Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Group [4][7]. Core Insights - Alibaba reported total revenue of 2364.54 billion RMB for FY2025 Q4, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%. The non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was approximately 300 billion RMB, up 18% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on accelerating growth in e-commerce and cloud services while maintaining strong investments in AI technology [3]. Summary by Business Segment - **Taobao and Tmall Group**: Revenue reached 1014 billion RMB, a 9% increase year-on-year, with adjusted EBITA of approximately 417 billion RMB, up 8% [2]. - **International Commerce**: Revenue was 336 billion RMB, showing a 22% year-on-year growth, although adjusted EBITA was -36 billion RMB, narrowing by 13% [2]. - **Alibaba Cloud**: Revenue grew by 18% to 301 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA increasing by 69% to approximately 24 billion RMB [2][3]. - **Cainiao**: Revenue decreased by 12% to 216 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA at -6 billion RMB, narrowing by 55% [2]. - **Local Services**: Revenue increased by 10% to 161 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA of -23 billion RMB, narrowing by 28% [2]. - **Digital Entertainment**: Revenue was 55.5 billion RMB, up 12%, with adjusted EBITA turning positive, primarily driven by profitability from Youku [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY2026-2028 are estimated at 11185 billion RMB, 12360 billion RMB, and 13551 billion RMB respectively. Non-GAAP net profit is projected to be 1613 billion RMB, 1845 billion RMB, and 2081 billion RMB for the same periods [4][6]. - The report anticipates a price target of 164 HKD for the Hong Kong stock and 168 USD for the US stock based on a 10x P/E for core e-commerce and a 30x P/E for Alibaba Cloud [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Group [4][7]. Core Insights - Alibaba's total revenue for FY2025 Q4 reached 2364.54 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%. The non-GAAP net profit for the same quarter was approximately 300 billion RMB, up 18% year-on-year [1]. - The company is experiencing accelerated growth in e-commerce and cloud services, with a strong commitment to AI investments [1][3]. Revenue Breakdown by Business Segment - **Taobao and Tmall Group**: Revenue of 1014 billion RMB, up 9% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately 417 billion RMB, up 8% [2]. - **International Commerce**: Revenue of 336 billion RMB, a 22% increase year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately -36 billion RMB, narrowing by 13% [2]. - **Alibaba Cloud**: Revenue of 301 billion RMB, up 18% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately 24 billion RMB, a 69% increase [2][3]. - **Cainiao**: Revenue of 216 billion RMB, down 12% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately -6 billion RMB, narrowing by 55% [2]. - **Local Services**: Revenue of 161 billion RMB, up 10% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately -23 billion RMB, narrowing by 28% [2]. - **Digital Entertainment**: Revenue of 55.5 billion RMB, up 12% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA turned positive, mainly driven by profitability from Youku [2]. Financial Projections - Projected revenues for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are 11185 billion RMB, 12360 billion RMB, and 13551 billion RMB respectively. Non-GAAP net profits are expected to be 1613 billion RMB, 1845 billion RMB, and 2081 billion RMB for the same periods [4][6]. - The report anticipates a price target of 164 HKD for the Hong Kong stock and 168 USD for the US stock based on a 10x P/E for core e-commerce and a 30x P/E for Alibaba Cloud [4]. Capital Expenditure and AI Investment - Alibaba's capital expenditure for the quarter was approximately 246 billion RMB, reflecting the company's unwavering commitment to AI technology and product development [3]. - The report indicates that Alibaba Cloud's revenue growth is expected to continue accelerating in the upcoming quarters due to strong demand for AI-related products across various industries [3]. Key Financial Metrics - The report provides a detailed financial outlook, including revenue growth rates, non-GAAP net profit projections, and earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the upcoming fiscal years [6][15]. - The projected EPS for FY2026 is 8.4 RMB, increasing to 10.9 RMB by FY2028 [6][15]. Conclusion - The report highlights Alibaba's robust performance in e-commerce and cloud services, alongside a strong focus on AI investments, positioning the company for continued growth in the coming years [1][3][4].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy-A" investment rating [4][5]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leading domestic ADAS chip manufacturer, focusing on high-level intelligent driving solutions, with significant growth potential driven by the increasing demand for advanced driving assistance systems [1][2]. - The market for intelligent driving chips and algorithms in China is projected to exceed 60 billion RMB by 2030, with a notable shift towards higher-level autonomous driving features [2][39]. - The company has successfully established a strong customer base and competitive advantages through its strategic focus on local service and cost-effectiveness, enabling it to capture a leading market share in the domestic passenger vehicle intelligent driving chip sector [3][13]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has evolved into a leading player in the domestic ADAS chip market since its establishment in 2015, focusing exclusively on intelligent driving since 2019 [1][13]. - By the end of 2024, the company is expected to have shipped over 7 million units of its Journey series chips, achieving a market share of 33.97% in the domestic passenger vehicle intelligent driving chip market [1][13]. Market Potential - The penetration rate of L2 ADAS is nearing its ceiling, while the mid-to-high-level autonomous driving market presents new growth opportunities [2][39]. - The intelligent driving chip market in China is projected to reach approximately 20 billion RMB by 2025 and 50 billion RMB by 2030, with urban NOA chip market space estimated at 150 billion RMB in 2025 and 462 billion RMB in 2030 [2][39]. Competitive Landscape - The company is expected to become a leading third-party high-level intelligent driving solution provider, leveraging its strong strategic and algorithmic capabilities [3][39]. - The competitive landscape is shifting as traditional manufacturers show varying levels of willingness to develop in-house solutions, creating opportunities for the company to expand its market presence [3][39]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 35.2 billion RMB in 2025, 54.8 billion RMB in 2026, and 80.2 billion RMB in 2027, with growth rates of 47.6%, 55.8%, and 46.3% respectively [4][9]. - The target market capitalization for the company is set at 105.5 billion RMB based on a 30x price-to-sales ratio for 2025 [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings [6] Core Views - Tencent's Q1 2025 results exceeded expectations, driven by strong performance in gaming and advertising, supporting long-term AI investments [1] - The company is expected to leverage high-quality growth from existing businesses to enhance AI investments [1] Revenue and Profitability - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was 180 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13% - Gross profit reached 100.5 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 55.8%, up 3 percentage points year-on-year - Non-IFRS operating profit was 69.3 billion RMB, an 18% increase year-on-year, with an adjusted operating margin of 38.5% [1] - Non-IFRS net profit was 61.3 billion RMB, a 22% increase year-on-year, with an adjusted net margin of 34.1%, up 3 percentage points [1] Business Segments Value-Added Services - Revenue from value-added services was 92.1 billion RMB, a 17% year-on-year increase - Domestic gaming revenue was 42.9 billion RMB, up 24% year-on-year, with significant contributions from long-standing games [2] - International gaming revenue was 16.6 billion RMB, a 23% increase year-on-year, driven by popular titles [2] - Social network revenue was 32.6 billion RMB, a 7% increase year-on-year, with music subscription revenue growing by 17% [2] Marketing Services - Marketing services revenue was 31.9 billion RMB, a 20% year-on-year increase, benefiting from enhanced user engagement and AI upgrades [3] - Significant growth in WeChat's marketing services, particularly from video accounts and mini-programs [3] Financial Technology and Enterprise Services - Revenue from financial technology and enterprise services was 54.9 billion RMB, a 5% year-on-year increase, with notable growth in cloud services and AI-related income [4] Financial Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 735.9 billion RMB, 803.3 billion RMB, and 878.2 billion RMB respectively - Non-IFRS net profits for the same years are expected to be 260 billion RMB, 280.9 billion RMB, and 309.2 billion RMB respectively [4][5]

以科学驱动创新，专注癌症与代谢性疾病领域的全球化生物技术公司 港股公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 来凯医药-B（02105） 证券研究报告 瞄准减重增肌新兴赛道，LAE102 未来可期 来凯医药成立于 2016 年，总部位于中国，致力于为全球癌症、代谢性 疾病及肝纤维化患者开发具有突破性的创新疗法。公司于 2023 年 6 月 在香港交易所成功上市，凭借其强大的科研能力和国际化布局迅速崭露 头角。来凯医药目前已启动包括 LAE102、LAE002（Afuresertib）、LAE001 和 LAE005 在内的七项临床试验，专注于解决肥胖和肿瘤治疗领域未被 满足的医疗需求。 全球首创 ActRIIA 单克隆抗体，助力减重领域突破肌肉流失困境 LAE102 是来凯医药自主研发的全球首创 ActRIIA 单克隆抗体，旨在解决 GLP-1 受体激动剂减重疗法中常见的肌肉流失问题。GLP-1 类药物在减 重领域展现出良好的效果，但其副作用之一是导致显著的肌肉流失，影 响患者的代谢健康和长期体重维持。LAE102 通过靶向 ActRIIA 受体，有 效抑制肌生成抑制素和 GDF11 的活性，从而促进肌肉生长、减少脂肪 堆积 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in stock price compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [8]. Core Insights - The e-commerce business is experiencing revenue and profit recovery driven by GMV growth and an increase in take rate, indicating a stable fundamental value for the company. The cloud business is accelerating growth due to AI, and other new business operations are showing upward trends, gradually realizing loss reduction expectations. Overall, the company has a solid fundamental base with upward potential, making it a meaningful investment at the current valuation level [4][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY2024, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 941.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 79.74 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 10% [7]. - For FY2025, revenue is forecasted at 995.82 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, and net profit is expected to rise to 129.47 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 62.4% [7]. - Projections for FY2026 to FY2028 indicate revenues of 1,084.21 billion yuan, 1,176.79 billion yuan, and 1,268.93 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 142.48 billion yuan, 165.45 billion yuan, and 186.41 billion yuan, showing consistent growth rates [6][7]. Segment Performance - The core segment performance for Q4 FY25 met expectations, with Taotian Group's customer management revenue growing by 11.8% and EBITA increasing by 8.4% year-on-year. The platform's take rate has improved, contributing to accelerated performance growth [6]. - The Intelligent Cloud Group reported a revenue growth of 17.7%, entering an accelerated growth phase driven by AI, although EBITA margin decreased slightly [6]. - The International Retail Business continued its high growth trend with a revenue increase of 22.3%, and improvements in EBITA margin were noted [6]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a forecasted P/E ratio of 27.2 for FY2024, decreasing to 11.6 by FY2028, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [7]. - The projected P/B ratio is expected to decline from 2.2 in FY2024 to 1.4 in FY2028, reflecting a more attractive valuation over time [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile [1] Core Views - Geely Automobile's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue of 72.