证券研究报告|行业定期报告 2026 年 03 月 03 日 千问将发布同名 AI 眼镜，关注互联网龙头年报 互联网行业周报 TMT 及中小盘/传媒 互联网龙头陆续发布 2025 年年报，各类应用及端侧迭代加速，我们持续坚定 推荐业绩表现稳中向好、AI 领域领先布局的互联网龙头公司，如腾讯控股、 快手、哔哩哔哩、美图公司等。 互联网行业上市公司重要公告： ❑ KEEP： 2 月 24 日，Keep 公司发布 2025 年度盈利预告，基于对未经审核综合 管理账目的初步评估，2025 年公司拥有人应占亏损约人民币 7200 万 元，较 2024 年的 5.347 亿元收窄约 87%；非国际财务报告准则计量下， 经调整利润净额约人民币 2500 万元，较 2024 年的 4.696 亿元经调整 净亏损实现扭亏为盈。 ❑ 贪玩： 2 月 26 日与上海阅龙智娱文化科技有限公司、完美世界股份有限公司之 附属公司签订《股权转让协议》，根据协议，江西贪玩支付对价人民币 1500 万元获得上海阅龙 35% 的股权。同时，上海阅龙、江西贪玩与完美世界 签订《游戏运营权交接协议》，上海阅龙将《天龙八部 2：飞龙战天》App 版本 ...

Summary of XunCe Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: XunCe Technology - **Industry**: Data Infrastructure and AI Decision-Making - **Positioning**: XunCe serves as a full-link data infrastructure provider connecting raw data with AI decision-making, initially focusing on asset management and later expanding to large models and Data Agent platforms, similar to Palantir and Fourth Paradigm [2][4] Key Points Business Model and Product Offering - XunCe's products include PaaS-level real-time data infrastructure and SaaS-level applications, initially focused on asset management, now expanding into non-asset management financial services, telecommunications, urban management, and manufacturing [2][6] - The proportion of asset management business is expected to decrease from 74% in 2023 to 47% in the first half of 2025, indicating diversification [2][6] Financial Performance - Projected revenue for 2024 is 630 million, with a gross margin of 76.7%, although the company remains in a loss position, which has narrowed [2][7] - The business model operates on a dual approach of subscription and project delivery, with a current high reliance on project delivery [2][7] - Revenue growth over the past three years has been 38%, reflecting ongoing diversification and a shift towards subscription models [7] Market Position and Competition - XunCe holds an 11.6% market share in the asset management data real-time analysis market, ranking first and covering the top ten asset management companies in China with over 250 clients [3][8] - The overall real-time data market is still fragmented, with XunCe holding a 3.4% market share, ranking fourth [8] - Key competitors include Alibaba Cloud, Huawei Cloud, Tencent Cloud, and Hengsheng Electronics, with XunCe differentiating itself through private deployment and independent third-party agents [8] Industry Dynamics - The asset management data industry is projected to grow from 300 million in 2020 to 2.1 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 62% [9] - The overall real-time data analysis market is expected to grow from 450 billion in 2024 to over 900 billion by 2029, with an annual growth rate exceeding 20% [9] Strategic Partnerships and Shareholder Support - Tencent is the largest institutional shareholder with a 7.55% stake, providing technical and scenario support [3][7] - Goldman Sachs supports the IPO process and facilitates connections with global asset management clients [7] Future Outlook and Valuation - Revenue expectations for 2026 are projected to exceed 2 billion, with a valuation method suggesting a potential market cap of around 30 billion [10] - The