华见早安之声 市场概述 科技股力挺， 美股无惧周五 创纪录"三巫日"动荡继续走高，三大股指 两连阳，纳指两日均涨超1%，和标普全周惊险转涨，但道指一个月来首度周跌； TikTok协议消息后， 甲骨文大涨6.6%，带动AI股和芯片股走高，芯片指数涨3%，AMD涨超6%， 英伟达涨近4%；特斯拉逆市回落，但全周涨近5%。欧央 行上调经济预期后，泛欧股指两日连创历史新高。 日本央行加息后， 全球债市价格齐跌。10年期日债收益率1999年来首次升破2.0%；法国预算案谈判破裂，30年期法债收益率创2009年来新高；美联储"三把 手"称不急于降息， 美债收益率加速反弹。 美元指数三连涨至一周高位、扭转全周跌势； 日央行加息前景"审慎"， 日元盘中跌超1%至四周新低，创逾两月最差表现；离岸人民币暂别14个月高位，连 涨四周；加密货币反弹，比特币一度较日高涨近5%、重新逼近9万美元，以太坊盘中涨超7%。 金银反弹， 银铜齐创历史新高，黄金盘中转涨、靠近纪录高位；白银本周二度创新高，期银盘中涨近4%，连涨四周；伦铜时隔一周又收创新高，一周涨超 3%；原油盘中涨超1%，连续三日反弹、仍连跌两周。 亚洲时段，A股和港股股指数集体 ...

Core Insights - Oracle's relationship with OpenAI has raised market concerns reminiscent of past vendor-financing practices, leading to questions about its financial health and data center expansion capabilities [1][3][10] Financial Performance - The December quarterly release was mixed, with Oracle missing revenue and margin expectations while raising capital expenditure outlook, resulting in a negative stock reaction [2] - Oracle's capital expenditure for fiscal year 2025 reached $21.2 billion, a significant increase from $6.7 billion in fiscal year 2024, while generating $20.8 billion in free cash flow, indicating a free cash flow negative situation [4] - For fiscal year 2026, Oracle's capex budget is projected at $50 billion, approximately double the expected operating cash flows, suggesting continued reliance on debt markets for funding [4] Debt and Financial Health - Oracle's long-term debt as a share of total capital is a key indicator of its financial flexibility, although it currently holds an investment-grade credit rating of BBB, the lowest tier of investment-grade ratings [7][5] - The company's Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) reached $523 billion, with a significant portion attributed to OpenAI, highlighting customer concentration risk and its impact on stock performance [11][12] Market Position and Valuation - Oracle's stock valuation has fluctuated significantly over the past decade, currently trading at an 18% discount to Microsoft shares, despite its emerging role in the AI sector [17][18] - The narrative surrounding Oracle's financial health and its relationship with OpenAI has overshadowed broader AI market concerns, indicating a unique set of challenges for the company [10][12] Tech Sector Outlook - The tech sector, including Oracle, is expected to continue driving earnings growth, with the Mag 7 group projected to see 16.9% earnings growth on 16.4% higher revenues in Q4 2025 [30][35] - Positive estimate revisions for the tech sector have been consistent, contributing to overall earnings growth expectations for the S&P 500 index [21][24]

Market Performance - On December 19, all three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.38%, the S&P 500 up 0.88%, and the Nasdaq up 1.31% [1] - The Dow Jones closed at 48,134.89, the Nasdaq at 23,307.62, and the S&P 500 at 6,834.50 [2] Technology Sector - Major U.S. tech stocks mostly rose, with the Wande American Technology Seven Giants Index increasing by 1.2%. Nvidia surged nearly 4%, adding $166.5 billion (approximately 1172.3 billion RMB) to its market value [2] - Other notable movements included Google rising over 1%, Apple up 0.54%, while Facebook and Tesla fell by 0.85% and 0.45%, respectively [2] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.86%, with individual stocks like Xiaoma Zhixing up nearly 12%, Hesai Technology up over 7%, and XPeng Motors up nearly 7% [4] Precious Metals - Precious metals saw a collective rise, with spot gold increasing by 0.2% to $4,341 per ounce, and spot silver rising by 2.44% to $67.049 per ounce, reaching a historical high of $67.4595 during the day [5][6] - COMEX silver futures rose by 3.34%, reaching $67.680, also a historical high [5] Oil Prices - International oil prices saw slight increases, with WTI crude oil futures up 0.91% to $56.66 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures up 1.09% to $60.47 per barrel [6] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market experienced gains, with Bitcoin rising over 3% to $88,202 and Ethereum increasing over 5% [6] Macroeconomic Data - The University of Michigan reported a final consumer confidence index of 52.9 for December, down from the initial value of 53.3 [7] - The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to a 30-year high, signaling further rate hikes, although the yen weakened due to perceived insufficient hawkishness [7] - The Central Bank of Russia announced a 50 basis point cut to the benchmark rate, marking the fifth consecutive rate cut [7]

