股 票 研 究 公 司 更 新 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 投资要点： 国泰君安版权所有发送给上海东方财富金融数据服务有限公司.东财接收研报邮箱.ybjieshou@eastmoney.com p1 ——比音勒芬 2024 年三季报点评 Q3 业绩优于行业，新品牌发展可期 比音勒芬(002832) 纺织服装业[Table_Industry] /可选消费品 | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-------------------------------------|------------------------| | | | | | | [table_Authors] 刘佳昆 ( 分析师 ) | 赵博 ( 分析师 ) | | | 021-38038184 | 010-83939831 | | | liujiakun029641@gtjas.com | zhaobo026729@gtjas.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524040004 | S0880524070004 | 本报告导读： Q3 因国际品牌培育投入增加，短期盈利略有波动，但业绩仍显著优于行业；公司拓 ...

股 票 研 究 [table_Authors] 刘佳昆(分析师) 赵博(分析师) 021-38038184 010-83939831 liujiakun029641@gtjas.com zhaobo026729@gtjas.com 登记编号 S0880524040004 S0880524070004 证 券 研 究 报 告 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2024.11.01 品牌经营筑底，制造韧性较优 [Table_Industry] 纺织服装业 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 上次评级: 增持 ——2024 年三季报总结系列 [Table_Report] 相关报告 纺织服装业《从来亿招股书看华利集团竞争优 势》2024.10.05 纺织服装业《制造量增驱动表现较优，运动短期 存压长期看好》2024.09.01 纺织服装业《品牌表现分化，户外代工呈现高景 气》2024.09.01 纺织服装业《一文梳理全球头部鞋服制造企业》 2024.07.23 纺织服装业《Nike 下修收入指引，制造龙头订单 影响有限》2024.07.02 本报告导读： 2024Q3 终端消费持续走弱，制造韧性相对更优； ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating [3][5] - Target price adjusted to 61.12 RMB (previously 70.50 RMB) [3][5] Core Views - Performance below expectations due to high gold prices impacting terminal sales and franchisee purchasing willingness [2][3] - Gross margin under pressure due to increased discounts and higher proportion of gold bars in sales [3] - Revenue for Q3 2024 was 126.23 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 41.89% [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2024 was 3.72 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 46.2% [3] - State-owned enterprise reforms are progressing, with potential for performance elasticity [3] Financial Summary - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 was 525.82 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 15.28% [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2024 was 17.76 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 9.60% [3] - Gross margin for Q3 2024 was 6.52%, a decrease of 0.98 percentage points [3] - Net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 2.95%, a decrease of 0.24 percentage points [3] - EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 3.82/4.21/4.57 RMB, down from previous estimates of 4.70/5.20/5.70 RMB [3] Sales and Profitability - Sales structure and promotional discounts have put pressure on gross margins [3] - Operating expense ratio increased by 1.03 percentage points to 2.61% in Q3 2024 [3] - Sales/management/R&D/financial expense ratios increased by +0.27pct/+0.60pct/+0.03pct/+0.14pct respectively [3] State-Owned Enterprise Reforms - The company is advancing comprehensive reforms under the "Double Hundred Action" initiative [3] - Implementation of a professional manager system is expected to enhance performance elasticity [3] Market and Valuation - Current stock price is 49.15 RMB [5] - 52-week price range is 47.10-86.19 RMB [6] - Market capitalization is 25.711 billion RMB [6] - PE ratio for 2024 is 12.87x, with a PB ratio of 2.01x [10] Industry Comparison - Comparable companies include China Gold, Caibai, Laopu Gold, and Mankalun, with an average 2024 PE of 20.44x [11] - The company's 2024 PE valuation is set at 16x, lower than the industry average [11]