current market cap is approximately 26 billion, with expectations that entering the Hong Kong Stock Connect will improve liquidity and market perception [10] Investment Logic - XunCe is positioned as a leading company in the AI Agent space, with strong customer barriers and a clear strategic advantage, making it a compelling investment opportunity as data value continues to be reassessed [11] Additional Insights - The company has faced challenges with its IPO process, including two failed submissions due to unfavorable market conditions and regulatory issues, but successfully passed the third submission by enhancing data compliance and governance arguments [2][5][6] - The management team is well-structured, with clear roles among the founders, contributing to strategic decision-making and market expansion [8]

网宿科技 20260226 摘要 公司收入主要来自互联网中大型客户的招标项目，虽然有涨价意愿，但 实际价格受友商策略影响，涨价节奏偏慢，难以对外披露具体数字。超 低价订单已逐步消失，但价格修复需要在招标竞争中逐步实现。 海外云厂商涨价与 CDN 涨价存在间接关系，主要驱动力来自算力、存 储、IDC 运营及电力成本上涨。大厂对 CDN 的补贴收缩，对 CDN 价格 带来间接影响。AI 发展可能达到"千亿甚至万亿"的量级，继续补贴 CDN 的意义明显下降。 CDN 业务量在国内呈现收缩，原因是公司主动放弃不挣钱的业务量，推 动行业价格回归健康状态。海外市场整体价格水平更高，市场状态通常 更健康，价格体系相对更容易维持在可持续水平。 AI 工具降低内容生产门槛，消费者总观看时长受限，原站侧数据量上升 导致成本抬升，回源取数逐步演变为需要常态化计费的方向，原因在于 内容从少量爆款集中分发，转向大量分散的长尾增加，回源成本占比上 行。 海外云厂商近期涨价与本轮 CDN 涨价之间的关联度如何？其背后的产业逻辑 是什么？ 国内外业务结构、收入与利润来源如何？网络安全拆分对收入贡献处于什么水 平？ 存在间接关系，但并非直接因 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese large model market has seen a significant surge, with token usage reaching 41.2 trillion, surpassing the U.S. models for the first time [1][2] - Major Chinese models dominate the top five in usage, indicating a shift in the competitive landscape [1][2] - The market is bifurcating, with established players like BAT focusing on integrating models into existing services, while new entrants like Kimi and MiniMax are expanding their developer ecosystems [1][2] Token Usage and Developer Insights - The 41.2 trillion tokens are primarily driven by global developers, with U.S. developers accounting for 47.17% of usage compared to only 6.01% from China [2] - The surge in token usage reflects real demand from developers who are willing to invest in models that deliver performance and cost efficiency [2][6] - MiniMax M2.5 and Kimi K2.5 are highlighted for their competitive performance and cost advantages, with MiniMax achieving the highest usage in coding and search tasks [2][3] Cost Efficiency and Performance - Chinese models are significantly cheaper, costing only 1/10 to 1/20 of their U.S. counterparts, which is reshaping the economic calculations for developers [3][4] - The cost structure of models like MiniMax and Kimi allows for substantial savings in computational expenses, making them attractive options for developers [3][4] - The introduction of the "Mixture of Experts" (MoE) architecture has optimized engineering efficiency, contributing to lower costs [3] Demand Dynamics and Token Consumption - The emergence of agent-based scenarios has changed the token consumption logic, leading to exponential increases in token usage for complex tasks [5][6] - Over 70% of token consumption comes from large internet companies and professional developers, indicating a strong