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电子行业周报:高通在CES上推出AI芯片,美光科技扩大先进封装产能
甬兴证券· 2025-02-05 09:14
电子 行业研究/行业周报 ◼ 核心观点 本周核心观点与重点要闻回顾 AI 端侧:雷鸟创新首款 AI 拍摄眼镜 V3 将搭载通义千问大模型,相 关产业链有望持续受益。消费级 AR 品牌雷鸟创新 RayNeo 与阿里云 宣布在 AI 眼镜领域达成战略合作,通义系列大模型将为雷鸟创新的 AI 眼镜提供独家定制的技术支持。我们认为,AI 端侧各项应用发展 态势良好,相关产业链有望持续受益。 消费电子:高通在 CES 上推出新款 AI 芯片,相关产业链有望持续受 益。高通宣布推出新的人工智能(AI)芯片 Snapdragon X,旨在为个人 电脑(PC)提供强大的运算能力,使其能够运行 AI 软件。我们认为, CES2025 期间或将展示更多 AI 与消费电子结合应用,如 AIPC、 AI/AR 眼镜、智能驾驶与机器人等,相关产业链有望持续受益。 先进封装:美光科技在新加坡投资约 70 亿美元,扩大先进封装产 能,相关产业链有望持续受益。美光科技位于新加坡的高带宽存储 器(HBM)先进封装厂于 1 月 8 日破土动工,并从 2027 年开始扩大 先进封装总产能,以满足人工智能增长的需求。我们认为,先进封装 在算力时代重 ...
电力设备:2024年电网工程投资完成6083亿元,同比+15.3%
甬兴证券· 2025-02-05 09:14
电力设备 行业研究/行业点评 2024 年电网工程投资完成 6083 亿元,同比+15.3% ◼ 核心观点 2024 年电网工程投资完成 6083 亿元,同比+15.3%,第一批"沙戈荒" 大基地建成 95%。根据国家能源局,2024 年电网工程投资完成 6083 亿元,同比+15.3%。第一批"沙戈荒"大型风电光伏基地项目规模为 50 个基地项目、装机 9736 万千瓦,截至 2024 年底,第一批基地建成 9199 万千瓦、约占 95%,投产 9079 万千瓦。下一步国家能源局将用 好第一批基地建设成果经验,继续抓好第二、三批大型风电光伏基地 建设,为保障电力安全供应、促进清洁低碳转型做出更大贡献。 特高压等重大工程进程全面加快。根据人民网, 2024 年国家电网加 快推进电网重大工程建设,1000 千伏阿坝—成都东特高压交流和± 800 千伏甘肃—浙江、陕北—安徽特高压直流等工程相继开工;1000 千伏川渝、武汉—黄石—南昌、张北—胜利等一批特高压交流工程顺 利投产;世界装机容量最大的抽水蓄能电站——国家电网河北丰宁抽 水蓄能电站实现全面投产发电。国家电网累计建成"22 交 16 直"38 项特高压工程 ...
电力设备:《分布式光伏发电开发建设管理办法》施行
甬兴证券· 2025-02-05 09:14
电力设备 行业研究/行业点评 《分布式光伏发电开发建设管理办法》施行 ◼ 核心观点 1 月 23 日,国家能源局发布文件,为规范分布式光伏发电开发建设管理, 促进分布式光伏发电高质量发展,适应新形势、新要求,国家能源局对《分 布式光伏发电项目管理暂行办法》进行了修订,形成了《分布式光伏发电 开发建设管理办法》。本办法自发布之日起施行,有效期五年。对于本办 法发布之日前已备案且于 2025 年 5 月 1 日前并网投产的分布式光伏发电 项目,仍按原有政策执行。 下游需求不及预期、市场竞争加剧、国际贸易政策不确定 增持(维持) | 行业: | 电力设备 | | --- | --- | | 日期: | yxzqdatemark 2025年01月26日 | | 分析师: | 开文明 | | E-mail: | kaiwenming@yongxin | | | gsec.com | | SAC编号: | S1760523070002 | | 分析师: | 刘清馨 | | E-mail: | liuqingxin@yongxings | | | e.com | | SAC编号: | S1760523090001 | 近一 ...
电子行业周报:CES 2025举行在即,雷鸟创新AI拍摄眼镜V3将搭载通义千问大模型
甬兴证券· 2025-02-05 09:14
——电子行业周报(2024.12.30-2025.01.03) 电子 行业研究/行业周报 CES 2025 举行在即,雷鸟创新 AI 拍摄眼镜 V3 将搭 载通义千问大模型 本周(2024.12.30-2025.01.03),A 股申万电子指数下跌 9.6%,整体 跑输沪深 300 指数 4.43pct,跑输创业板综指数 0.12pct。申万电子二 级六大子板块涨跌幅由高到低分别为:光学光电子(-7.07%)、消费电 子(-7.76%)、 元 件(-10.04%)、 电 子 化 学 品 II(-10.33%)、半导体(- 10.78%)、其他电子 II(-11.12%)。从海外市场指数表现来看,整体继 续维持弱势,海内外指数涨跌幅由高到低分别为:费城半导体 (0.79%)、道琼斯美国科技(-0.5%)、纳斯达克(-0.51%)、台湾电子(- 1.86%)、恒生科技(-2.98%)、申万电子(-9.6%)。 ◼ 投资建议 本周我们继续看好受益于硬件创新浪潮的 AI 端侧、受益于 CES 新 品发布的消费电子产业链、以先进封装为代表的半导体周期复苏主 线、国产替代进程加速的半导体国产替代产业链。 AI 端侧:受益 ...