股 票 研 究 公 司 更 新 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 国泰君安版权所有发送给上海东方财富金融数据服务有限公司.东财接收研报邮箱.ybjieshou@eastmoney.com p1 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2024.11.01 ——公司 2024Q3 业绩点评 | --- | |-----------------------------------| | | | [table_Authors] 吴晓飞 ( 分析师 ) | | 0755-23976003 | | wuxiaofei@gtjas.com | | 登记编号 S0880517080003 | | --- | --- | |----------------------------|-------| | | | | | | | 周逸洲 ( 研究助理 ) | | | 010-83939811 | | | zhouyizhou028696@gtjas.com | | | S0880123070150 | | 业绩符合预期，规模效应与原材料改善 无锡振华(605319) 运输设备业[Table_Industry] /可选消费品 | -- ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating with a target price of CNY 10.53, up from CNY 9.63, based on a 13x PE for 2025 [2][4] Core Views - Q3 2024 performance exceeded expectations, driven by investment income and fair value changes, with net profit up 65.9% YoY to CNY 1.09 billion [2] - Revenue for Q3 2024 increased by 8.8% YoY to CNY 8.69 billion, while 1-3Q24 revenue reached CNY 22.4 billion, up 2.2% YoY [2] - Investment income in Q3 2024 was CNY 520 million, up CNY 150 million YoY, with non-joint venture income contributing CNY 210 million, up CNY 170 million YoY [2] - Fair value changes in Q3 2024 resulted in a net gain of CNY -40 million, an improvement of CNY 230 million YoY [2] - Core business profit (excluding investment income and fair value changes) in Q3 2024 was CNY 1.07 billion, up 30.6% YoY [2] - Electricity generation in Q3 2024 reached 17.4 billion kWh, up 15.9% YoY, with gas-fired power generation up 29.7% YoY to 3.6 billion kWh [2] - The company has consistently paid dividends for 31 years since its IPO in 1993, with cumulative dividends totaling CNY 22.5 billion [2] Financial Summary - 2024E revenue is projected at CNY 29.35 billion, up 0.7% YoY, with net profit expected to reach CNY 3.93 billion, up 13.7% YoY [3] - EPS for 2024E is forecasted at CNY 0.80, up from CNY 0.71 in 2023A [3] - ROE is expected to remain stable at around 10.5% in 2024E, slightly higher than 10.3% in 2023A [3] - The company's P/E ratio is projected to decrease to 10.73x in 2024E from 12.20x in 2023A [3] Market Data - The company's market cap is CNY 42.19 billion, with a 52-week price range of CNY 5.77-9.24 [5] - The current price is CNY 8.62, with a 12-month absolute return of 53% and a relative return of 45% compared to the index [5][8] Balance Sheet Highlights - Shareholders' equity stands at CNY 37.19 billion, with a book value per share of CNY 7.60 [6] - The net debt ratio is 41.54%, indicating moderate leverage [6] Industry Comparison - The average PE ratio for comparable companies in 2025 is 9.9x, with Shenneng's PE at 11.1x, slightly higher than peers [10] - Shenneng's 2025E EPS of CNY 0.78 is higher than peers like GD Power (CNY 0.51) and Huaneng Power (CNY 0.83) [10]

