2025 年 05 月 09 日 策略调整利润承压，精益管理持续推进 —良品铺子（603719.SH）公司事件点评报告 2025 年 4 月 28 日，良品铺子发布 2024 年年报与 2025 年一 季报。2024 年总营收 71.59 亿元（同减 11%），归母净利润 为亏损 0.46 亿元（同减 126%），扣非净利润为亏损 0.75 亿 元（同减 215%）。其中 2024Q4 总营收 16.79 亿元（同减 18%），归母净利润为亏损 0.65 亿元（2023Q4 为-0.11 亿 元），扣非净利润为亏损 0.72 亿元（2023Q4 为-0.57 亿 元）。2025Q1 总营收 17.32 亿元（同减 29%），归母净利润 为亏损 0.36 亿元（同减 158%），扣非净利润为亏损 0.40 亿 元（同减 173%）。 投资要点 ▌降价压缩毛利空间，关注精益管理效果释放 | 基本数据 | 2025-05-09 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 11.81 | | 总市值（亿元） | 47 | | 总股本（百万股） | 401 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 401 | | 5 ...

中档产品带动增长，整体表现符合预期 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：肖燕南 | S1050123060024 | | xiaoyn@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-05-08 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 46.95 | | 总市值（亿元） | 229 | | 总股本（百万股） | 488 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 488 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 30.73-61.16 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 298.7 | 2025 年 05 月 09 日 —水井坊（600779.SH）公司事件点评报告 2025 年 4 月 29 日，水井坊发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季 报。 投资要点 ▌业绩稳健增长，费用优化明显 市场表现 -40 -20 0 20 40 (%) 水井坊 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《水井坊（600779）：业绩符合 预期，臻酿八号稳增》2025- ...

| 分析师：孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：肖燕南 | S1050123060024 | | xiaoyn@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-05-08 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 46.95 | | 总市值（亿元） | 229 | | 总股本（百万股） | 488 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 488 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 30.73-61.16 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 298.7 | 市场表现 2025 年 05 月 09 日 中档产品带动增长，整体表现符合预期 买入(维持) 事件 -40 -20 0 20 40 (%) 水井坊 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《水井坊（600779）：业绩符合 预期，臻酿八号稳增》2025-01-26 2、《水井坊（600779）：财年开门 红业绩稳健，费投优化力度明显》 2024-11-01 3、《水井坊（600779）：业绩略超 预期，臻酿八号贡献增长》202 ...

2025 年 05 月 09 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：77 分（较热） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 | 1、《双融日报》2025-05-08 | | --- | | 2、《双融日报》2025-05-07 | | 3、《双融日报》2025-05-06 | ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 77 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1。 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：机器人、稀土、苹果链 1、机器人主题：五一假期期间，山岳型景区迎来大批游 客。在八达岭长城、黄山、泰山这些热门景点，游客们体验 到了一种别样的登山方式一穿戴外骨骼机器人登山。这种设 备被形容为"登山外挂"，通过机械结构或电机驱动，能够 降低 20%-40%的体能消耗，瞬间在户外圈爆火。相关标的： 伟思医疗(688580)、精工科技(002006) 2、稀土主题：近日，据相 ...

