Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating for Great Wall Motor with a target price raised from HK$14.00 to HK$17.00, indicating an upside potential of 18.2% from the current price of HK$14.38 [2][3]. Core Insights - Great Wall Motor's 3Q24 core earnings were in line with estimates, with revenue about 5% higher than previous forecasts, although net profit was impacted by unexpected foreign exchange losses and VAT refund delays [2]. - The company is expected to achieve overseas sales growth of 29% YoY in FY25E, supported by new models and increased local content [2]. - A decline in sales volume in China is anticipated for FY24E, but the introduction of seven new models in FY25E could revitalize sales [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 173,212 million in FY23A to RMB 204,470 million in FY24E, reflecting an 18.0% YoY growth [1]. - Net profit is expected to rebound significantly from RMB 7,021.6 million in FY23A to RMB 12,768.3 million in FY24E, marking an 81.8% increase [1]. - The company's gross margin is projected to stabilize around 20.0% in FY24E, with a slight narrowing expected in FY26E due to increased competition in overseas markets [2]. Earnings Revisions - FY25E net profit forecast has been revised up by 7% to RMB 14 billion, while FY24E net profit has been cut by 5% due to the earnings miss in 3Q24 [2][5]. - Sales volume forecast for FY25E has been increased from 1.3 million units to 1.36 million units, indicating a 3% growth in China [2]. Valuation Metrics - The P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 16.5x in FY23A to 9.1x in FY24E, reflecting improved earnings expectations [1][7]. - The dividend yield is expected to rise from 2.2% in FY23A to 3.9% in FY24E, indicating a more attractive return for investors [1][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Goertek with a new target price (TP) of RMB27.39, reflecting a 16.1% upside from the current price of RMB23.60 [3][9]. Core Insights - Goertek's 3Q24 revenue and net profit increased by 2% and 138% year-over-year (YoY), respectively, surpassing market expectations due to improved efficiency and cost control [1][4]. - The company is expected to continue its profitability recovery into 4Q24 and FY25E, driven by strong demand for AR/VR and gaming products, including launches from major players like Meta and Sony [1][9]. - Earnings estimates for FY24-26E have been raised by 0-6% to account for better operating leverage and expense control [1][5]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: FY24E revenue is projected at RMB103,204 million, with a YoY growth of 4.7%. For FY25E, revenue is expected to reach RMB116,686 million, reflecting a 13.1% growth [2][12]. - **Net Profit**: FY24E net profit is estimated at RMB2,868 million, showing a significant YoY increase of 163.6%. For FY25E, net profit is projected at RMB3,725 million, a 29.9% growth [2][12]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The reported EPS for FY24E is RMB0.84, with a substantial increase of 163.6% YoY. For FY25E, EPS is expected to be RMB1.10, a 29.9% increase [2][5]. Margin Analysis - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: The GPM for 3Q24 improved to 11.4%, up 1.2 percentage points YoY, attributed to better efficiency and scale effects [1][4]. - **Operating Profit Margin (OPM)**: The OPM for FY24E is projected at 3.1%, increasing to 3.6% in FY25E [5][6]. Market Position and Outlook - Goertek is well-positioned to capitalize on the upcoming product cycles in the XR and gaming segments, with expected net profit growth of 164% and 30% YoY for FY24 and FY25, respectively [1][9]. - The company’s leadership in the XR/acoustics/gaming segments is anticipated to drive market share gains as the industry recovers [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on EDA Group Holdings with a "BUY" rating, setting a target price of HK$3.57 per share, indicating a potential upside of 53.2% from the current price of HK$2.33 [2]. Core Insights - EDA Group is positioned as a leading provider of end-to-end supply chain solutions for B2C export e-commerce, leveraging its proprietary EDA Cloud platform to enhance operational efficiency and customer connectivity [13][25]. - The B2C export e-commerce supply chain solutions market is projected to grow significantly, with a market size of RMB402.4 billion in 2022 and an expected CAGR of 9.1% from 2022 to 2027, driven by the increasing adoption of pre-sale stocking models [8][39]. - EDA's technology capabilities and asset-light model, which includes self-operated and partnered warehouses, provide a competitive edge, allowing for scalable growth and improved profitability [10][24]. Company Overview - EDA Group Holdings is a comprehensive supply chain solutions provider for e-commerce vendors, offering services that include cross-border logistics, overseas warehousing, and fulfillment delivery, all integrated into the EDA Cloud platform [13]. - The company primarily utilizes a pre-sale stocking model, which allows e-commerce vendors to store products in overseas warehouses, facilitating faster and more reliable delivery to end consumers [34][39]. Financial Performance - EDA's revenue for FY22 was RMB709 million, with a projected revenue growth of 70.6% to RMB1,209 