Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met expectations, with revenue of 1.833 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.54%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 326 million yuan, up 29.94% year-on-year [1][2] - The company is experiencing growth across multiple segments, with significant contributions from emerging businesses and a strong focus on product innovation [2][3][4] - The company maintains high research and development investment, with R&D expenses of 267 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.13% [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 58.13%, with a net profit margin of 18.71%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.21 percentage points [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 1.044 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.42%, and a net profit of 184 million yuan, up 23.99% year-on-year [1] Business Segments - The Resources and Public Utilities segment generated revenue of 702 million yuan, up 3.09% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 61.69% [2] - The Construction and Infrastructure segment reported revenue of 659 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.67%, with a gross margin of 61.07% [2] - The Geospatial Information segment experienced significant growth, with revenue of 359 million yuan, up 87.61% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 50.57% [2] - The Robotics and Autonomous Driving segment generated revenue of 114 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.8%, with a gross margin of 43.08% [2] Research and Development - The company emphasizes R&D, focusing on high-precision positioning technology, and has established multiple R&D bases domestically and internationally [5] - The company has developed core algorithm capabilities in high-precision GNSS, 3D point cloud, and autonomous driving perception [5] International Expansion - The company's overseas business revenue reached 602 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 35%, accounting for 32.82% of total revenue [11] - The overseas business has a gross margin of 71%, significantly higher than the company's average [11] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 733 million yuan, 942 million yuan, and 1.223 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [12]

Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The current macro - economic supply - demand imbalance persists, and the transmission of anti - involution policy effects is asymmetric. - Fundamental trading has two sides, usually more focused on long - term logic, and attention should be paid to the expectation gap. Although the current fundamentals are not the core contradiction of stock - bond trading, their anchoring effect on the bond market cannot be ignored. There is still a certain investment cost - effectiveness for 10 - year treasury bonds with a yield above 1.80% [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs How to View the Current Economic Fundamentals - In recent years, the problem of supply exceeding demand in the domestic economy has been prominent. External demand led by exports in the first half of the year was an important factor driving economic growth. In the second half of the year, the demand side declined overall, and the growth rate of the production side also showed signs of decline. The asymmetry of policy effects may be the main cause of short - term economic fluctuations. - On one hand, anti - involution has a direct impact on the production side, similar to capacity reduction through administrative means during the supply - side reform, which may be the main reason for the decline in the growth rate of fixed - asset investment in July and August, and industrial production may also be affected. On the other hand, against the background of relatively weak demand, the effect of anti - involution on boosting prices still needs further transmission. The short - term PPI growth rate may bottom out, but the CPI growth rate unexpectedly declined in August [2]. How to Understand Fundamental Trading - Fundamental trading has two sides, and the same data may have completely opposite interpretations. For example, after the release of economic data on March 17 and April 16, 2025, although the economic data was better than expected, the TL contract showed different intraday trends, which makes it difficult to grasp the market's mainstream expectations for fundamental data and its impact [3]. - Fundamental trading is more of a long - term rather than a short - term logic, and its role is more to support rather than drive. Economic fundamental variables are mostly slow - changing variables with relatively low update frequencies. Investors usually need to form fundamental expectations based on multi - month data, which determines that fundamental trading is more long - term. The impact of fundamentals on bond prices is more of a support, and the relationship between positive economic data for the bond market and bond market rallies is "necessary but not sufficient" [3]. - The long - term logical nature of fundamental trading determines that the expectation gap may be the main factor affecting fundamental trading. Data that conforms to the long - term market fundamental expectations may cause a relatively flat market reaction, while data that deviates from the long - term expectations may catalyze short - term trading in the market [3]. Understanding Stock - Bond Market Trends from the Perspective of Fundamental Trading - Apparently, fundamentals are not the core contradiction of current stock - bond trading. Factors such as investors' risk appetite, market liquidity, incremental funds, and potential policies have a greater impact on the equity market. The relatively fragile sentiment in the bond market is the main reason for the recent more - decline - less - rise situation in the bond market. The commodity market pays more attention to the introduction and implementation of anti - involution policies [4]. - Deeply, the anchoring effect of fundamentals cannot be ignored, especially for the bond market. Relatively weak fundamental data can frame the approximate upward range of treasury bond yields. 10 - year treasury bonds with a yield above 1.80% still have a certain investment cost - effectiveness. - The impact of current fundamentals on the bond market is asymmetric. Relatively weak fundamental data in line with expectations may not effectively boost bond market sentiment and catalyze a bond market rally, while unexpectedly strong data may hit the already fragile bond market sentiment. Attention should be paid to demand - side data such as consumption and price indices such as CPI [4].

