英伟达此前曾宣布计划将预填充操作 ——AI 推理工作负载中内存需求相对较低的部分 —— 卸载到配备 GDDR7 的独立 GPURubinCPX 上。 这一设计策略可能基于预填充操作对内存带宽要求相对较低、无需 HBM 的评估。 根据我们的渠道核查，RubinCPX 预计将采用。 英伟达此前曾宣布计划将预填充操作 ——AI 推理工作负载中内存需求相对较低的部分 —— 卸载到配备 GDDR7 的独立 GPURubinCPX 上。 这一设计策略可能基于预填充操作对内存带宽要求相对较低、无需 HBM 的评估。 因此，RubinCPX 最终将内存规格改为 根据我们的渠道核查，RubinCPX 预计将采用。 因此，RubinCPX 最终将内存规格改为 HBM 具有重大意义。 这表明在实际生产环境中，即便是预填充操作也需要，源头信息加微WUXL7713而 GDDR7 最终无法提供足够的 性能效率。 若此潜在需求成为现实，。 由于英伟达尚未正式公布此规格变更，我们尚未将 RubinCPX 相关的 HBM 需求纳入 HBM 模型。 ...

里昂证券估计，三星电子已于本月初开始向英伟达交付，抢占了竞争对手的先机。 然而，预计将在短期内限制其市场份额的显著增长。 里昂证券预测，未来 HBM4 市场份额将呈现以下格局：。 里昂证券预测，未来 HBM4 市场份额将呈现以下格局：。 该公司指出，DRAM 大宗商品价格上涨提高了盈利能力，这反过来又对 HBM 定价提供了积极支撑，因为各厂 商正在争夺有限的产能。 里昂证券评估认为，收入结构持续向高价值和定制化产品转变，将继续推动存储器股票的估值重估。 目标价格：；；。 里昂证券评估认为 里昂证券估计，三星电子已于本月初开始向英伟达交付，抢占了竞争对手的先机。 然而，预计将在短期内限制其市场份额的显著增长。 该公司指出，DRAM 大宗商品价格上涨提高了盈利能力，这反过来又对 HBM 定价提供了积极支撑，因为各厂 商正在争夺有限的产能。 ...

里昂证券估计，三星电子已于本月初开始向英伟达交付HBM4 显存芯片，抢占了竞争对手的先机。 里昂证券估计，三星电子已于本月初开始向英伟达交付HBM4显存芯片，抢占了竞争对手的先机。 然而，1 纳米工艺的良率不足预计将在短期内限制其市场份额的显著增长。 口口然而，1纳米工艺的良率不足预计将在短期内限制其市场份额的显著增长。 里昂证券预测，未来 HBM4 市场份额将呈现以下格局：SK 海力士占 55%，三星电子占 25-30%，美光占 20%。 该公司指出，DRAM 大宗商品价格上涨提高了盈利能力，这反过来又对 HBM 里昂证券预测，未来HBM4市场份额将呈现以下格局：SK海力士占55%，三星电子占25-30%，美光占20% 该公司指出，DRAM大宗商品价格上涨提高了盈利能力，这反过来又对HBM 里昂证券估计，三星电子已于本月初开始向英伟达交付HBM4 显存芯片，抢占了竞争对手的先机。 里昂证券估计，三星电子已于本月初开始向英伟达交付HBM4显存芯片，抢占了竞争对手的先机。 然而，1 纳米工艺的良率不足预计将在短期内限制其市场份额的显著增长。 然而，1纳米工艺的良率不足预计将在短期内限制其市场份额的显著增长。 里 ...

在人工智能浪潮从训练迈向推理的纵深演进阶段，算力基础设施的需求结构正发生深刻变革。随着谷歌、微软、Meta等海外云厂商资本开支的持续上修， 以及以阿里Qwen3.5、字节Seedance 2.0为代表的国产大模型进入"生产力竞赛"，算力硬件的景气周期已从预期驱动转向实打实的资本开支驱动。其中，光通 信作为数据高速传输的"血管"，正经历从可插拔光模块向CPO（共封装光学）技术代际跨越的关键时刻。 算力板块受催化，光模块+服务器占比超66%的通信ETF（515880）涨超4%，资金持续布局，近20日资金净流入超17亿元。 | | < 2025-01-02日> - < 2025-12-31日> (243日) × | | | --- | --- | --- | | 涨跌幅 | 125.81% 年化收益率 | 131.17% | | 行业对比 ② | - 最大回撤 2 | -32.88% | | 涨 跌 | 1.716 最大上涨 | 222.08% | | 前收盘价 | 1.364 开盘价 | 1.352 | | 收盘价 | 3.080 最高价 | 3.195 | | 均价 | 2.242 最低价 | 0.992 | ...

