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景嘉微(300474):国产GPU先锋,技术积淀与研发优势驱动未来
浙商证券· 2025-03-19 09:59
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company is a pioneer in the domestic GPU field, continuously iterating its products and expanding applications from military to consumer and AI computing [1][2] - The company is transitioning from a "specialized" to a "specialized + general" product strategy, leveraging AI and consumer-grade graphics cards to open new growth avenues [2] - The domestic GPU market is expected to grow significantly, driven by increasing demand for AI capabilities and government support for computing infrastructure [3][4] Summary by Sections 1. Domestic GPU Pioneer - The company successfully developed the first domestically produced GPU chip and has been a leader in the field since 2007, with product evolution from the JM5 series to the JM11 series and the Jinghong series [1][14] - In 2023, the company's revenue was affected by macroeconomic fluctuations and demand changes, with revenue contributions from graphics display, chips, and radar at 65.1%, 14.2%, and 18.5% respectively [1][17] 2. AI Computing Opportunities - The company is capitalizing on the AI-driven demand for GPUs, with the JM11 series chips compatible with major operating systems and suitable for gaming, animation, cloud computing, and AI applications [2][34] - The launch of the Jinghong series high-performance intelligent computing modules aims to fill gaps in AI training and scientific computing, supporting various mixed-precision operations [2][14] 3. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 5.15 billion, 7.77 billion, and 10.47 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of -27.82%, +50.96%, and +34.66% [4][11] - The company is compared to peers in the GPU sector, with a projected price-to-sales ratio of 60 times for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation compared to competitors [4][12]
金属行业有色价格日报-2025-03-19
浙商证券· 2025-03-19 08:29
证券研究报告 金属行业有色价格日报 ——2025年3月18日 行业评级:看好 分析师 沈皓俊 研究助理 沈家悦 邮箱 shenhaojun@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 shenjiayue@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230523080011 | 日度金属价格变化 | | --- | | | 最新金属价格 | | 日度涨跌幅 | 今年至今涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 碳酸锂 | 万元/吨 | 7.5 | 0.23% | 0.13% | | 氢氧化锂 | 万元/吨 | 7.0 | 0.00% | 0.34% | | 铜 | 万元/吨 | 8.0 | 0.30% | 8.88% | | 黄金 | 元/克 | 700.7 | 0.82% | 13.38% | | 电解镍 | 万元/吨 | 13.1 | -2.89% | 4.63% | | 铝 | 万元/吨 | 2.1 | -0.05% | 5.00% | | 铅 | 万元/吨 | 1.8 | -0.45% | 4.53% | | 锌 | 万元/吨 | 2.4 | -0.66% | -7.47% ...
低空经济板块二季度策略报告:规模化提速,确定性提升-2025-03-19
浙商证券· 2025-03-19 05:22
证券研究报告 规模化提速,确定性提升 ——低空经济板块二季度策略报告 2025年3月17日 行业评级:看好 分析师 邱世梁 分析师 黄华栋 证书编号 S1230520050001 证书编号 S1230522100003 邮箱 qiushiliang@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 huanghuadong@stocke.com.cn 研究助理 彭沈楠 投资要点 1、低空经济当下的投资逻辑? —— 2025年是低空经济规模化落地元年 短期看,2024年内各省份低空经济发展方案和支持措施已陆续出台,2025年在两会政府工作报告指导下,将是低空经济规模化落地元年,低空经济新技术、新产品、 新场景有望在政策推动下大规模放量应用。展望25年二季度,相关指导文件有望在低空司统筹下发布,指导地方低空投建营落地,eVTOL首批六个试点城市有望进度 领先。长期看,低空经济作为新质生产力将助力宏观经济复苏,同时在中外新兴产业竞争中也极具战略意义。 2、低空基建:项目中标进入爆发期,关注照明、空管和规划设计 24年12月起低空经济相关中标开始爆发。总量上据我们统计,24年12月低空经济相关项目中标总金额15.3亿元,环比增长26 ...
