS | $3.26 | $6.14 | - Management is encouraged by **resilient demand**, a healthy order backlog, and favorable policies promoting American manufacturing[4](index=4&type=chunk) [Operational and Financial Review](index=1&type=section&id=Operational%20and%20Financial%20Review) Consolidated net sales rose 8% sequentially to $8.46 billion, driven by the steel mills segment and improved operating rates [Segment Performance](index=1&type=section&id=Selected%20Segment%20Data) The steel mills segment drove earnings growth, while all segments showed sequential improvement compared to Q1 2025 Earnings Before Income Taxes by Segment (in millions) | Segment | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Steel mills | $843 | $645 | $1,074 | $1,748 | | Steel products | $392 | $442 | $680 | $953 | | Raw materials | $57 | $39 | $86 | $49 | - The earnings increase for the steel mills segment in Q2 2025 versus Q1 2025 was primarily due to **higher average selling prices**[20](index=20&type=chunk) [Financial and Operational Metrics](index=1&type=section&id=Financial%20Review) Net sales increased to $8.46 billion, with higher sales prices, stable shipments, and improved steel mill operating rates Q2 2025 Key Metrics vs. Prior Periods | Metric | Q2 2025 | Change vs. Q1 2025 | Change vs. Q2 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Sales | $8.46B | +8% | +5% | | Avg. Sales Price/Ton | - | +8% | -3% | | Outside Shipments | 6,820,000 tons | Comparable | +8% | - Overall operating rates at the company's steel mills increased to **85% in Q2 2025**, up from 80% in Q1 2025 and 75% in Q2 2024[14](index=14&type=chunk) - The average scrap and scrap substitute cost per gross ton used in Q2 2025 was **$403**, a 2% increase compared to Q1 2025[11](index=11&type=chunk) [Financial Strength](index=2&type=section&id=Financial%20Strength) Nucor ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet, ample liquidity, and the strongest credit ratings in its sector - At the end of Q2 2025, Nucor had **$2.48 billion in cash**, cash equivalents, and short-term investments[15](index=15&type=chunk) - The company's **$2.25 billion revolving credit facility remains undrawn** and does not expire until March 2030[15](index=15&type=chunk) - Nucor maintains strong credit ratings of **A- from S&P, A- from Fitch, and Baa1 from Moody's**[15](index=15&type=chunk) [Shareholder Returns and Outlook](index=3&type=section&id=Commitment%20to%20Returning%20Capital%20to%20Stockholders) The company continued share repurchases and dividend payments, but anticipates slightly lower earnings in Q3 2025 - During Q2 2025, Nucor repurchased approximately **1.8 million shares** of its common stock at an average price of $111.89 per share[18](index=18&type=chunk) - The Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of **$0.55 per share**, marking the 209th consecutive quarterly cash dividend[19](index=19&type=chunk) - Nucor expects **earnings in Q3 2025 to be nominally lower** than Q2 2025, due to decreased earnings in the steel mills segment[21](index=21&type=chunk) [Company Information and Disclosures](index=3&type=section&id=About%20Nucor) Nucor is North America's largest recycler and a major steel producer, utilizing non-GAAP measures and noting forward-looking risks - Nucor manufactures a wide range of steel products with facilities in the United States, Canada, and Mexico[23](index=23&type=chunk)[25](index=25&type=chunk) - The company uses the non-GAAP financial measure **EBITDA** to provide additional insight for evaluating performance[26](index=26&type=chunk)[28](index=28&type=chunk) - The report includes forward-looking statements subject to risks like **competitive pressure, trade policies, and raw material costs**[29](index=29&type=chunk)[32](index=32&type=chunk) [Financial Statements and Supplemental Data](index=6&type=section&id=Financial%20Statements%20and%20Supplemental%20Data) This section provides detailed unaudited financial statements and supplemental data for the second quarter and first half of 2025 [Tonnage Data](index=6&type=section&id=Tonnage%20Data) Total steel mill shipments rose 10% year-over-year, driven by strong growth in structural and plate steel categories Tonnage Data Highlights - Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024 (in thousands) | Category | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Steel Mills Total Shipments** | **6,474** | **5,867** | **10%** | | Sheet | 3,057 | 2,869 | 7% | | Bars | 2,148 | 2,005 | 7% | | Structural | 635 | 512 | 24% | | Plate | 606 | 448 | 35% | | **Sales