本文来自格隆汇专栏：半导体行业观察 作者：L晨光 如今，当算力堆叠的竞赛迈过万卡级门槛，AI基础设施的角力场正从芯片本身的制程工艺，悄然转向芯片之间的连接效率。大模型参数以指数级膨胀， 传统可插拔光模块在带宽密度与功耗墙面前步步维艰，铜缆则在224Gbps的速率下将传输距离压缩至两米以内，一场围绕"管道"的极限突围战已然打响。 在此背景下，共封装光学（CPO）不再仅是实验室的前沿命题，而是迅速跃升为产业聚焦的核心议题。 重新定义芯片间的"高速通道" CPO全称为Co-Packaged Optics，即共封装光学或光电合封，是一种创新的光互连架构，将高速光引擎/光模块与交换芯片（Switch ASIC）或大规模AI计算 芯片通过2.5D/3D先进封装技术集成在在同一封装基板或同一机箱内，其核心逻辑是实现"电短光长"的高效互连——将高速电信号传输限制在毫米级的近 距离范围内，中远距离传输则交由光纤完成，旨在从根源上解决传统可插拔光模块存在的功耗高、信号损耗大、带宽受限等痛点。 图源：飞奔的丸子 依托硅光子这一底层核心技术，CPO可有效集成调制器、探测器等关键器件，在性能上展现出碾压式优势。相较于传统方案，其功耗可 ...

Report Summary 1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Global financial markets are affected by multiple factors including geopolitical tensions, tariff policies, and corporate earnings, leading to significant fluctuations in various asset classes. For example, the US stock market declined due to Trump's tariff plan and EU's suspension of the trade - agreement approval, while the precious metals market rose due to increased risk - aversion [5][6]. - The energy market is influenced by the Iran - US nuclear negotiation, with expectations of increased Iranian oil supply putting downward pressure on oil prices [7]. 3. Summary by Directory Overnight Night - Market Trends - **Stock Markets**: US major indices (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq) fell, with IBM and American Express leading the decline. European indices (DAX, CAC40, FTSE 100) also closed lower. The reasons include Trump's tariff plan and EU's suspension of trade - agreement approval [5]. - **Precious Metals**: COMEX gold and silver futures rose due to increased risk - aversion from geopolitical tensions, tariff policy changes, and other factors [6]. - **Energy**: US crude oil and Brent oil futures fell as the Iran - US nuclear negotiation showed signs of progress, increasing the expectation of more Iranian oil supply [7]. - **Base Metals**: Most London base metals declined, except for LME tin which rose [7]. Important News Macro News - Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index for European routes dropped 2.1%. The US will stop collecting certain illegal tariffs. There is still a risk of US military strikes against Iran. India postponed a trade delegation plan. China is assessing the impact of US tariff rulings and urges the US to cancel unilateral tariffs. The EU suspended the approval of a trade agreement with the US. The Trump administration is considering new "national security tariffs" [9][11]. Energy Futures - Saudi Aramco sold condensate oil. Methanol supply in Southeast Asia is restricted due to planned maintenance. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have different forecasts for oil prices, with Goldman Sachs raising price forecasts for Q4 2026 and 2027, and Morgan Stanley expecting a short - term increase followed by a decline [14][16][18]. Metal Futures - The US energy storage market is expected to grow 21%. Lebanon may sell part of its gold reserves. UBS is positive on gold, with a target price of $6200/ounce [20][21]. Black - Series Futures - China's iron ore arrivals decreased, but global iron ore shipments increased. Vietnam plans to build a large - scale steel plant. The blast furnace capacity utilization rate of Chinese pig - iron enterprises decreased, and inventory increased [23][25]. Agricultural Products Futures - Malaysian palm oil production and exports decreased in February. Argentina's soybean moisture conditions improved, and the production forecast remains unchanged [27][28]. Financial Markets Financial - 143 companies have submitted IPO applications in the Hong Kong stock market in 2026. Deloitte predicts a better performance in the Hong Kong IPO market this year [30]. Industry - Payment transactions on Chinese New Year's Eve increased. The real - estate market may show more stabilization signals. China's AI governance system is maturing [31]. Overseas - The US may adjust tariff application methods and continue steel - aluminum tariffs. The Fed has about 75 basis - points to reach the neutral rate. India plans to invest $200 billion in AI. The Australian central bank may tighten policy. UK unemployment reached a new high [32][34][35]. International Stock Markets - US and European stock markets rose, while the Japanese market fell. High - end companies made significant stock - position adjustments. The UK may adjust accounting rules to attract Chinese companies. Australia simplifies corporate governance rules. Some companies announced major transactions or reported good earnings [36][38][41]. Commodities - Precious metals, oil, and most base metals futures fell due to factors such as progress in the Iran - US nuclear negotiation and reduced risk - aversion [43]. Bonds - US Treasury yields had mixed changes. Japanese bonds rose, and the 2029 fiscal - year bond issuance may increase [45]. Foreign Exchange - The US dollar index rose slightly, and most non - US currencies fell [46]. Upcoming Economic Data and Events - **Economic Data**: Include Japan's trade balance, UK's inflation and housing - price index, US's new - home construction, and other data [48]. - **Events**: New Zealand's central - bank rate decision, European Central Bank officials' speeches, and the Fed's release of meeting minutes [50]. - **Market Closures**: Chinese, South Korean, and Vietnamese stock markets are closed due to the Spring Festival [52].