Group 1: Major Tech Stocks Performance - Major tech stocks experienced a rally, with Nvidia rising nearly 4%, adding $166.5 billion (approximately 1172.3 billion RMB) to its market value [1] - Broadcom increased by over 3%, while Google saw an increase of over 1% [1] Group 2: Cryptocurrency and Semiconductor Companies - Cryptocurrency mining companies and semiconductor stocks led the gains, with U.S. Gold Corp rising over 11%, Hut 8 up over 14%, Century Aluminum up over 7%, and Micron Technology, AMD, and Circle each rising over 6% [3] - Other notable increases included Supermicro up over 5%, Americas Silver Corp nearly 4%, and Dell Technologies and Coinbase each up over 2% [3] Group 3: Chinese Stocks and Indices - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.86%, with popular Chinese stocks mostly rising, including Xpeng Motors up over 6%, Li Auto up over 5%, and Pinduoduo up over 3% [6] - Baidu and Zhihu increased by over 2%, while iQIYI saw a decline of over 1% [6] Group 4: Commodity Prices - COMEX gold futures rose by 0.1% to $4368.7 per ounce, with a weekly increase of 0.9%; silver futures increased by 3.34% to $67.395 per ounce, with a weekly rise of 8.55% [6] - WTI crude oil futures rose by 0.91% to $56.66 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures increased by 1.09% to $60.47 per barrel, both showing weekly declines [6] Group 5: Employment Trends and Economic Indicators - The U.S. employment trend index (ETI) for October and November was reported at 105.8, down from a revised 106.24 in September [7][8] - The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index for December was finalized at 52.9, lower than the initial value of 53.3 [6]

美媒称，美国用户数据将存储在由甲骨文公司运营的本地系统中。美国用户将继续"享受与现在相同的体验"，广告商也将继续面向全球受众投放 广告，此次交易不会对其业务造成任何影响。备忘录还称，TikTok的算法将基于美国用户数据进行重新训练，以"确保内容推送不受外部操纵"。 CNN称，尽管交易尚未完成，但此举使TikTok朝着在美长期存在迈进一步。去年，美国通过的一项法案要求TikTok美国版从其母公司字节跳动剥 离，否则将被禁止在美国使用。美联社称，这项交易标志着多年来围绕该应用在美命运的不确定性终于结束。 在12月19日举行的中国外交部例行记者会上，发言人郭嘉昆就有关问询表示，中方在TikToK问题上的立场是一贯明确的。郭嘉昆此前表示，中国 政府尊重企业意愿，乐见企业在符合市场规则基础上做好商业谈判，达成符合中国法律法规、利益平衡的解决方案。 【环球时报报道 记者 李萌】综合美联社、美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）等媒体19日报道，TikTok 已与甲骨文公司、银湖资本和阿联酋投资公司 三家主要投资者签署协议，成立新的TikTok美国合资企业，确保这一热门社交视频应用继续在美运营。 据美联社获取的一份内部备忘录，协议相 ...