计算机行业全球AI产业跟踪:阿里通义千问发布开源多模态推理模型
甬兴证券· 2025-02-02 15:52
◼ 核心观点 阿里:通义千问发布开源多模态推理模型 QwQ 计算机 行业研究/行业周报 阿里通义千问发布开源多模态推理模型 ——全球 AI 产业跟踪(2024.12.23-2024.12.27) OpenAI:公布重组计划 据财联社,OpenAI 近日公布了一项重组计划,将采用公益企业模式, 拟将公司现有的营利性业务转变为特拉华州公益企业(PBC),公益企 业将负责 OpenAI 的运营和业务。与此同时,OpenAI 的非营利部门将 继续存在,并将以独立财务顾问确定的合理估值持有公益公司的股份, 旨在更好地吸引投资。 英伟达:B300 设计或调整 据 IT 之家援引 SemiAnalysis,英伟达计划 2025 年推出的 B300 Tensor Core GPU 对设计进行了调整,将在台积电 4NP 定制节点上重新流片, 整体来看可较 B200 GPU 提升 50%算力。B300 GPU 的功耗将较 B200 提升 200W,同时该 GPU 也将从架构和系统级改进中得到性能增强, 如超级芯片内部支持动态重分配 GPU 和 CPU 的功耗。在内存子系统 方面,B300 将配备更高堆叠的 12Hi HBM3E, ...
新兴产业观察:UHMWPE物化性能卓越,应用领域广阔
甬兴证券· 2025-01-26 04:03
Core Insights - UHMWPE (Ultra-High Molecular Weight Polyethylene) is a thermoplastic engineering plastic with superior comprehensive performance and a wide range of applications [1][2] - The market for UHMWPE fibers in China reached approximately 5.654 billion yuan in 2022, with a market average price of about 88,900 yuan per ton [2] - The global production of ultra-high-strength UHMWPE fibers is projected to reach 26,787 tons in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 20% from 2021 to 2023 [2] Industry Overview - UHMWPE is utilized in various sectors including aerospace, defense, municipal construction, petrochemicals, new energy materials, outdoor equipment, food packaging, and plastic recycling [2] - The UHMWPE fiber market in China is experiencing continuous growth, driven by increasing demand for military equipment and supplies due to geopolitical tensions [2] Production Techniques - The spinning process for UHMWPE fibers varies based on strength requirements and includes dry, wet, and melt spinning techniques [3] - The industry faces significant barriers to entry, primarily technical and production barriers, with established companies like Tongyi Zhong leading in technology development and production capabilities [3] Market Structure - The UHMWPE market is characterized by high concentration, with leading global companies including U.S. firms like Evonik and Honeywell, as well as domestic players like Tongyi Zhong and Jiuzhou Xingji [4][10] - The top three companies in the global ultra-high-strength UHMWPE fiber market hold a combined market share of 75.16%, while in China, the top three companies account for 78.04% [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in UHMWPE, such as: 1. Tongyi Zhong, a national high-tech enterprise specializing in UHMWPE fiber and composite materials with over 20 years of industry experience [11] 2. Nanshan Zhishang, which has a production capacity of 3,600 tons and ranks among the top tier in the industry [11] 3. Henghui Anfang, engaged in the development and production of safety protection products and UHMWPE fibers [11]
电力设备:2024年国内光伏新增装机277.17GW
甬兴证券· 2025-01-26 02:35
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [5] Core Insights - In 2024, the domestic photovoltaic (PV) newly installed capacity is projected to reach 277.17 GW, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.8% compared to 2023 [1] - The newly installed capacity in December 2024 is expected to be 70.87 GW, showing a year-on-year increase of 33.72% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 183.48% [1] - The report emphasizes that with the improvement of grid construction and the gradual resolution of consumption issues, there is significant growth potential for photovoltaic installations [1] Summary by Sections Photovoltaic Installation - The report cites data from the National Energy Administration indicating a strong growth trajectory for photovoltaic installations in 2024 [1] Export Data - In 2024, China's cumulative exports of batteries and components reached $30.598 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 29.95% [2] - The cumulative export volume of batteries and components was 7.787 billion units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.16% [2] - The report notes that the decline in export value is primarily due to falling component prices, despite strong contributions from emerging markets like Saudi Arabia and Pakistan [2] Inverter Exports - China's cumulative exports of inverters in 2024 amounted to $8.264 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 16.96% [3] - December exports of inverters were $665 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 12.03% [3] - The report highlights significant growth in exports to Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, with year-on-year increases of 229% and 148%, respectively [3] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a positive outlook on supply-side reforms enhancing profitability across various segments and recommends focusing on leading companies benefiting from technological advancements and cost reduction, such as GCL-Poly Energy, LONGi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, and Highpower International [4]
电子行业存储芯片周度跟踪:南亚科预计DRAM市场第2季开始复苏,存储现货行情整体表现平稳
甬兴证券· 2025-01-25 05:56