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2025 年 09 月 16 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 09 月 16 日 ：王禾 执业证书编号：S1230512110001 ：021-80105901 ：wanghe@stocke.com.cn 大势：9 月 15 日上证指数下跌 0.26%，沪深 300 上涨 0.24%，科创 50 上涨 0.18%，中证 1000 下跌 0.1%，创业板 指上涨 1.51%，恒生指数上涨 0.22%。 行业：9 月 15 日表现最好的行业分别是电力设备（+2.22%)、传媒（+1.94%)、农林牧渔（+1.79%)、汽车（+1.44%)、 煤炭（+1.32%)，表现最差的行业分别是综合（-1.8%)、通信（-1.52%)、国防军工（-1.05%)、银行（-0.9%)、有色 金属（-0.81%)。 资金：9 月 15 日全 A 总成交额为 23032 亿元，南下资金净流入 144.73 亿港元。 市场总览 重要观点 【浙商食饮 杨骥/杜宛泽/孙天一/张家祯】食品饮料 季度行业策略报告：紧握新消费趋势，重视龙头个股—— 20250914 http://www.stocke.co ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [3] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the agricultural sector is experiencing a recovery, with specific segments such as the pig and beef industries showing signs of improvement. Cost reduction and efficiency enhancement are key drivers for performance improvement in the pig sector, while the beef sector is witnessing a rebound from a cyclical low [6][7][47]. Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - The pig sector has shown significant improvement in performance, with 15 listed pig companies achieving a revenue of 196.98 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 16.33 billion yuan, up 625% year-on-year [9]. - The average pig price has been under pressure, dropping to a low of 13.96 yuan/kg in June 2025. However, leading companies like Muyuan and Wens continue to maintain high profitability per head due to their efficiency advantages [15][42]. - Recommendations include focusing on low-cost, high-certainty leaders such as Muyuan and Wens, as well as high-growth small pig companies like Shennong Group and Juxing Agriculture [7][43]. 2. Beef Industry - The beef sector is experiencing a cyclical recovery, with live cattle prices increasing significantly since mid-February 2025. As of September 8, 2025, the prices for fattened bulls, calves, and cull cows have risen by 2.39, 8.33, and 3.18 yuan/kg respectively [47]. - The report notes that the overall beef market is supported by a trend towards protein upgrading, which is expected to continue despite economic fluctuations [57]. 3. Animal Health Sector - The animal health sector is stabilizing, with a focus on the development of pet business. The rapid release of pet vaccines is anticipated to enhance valuations across companies [7]. 4. Seed Industry - The seed market is shifting from quantity to quality competition, with a focus on superior varieties as the core competitiveness of seed companies. The report emphasizes the importance of resource integration and mergers in the seed industry [7]. Companies with strong variety reserves, such as Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech, are expected to benefit [7].