美股半导体与科技板块的周度投资备忘录，核心是对近期市场情绪、板块轮动、个股表现以及机构仓位进行解 读，并重点聚焦英伟达（NVDA）的买方预期。 我帮你拆解成几个关键部分： 一、市场整体情绪：原地踏步，等待不确定性消散 投资者感受：如同漫长寒冬，市场在原地踏步，一边降风险，一边在光学股、存储股之外寻找新机会。 核心预期：一旦不确定性消散，硬件和半导体股仍有上行空间，但机构已买入 + 4 美股半导体与科技板块的周度投资备忘录，核心是对近期市场情绪、板块轮动、个股表现以及机构仓位进行解 读，并重点聚焦英伟达（NVDA）的买方预期。 我帮你拆解成几个关键部分： 一、市场整体情绪：原地踏步，等待不确定性消散 投资者感受：如同漫长寒冬，市场在原地踏步，一边降风险，一边在光学股、存储股之外寻找新机会。 核心预期：一旦不确定性消散，硬件和半导体股仍有上行空间，但机构已买入 + 4z的半导体股，这一预期并非必 然。 本周亮点： 半导体设备（WFE）：应用材料（AMAT）财报强劲，板块持续走强，但部分个股开始面临估值压力。 光学股：在 AXTI 业绩、英伟达共封装光学（CPO）乐观预期及 OFC 会议前夕推动下，LITE、COH ...