永艺股份(603600):更新报告:座椅龙头多维突破,四轮驱动成长新程
浙商证券· 2025-03-19 05:12
永艺股份(603600) 报告日期:2025 年 03 月 17 日 座椅龙头多维突破,四轮驱动成长新程 ——永艺股份更新报告 投资要点 ❑ 办公椅出口代工龙头,α 凸显 永艺股份成立于 2001 年,公司持续深耕办公椅赛道,23 年收入 35.4 亿,同比- 12.8%,归母净利润 2.98 亿,同比-11%,扣非归母利润 2.09 亿,同比-14%,18- 23 年收入复合增速 8%、利润复合增速 23%。22-23 年受到下游客户去库&终端 消费需求承压影响形成业绩低基数,24 年随着客户陆续恢复正常下单&新客户新 产品等稳健拓展,业绩增速加速修复。 ❑ 办公椅:外销供应链全球化,内销品牌趋势演绎 2023 年全球办公椅产值 150 亿美元,20-23 年 CAGR 1.9%。根据 CSIL 初步测 算,中国(33%)、美国(25%)、德国(6%)、印度(5%)、日本(5%)是前五 大生产国。从消费市场看,23 年全球办公座椅消费总额为 129 亿美元(出厂价 口径),其中美国(35%)、中国(10%)、日本(8%)、德国(6%)、印度 (6%)是前五大消费国。 证券研究报告 | 公司更新 | 家居用品 ...
铝板块二季度策略:供需趋紧,“铝”创新高
浙商证券· 2025-03-19 02:01
证券研究报告 供需趋紧,"铝"创新高 ——铝板块二季度策略 行业评级:看好 2025年3月13日 分析师 沈皓俊 研究助理 何玉静 邮箱 shenhaojun@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 heyujing@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230523080011 摘要 1、价格:铝价中枢上移,上行趋势持续 3、供需:供给严限增量有限+需求成色佳 4、利润:产业链利润再分配,吨铝利润显著改善。 • 截止到2025年3月10日,单吨电解铝利润约为3300元/吨,吨铝利润显著走高。建议关注:云铝股份、神火股份、中国宏桥(宏创控股)、天山 铝业、中孚实业、中国铝业。 风险提示:国际政治形势变动风险、供给超预期放量风险、下游需求释放不及预期 2 伦铝价格:截止到2025年3月10日,LME现货结算价为2716美元/吨,同比上升507美元/吨,增幅19%。 由于今年春节时间相对靠前,铝价于2月底顺畅进入上行周期,同时2024Q4新能源汽车景气度突出,淡季不淡,需求表现突出。 低库存和海外高成本给予价格强支撑,美联储持续推进降息,国内经济刺激政策频繁出台,经济复苏预期强化,东南亚国家潜力 有望释放,金融和商 ...
浙商证券浙商早知道-20250319
浙商证券· 2025-03-19 01:19
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the home appliance industry, particularly with the integration of AI technologies [2][3][6]. Core Insights - The home appliance sector is experiencing a transformation driven by AI, with black appliance brands actively embracing this trend [2][3]. - The low-altitude economy is expected to see significant growth in 2025, with orders being the main focus and mergers and acquisitions as a secondary aspect [6][7]. - Consumption policies are anticipated to gradually strengthen as a counter-cyclical measure, with potential for extraordinary measures such as nationwide consumption vouchers [5]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - On March 18, 2025, major indices showed slight increases, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.1% and the Hang Seng Index up by 2.5% [4]. - The best-performing sectors included home appliances (+1.9%) and non-ferrous metals (+1.4%), while the worst performers were food and beverage (-0.7%) and beauty care (-0.7%) [4]. Important Insights Macro Research - The report discusses the gradual implementation of consumption policies as a response to structural transformation, with a focus on consensus-building [5]. - If US-China trade tensions escalate, there may be a significant increase in counter-cyclical policy measures [5]. Electric Power Equipment - The report highlights 2025 as a pivotal year for the low-altitude economy, with expectations for policy guidance to facilitate local implementation [6][7]. - The low-altitude economy is seen as a new productive force that could aid macroeconomic recovery and enhance competitiveness in emerging industries [6][7]. Home Appliances - The integration of AI in home appliances is expected to create new investment opportunities, particularly for black appliance brands [3][6]. - The DeepSeek model is identified as a catalyst for a new wave of AI applications in the home appliance sector [3][6].
船舶行业月报(2025年2月):2025年2月新船价格指数同比增长约3%,持续推荐船舶龙头-2025-03-19
浙商证券· 2025-03-19 01:02
证券研究报告 | 行业月度分析 | 机械设备 ❑ 风险提示:造船需求不及预期;原材料价格上涨;第三方数据未统计全面。 机械设备 报告日期:2025 年 03 月 17 日 2025 年 2 月新船价格指数同比增长约 3%,持续推荐船舶龙头 ——船舶行业月报(2025 年 2 月) 投资要点 ❑ 月度船价:2025 年 2 月底新船价格指数收报 188.36 点,同比增长约 3% 据克拉克森数据,截止 2025 年 2 月底,克拉克森新船价格指数报收 188.36 点, 同比增长 2.84%,环比上月下降 0.54%;2021 年以来增长 48.19%,位于历史峰值 98.36%分位。分船型来看,箱船、油轮、散货船、液化船环比上月微跌。 分船型详细船价数据:箱船新船价格指数收报 118.31,环比上月下降 0.27%,同 比增长 5.26%,位于历史峰值 92.16%;油轮新船价格指数收报 220.98,环比上月 下跌 0.86%,同比增长 4.54%,位于历史峰值 86.54%;散货船新船价格指数收报 172.69,环比上月下跌 0.25%,同比增长 3.96%,位于历史峰值 72.07%;液化气船 新船价格 ...