- The report discusses the construction of an out-of-sample effective index allocation portfolio, focusing on three key aspects: price judgment, tool expression, and risk control. Price judgment involves forming predictions on the price trends of major assets, industries, or individual stocks using macro, meso, and micro-level information through qualitative, quantitative, or mixed methods. Tool expression refers to selecting investable tools for portfolio implementation, while risk control manages potential losses in the portfolio[9] - The primary goal of the strategy is to reduce overfitting risks to enhance out-of-sample effectiveness. This is achieved through three measures: expanding the pool of targets, neutralizing factors to reduce style impact, and managing portfolio risks to mitigate the impact of tail risks on excess returns. Signal sustainability outside the sample is emphasized as a critical factor[2] - The report highlights the advantages of using equity indices as allocation tools. Indices, being a basket of stocks, can hedge individual stock-specific risks to some extent. They also serve as better tools for expressing investment views due to their distinct target attributes. Additionally, risk models at the index level are more effective, providing better risk management outcomes[11][12] - The construction of the index risk control model follows a process similar to stock risk control models but requires additional steps to synthesize index-level data. The process includes selecting indices published before the given trading day, ensuring all index components are A-shares, obtaining index component lists and weights, and calculating weighted scores for industry/style exposures based on real-time weights. The model's effectiveness is significantly higher than individual stock models, with industry contributions surpassing style contributions[22][23] - The report categorizes factors into four main types: fundamental, analyst, price-volume, and high-frequency. Each type is further divided into subcategories, such as growth, profitability, valuation, momentum reversal, volatility, liquidity, and fund flows. The factor library includes a total of 275 factors, with specific counts for each subcategory[26][27][30] - Historical performance analysis of sub-strategies shows varying correlations among them, emphasizing the necessity of multi-strategy approaches. For the period of January to August 2025, fundamental factors like profitability and growth, as well as price-volume sub-strategies, performed well. However, individual sub-strategies experienced periodic drawdowns, highlighting the importance of diversification[27][30] - Based on selected sub-strategies, the report constructs a composite index scoring signal for portfolio allocation. Anchored to the CSI All Share Index, the portfolio controls deviations in industry and major style exposures. The out-of-sample performance, including returns, drawdowns, and tracking errors, aligns closely with backtest results[32][33] - The report evaluates the use of existing products, including active and passive types, for tracking the target index portfolio. Combining active and passive products yields better out-of-sample tracking results compared to using ETFs alone. While ETFs perform well in certain months, the combined approach demonstrates superior consistency[37][38] - The report identifies the overall performance of factors in 2025, with fundamental factors like growth and profitability, as well as price-volume factors such as momentum reversal, volatility, and liquidity, showing strong results[36]

- The report introduces a "Market Concentration Indicator" to quantify the phenomenon of stock price concentration during major market trends[1][11] - The Market Concentration Indicator is constructed by calculating the average price increase of the top 30% of stocks and subtracting the median price increase of the entire market[16][17] - The indicator has shown significant predictive power for short-term market returns (1-6 weeks) but negative predictive power for medium-term returns (8-12 weeks)[2][18] - The "Event-Driven Strategy" identifies lagging stocks within a leading industry/theme and buys them, holding for 60 trading days[28][29] - The strategy is tested using two classification standards: industry-based and theme-based, with industry-based classification showing higher returns and win rates[29][37][44] Model Backtest Results - Market Concentration Indicator: Positive correlation with future market returns for 1-6 weeks (2.60%, 4.20%, 4.90%, 1.60%)[21] - Event-Driven Strategy (Industry-based): 60-day return of 5.42%, highest return of 8.65% at T+24, win rate of 65% at T+14[29] - Event-Driven Strategy (Theme-based): 60-day return of 4.18%, highest return of 6.11% at T+24, win rate of 61% at T+11[37]