Tons to Outside Customers** | **6,820** | **6,289** | **8%** | [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings](index=7&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Earnings%20(Unaudited)) Net sales for Q2 2025 were $8.46 billion, yielding net earnings of $603 million, or $2.60 per diluted share Statement of Earnings Summary - Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024 (in millions) | Line Item | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net sales | $8,456 | $8,077 | | Earnings before income taxes | $899 | $898 | | Net earnings attributable to Nucor | $603 | $645 | | Diluted EPS | $2.60 | $2.68 | [Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=8&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets%20(Unaudited)) Total assets grew to $34.22 billion as of July 5, 2025, with total Nucor stockholders' equity at $20.39 billion Balance Sheet Summary (in millions) | Line Item | July 5, 2025 | Dec. 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total current assets | $11,719 | $12,475 | | Total assets | $34,217 | $33,940 | | Total current liabilities | $4,146 | $4,977 | | Total liabilities | $12,725 | $12,523 | | Total Nucor stockholders' equity | $20,389 | $20,294 | [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=9&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows%20(Unaudited)) Net cash from operations for H1 2025 was $1.10 billion, a decrease from $1.95 billion in the prior-year period Cash Flow Summary - H1 2025 vs H1 2024 (in millions) | Line Item | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Cash provided by operating activities | $1,096 | $1,945 | | Cash used in investing activities | $(1,723) | $(1,601) | | Cash used in financing activities | $(996) | $(2,087) | | Decrease in cash and cash equivalents | $(1,612) | $(1,748) | | Cash and cash equivalents - end of period | $1,946 | $4,639 | [Non-GAAP Reconciliation: EBITDA](index=10&type=section&id=Non-GAAP%20Financial%20Measures%20Reconciliation%20of%20EBITDA%20(Unaudited)) EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $1.30 billion, a slight increase from Q2 2024, while H1 2025 EBITDA decreased year-over-year Reconciliation of Net Earnings to EBITDA (in millions) | Period | Net earnings before noncontrolling interests | EBITDA | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Q2 2025 | $706 | $1,295 | | Q2 2024 | $712 | $1,242 | | H1 2025 | $932 | $1,991 | | H1 2024 | $1,671 | $2,745 |

Financial Performance - Nucor Corporation reported consolidated net earnings of $603 million, or $2.60 per diluted share, for Q2 2025, compared to $156 million, or $0.67 per diluted share, in Q1 2025, and $645 million, or $2.68 per diluted share, in Q2 2024 [1][8] - For the first six months of 2025, consolidated net earnings were $759 million, or $3.26 per diluted share, down from $1.49 billion, or $6.14 per diluted share, in the same period of 2024 [2] Segment Performance - Earnings before income taxes for the steel mills segment were $843 million in Q2 2025, up from $645 million in Q2 2024, while the steel products segment earned $392 million, down from $442 million [4] - The raw materials segment reported earnings of $57 million in Q2 2025, compared to $39 million in Q2 2024 [4] Sales and Shipments - Consolidated net sales increased by 8% to $8.46 billion in Q2 2025 from $7.83 billion in Q1 2025, and by 5% from $8.08 billion in Q2 2024 [5] - Approximately 6,820,000 tons were shipped to outside customers in Q2 2025, an 8% increase compared to Q2 2024 [5][6] Cost and Pricing - The average sales price per ton in Q2 2025 increased by 8% compared to Q1 2025 but decreased by 3% compared to Q2 2024 [5] - The average scrap and scrap substitute cost per gross ton used in Q2 2025 was $403, a 2% increase from $394 in Q1 2025 [7] Operational Efficiency - Overall operating rates at Nucor's steel mills increased to 85% in Q2 2025, up from 80% in Q1 2025 and 75% in Q2 2024 [11] - The company set a safety record in the first half of 2025 while achieving sequential earnings growth across all reporting segments [3] Financial Strength - Nucor had $2.48 billion in cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q2 2025, with a $2.25 billion revolving credit facility remaining undrawn [12] - The company maintains strong credit ratings in the North American steel sector [12] Shareholder Returns - During Q2 2025, Nucor repurchased approximately 1.8 million shares at an average price of $111.89 per share, with $606 million remaining authorized for future repurchases [13] - A cash dividend of $0.55 per share was declared, marking the 209th consecutive quarterly cash dividend [14] Future Outlook - Earnings in Q3 2025 are expected to be nominally lower than in Q2 2025, primarily due to anticipated margin compression in the steel mills segment [16]