Market Performance - Stocks showed a strong upward movement, extending the rebound from earlier sessions, with major averages offsetting previous week’s weakness [1] - The tech-heavy Nasdaq reached new highs, closing up 301.26 points or 1.3 percent at 23,307.62, while the S&P 500 rose by 59.74 points or 0.9 percent to 6,834.50, and the Dow increased by 183.04 points or 0.4 percent to 48,134.89 [2] - Over the past two days, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 turned positive for the week, with the Nasdaq climbing by 0.5 percent and the S&P 500 up by 0.1 percent, while the Dow slid by 0.7 percent [2] Company News - Oracle shares surged by 6.6 percent following a memo from TikTok CEO indicating an agreement to sell its U.S. operations to a joint venture that includes Oracle and Silver Lake [3] - Micron Technology also experienced a strong upward movement after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results and guidance [4] - Nvidia's stock jumped by 3.9 percent, influenced by a report of a review by the Trump administration that could allow shipments of its AI chips to China [4] Economic Indicators - The National Association of Realtors reported a modest increase in existing home sales by 0.5 percent to an annual rate of 4.13 million in November, following a 1.5 percent increase in October [5] - Economists had anticipated a larger increase of 1.2 percent to an annual rate of 4.15 million [6] - The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for December was revised downward to 52.9 from a preliminary 53.3, although it remains above November's reading of 51.0 [7][8] Sector Performance - Biotechnology stocks performed well, with the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index surging by 3.1 percent [8] - Semiconductor and networking stocks continued their upward trend, contributing to the Nasdaq's rise [8] - Gold stocks saw significant strength, with the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index increasing by 2.7 percent due to rising gold prices [9] International Markets - Stock markets in the Asia-Pacific region mostly moved higher, with Japan's Nikkei 225 Index up by 1.0 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index advancing by 0.8 percent [10] - Major European markets also experienced gains, with the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index climbing by 0.6 percent and the German DAX Index rising by 0.4 percent [11]

Group 1 - US stocks experienced a rebound with the S&P 500 rising 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining over 1.3% after a recent losing streak, driven by signs of cooling inflation and reduced AI concerns [1] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recorded weekly gains of 0.1% and 0.4% respectively, while the Dow Jones fell 0.6% during the last full week of trading in 2025 [2] - Oracle's stock surged following a deal with China's ByteDance to create a US TikTok joint venture, while Nvidia's shares rose on news of the US reviewing sales prospects for its H200 chips in China [3] Group 2 - Nine pharmaceutical companies reached agreements with the Trump administration to lower drug prices for some Americans in exchange for a three-year tariff exemption on their products [4] - A more favorable inflation outlook and a weakening job market have led to renewed hopes for continued easing by the Federal Reserve, with traders betting on two rate cuts next year [5] - The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.15% as global bond markets reacted to the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, marking the highest level since 1995 [6]

TikTok has signed a deal to sell its US business to a consortium of investors led by Oracle. Here's what to know https://t.co/aKjudtnWyC ...

Core Insights - Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) triggered a significant Power Inflow alert, indicating bullish market sentiment driven by order flow analytics [3][4] - The alert was issued at a price of $190.55, with the stock price experiencing a rise to a post-alert high of $195.12, reflecting increased buying interest from both retail and institutional traders [4][5] Group 1: Power Inflow Signal - The Power Inflow signal is a proprietary indicator developed by TradePulse, highlighting significant shifts in order flow towards buying activity within the first two hours of trading [6] - This signal suggests a high probability of bullish price movement for the remainder of the trading day, making it a strategic entry point for active traders [6] Group 2: Order Flow Analytics - Order flow analytics provide insights into real-time buying and selling trends by examining volume, timing, and order size across retail and institutional traders [7] - These analytics enhance understanding of price behavior and market sentiment, enabling informed decision-making for traders and institutions [7] Group 3: ORCL Performance - At the time of the Power Inflow alert, ORCL was priced at $190.55, and the stock reached an intraday high of $195.12, representing a 2.40% increase following the alert [8] - The immediate gains following the Power Inflow signal demonstrate the effectiveness of order flow analytics in identifying bullish intraday activity and potential stock price reversals [8]

Group 1 - Oracle Corporation has a significant amount of debt, raising $18 billion in the bond market in September, which has led to increased scrutiny through aggressive buying of credit default swaps [1] - The company provides a range of services including cloud and on-premise software, databases, IT infrastructure, hardware, consulting, and support services to help businesses manage operations [2] - There is a belief that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk compared to Oracle, indicating a competitive landscape in the tech sector [3]