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [7] Core Viewpoints - The DRAM market is expected to begin recovery in Q2 2025, driven by positive customer sentiment due to regional economic stimulus measures [3][25] - NAND Flash average contract prices are projected to decline by 10-15% in Q1 2025, with a challenging market environment due to rising supplier inventories and decreasing order demand [2][24] - Micron Technology is investing approximately $7 billion in a new HBM advanced packaging facility in Singapore, expected to start operations in 2026, to meet the growing demand for artificial intelligence [3][27] Summary by Sections Industry News - The NAND market is facing a significant challenge with average contract prices expected to drop by 10-15% in Q1 2025 due to high inventory levels and weak demand [2][24] - The DRAM market showed a slight decline in spot prices, but a recovery is anticipated in Q2 2025 as economic conditions improve [3][25] - The overall performance of the storage spot market remains stable, with some fluctuations in SSD prices influenced by supply dynamics [4][24] Company Dynamics - Nanya Technology reported a 11-13% decline in average DRAM selling prices in Q4 2024, with a net loss of NT$15.74 billion [25] - Micron's new HBM facility in Singapore aims to enhance production capacity and support NAND manufacturing needs, with HBM4 expected to achieve mass production in 2026 [3][27] - Jiangbolong's ePOP products are being utilized in AI glasses, indicating a diversification into wearable technology [28] Investment Recommendations - The HBM industry chain is expected to benefit from the rapid development of advanced computing chips, with recommendations to focus on companies like Saiteng Co., Yishitong, and Lianrui New Materials [5] - The semiconductor cycle is anticipated to recover, with recommendations for companies such as Dongxin Co. and Zhaoyi Innovation [5]
计算机行业全球AI产业跟踪:微软2025财年拟投资800亿美元建设AI数据中心
甬兴证券· 2025-01-25 05:56
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Increase" [5] Core Insights - Microsoft plans to invest $80 billion in AI data centers for the fiscal year 2025, with over half of the expenditure expected to be directed towards the U.S. market by June 2025 [3][22] - Apple will offer a limited-time free trial of its Apple TV+ streaming service from January 3 to 5, 2025, marking the first time such an offer has been made [3][19] - Meta AI has introduced a new AI model named LIGER, which combines dense retrieval and generative retrieval to enhance the performance of generative recommendation systems [2][20] - KoBold Metals, a mining and AI startup, raised $537 million in its latest funding round, achieving a valuation of $2.96 billion, with investments from notable figures like Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos [3][21] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report highlights significant investments in AI infrastructure, particularly by Microsoft, which is expected to enhance the AI foundational layer's market conditions [3][22] 2. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOGL), Meta (META), and Amazon (AMAZON) due to the anticipated growth in AI infrastructure and applications [3][22]
风电行业周报:2024年中国风电新增并网88GW
甬兴证券· 2025-01-24 02:57
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Increase" [5] Core Viewpoints - The wind power installed capacity in China is expected to continue growing, with an estimated 88GW of new grid-connected capacity in 2024, leading to a cumulative installed capacity of approximately 530 million kilowatts by the end of 2024, accounting for over 15% of the power structure [1][69] - Looking ahead to 2025, the annual new installed capacity of wind power in China is projected to be around 105-115GW, with onshore capacity expected to be about 95-100GW, and potentially exceeding 150GW by 2030 [1][69] Data Tracking Market Performance - The electric equipment sector saw a weekly change of 0.31%, ranking 6th among 31 first-level industries in terms of performance [10] - Year-to-date, the electric equipment sector has experienced a decline of 5.49%, ranking 9th among the same industries [10] Wind Power Installation Data - As of November 2024, China's cumulative wind power installed capacity reached 490 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 19.2% [27] - From January to November 2024, 51.75GW of new wind power capacity was added, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.03% [27] - In November 2024 alone, 5.95GW of new capacity was added, showing a year-on-year increase of 45.83% [27] Wind Power Approval Data - In 2024, a total of 103.41GW of wind power projects were approved, marking a year-on-year increase of 63.24% [43] - Among these, onshore projects accounted for 87.55GW, while offshore projects accounted for 14.62GW [43] Wind Turbine Bidding Data - During the week of January 6-10, 2025, a total of 7 wind power projects initiated bidding, with a combined scale of 794.5MW [49] - The total scale of wind turbine procurement for the week reached 2007.25MW [51] Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies benefiting from the demand for offshore wind power and the development of deep-sea projects, such as Dongfang Cable, Haili Wind Power, Qifan Cable, and Yaxing Anchor Chain [3][69] - Companies with strong overseas market expansion capabilities, such as Dajin Heavy Industry, Taisen Wind Power, and Zhenjiang Co., are also recommended [3][69] - Wind turbine manufacturers with recovering profitability, including Mingyang Smart Energy, Goldwind Technology, Sany Heavy Energy, and Yunda Co., are highlighted [3][69]