million in FY23, and further growth to RMB2,776 million by FY26, reflecting a CAGR of 31.9% [4]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to grow from RMB36.8 million in FY23 to RMB222.6 million by FY26, indicating a CAGR of 34.3% [4]. Market Analysis - The B2C export e-commerce market in China has seen rapid growth, with a GMV of RMB3.2 trillion in 2022, and is expected to reach RMB6.0 trillion by 2027, driven by improved payment systems and increased online shopping habits [30]. - The supply chain solutions market is fragmented, with over 4,000 players, and EDA ranks seventh among providers utilizing the pre-sale stocking model, holding a market share of approximately 0.4% [9]. Competitive Advantages - EDA Cloud platform serves as a key competitive advantage, providing a seamless supply chain experience and enabling efficient resource allocation among logistics and supply chain service providers [10][25]. - The company has established long-term relationships with high-quality customers, with an average business relationship duration of four years with its five largest customers, enhancing customer retention and satisfaction [12][26]. Growth Catalysts - Key growth catalysts for EDA include the mitigation of geopolitical risks, expansion of partnerships with leading e-commerce platforms, and stronger-than-expected earnings growth [8].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on EDA Group with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of HK$3.57, representing a 53.2% upside from the current price of HK$2.33 [1]. Core Insights - EDA Group is positioned to benefit from the rapid growth of the B2C export e-commerce market, with a projected revenue CAGR of 31.9% from 2023 to 2026 and an adjusted net profit CAGR of 34.3% [1][2]. - The company ranks seventh among B2C export e-commerce supply chain solution providers in mainland China, with a market share of approximately 0.4% as of 2022 [1][6]. - EDA's cloud platform is a key competitive advantage, enhancing operational efficiency and enabling seamless integration of logistics and supply chain services [1][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - EDA Group provides end-to-end supply chain solutions for e-commerce vendors, integrating cross-border logistics, overseas warehousing, and fulfillment services into its proprietary EDA Cloud platform [10][15]. Market Analysis - The B2C export e-commerce supply chain solutions market experienced a CAGR of 28.8% from 2017 to 2022, reaching a market size of RMB 402.4 billion in 2022, with expectations to grow to RMB 621.3 billion by 2027 [5][27]. - The market is characterized by a shift towards pre-sale inventory models, which are expected to grow at a CAGR of 14.5% from 2022 to 2027, driven by improved shopping experiences and faster delivery times [5][27]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for EDA indicate growth from RMB 709 million in FY22 to RMB 2,776 million by FY26, with a significant increase in adjusted net profit from RMB 36.8 million in FY22 to RMB 222.6 million by FY26 [2][4]. Competitive Advantages - EDA's cloud platform is highlighted as a critical asset, facilitating efficient connections between logistics providers and B2C e-commerce platforms, thus improving operational efficiency [7][20]. - The company maintains long-term strategic partnerships with major clients, enhancing its ability to deliver differentiated value and ensuring stable revenue streams [8][22]. Customer Base - EDA has served over 850 clients, with a growing number of core customers contributing significantly to its revenue, indicating a robust and expanding customer base [8][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for the company, with an adjusted target price (TP) of RMB186, reflecting a 19.1% upside from the current price of RMB156.16 [1][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a solid performance in Q3, with revenue increasing by 115.2% year-over-year (YoY) and 9.4% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ), while net profit rose by 104.4% YoY and 3.3% QoQ, aligning with expectations [1]. - Management indicated that the sequential revenue growth slowdown was due to supply chain bottlenecks and unfavorable USD/RMB exchange rate fluctuations, but double-digit growth was still achieved when excluding these impacts [1]. - Strong demand for high-speed optical products, particularly 400G and 800G, is expected to drive growth, with mass shipments of 1.6T products anticipated in the coming months [1]. - Price increases in the optical supply chain driven by AI demand may lead to higher raw material costs, but the company is well-positioned to pass these costs onto customers due to strong product demand [1]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB24.27 billion in 2024E to RMB34.15 billion in 2025E, representing a 40.7% increase [7]. - Net profit is expected to rise from RMB5.28 billion in 2024E to RMB7.63 billion in 2025E, reflecting a 44.5% growth [7]. - Gross profit margin (GPM) is expected to remain stable around 33.3% in Q3 2024, while net profit margin (NPM) is projected at 21.4% [1]. Market Position and Shareholder Structure - The company has a significant shareholding structure, with Shandong Zhongji Investment Holdings Co. holding 