demand for these models in production environments [6] Business Model Evolution - The industry is shifting towards a "Results-as-a-Service" (RaaS) model, where payment is based on outcomes rather than token usage [8][9] - This transition requires a rethinking of pricing structures, moving from token-based to results-based billing, which aligns better with client expectations [9][10] - The challenge remains in accurately attributing results to AI contributions, complicating the implementation of this new model [18][19] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The current landscape shows a growing willingness among businesses to pay for quantifiable results, driven by changes in procurement processes [16][20] - The financial sustainability of new players is under scrutiny, as they face high computational costs that can exceed revenue [8][26] - The ability to successfully implement results-based pricing will be crucial for the survival and growth of these new entrants in the market [26][27]

而在台下，路线之争也在酝酿着分歧，纯粹"卖Token"的商业模式正面临潜在危机。OpenClaw等开源框架暴露出不小的安全风险与不稳定的调用体验，且其 本身的开发壁垒不高。 各大厂慢慢意识到，真正的护城河不在于开放API，而在于通过自主研发的本地化开发工具与端侧智能体，锁死用户的数据上下文与业务场景。 2026年之春，"养龙虾"在AI圈彻底火了。这个让人人都能拥有自己的贾维斯的OpenClaw，自己出圈的同时，顺手把卖大模型token的玩家给养肥了。 由于Agent运行需要大量token，API调用量指数级飙升。作为"卖铲人"，智谱、MiniMax、Kimi、阿里云等国内大模型厂商纷纷推出Coding Plan的API套餐， 来迎接这泼天的富贵，智谱的顶配套餐甚至被抢空。 "卖铲人"在此期间赚得盆满钵满，营收随之暴增，在资本市场也迎来了史无前例的估值狂欢。 智谱与MiniMax在港股的市值飙升，双双突破三千亿港元大关，成了大厂身价的"计量单位"，未上市的Kimi则以破百亿美元估值，刷新了国内大模型独角兽 的纪录。 眼下，当AI变成能够自我循环、疯狂消耗Token来纠错和执行的自动化机器时，算力资源的消耗速度超 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the communication and electronic sectors, indicating a bullish trend in the A-share market with a focus on long-term investment opportunities [5][9][10] - The report notes a significant decline in the Chinese automotive market, with a 32.1% month-on-month drop in sales for January 2026, reflecting ongoing challenges in the sector [4][21] - The report emphasizes the impact of macroeconomic factors, including the appreciation of the RMB against the USD, which is expected to enhance the attractiveness of Chinese assets for global investors [4][9] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,146.63 with a slight decline of -0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.19% to 14,503.79 [3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 17.04 and 53.74, respectively, indicating a favorable long-term investment environment [8][9] Industry Analysis - The report discusses the strong performance of the power and utilities sector, with the index rising by 2.05% in February, outperforming the broader market [14][15] - The report highlights the significant drop in box office revenues during the 2026 Spring Festival, with total box office earnings of 5.697 billion yuan, a decrease of 40.09% year-on-year [17][18] - The automotive sector is experiencing a shift, with a notable increase in commercial vehicle sales, while passenger vehicle sales are declining [21][22] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a "stronger than market" investment rating for the power and utilities sector, focusing on stable, high-dividend companies and emerging opportunities in virtual