Group 1 - Nucor Corporation is set to release its second-quarter earnings results on July 28, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.70 per share, an increase from $2.68 per share in the same period last year [1] - The projected quarterly revenue for Nucor is $8.48 billion, compared to $8.08 billion a year earlier [1] - On June 18, Nucor indicated expected earnings between $2.55 and $2.65 per share for the quarter ending July 5 [2] Group 2 - Nucor shares increased by 3.1%, closing at $145.83 on the last trading day [2] - Morgan Stanley analyst Carlos De Alba maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $134 to $149 [4] - UBS analyst Curt Woodworth maintained a Buy rating but reduced the price target from $153 to $147 [4]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 index has experienced significant volatility in 2025, peaking in February and briefly entering correction territory in April, but has since achieved a record high [1][2] - Current trading levels for the S&P 500 are over 25 times earnings, with U.S. stocks representing 65% of global stocks, indicating historically high valuations [2] Investment Strategy - Tom Gardner, CEO of The Motley Fool, suggests that investors can still outperform the market by focusing on areas that are currently overlooked [3][5] - Emphasis is placed on seeking dividend-paying, defensive, and value stocks as a more cautious investment approach in the current high valuation environment [5][6] Stock Recommendations - **Enterprise Products Partners (EPD)**: A leading midstream energy company with over 50,000 miles of pipeline, offering a 6.9% dividend yield. The company has a strong track record of increasing dividends for 26 consecutive years and is expected to generate steady cash flows due to long-term contracts with inflation escalation clauses [9][11] - **Brookfield Infrastructure (BIPC/BIP)**: This company focuses on defensive assets such as utilities and railroads, with 85% of its funds from operations being contracted or regulated. It has achieved a 15% CAGR in funds from operations per unit over the past 15 years and targets over 10% FFO growth and 5% to 9% annual dividend growth [12][13] - **Nucor (NUE)**: The largest steel producer in North America, known for its cost-efficient electric arc furnaces and vertical integration. Nucor has increased its dividend for 52 consecutive years and is currently trading 30% below its all-time highs, presenting a potential value opportunity [14][17]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Department of Commerce has preliminarily determined that Oman is circumventing anti-dumping and countervailing duties on similar products from China by using hot-rolled steel produced in China to manufacture circular welded carbon steel pipes (CWP) [1][3]. Group 1: Investigation and Findings - The investigation began on November 19, 2024, focusing on circumvention activities across Oman, with Al Jazeera Steel Products Company SAOG identified as the mandatory respondent [3]. - The average anti-dumping duty rate for Chinese CWP is 85.55%, while the countervailing duty rate is as high as 198.49% [3]. - The U.S. has intensified scrutiny on imported steel products, particularly those processed through third countries to evade tariffs [3][4]. Group 2: Market Impact - In 2024, the U.S. imported approximately 50,000 tons of CWP from Oman, accounting for 2.5% of total imports, with Chinese hot-rolled steel remaining competitive in the global market due to price advantages [4]. - The preliminary ruling may lead to the imposition of tariffs on Omani CWP similar to those on Chinese products, potentially exceeding 200%, which would significantly raise export costs for Oman and affect its competitiveness in the U.S. market [5]. - U.S. domestic steel producers like Nucor and Steel Dynamics may benefit from this situation as their market share could increase [5]. Group 3: Broader Context - The global steel market is currently facing an oversupply situation, with low-priced steel from China entering the U.S. market through third countries, leading to ongoing trade disputes [5]. - Similar circumvention issues have been observed in global trade, with countries like Vietnam and Thailand also facing investigations by the U.S. [4].