2025 年 05 月 08 日 营收稳健增长，坚定大单品战略 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：张倩 | S1050124070037 | | zhangqian@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-05-08 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.96 | | 总市值（亿元） | 44 | | 总股本（百万股） | 146 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 124 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 22-47.98 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 58.66 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 仲景食品 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《仲景食品（300908）：主力单 品稳健增长，电商渠道持续发力》 2025-03-28 2、《仲景食品（300908）：营收稳 健增长，电商渠道持续发力》2024- 10-18 3、《仲景食品（300908）：葱油延 续增长， ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [9] Core Insights - The company's revenue growth has improved, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6% in Q1 2025, which is an acceleration of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 2.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to an increase in the effective tax rate to 20%, up by 3.5 percentage points [4] - Total assets grew by 6.9% year-on-year to 36 trillion yuan, with deposits increasing by 6.2% to 25.6 trillion yuan and loans rising by 8.3% to 22.6 trillion yuan [5] - The net interest margin decreased by 11 basis points to 1.29% in Q1 2025, influenced by a larger decline in asset yield compared to the improvement in liability costs [6] - Non-interest income saw a significant increase of 18.9% year-on-year, with other non-interest income rising by 37.3% [7] - Asset quality remained stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.25% and a provision coverage ratio of 198% [8] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 2404 billion, 2453 billion, and 2477 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 0.83, and 0.84 yuan [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1649.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.6% [3] - The net profit for Q1 2025 was 543.6 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.9% compared to the previous year [3] Revenue and Profitability - The effective tax rate increased to 20% in Q1 2025, impacting profit growth negatively [4] - The company’s total assets reached 36 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [5] Loan and Deposit Growth - Deposits grew to 25.6 trillion yuan, marking a 6.2% increase, while loans reached 22.6 trillion yuan, up by 8.3% [5] Interest Margin and Non-Interest Income - The net interest margin decreased to 1.29%, with asset yield declining more than liability costs improved [6] - Non-interest income increased by 18.9%, with significant growth in other non-interest income [7] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.25%, with a provision coverage ratio of 198% [8] Profit Forecast - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2404 billion, 2453 billion, and 2477 billion yuan, with EPS estimates of 0.82, 0.83, and 0.84 yuan [9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company's revenue growth has improved, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6% in Q1 2025, which is an acceleration of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 2.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to an increase in the effective tax rate to 20%, up 3.5 percentage points [4] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.25% and a provision coverage ratio of 198% [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 6300.9 billion yuan and a net profit of 2378.4 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 1.2% and 2.6% [3] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1649.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 543.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.6% and a decline of 2.9% respectively [3] Asset and Liability Management - Total assets grew by 6.9% year-on-year to 36 trillion yuan, with deposits increasing by 6.2% to 25.6 trillion yuan and loans rising by 8.3% to 22.6 trillion yuan [5] - The company added 1.01 trillion yuan in new loans in Q1 2025, which is an increase of 0.09 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [5] Income Sources - Non-interest income surged by 18.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with fee income growing by 2.1% [7] - Other non-interest income saw a significant increase of 37.3%, with foreign exchange net gains rising by 668.5% [7] Profitability Metrics - The net interest margin decreased by 11 basis points to 1.29% in Q1 2025, primarily due to a larger decline in asset yield compared to the improvement in liability costs [6] - The estimated asset yield fell by 0.3 percentage points to 3.1%, influenced by industry-wide loan rate declines [6] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2404 billion yuan, 2453 billion yuan, and 2477 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 0.83, and 0.84 yuan [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company's profitability has significantly improved, leading to enhanced business quality and efficiency [1][5] - The company reported a total revenue of 10.99 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 17% year-on-year, but achieved a net profit of 0.22 billion yuan, recovering from a loss of 1.54 billion yuan in 2023 [4][8] - The company is focusing on optimizing its business structure and enhancing its product offerings to drive future growth [6][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross margin improved by 6 percentage points to 3.98%, while the net profit margin increased by 11 percentage points to 0.06% [5] - The company reported a total revenue of 25.49 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 1% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.04 billion yuan, down 86% from the previous year [4][8] Business Strategy - The company is actively optimizing its product structure by reducing low-margin business scales and enhancing the capacity utilization of high-profit factories [6] - The company has successfully expanded its online sales channels, achieving 1.59 billion yuan in online sales revenue in 2024, an 8% increase year-on-year [6] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 0.06 yuan in 2025, 0.14 yuan in 2026, and 0.19 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 99, 43, and 33 times [8][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 results that met expectations, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 13.95% to 55.784 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 58.78% to 3.538 billion yuan [4][9] - The company is benefiting from rising prices of electrolytic aluminum and alumina, with production and sales volumes increasing across various products [5][9] - The company has achieved a significant improvement in cash flow, with net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 75.06% year-on-year [6] - The company is optimizing its industrial layout with new projects coming online, including the Guangxi Huasheng and Inner Mongolia Huayun projects [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 557.84 billion yuan, up 13.95% year-on-year - Q1 2025 net profit was 35.38 billion yuan, up 58.78% year-on-year - Q1 2025 operating cash flow was 62.60 billion yuan, up 75.06% year-on-year [4][6] Production and Sales - Q1 2025 alumina production was 4.48 million tons, up 5.41% year-on-year - Q1 2025 electrolytic aluminum production was 1.94 million tons, up 8.99% year-on-year - Q1 2025 average price of A00 aluminum was 20,429 yuan/ton, up 7.39% year-on-year [5] Future Outlook - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 227.67 billion, 234.66 billion, and 239.75 billion yuan respectively - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 11.35 billion, 11.63 billion, and 12.09 billion yuan respectively - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 9.8, 9.6, and 9.2 for the respective years [9][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company has optimized its product structure, leading to an increase in gross margin and a focus on enhancing terminal expenses [5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 481 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 94 million yuan, up 2% year-on-year [4] - The company is focusing on high-end brand recognition through targeted marketing strategies and product innovation to attract younger consumers [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 gross margin increased by 7 percentage points to 60.71%, driven by accelerated revenue growth in mid-to-high-end yellow wine [5] - The sales and management expense ratios changed year-on-year to 22.10% and 5.06%, respectively, reflecting increased promotional spending [5] - Revenue from mid-to-high-end yellow wine reached 336 million yuan, a 12% increase, while ordinary yellow wine revenue was 105 million yuan, up 1% [5] Market Strategy - The company is strengthening its base market while continuing to optimize its product structure [5] - In Q1 2025, revenue from Zhejiang province was 286 million yuan, a 17% increase, indicating successful market penetration and network expansion [5] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to see steady growth in earnings per share (EPS), with projections of 0.50, 0.60, and 0.71 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 29, 24, and 21 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6] Revenue Projections - The company forecasts main business revenue of 1,884 million yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 15.5% [9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 238 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 21.4% [9]