Group 1: Weichuang Electric / Automation Equipment - The company is strengthening collaborations to promote technological innovation and market expansion in the robot-driven component business [4] - Plans to establish a joint venture in Thailand with Zhejiang Rongtai to expand the smart robot electromechanical integration market, with both parties holding 50% shares [4] - The company aims to deepen industry demand and continue global expansion, focusing on regions like Asia, Africa, and Latin America while enhancing product offerings [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.977 billion, 2.444 billion, and 3.108 billion yuan, with net profits of 288 million, 346 million, and 419 million yuan respectively [6] Group 2: Lenovo Group / Computer Equipment - Lenovo reported FY2026Q3 revenue of approximately 22.204 billion USD, an 18% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 546 million USD, down 21% year-on-year [7][8] - The adjusted net profit increased by 36% year-on-year, driven by efficiency optimization and a high-end product mix [8] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) is undergoing strategic restructuring, expected to accelerate the return to profitability in FY2027 [9] Group 3: Shipping and Ports Industry - National import and export total reached 45.47 trillion yuan in 2025, with a 3.8% year-on-year growth [13] - Container throughput at major coastal ports reached 31.198 million TEUs, a 7% year-on-year increase [15] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose by 135.95% year-on-year, indicating a significant increase in dry bulk shipping rates [19] Group 4: Google-A / Overseas - Google reported Q4 2025 revenue of 113.828 billion USD, an 18% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 33.455 billion USD, up 30% year-on-year [25] - Search advertising revenue grew by 17% year-on-year, driven by AI innovations enhancing user experience and monetization efficiency [26] - Google Cloud revenue surged by 48% year-on-year, reaching 17.7 billion USD, with a significant increase in annual recurring revenue [27] Group 5: Yutong Technology / Packaging Printing - The company plans to acquire 51% of Huayan Technology for 449 million yuan, aiming to enhance its capabilities in precision manufacturing [32][34] - The acquisition is expected to leverage industry synergies and empower the second growth curve, focusing on high-profile clients like Google and Samsung [34] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 19.069 billion, 21.001 billion, and 23.077 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.608 billion, 1.798 billion, and 1.980 billion yuan respectively [34] Group 6: NetEase-S / Gaming - NetEase reported Q4 2025 revenue of 27.5 billion yuan, a 3% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 6.2 billion yuan, down 28.8% year-on-year [36][37] - The gaming segment showed resilience with a revenue of 22 billion yuan, driven by strong performance from popular IPs and new game launches [38] - The company is focusing on AI-driven strategies to enhance operational efficiency and optimize its business structure [39] Group 7: Aidi Pharmaceutical / Biopharmaceuticals - The company is advancing its international product launch and received GMP certification from Tanzania, facilitating entry into the African market [43] - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 721 million yuan, a 72.57% year-on-year increase, with a focus on HIV innovative drug sales [43] - Multiple new drug pipelines are actively progressing, with significant clinical trial approvals received [44] Group 8: Meituan-W / Local Life Services - Meituan is projected to achieve total revenue of 916 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a core local business revenue of 648 billion yuan, reflecting a competitive landscape [45][46] - The company is strategically increasing investments in marketing and rider incentives to enhance operational efficiency amid fierce competition [46] - Long-term growth potential is anticipated through refined operations in instant delivery and overseas expansion [49] Group 9: Huahong Semiconductor / Semiconductors - Huahong Semiconductor reported Q4 2025 revenue of 660 million USD, a 22.4% year-on-year increase, with a wafer shipment of 1.45 million pieces [50]

2026.02.24 本文字数：2349，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 |第一财经 樊志菁 眼下，美股投资者正被迫直面并压力测试一个曾被认为不可能发生的情景：若科技巨头与AI头部云服 务商持续走弱，是否会同时拖垮美国股市与美国经济？ 今年以来，美股整体走势已经落后于全球主要市场，纳指和标普500指数已经完全回吐年内涨幅。投资 者对 "七大科技巨头"（Magnificent Seven）前景感到越发不安，微软年内跌幅超17%，亚马逊下跌超 10%。周一，Meta成为第三家跌入技术性熊市的科技巨头。 与此同时，行业板块波动剧烈，软件、财富管理、房地产服务等部门的股票，因担忧受AI颠覆性冲击 而遭遇重挫。 不只是简单的风格切换 新年伊始，一批此前落后的板块领涨美股，而 "七大科技巨头"则因市场担忧其巨额AI投入承压。 本月早些时候，因AI创新可能冲击其核心业务。软件股的抛售蔓延至整个科技板块，投资者抛售所有 可能被AI技术替代的公司股票。FactSet数据显示，标普500能源板块今年以来大涨超22%，在11个板块 中领跑；必需消费板块上涨12.7%，工业板块上涨13.1%。与之相对，科技权重极高的信息技术板块下 跌4. ...

早盘提示 Morning session notice 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 2 月 24 日 星期二 研究员： 于军礼 从业资格： F0247894 交易咨询资格：Z0000112 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 节前最后一个交易日两市主要指数调整。两市成交额 1.98 万亿元，变化不大。沪 | | | | 深 | 300 指数收 4660 点，跌 59 点，跌幅-1.25%；上证 50 指数收 3034 点，跌 45 点， | | | | | 跌幅-1.47%；中证 500 指数收 8299 点，跌 123 点，跌幅-1.47%；中证 1000 指数收 | | | | | 8204 点，跌 110 点，跌幅-1.32%。行业与主题 ETF 中涨幅居前的是航空航天 ETF、 | | | | | 中韩半导体 ETF、军工龙头 ETF、科创半导体 ETF、影视 ETF，跌幅居前的是油气 ETF | | | | | 博时、石油 ...