[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 10 月 27 日 证券研究报告•2024 年三季报点评 买入 （维持） 当前价：1558.85 元 贵州茅台（600519）食品饮料 目标价：——元（6 个月） 业绩符合预期，延续稳健增长 [Table_Summary 事件：公司发布] 2024 年三季报，前三季度实现营业总收入 1231.2 亿元，同比 +16.9%，归母净利润 608.3 亿元，同比+15.0%；其中 24 单 Q3 实现营业总收 入 396.7亿元，同比+15.6%，归母净利润 191.3亿元，同比+13.2%，业绩符合 市场预期。 茅台酒稳健增长，延续高质量发展。1、在外部消费环境疲软的背景下，茅台酒 需求和动销均体现出较强韧性；此外，在金融和投机属性有所弱化的背景下， 茅台酒开瓶率得到实质提升，终端库存得到加速去化。2、分产品，24单 Q3茅 台酒实现收入 325.6亿元，同比+16.3%，预计主要系茅台酒投放量增加、飞天 直接提价、非标酒配额提升贡献；系列酒实现收入 62.5亿元，同比+13.1%，增 速放缓主要系公司控制茅台 1935 等的投放节奏，以此维护价盘稳定。3、分渠 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][2]. Core Views - The company has shown strong momentum in high-end products, with a steady national expansion strategy. The third quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 5.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%, and a net profit of 0.38 billion yuan, up 108.8% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [1]. - The company is experiencing significant growth in products priced above 300 yuan, with a revenue increase of 42.1% in this segment during Q3 2024. The expansion in markets outside the province is accelerating, with a 37.9% year-on-year growth in revenue from these regions [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 decreased by 1.5 percentage points to 61.1%, primarily due to increased promotional activities. However, the net profit margin improved by 0.8 percentage points to 14.3%, driven by optimized expenses [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.33 billion yuan, a 15.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.33 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year. The Q3 revenue and net profit figures were 0.57 billion yuan and 0.038 billion yuan, respectively [1][5]. - The company forecasts revenues of 25.48 billion yuan, 30.08 billion yuan, 35.14 billion yuan, and 40.51 billion yuan for 2024 to 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 18.06%, 16.84%, and 15.28% [3][5]. Product and Market Analysis - In Q3 2024, the revenue breakdown by product category showed that products priced above 300 yuan generated 1.6 billion yuan, while those priced between 100-300 yuan and below 100 yuan generated 3.1 billion yuan and 0.8 billion yuan, respectively [1]. - The company is focusing on large customer operations and user engagement, strengthening its market presence in Gansu while expanding into the Northwest and gradually developing markets in East China and the North [1]. Cost and Profitability - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for Q3 2024 were 24.1%, 13.1%, and 6.9%, respectively, reflecting a decrease in these ratios compared to the previous year, indicating improved cost management [1]. - The company’s net profit is projected to grow to 4.07 billion yuan and 4.90 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, with growth rates of 23.66% and 20.42%, respectively [3][5].

[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 10 月 27 日 证券研究报告•2024 年三季报点评 买入 （维持） 当前价：5.48 元 海油工程（600583）石油石化 目标价：——元（6 个月） 降本增效成效显著，24Q3 归母净利润同比+40.8% [Table_Summary 事件：公司发布] 2024年三季报。2024Q1-Q3，公司实现营业收入 204.3亿元， 同比减少 2.6%；归母净利润 17.4亿元，同比增长 27.1%；扣非净利润 13.1亿 元，同比增长 20.9%。2024Q3，公司实现营业收入 70.0亿元，同比增长 7.3%； 归母净利润 5.5亿元，同比增长 40.8%；扣非净利润 4.7亿元，同比增长 56.0%。 盈利能力显著提升。 工作量饱满，在手订单维持高位。2024Q3，公司实现新签订单 44.4 亿元； 2024Q1-Q3，公司累计新签订单 165.6 亿元，其中国内业务 112.4 亿，海外业 务 53.3亿，海外业务新签订单占比提升至 32.2%，同比提升 3个百分点。截至 报告期末公司在手订单 365亿元，为业务持续发展提供有力支撑。工作量方面， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yanjing Beer (000729) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 12.85 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.29 billion yuan, up 34.7% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.8 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, with a net profit of 530 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.8% [1] - The company's sales volume for the first three quarters reached 3.45 million tons, a 0.5% increase year-on-year, outperforming the industry average [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 45.1%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 11.8% for the first three quarters [2] - The company maintained a stable ton price of 3726 yuan/ton in Q3 2024, with a slight year-on-year increase of 3% [1][2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is committed to the U8 product strategy nationwide, aiming to capture market share in weaker markets and enhance product structure [3] - Marketing innovations are being implemented to achieve brand rejuvenation and increase brand influence [3] - Ongoing management reforms are expected to enhance operational efficiency and drive future performance [3] Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 0.34 yuan, 0.43 yuan, and 0.50 yuan respectively, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 31x, 24x, and 21x [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in its financial performance for Q3 2024, with a revenue of 4.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 830 million yuan, up 40.7% year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2024 improved to 36.7%, an increase of 5.8 percentage points year-on-year, driven by product structure optimization and a decrease in raw material prices [2][3]. - The company is well-positioned in the global valve market, which was valued at over 73.2 billion USD in 2021, with a low market concentration allowing for significant growth opportunities [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.62 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.0% year-on-year but an increase of 9.4% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for the same period was 340 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.7% [1]. - The comprehensive gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 38.9%, up 6.