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特步国际(01368.HK):第三季度主品牌流水增长低单位数 索康尼增长超20%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-20 20:36
Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable growth in retail sales for its main brand and the Saucony brand in Q3 2025, with the main brand's sales increasing by a low single-digit percentage year-on-year and Saucony's sales exceeding 20% growth [1][2]. Group 1: Sales Performance - The main brand's retail sales discount was maintained at 7.0-7.5, with a channel inventory turnover ratio of 4.0-4.5 months, indicating stable inventory levels [2]. - The main brand's sales growth in Q3 was better in July and August compared to September, with online sales outperforming offline sales [1][2]. - The children's category outperformed the adult category, and footwear sales surpassed apparel sales, with functional products, especially running and outdoor categories, leading the growth [1]. Group 2: Brand Strategy and Management Outlook - Saucony implemented strategic adjustments to its online business by reducing low-priced products and tightening discounts to synchronize online and offline offerings, achieving over 30% growth in offline sales [2]. - The management maintained its guidance for 2025, expecting the main brand to continue growing and Saucony's revenue to increase by over 30%, with profits projected to grow by more than 10% [2]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The company is optimistic about the main brand leveraging its running category advantages for steady sales growth, while professional sports brands are expected to see rapid growth and profit improvement [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 1.4 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.6 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 13.2%, 5.9%, and 7.7% respectively [3]. - A reasonable valuation range of 6.1-6.6 HKD is maintained, corresponding to a 2025 PE of 11-12x, with an "outperform" rating upheld [3].
特步国际(01368):索康尼延续高质量成长
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-10-20 13:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price yet to be specified [7] Core Insights - The company has shown significant growth in its main brand retail sales, with a low single-digit year-on-year increase in Q3 2025, while its subsidiary, Saucony, experienced over 20% year-on-year growth in retail sales [1] - The company has made notable strides in brand building, serving as the global partner for the 12th World Games in 2025 and providing official gear support, which enhances its international influence [2] - The company is focusing on the growth needs of youth by launching products like antibacterial pants for children and collaborating with various authoritative institutions to promote scientific growth [3] - Saucony has accelerated its growth since being acquired by the company in 2019, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 100% and projected revenue surpassing 1 billion RMB in 2024 [4] Financial Projections - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, estimating revenues of 14.6 billion RMB, 15.4 billion RMB, and 16.5 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.4 billion RMB, 1.5 billion RMB, and 1.7 billion RMB [5]
特步国际(01368):2025Q3经营数据点评:Q3 天气扰动流水表现,维持全年预期
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6][12]. Core Views - The main brand experienced low single-digit revenue growth in Q3, while the Saucony brand saw revenue growth exceeding 20%. The overall annual expectations remain unchanged [2][12]. - The report anticipates a healthy inventory level, projecting it to decrease to below 2 billion by the end of 2025. The dividend payout ratio is expected to be no less than 50% for the year [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 14,470 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a 6.6% increase from 2024. Net profit is expected to reach 1,373 million RMB, a 10.8% increase from the previous year [11][12]. - The company is expected to maintain a PE ratio of 10.9 in 2025, with a target price of 8.74 HKD based on a 15X PE for 2026 [12][15]. - The financial ratios indicate a projected ROE of 14.6% and a sales net profit margin of 9.49% for 2025 [13].
高盛:降特步国际目标价至6.8港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 07:55
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs released a report stating that Xtep International (01368) reported its operational performance for Q3 2025, with core brand Xtep retail sales growth meeting expectations, while Saucony brand growth exceeded 20%, slightly below expectations [1] Financial Performance - Xtep brand achieved positive growth, and Saucony brand growth exceeded 30%, with net profit growth over 10% [1] - Goldman Sachs adjusted the net profit forecast for Xtep International for FY 2025 to 2027 by 2% to 3%, primarily reflecting the decline in profitability of the Bubugao (002251) brand and the slowdown in Saucony's growth [1] Market Sentiment - Target price was lowered from HKD 7.1 to HKD 6.8 to reflect the overall weak demand in the industry and short-term market sentiment influenced by discount trends [1] - The current expected P/E ratio for 2026 is 9 times, indicating a reasonable valuation, and the "Buy" rating is maintained [1]
高盛:降特步国际(01368)目标价至6.8港元 维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-10-20 07:50
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs released a report indicating that Xtep International (01368) reported its operational performance for Q3 2025, with core brand Xtep retail sales growth meeting expectations, while Saucony brand growth exceeded 20%, slightly below expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Xtep International's full-year performance guidance was reaffirmed, with Xtep brand achieving positive growth and Saucony brand growth exceeding 30%, alongside a net profit increase of over 10% [1] - Goldman Sachs adjusted the net profit forecast for Xtep International for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 down by 2% to 3%, primarily reflecting a decline in the profitability of the Bubugao brand and a slowdown in Saucony's growth [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Valuation - The target price for Xtep International was reduced from HKD 7.1 to HKD 6.8, reflecting overall industry demand weakness and short-term market sentiment under discount trends [1] - The current expected price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 is 9 times, which is considered reasonable, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