Market Overview - The market capitalization of major US stocks shows varied performance, with Oracle at 762.30 billion, Mastercard at 321.36 billion, and Visa at 770.15 billion, reflecting increases of +0.66%, +0.86%, and +0.68% respectively [3] - Exxon Mobil's market cap is 679.53 billion, with a slight decrease of -0.98%, while Johnson & Johnson and Netflix show minor changes of -0.08% and -0.05% respectively [3] - Companies like Wells Fargo and Cisco have market caps of 270.15 billion and 279.59 billion, with respective increases of +0.98% and -0.58% [3] Notable Stock Movements - T-Mobile US Inc experienced a significant increase of +6.20%, reaching a market cap of 272.19 billion [3] - General Electric and Coca-Cola saw market caps of 285.05 billion and 298.76 billion, with increases of +0.37% and +0.91% respectively [3] - Companies like Disney and Goldman Sachs have market caps of 229.06 billion and 221.80 billion, with slight changes of +0.01% and -0.60% [3] Sector Performance - The technology sector shows mixed results, with Intel at 991.05 billion, down -3.28%, while AMD increased by +2.46% to 254.92 billion [5] - The consumer goods sector is represented by companies like Procter & Gamble and Coca-Cola, with market caps of 371.68 billion and 298.76 billion, showing slight increases [3][4] - The energy sector, represented by Exxon Mobil and Chevron, shows varied performance, with Exxon down -0.98% and Chevron up +0.66% [3] Summary of Key Companies - Oracle's market cap stands at 762.30 billion, reflecting a positive trend [3] - Mastercard and Visa show strong performance with market caps of 321.36 billion and 770.15 billion, both increasing [3] - Companies like Pfizer and Comcast have market caps of 1579.81 billion and 1332.00 billion, with Pfizer showing minimal change and Comcast down -3.16% [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - Nucor Corporation (NUE) is expected to report strong second-quarter 2025 results, driven by higher selling prices and volumes, with an earnings surprise of 13.2% in the last quarter and an average earnings beat of 31.6% over the past four quarters [1][4]. Financial Performance - Nucor's second-quarter earnings estimate is pegged at $2.62, with an Earnings ESP of +0.69% [4]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for consolidated revenues is $8,405.1 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.1% [9]. - The average sales price per ton for the steel mills unit is estimated at $962, indicating a 2.6% increase from the previous quarter, with shipments projected at 5,359,000 tons, a 2.5% sequential rise [13]. Market Dynamics - Higher steel tariffs and mill price hikes have contributed to increased hot-rolled coil prices, enhancing Nucor's outlook [8]. - The steel mills segment is expected to experience the largest growth due to improved average selling prices, while the steel products and raw materials segments are also forecasted to see earnings growth [10][11]. - U.S. steel prices have rebounded after a decline in 2024, influenced by tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which raised steel import tariffs to 50% in June 2025, further driving up prices [12]. Stock Performance - Nucor's shares have decreased by 7.7% over the past year, contrasting with a 21.5% decline in the Zacks Steel Producers industry [2]. - Nucor currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [5].