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin reached 21.1%, an increase of 7.1 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company expects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% in net profit from 2024 to 2026, with projected net profits of 1.01 billion yuan, 1.20 billion yuan, and 1.39 billion yuan for the respective years [3][10]. Business Segment Insights - The industrial valve segment is expected to see revenue growth rates of 20%, 18%, and 15% from 2024 to 2026, supported by high demand in LNG, hydrogen, and photovoltaic sectors [7][8]. - The parts segment, which includes bearings and gears, is projected to maintain a stable growth rate of 20% over the same period, despite increased competition [8]. - The casting and forging segments are anticipated to grow at 15% annually, benefiting from reduced depreciation costs and lower raw material prices [8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has established a strong global presence with subsidiaries in multiple countries, enhancing its competitive edge in overseas markets [3]. - The domestic market for high-end valves presents significant opportunities for local manufacturers, with a substantial import value of over 56 billion yuan in 2023 [3]. - The company aims to capitalize on the trend of domestic substitution in high-end valve products, particularly in nuclear power and marine engineering applications [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhujiang Beer (002461) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.89 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 810 million yuan, up 25.3% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2024, the company recorded a revenue of 1.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.9%, and a net profit of 310 million yuan, up 10.6% year-on-year [1] - The product structure continues to upgrade, with Q3 showing both volume and price increases, driven by high-end product sales growth of 14.8% year-on-year [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 49.3%, an increase of 3.8 percentage points year-on-year, with a gross margin of 59.8% for the quarter, up 4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The average price per ton increased by 4.5% year-on-year to 4,135 yuan/ton in Q3 2024 [1] - The company's net profit margin improved by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year to 16.1% in Q3 2024, benefiting from lower raw material costs and product structure upgrades [2] Future Outlook - The company has a strong consumer base in South China, with significant potential for product structure upgrades, particularly in the high-end market [3] - The "3+N" brand strategy focuses on upgrading from regular pure beer to high-end products, aiming to consolidate market share in the 8 yuan and above price segment [3] - Long-term stable growth is expected as the proportion of high-end products increases, supported by a continuous decline in costs [3] Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2024-2026 is projected to be 0.37 yuan, 0.43 yuan, and 0.49 yuan, respectively, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 26x, 22x, and 19x [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated resilient performance with a revenue of 580 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 140 million yuan, up 11.9% year-on-year [1][2]. - The overall gross margin stabilized at 59.3% for the first three quarters, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.4 percentage points [2]. - The company's focus on product optimization and brand strength continues to drive growth, particularly in its star products, which have maintained double-digit growth [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 200 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%, and a net profit of 48.04 million yuan, up 13.6% year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 59.1%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved to 24.2%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s total expenses for the first three quarters were 34% of revenue, with a notable decrease in sales expenses due to reduced advertising costs [2]. Product and Market Strategy - The lens business generated 170 million yuan in revenue during Q3, marking a 3.9% year-on-year increase, contributing 84.3% to total revenue [3]. - The introduction of the "Light Control Pro 2.0" series has enhanced product quality, leading to a 34.2% year-on-year increase in sales for the "Light Control Pro" series [3]. - The company anticipates steady growth in its near-sightedness prevention product line, with projected sales growth rates of 5%, 40%, and 30% for 2024-2026 [8]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 0.87 yuan, 1.05 yuan, and 1.23 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 31x, 25x, and 22x [4][10]. - The report emphasizes the continuous optimization of the product structure and enhancement of brand power as key factors supporting the "Hold" rating [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Gan Yuan Food (002991) with a target price of 70.20 RMB [1] Core Views - Gan Yuan Food achieved a revenue of 1.61 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.2%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 280 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 29.5% [2] - The company's product matrix is rich, with traditional products like mixed nuts and peas continuing to dominate consumer preference, while new products such as potato chips and peanuts show strong growth [2] - The company's gross margin in Q3 2024 was 36.8%, up 2.