power plants and controlled nuclear fusion [16] - In the automotive sector, the report recommends focusing on intelligent driving technologies and the transition to electric vehicles, as well as companies involved in robotics and liquid cooling technologies [23] - The report advises investors to pay attention to companies with strong content creation capabilities and efficient cinema operations in the film industry, as they are expected to benefit from the evolving market dynamics [20]

证券代码：301231 证券简称：荣信文化 荣信教育文化产业发展股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 3.2026 年 2 月，公司投资控股杭州余禾文化传播有限公司， 加码 AI 漫剧，深度 AI 应用布局，本次投入如何赋能公司主业？ 答：杭州余禾文化传播有限公司（以下简称"余禾文化"） 作为 AI 漫剧制作公司，在 AI 漫剧领域具备深厚技术积淀与全 流程工业化制作能力，其团队打造的"一鱼漫剧场"品牌曾推 出多部爆款作品，内容产能与平台分发实力兼具。基于"内容 +IP+AI 应用"的战略指引，公司持续围绕内容、渠道、新技术 三大方向进行对外投资。本次投资余禾文化，是公司在 AI 漫剧 领域的关键布局。当前，漫剧产业迎来高速发展期，此次投资 将助力公司把握产业机遇，正式切入 AI 漫剧新赛道。一方面， 依托多年积累的精品内容和 IP，公司可以系统性推动优质内容 的 AI 漫剧开发与全周期运营，以更富视觉张力的表现形式延续 IP 生命力，拓展 IP 受众群体与使用场景，深化 AI 应用布局； 另一方面，通过打造爆款漫剧产品驱动 IP 全链路开发，实现 IP 价值的多维度释放。 4.公司推出 AI 乐乐，也有不同 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Qianwen has become the most favored enterprise-level large model in China, with a daily usage share of 32.1% in the second half of 2025, nearly doubling from 17.7% in the first half of the year, thus expanding its leading advantage [1] Group 2 - Since 2023, Qianwen has open-sourced over 400 models, covering all sizes and modalities, with download volumes exceeding 1 billion times and derivative models surpassing 200,000, making it the world's leading open-source model [3] Group 3 - On Alibaba Cloud, enterprises can directly call the Qianwen large model via API to enjoy MaaS services, or deploy and retrain the open-source Qianwen models through Alibaba Cloud's IaaS and PaaS platforms; the number of tokens consumed on Alibaba Cloud is significantly higher than the reported statistics [4] - The latest open-sourced model from the Qianwen family, Qwen3.5-Plus, has achieved the highest performance among global open-source models, and API services can be directly accessed on Alibaba Cloud with a price as low as 0.8 yuan per million tokens [4]

根据OpenRouter最新周度token排名数据，中国模型MiniMax/Kimi/智谱/DeepSeek前5占4，国产大模型全 球调用量快速增长。电费可占数据中心运营成本40%。海外面临获电难、电价高等困境，部分欧美地区 2023-2025年平均工业电价较中国可高50%以上。 中金发布研报称，欧美电网设施老旧系统性风险正在提升，持续看好全球开启电力投资大周期。根据 OpenRouter最新周度token排名数据，中国模型MiniMax/Kimi/智谱/DeepSeek前5占4，国产大模型全球调 用量快速增长。互联网大厂加速全球布局，国产模型厂商与全球云服务商形成合作，模型部署在云服务 商的海外节点上，有望利好深度耕耘海外市场、具备海外产能且与互联网厂商形成稳定合作的国内电力 设备企业。 中金主要观点如下： 欧美电网设施老旧，近期暴雪警报频发导致停电风险 2026年1月25日美国超百万户断电，田纳西州、密西西比州断电率超过10%。2月22日，美国11个州发布 暴雪警报，罗得岛州普罗维登斯市市长布雷特.斯迈利表示，由于恶劣天气加剧，预计该州将有约10万 至15万户家庭停电。欧美电网设施老旧的系统性风险正在提升 ...

通信 周跟踪（20260209-20260215） 领先大市-A(维持) ——国产大模型春节档密集推新，NPO 和柜内光 3 月重点关注 2026 年 2 月 26 日 行业研究/行业周报 通信行业近一年市场表现 行业动向： 资料来源：常闻 相关报告： 【山证通信】北美资本开支增长并 未见顶，Scaleup 是光通信重要增量-周跟 【山证通信】——moltbot 爆火背后 1）国产大模型春节档密集更新，算力告急下国产 GPU Day0 适配市场巨大。 春节档豆包、元宝、千问"红包大战"与春节主题密集投流体现出国内大模型 C 端争抢流量入口进入白热化阶段，我们认为智能体 APP 渗透率的快速提升叠加智 能体能力的开放有望带来 Token 的非线性增长维持资本开支的刚性。大模型推新 方面，厂商密集发布与市场的热烈反馈表明我国在大模型算法创新和训练方面与 全球一线梯队接近。其中，字节豆包大模型 2.0 系列除夕上线，重点强化多模态 交互、AGENT 自主任务能力和代码生成效率，seedance2.0 更是支持 60 秒生成电 影级多镜头视频并为春晚部分视觉内容提供创作支持；阿里除夕同步上线千问 Qwen3.5 pl ...