股 票 研 究 公 司 更 新 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 本报告导读： Q3 终端销售持续走弱，刚性费用拖累业绩；随着冷冬销售旺季来临，公司销售流水 有望边际改善。 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------| | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入 | 18,562 | 21,528 | 20,845 | 22,757 | 24,862 | | (+/-)% | -8.1% | 16.0% | -3.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | | 净利润（归母） | 2,155 | 2,952 | 2,321 | 2,671 | 2,990 | | (+/-)% | -13.5% | 37.0% | -21.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of CNY 9.00, up from the previous target of CNY 7.92 [4] Core Views - The Q3 2024 performance met expectations, with further recovery potential in East Asia and Southeast Asia [1] - The company is expected to benefit from industry consolidation and continue to focus on retail expansion [2] - Revenue recovery is on track, with Europe outperforming East Asia and Southeast Asia [2] - The company's profit margin is expected to stabilize between 2-3%, returning to normal levels [2] Financial Performance - Q3 2024 revenue reached CNY 2.106 billion, up 67.06% YoY, representing 54.8% of 2019 levels [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 51.73 million, up 6.31% YoY [2] - For the first three quarters of 2024, cumulative revenue was CNY 4.723 billion, up 130.05% YoY, representing 49.26% of 2019 levels [2] - Net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 2.62%, down from 4% in Q3 2023, reflecting a return to normal levels [2] Market and Industry Analysis - The company's market share has increased due to industry consolidation [2] - European destinations have recovered better than Asian ones, with Thailand and Japan lagging behind [2] - The company is expected to achieve a steady-state profit margin higher than pre-2019 levels through operational efficiency and staff optimization [2] - The company plans to expand its retail channels using a franchise model to strengthen its market position and brand recognition [2] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024/25/26 is forecasted to be CNY 6.972 billion, CNY 9.508 billion, and CNY 11.219 billion, respectively [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024/25/26 is expected to be CNY 168 million, CNY 241 million, and CNY 290 million, respectively [3] - EPS for 2024/25/26 is projected to be CNY 0.17, CNY 0.25, and CNY 0.29, respectively [3] Valuation Metrics - The company's PE ratio for 2024 is 45.40x, expected to decrease to 31.70x in 2025 and 26.40x in 2026 [3] - The PB ratio for 2024 is 7.78x, expected to decrease to 6.25x in 2025 and 5.05x in 2026 [9] - The PS ratio for 2024 is 1.10x, expected to decrease to 0.80x in 2025 and 0.68x in 2026 [9]

股 票 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 ——2024 年金禾实业三季报点评 沈唯(分析师) 0755-23976795 [table_Authors] shenwei024936@gtjas.com 登记编号 S0880523080006 本报告导读： 公司三季报扣非业绩符合预期，公司三氯蔗糖景气度已明显提升并有望保持中高水 平，维持"增持"评级。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 维持"增持"评级。24Q3 扣非业绩符合预期，维持公司 24-26 年 EPS 分别为 1.24、2.00、2.37 元。参考可比公司估值及考虑公司成长性， 给予 25 年 14.15 倍 PE 估值，维持目标价为 28.33 元。 Q3 业绩超预期，扣非归母净利符合预期。公司 24 年前三季度实现 收入 40.42 亿元，同比-1.24%，实现归母净利润 4.09 亿元，同比27.39%，实现扣非归母净利润 3.77 亿元，同比-21.91%。其中，24Q3 单季度实现收入 15.04 亿，同比+6.04%，环比+13.54%，单季度归母 净利润 1.62 亿，同比+1.17%，环比+37.51%，扣非归母净利润 1. ...

股 票 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 ——分众传媒 2024 年三季报点评 业绩符合预期，望率先受益消费回暖 分众传媒(002027) 传播文化业 [Table_Industry] /社会服务 | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-----------------------------------|---------------------| | | | | | | [table_Authors] 陈筱 ( 分析师 ) | 陈俊希 ( 分析师 ) | | | 021-38675863 | 021-38032025 | | | chenxiao@gtjas.com | chenjunxi@gtjas.com | | 登记编号 | S0880515040003 | S0880520120009 | 本报告导读： 公司媒体点位和品牌传播优势明显，在生活圈媒体中保持龙头地位，同时积极拓展 下沉市场媒体资源，在大数据和 AI 赋能下，有望实现更高的广告投放效率。 投资要点： 公 司 更 新 报 告 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2024.11.01 | --- | --- | - ...

股 票 研 究 公 司 更 新 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 ——奇安信 2024 年三季报点评 [table_Authors]李博伦(分析师) 0755-23976516 libolun@gtjas.com 登记编号S0880520020004 | --- | --- | |------------------------------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | 钟明翰 ( 研究助理 ) | | | 021-38031383 | | | zhongminghan029903@gtjas.com | | | S0880124070047 | | 本报告导读： 公司整体业绩符合市场预期，前三季度经营性现金流净额同比增加 4.57 亿元，随着 公司重点布局数据安全叠加中国电子增持强化业务优势，未来业绩有望超预期。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 维持增持评级，上调目标价至 45.37 元(+11.96)。根据最新业绩情况 我们下调了盈利预测，预计 2024-2026 年归母净利润分别为 1.48(- 0.70)/2.96(-0.75)/4.56(-1.45) 亿 元 ， ...