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and a net profit of 5.67 billion yuan, up 263.4% year-on-year [7] - The company has announced plans to acquire all issued shares of Zeekr, further implementing the "Taizhou Declaration" to focus on its core automotive business and enhance resource utilization efficiency [7] - The report forecasts Geely's net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 14.2 billion, 19.6 billion, and 27.1 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 11, 8, and 6 times [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for Geely are as follows: 179.846 billion yuan for 2023, 240.194 billion yuan for 2024, 302.055 billion yuan for 2025, 382.115 billion yuan for 2026, and 455.664 billion yuan for 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.06%, 33.56%, 25.75%, 26.51%, and 19.25% respectively [1] - The projected net profit for 2023 is 5.308 billion yuan, increasing to 16.632 billion yuan in 2024, then decreasing to 14.208 billion yuan in 2025, before rising to 19.579 billion yuan in 2026 and 27.100 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.91%, 213.32%, -14.57%, 37.80%, and 38.42% respectively [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.53 yuan for 2023, 1.65 yuan for 2024, 1.41 yuan for 2025, 1.94 yuan for 2026, and 2.69 yuan for 2027 [1] Market Data Summary - The closing price of Geely Automobile is 19.74 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 183.32 billion HKD [5] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 2.09 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 65.83% [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 29.65 [7][12]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 revenue of RMB 72.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.7 billion, up 264% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1][5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the new car cycle driven by the GEA platform, with strong sales of new models like the Xingyao 8, which is projected to sell over 8,000 units monthly [4][12]. - The proposed privatization of Zeekr by Geely aims to enhance internal integration and reduce inefficiencies, potentially increasing group efficiency by over 5% and improving R&D and management efficiency by 15-20% [3][12]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company sold 700,000 new vehicles, a 48% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 15.8%, reflecting improvements in cost management [2][5]. - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 344.4 billion, RMB 370.8 billion, and RMB 422.5 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of RMB 13.8 billion, RMB 15.5 billion, and RMB 19.4 billion for the same years [6][12]. - The report indicates an expected EPS of RMB 1.37, RMB 1.53, and RMB 1.92 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a projected PE ratio of 20x for 2025 [5][12]. Market Outlook - The company is set to launch several new models, including the Lynk & Co Z10 and Zeekr 9X, which are anticipated to enhance revenue and profitability [4][12]. - The report highlights the importance of the GEA platform in driving profitability and operational efficiency, suggesting a positive outlook for the company's future performance [3][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group with a target price yet to be specified [3][11]. Core Insights - Xiaomi's release of its first self-developed mobile SoC, the Xuanjie O1, marks a significant milestone, positioning the company among the top global smartphone hardware manufacturers [1]. - The self-developed chip is expected to enhance Xiaomi's competitiveness in the high-end smartphone market, which remains a critical area for growth [2]. - The synergy between Xiaomi's self-developed chips, operating systems, and automotive business is anticipated to drive revenue growth and improve user experience [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Xiaomi has invested in chip development since 2014, culminating in the launch of the Xuanjie O1 in May 2025, making it one of the two domestic manufacturers with self-developed chip capabilities [1]. Market Position - The self-developed SoC is seen as a strategic move to break into the high-end market segment (priced above 6000 RMB) and to establish a competitive edge through enhanced user experience and scale effects [2]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts Xiaomi's total revenue to reach 471.8 billion RMB in 2025 and 679.7 billion RMB in 2026, with net profits adjusted for shareholders expected to be 42.9 billion RMB and 85.5 billion RMB respectively [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The Q1 performance of Geely Automobile met expectations, with a revenue of 72.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and a net profit of 5.67 billion yuan, up 263.4% year-on-year [7] - The company has announced plans to acquire all issued shares of Zeekr, further implementing the "Taizhou Declaration" to focus on the automotive main business and enhance resource utilization efficiency [7] - The overall single-vehicle profitability improved significantly due to scale effects and cost reduction strategies under the "One Geely" initiative [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 179.846 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 21.06% [1] - The net profit forecast for 2023A is 5.308 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.91% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is 0.53 yuan per share, with a P/E ratio of 29.71 [1] - The projected net profit for 2025E is 14.208 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 14.57% [1] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 11.10, 8.05, and 5.82 respectively [1]