思摩尔国际(06969):HNB25年预期稳步展开,雾化医疗高潜力
浙商证券· 2025-03-18 15:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is expected to see steady growth in HNB (Heated Not Burned) products in 2025, with significant contributions anticipated in the second half of the year. The potential of the aerosol medical business is also highlighted as a key component of the company's 2030 goals [11] - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 117.99 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, while net profit is expected to decline by 20.8% to 13.03 billion CNY [1][11] - The company is focusing on expanding its HNB and aerosol medical product lines, with R&D investments showing significant increases in these areas [3][11] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 117.99 billion CNY, with a net profit of 13.03 billion CNY, resulting in a net profit margin of 11.05% [1] - The company’s revenue for the fourth quarter of 2024 was 34.63 billion CNY, reflecting an 8% increase year-on-year, but a decline in profit by 42% due to high expenses [1] - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 128.92 billion CNY, 151.12 billion CNY, and 173.48 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 16.19 billion CNY, 21.21 billion CNY, and 26.59 billion CNY [11][12] Market Potential - The global market for electronic aerosol is expected to reach 91.42 billion USD by 2029, with a CAGR of approximately 7.4% from 2024 to 2029 [4] - The heated not burned market is projected to reach 66.86 billion USD by 2029, with a CAGR of about 10.1% during the same period [4] - The aerosol medical market is anticipated to grow significantly, with the global market for pulmonary drugs and delivery devices expected to reach 93.28 billion USD by 2030 [4]
湘财股份拟收购大智慧事件点评:A股第三家互联网券商已经呼之欲出
浙商证券· 2025-03-18 14:23
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Xiangcai Co., Ltd. (600095) [7] Core Views - Xiangcai Co., Ltd. is planning to acquire Dazhihui through a share swap, which is expected to enhance its business capabilities by integrating technology and customer flow advantages [3][4] - The historical context of the relationship between Xiangcai and Dazhihui includes previous attempts at mergers and acquisitions, indicating a long-standing interest in collaboration [2] - The merger is anticipated to facilitate the third integration of traditional brokerage firms with financial technology, potentially revitalizing Dazhihui's operations and user engagement [3] Financial Summary - The projected net profit growth rates for Xiangcai Co., Ltd. are 98% for 2024, 16% for 2025, and 5% for 2026, with corresponding book value per share (BPS) estimates of 4.24, 4.33, and 4.43 yuan [4][6] - The financial forecast indicates a significant drop in revenue for 2024, with a projected decrease of 8% compared to 2023, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 10% and 11% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [6][13] - The total market capitalization of Xiangcai Co., Ltd. is approximately 19.7 billion yuan, with a closing price of 6.89 yuan per share [8]
湘财股份(600095):拟收购大智慧事件点评:A股第三家互联网券商已经呼之欲出
浙商证券· 2025-03-18 13:59
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Xiangcai Co., Ltd. (600095) [7] Core Views - Xiangcai Co., Ltd. is planning to acquire Dazhihui through a share swap, which is expected to enhance its business capabilities by integrating technology and customer flow [3][4] - The merger is seen as a significant step towards the third integration of traditional brokerage firms with financial technology, following similar moves by other firms [3] - The anticipated growth in net profit for the company is projected at 98% in 2024, 16% in 2025, and 5% in 2026, indicating strong future performance [4] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Xiangcai Co., Ltd. is in the process of merging with Dazhihui, which has a historical context of previous attempts at collaboration and acquisition dating back to 2014 [2] Financial Performance - The financial forecast indicates a revenue decline of 34% in 2023, followed by a recovery with expected growth of 10% in 2025 and 11% in 2026 [6] - The projected net profit for 2024 is 237 million, increasing to 275 million in 2025 and 288 million in 2026 [6] Valuation Metrics - The report provides a forecast for Book Value Per Share (BPS) at 4.24 in 2024, 4.33 in 2025, and 4.43 in 2026, with a decreasing Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio from 1.66 in 2023 to 1.55 in 2026 [4][6]