特步国际(01368):第三季度主品牌流水增长低单位数,索康尼增长超20%
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-20 05:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][3][7] Core Views - The company's main brand retail sales in Q3 showed low single-digit year-on-year growth, while the Saucony brand experienced over 20% growth [2][3] - The management maintains the annual guidance, indicating stable growth prospects for the main brand and strong performance for the professional sports brand [3][6] - The company focuses on the running category, leveraging its expertise to achieve steady sales growth, with Saucony and another brand, Maile, targeting specific consumer segments for faster growth [3][9] Summary by Sections Q3 Performance - The main brand's retail sales in Q3 grew low single digits year-on-year, with better performance in July and August compared to September [4] - Online sales outperformed offline sales, with children's products showing stronger growth than adult products, particularly in functional categories like running and outdoor [4] Retail Discounts and Inventory - Retail discounts for the main brand remained stable at 70-75%, with inventory turnover ratio stable at 4.0-4.5 months, indicating a healthy inventory level [5] Brand Growth - Saucony's sales grew over 20%, with strategic adjustments made to reduce low-priced products in e-commerce and tighten discounts [6] - The management expects Saucony's revenue growth to exceed 30% in 2025, with profits anticipated to grow over 10% [6] Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts net profits of 1.4 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.2%, 5.9%, and 7.7% [3][10] - The reasonable valuation range is maintained at 6.1-6.6 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11-12x for 2025 [3][9]
中信里昂:予特步国际(01368)“跑赢大市”评级 目标价6.3港元
智通财经网· 2025-10-20 03:46
智通财经APP获悉,中信里昂发表报告指,特步国际(01368)2025财年业绩指引维持不变。该行预计,两 个品牌的门市升级将持续进行,特步核心品牌的通路多元化将持续推进,Saucony(索康尼)的产品品类 也将持续拓展,这些都将推动销售增长。该行予该股"跑赢大市"评级,目标价为6.3港元。 报告指,特步股价在2025年第三季更新后于10月17日下跌3.5%,核心品牌和索康尼的销售趋势较上季 维持稳定。尽管可比销售额有所下降,但特步核心品牌零售额与第二季持平。线上销售额年增两位数, 仍优于线下销售额。 ...
中信里昂:予特步国际“跑赢大市”评级 目标价6.3港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 03:44
中信里昂发表报告指,特步国际(01368)2025财年业绩指引维持不变。该行预计,两个品牌的门市升级 将持续进行,特步核心品牌的通路多元化将持续推进,Saucony(索康尼)的产品品类也将持续拓展,这 些都将推动销售增长。该行予该股"跑赢大市"评级,目标价为6.3港元。 报告指,特步股价在2025年第三季更新后于10月17日下跌3.5%,核心品牌和索康尼的销售趋势较上季 维持稳定。尽管可比销售额有所下降,但特步核心品牌零售额与第二季持平。线上销售额年增两位数, 仍优于线下销售额。 ...
国盛证券:维持特步国际“买入”评级 主品牌流水稳健增长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 01:40
Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities reports that Xtep International (01368) is a leading sportswear company in China with significant advantages in the professional running sector, and expects the company's net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 1.365 billion, 1.504 billion, and 1.631 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to a PE of 11 times in 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - Xtep's main brand revenue showed low single-digit year-on-year growth in Q3 2025, with the running category experiencing strong growth of over 20% [2][3] - The e-commerce channel is expected to outperform offline sales, with the company optimizing its offline channel by closing underperforming stores and opening high-quality image stores [2] Group 2: Inventory and Discount Management - Xtep's channel inventory turnover days remained healthy at around 4 to 4.5 months as of the end of Q3 2025, consistent with Q2 2025 and slightly higher than Q3 2024 [3] - The overall terminal discount for Q3 2025 was between 70% to 75%, stable compared to Q2 2025 but slightly deeper than Q3 2024 [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - For 2025, the company expects a revenue growth of around 7% and a net profit growth of approximately 10%, driven by a cautiously optimistic operational strategy and the advancement of DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) business [4]
国盛证券:维持特步国际(01368)“买入”评级 主品牌流水稳健增长
智通财经网· 2025-10-20 01:40
Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities reports that Xtep International (01368) is a leading sports goods company in China, with significant advantages in the professional running sector. The profitability of Saucony is gradually expanding, and the firm expects the company's net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 1.365 billion, 1.504 billion, and 1.631 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11 times for 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Revenue Performance - Xtep's main brand revenue showed a low single-digit year-on-year growth in Q3 2025, while Saucony's revenue grew over 20%, indicating overall stable performance [2]. - The growth in Xtep's main brand is driven by the running category, with a healthy inventory level. The company is optimizing its channel structure, with e-commerce sales expected to outperform offline sales this year [2]. - The company is enhancing operational efficiency by closing underperforming stores and opening high-quality image stores, while also focusing on product updates in the running segment [2]. Group 2: Operational Metrics - Xtep's channel inventory remains at a healthy level, with terminal discounts slightly deepening year-on-year, ranging between 70% to 75% [3]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, the inventory turnover days for Xtep's brand channels were around 4 to 4.5 months, consistent with Q2 2025 and slightly higher than Q3 2024, but still within a controllable range [3]. - Saucony continues to enhance its brand image and optimize channels, with a revenue growth of over 20% in Q3 2025. The brand is expected to maintain rapid growth in offline channels while deepening its focus on professional running [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - For 2025, the company anticipates a revenue growth of approximately 7% and a net profit growth of around 10%, as the consumption environment is in a phase of volatile recovery [4]. - The company will adopt a cautiously optimistic operational strategy for its main brand, alongside the advancement of its DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) business [4].