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, driven by lower raw material prices and improved channel structure [3] - The company is actively adjusting its sales channels, with e-commerce and direct sales showing promising results, and overseas markets, particularly Vietnam, experiencing steady growth [2] Financial Performance - The company's net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 17.3%, up 1 percentage point year-on-year, with Q3 net profit margin reaching 19.7% [3] - Gan Yuan Food's EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 4.51 RMB, 5.39 RMB, and 6.42 RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16x, 13x, and 11x [1] - The company's ROE is expected to increase from 19.53% in 2023 to 23.20% in 2026, reflecting improved profitability and efficiency [4] Channel and Product Strategy - The company is focusing on e-commerce channel development, with a dedicated team in place to optimize product offerings and prepare for the Q4 sales peak [2] - KA (Key Account) channels are transitioning from distributors to direct sales, showing better performance compared to the industry average [2] - Overseas expansion is centered on the Vietnamese market, which has shown consistent growth [2] Cost Management and Hedging - The company has implemented hedging strategies for key raw materials such as peanuts, sugar, and palm oil to mitigate price volatility risks [3] - Sales expenses increased by 1 percentage point year-on-year due to higher personnel costs and increased investment in online marketing channels [3] Future Outlook - Revenue growth is expected to remain strong, with forecasts of 22.51% growth in 2024, 19.86% in 2025, and 19.29% in 2026 [4] - The company's net profit is projected to grow from 420.54 million RMB in 2024 to 598.59 million RMB in 2026, driven by improved operational efficiency and market expansion [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.76 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 630 million yuan, up 23.8% year-on-year [1] - The third quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.86 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, and a net profit of 290 million yuan, reflecting a 21.4% year-on-year growth [1] - The company has effectively adjusted its distribution channels, setting the stage for a strong performance in the fourth quarter, particularly during the year-end festive season [1] - The company has implemented promotional strategies for its sunflower seeds and nuts, which have shown positive results, although there was some pressure on the sales of nut gift boxes in September [1] Financial Performance - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 30.2%, an increase of 4.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for Q3 2024 was 33.1%, up 6.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in raw material prices [2] - The net profit margin for the first three quarters was 13.2%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9 percentage points [2] - The company has announced a new stock option plan for 2024, aimed at incentivizing 29 core employees with 4.18 million stock options, which is expected to enhance employee motivation and support long-term development [2] Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 is 980 million yuan, 1.15 billion yuan, and 1.35 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.93 yuan, 2.28 yuan, and 2.66 yuan [3] - The dynamic PE ratios for the same period are projected to be 17 times, 15 times, and 12 times, respectively, maintaining the "Buy" rating [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong earnings growth, with a significant turnaround from a net loss in the previous year to a net profit in the current period [1][3] - The increase in pig prices and a decrease in costs have positively impacted the company's performance [2] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with improving production metrics and cost control [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 75.384 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.53%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.408 billion yuan, compared to a net loss of 4.53 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - In Q3 alone, the company reported revenue of 28.644 billion yuan, up 21.89% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.081 billion yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 3097.03% [1] Sales and Pricing - The cumulative revenue from pork sales reached 43.914 billion yuan, marking a 34.02% increase year-on-year, driven by rising pig prices [2] - The average selling price of live pigs was 19.48 yuan/kg, up 23.6% year-on-year, while the average price for broilers was 13.15 yuan/kg, down 10.18% year-on-year [2] Production Capacity and Cost Management - The company sold 21.56 million pigs in the first three quarters, a 17.69% increase year-on-year, with September sales reaching 2.51 million pigs, up 10.84% year-on-year [3] - The comprehensive cost of pig farming decreased to approximately 6.9 yuan/kg in August, down from 7.3 yuan/kg earlier in the year [3] - Broiler production remained stable, with the cost of broiler farming also showing a downward trend [3] Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The expected EPS for 2024-2026 is projected to be 1.19 yuan, 1.62 yuan, and 1.54 yuan, respectively, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 16, 12, and 12 times [3]