11.3% and Wang Weixiu holding 6.2% [3]. - The stock is currently trading at 22.5x 2025E P/E, which is below its 5-year historical average of 26.9x [1][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for New Oriental, with a target price of US$87.00, down from the previous target of US$95.00, indicating a potential upside of 29.6% from the current price of US$67.13 [4][2]. Core Insights - New Oriental reported a net revenue growth of 30.5% YoY to US$1,435 million in 1QFY25, aligning with estimates. Non-GAAP net income increased by 39.8% YoY to US$265 million, driven by improved operating margins in core educational services [2]. - The company anticipates a revenue growth of 25-28% YoY for 2QFY25, with expectations of reaccelerated growth in 3Q and 4Q, maintaining a full-year growth outlook of approximately 30% YoY for FY25 [2]. - The report highlights strong performance in core educational businesses, with overseas-related revenue up 19% YoY and new educational initiatives growing by 50% YoY in 1QFY25 [2]. - The tourism business showed significant growth, with a 221% YoY increase in revenue from study tours and research camps for K12 and university students [2]. Financial Summary - For FY25E, total revenue is projected at US$5,216 million, with adjusted net profit expected to reach US$516.9 million. The adjusted EPS is forecasted at US$3.12 [3][11]. - The report indicates a gross margin of 54.3% and an operating margin of 9.7% for FY25E, with expectations for gradual improvement in profitability metrics over the following years [6][14]. - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from US$7,532 million in FY24 to US$10,634 million by FY27, reflecting a strong balance sheet position [12]. Valuation Methodology - The valuation employs a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) approach, attributing US$83.4 million to the educational and consulting business, US$1.0 million to East Buy, and US$2.6 million to tourism and other ventures [8][9]. - The educational and consulting segment is valued at a premium PE of 27x FY25E, reflecting New Oriental's leadership in the educational services market in China [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for iQIYI, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [1][6]. Core Views - iQIYI's 3Q24 results are expected to be largely in line with previous expectations, with total revenue forecasted to decline by 10% YoY and 3% QoQ to RMB7.2 billion, primarily due to macroeconomic uncertainties affecting advertising budgets and a lack of blockbuster content impacting membership revenue growth [1]. - Non-GAAP net income for 3Q24 is projected to decline by 32% YoY but increase by 68% QoQ to RMB426 million, driven by foreign exchange gains from CNY appreciation [1]. - The company is facing pressure in both membership and advertising businesses, with membership revenue expected to drop by 13% YoY and 3% QoQ to RMB4.4 billion, and online advertising revenue anticipated to decline by 21% YoY and 9% QoQ to RMB1.3 billion [1]. - iQIYI is implementing new initiatives to revitalize business growth, including launching Short Play Theatre and Mini Play Theatre for premium members, developing AI agent TaoDou 2.0, and introducing more Chinese content to overseas markets [1]. - The target price for iQIYI has been lowered by 4% to US$4.80, based on a 15.0x FY25E P/E, reflecting a discount to the sector average due to intense competition in the video streaming sector [6][7]. Financial Summary - For FY24E, total revenue is estimated at RMB30.2 billion, with a slight decrease of 0.1% from previous estimates for FY25E and FY26E [5]. - Gross profit for FY24E is projected at RMB7.5 billion, with a gross margin of 24.7% [5]. - Non-GAAP net profit for FY24E is expected to be RMB1.8 billion, with a non-GAAP EPS of RMB1.9 [5]. - The report indicates a decline in gross margin by 5.1 percentage points YoY to 22.0% in 3Q24, primarily due to operating deleverage [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Ping An, with a revised target price of HK$65.1, representing a 35.2% upside from the current price of HK$48.15 [2][5]. Core Insights - Ping An reported robust earnings growth in Q3, with Group net profit and Life & Health (L&H) New Business Value (NBV) more than doubling year-on-year. The Group's Operating Profit After Tax (OPAT) attributable to shareholders grew 5.5% YoY to RMB 113.8 billion, indicating a steady recovery trajectory [1][10]. - The L&H NBV rose 34.1% YoY to RMB 35.2 billion in the first nine months of 2024, with Q3 showing a remarkable growth of 110.2% YoY to RMB 12.8 billion, driven by margin expansion and a stable agency force [1][11]. - The Property & Casualty (P&C) segment saw OPAT surge 455% YoY to RMB 4.0 billion in Q3, supported by improved underwriting and a better combined ratio [1][12]. Summary by Sections Earnings Performance - Group NPAT rose 36.1% YoY in the first nine months of 2024, with a significant surge of 1.51x YoY in Q3. The L&H segment's OPAT grew 3.0% YoY, while P&C's OPAT saw a dramatic increase [1][10][15]. - The report revises FY24-26 EPS forecasts upward by 14%/7%/3% to RMB 7.44/7.57/7.90, reflecting a clearer outlook for profitability [5][6]. New Business Value (NBV) - The L&H NBV margin increased to 25.4%, with expectations to rise to ~26% by the end of FY24. The agency force stabilized at 362,000 agents, contributing significantly to the NBV growth [1][11][7]. - Bancassurance NBV surged 68.5% YoY, driven by a favorable product mix and margin expansions [1]. Investment Performance - The comprehensive investment yield (CIY) reached 5%, up 1.2 percentage points YoY, indicating a positive investment experience variance that could enhance the Group's embedded value [6][14]. - The report anticipates better-than-expected earnings in the second half of 2024, supported by rebounding investment income and a low base from Q4 2023 [1][5]. Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at 0.54x FY24 P/EV and 0.81x FY24 P/B, which is above the historical average for H-share listed Chinese insurers. The report suggests limited downside risk due to the turnaround in fundamentals [1][5][9]. - The sum-of-the-parts valuation assigns target multiples of 1.19x for L&H, 0.72x for P&C, and 0.90x for banking, leading to a target valuation of RMB 1,059 billion for the Group [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Yancoal Australia with a target price of HK$42, indicating a potential upside of 36.1% from the current price of HK$30.85 [1][11][18]. Core Insights - Yancoal's sales volume in Q3 2024 increased by 21% year-on-year, with total attributable sales volume reaching 10.4 million tonnes, which is 73% of the full-year estimate of 37.3 million tonnes [1][2]. - The average selling price (ASP) for blended coal dropped by 14% year-on-year in Q3 2024, with metallurgical coal ASP decreasing by 28% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company reported a revenue of approximately A$1.78 billion in Q3 2024, reflecting a 5% year-on-year increase [1][2]. - Yancoal's financial position remains solid, with a gross cash balance of A$1.98 billion as of the end of September 2024 [1][2]. Sales Volume and Production - In Q3 2024, metallurgical coal sales volume increased by 17% year-on-year to 9 million tonnes, while thermal coal sales volume rose by 19% year-on-year to 27.3 million tonnes [1][2]. - The total marketable coal production for Yancoal in Q3 2024 was 12.4 million tonnes, a 2% increase year-on-year [2][3]. Financial Performance - For FY 2024, Yancoal is expected to generate revenue of A$7.138 billion, down from A$7.778 billion in FY 2023, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.2% [1][13]. - The net profit for FY 2024 is projected to be A$1.389 billion, a decrease of 23.7% compared to FY 2023 [1][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY 2024 is estimated at A$1.05, down from A$1.38 in FY 2023 [1][13]. Valuation and Assumptions - The valuation is based on net present value (NPV) calculated from future cash flows, with long-term thermal and metallurgical coal prices assumed at A$130/tonne and A$200/tonne respectively starting in 2027 [11][12]. - The report uses a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.7% for its valuation [11][12].

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating with a target price of HK$4 25 based on 13x FY25E P/E [1][30] Core View - FIT Hon Teng is identified as the GB200 server winner in the H-share tech space, benefiting from the GB200 server ramp in 2025 [1] - AI server revenue is estimated to reach US$484mn/823mn, accounting for 11%/16% of FIT's earnings in 2025/26E [1] - In the bull case, revenue could reach US$886mn in FY25E [1] - FIT is expected to benefit from GB200 server rack ramp with share gains over the next few years [1] Earnings Summary - Revenue is forecasted to grow from US$4 531mn in FY22 to US$7 347mn in FY26E, with a YoY growth of 30 8% in FY25E [2][26] - Net profit is expected to increase from US$170 1mn in FY22 to US$384 9mn in FY26E, with a YoY growth of 62 8% in FY25E [2][26] - EPS is projected to rise from US$2 42 cents in FY22 to US$5 42 cents in FY26E [2][26] AI Server Opportunity - FIT is a key component supplier for GB200 NVL72/36, including compute tray connectors/cables, NVLink copper cables, power busbar, liquid cooling components, and GPU sockets [1] - GB200 server revenue is estimated to reach US$422mn/886mn (base/bull) in FY25E [1] - Compute tray connector/cables and NVLink copper cables are expected to deliver US$115mn/291mn in FY25E [1] - Liquid cooling components and GPU sockets are forecasted to generate US$0 6mn/4 6mn in FY25E [1] Latest Developments - FIT is developing CPO solutions and launched the conceptual design of FITConn 800G high-speed connector module for AI connectivity [1] - Hon Hai showcased GB200 NVL72 racks and liquid cooling components at HHTD 2024 [1] - FIT is under qualification for server UQDs and is developing UDQs for use inside the server and on the CDM [19] Valuation - Trading at 9 5x FY25 P/E, valuation remains attractive compared to 42%/63% EPS growth in FY24/25E [1] - Upcoming catalysts include GB200 updates and 3Q24 results in November [1] Financial Summary - Revenue is expected to grow from US$4 531mn in FY22 to US$7 347mn in FY26E, with a YoY growth of 30 8% in FY25E [26] - Net profit is forecasted to increase from US$170 1mn in FY22 to US$384 9mn in FY26E, with a YoY growth of 62 8% in FY25E [26] - EPS is projected to rise from US$2 42 cents in FY22 to US$5 42 cents in FY26E [26]