Group 1 - The report maintains an optimistic outlook on the market, predicting a "systematic slow bull" trend with the Shanghai Composite Index expected to challenge the 0.618 retracement level of the largest decline since 2015, indicating ample bullish potential [4][68][69] - The report emphasizes a market style rotation favoring mid to large-cap stocks, with a focus on growth-oriented valuations, particularly in the consumer, cyclical, and growth sectors [5][81] - The report identifies three key "expectation gaps" for industry allocation: the dominance of large financials in market height, the need for investment and consumption to meet GDP growth targets, and the potential shift in technology investments from hardware to software sectors [6][84] Group 2 - The report highlights that the macroeconomic environment is expected to improve for growth, consumption, and cyclical styles, while financial and stable styles may see a decline [84] - The report notes that the recent policy measures have been supportive, with a focus on technology, real estate, and consumption, aligning with the current economic characteristics [12][18] - The report suggests that the construction of new policy financial tools is likely to support infrastructure investment growth, which may positively impact related sectors [18][84]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 964 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 47 million yuan, down 72.4%. However, Q2 2025 showed signs of recovery with revenue of 534 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 39 million yuan, down 44.7%. The report suggests that with the gradual recovery of domestic medical equipment bidding in 2025, the company is expected to achieve revenue growth for the full year [1] - The ultrasound segment is anticipated to recover in 2025 due to the resumption of domestic bidding, new product launches, and breakthroughs in the overseas mid-to-high-end market. H1 2025 revenue for the ultrasound segment was 550 million yuan, down 9.9% year-on-year. The introduction of high-end products and the expansion of market demand are expected to drive growth [2] - The digestive endoscopy segment is also expected to see revenue growth driven by domestic bidding recovery and accelerated domestic substitution. H1 2025 revenue for this segment was 388 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.08% year-on-year. The company has made significant advancements in product capabilities and is expanding its high-end channels [3] - The non-ultrasound and endoscopy segment saw a significant increase in revenue, up 76.5% year-on-year in H1 2025, driven by the commercialization of new surgical and vascular intervention products. The company has launched several new products that are expected to contribute to long-term revenue growth [4] - The company's net profit margin is expected to improve, with a projected net profit margin of 4.88% for H1 2025, down 12 percentage points year-on-year. The report anticipates a recovery in net profit margin in H2 2025 due to the resumption of bidding and new product launches [5] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 2.318 billion yuan, 2.762 billion yuan, and 3.286 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 15.12%, 19.14%, and 18.97%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 201 million yuan, 303 million yuan, and 415 million yuan for the same years, with corresponding growth rates of 41.34%, 50.52%, and 37.08% [10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The storage industry is experiencing a price increase trend, with Micron announcing a price hike of 20%-30% for all storage products, indicating a strengthening price trend in the storage sector [6][2] - The demand for storage solutions is being driven by the AI era, leading to enhanced value for module manufacturers and solution providers, as they collaborate closely with leading wafer manufacturers [3][4] - The strengthening trend in the storage industry is expected to benefit storage solution providers, with specific A-share companies such as Jiangbolong, Baiwei Storage, Demingli, and Shannon Chip Creation recommended for attention [4] Summary by Sections - **Price Trends**: Micron's suspension of quotes and subsequent price increases suggest a continuous upward trend in storage prices, which is relatively rare and indicates uncertainty in future customer demand [2][6] - **AI Impact**: The AI era is significantly upgrading storage demands, with increased requirements for performance, speed, and capacity, leading to a deeper collaboration between module manufacturers and solution providers [3] - **Market Opportunities**: The ongoing price increases and demand enhancements present strategic opportunities for specific A-share companies in the storage sector [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates a recovery in demand during the peak season, suggesting a potential reversal in the current market dynamics [1] Price Data Summary - The SW Steel Index increased by 3.7% week-on-week and 19.3% year-to-date - The SW General Steel Index rose by 3.8% week-on-week and 23.3% year-to-date - The SW Special Steel Index saw a 2.4% increase week-on-week and a 12.5% increase year-to-date - The price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) is at 3,210 CNY/ton, down 1.5% week-on-week and down 5.9% year-to-date [3][4] Inventory Summary - Total social inventory of five major steel products is 1,094 million tons, up 1.6% week-on-week and up 3% year-to-date - Total inventory at steel mills is 100 million tons, unchanged week-on-week and year-to-date - Port inventory of iron ore is 13,853 million tons, up 0.2% week-on-week and down 6.8% year-to-date [5][6] Supply and Demand Summary - Weekly production of five major steel products is projected to be around 1,100 million tons - Daily molten iron production is expected to be approximately 240 million tons [9][11] Profitability Summary - The profitability rate of steel mills across the country is currently at 12.0% [15]