2026.01. 30 作者 | 第一财经 胡弋杰 当地时间1月29日，美股主要股指涨跌互现。微软在公布季度财报后大幅下挫，拖累纳指和标普500 指数走低，与此同时，中东地缘政治紧张局势升温，推动国际油价跳涨。避险需求也一度推动金价盘 中短暂冲高至每盎司5500美元上方，但随后交易员集中获利了结，价格迅速回落。 截至当天收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨55.96点，报49071.56点；标普500指数下跌9.02点，报 6969.01点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌172.33点，报23685.12点。 隔夜，微软重挫10%，创下自2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅，市值单日蒸发约3570亿美元。市场对其 上一季度创纪录的人工智能资本支出感到不安，担忧高强度投入可能侵蚀软件业务的盈利能力，这一 情绪也蔓延至其他科技股。 这一下跌盖过了Meta公布强劲季度业绩后的大涨表现。Meta股价当日上涨10.4%。特斯拉在公布财 报后下跌3.5%。 其他大型科技股走势分化。英伟达上涨0.52%，苹果上涨0.72%；谷歌A类股与C类股分别上涨0.67% 和0.71%。亚马逊下跌0.53%，超威半导体下滑0.22%，博通下跌0.75%。 | ...

Group 1: Company News - Guoquan (02517.HK) expects revenue for 2025 to be approximately 7.75 billion to 7.85 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of about 19.8% to 21.3%. Net profit is projected to be between 443 million to 463 million RMB, up approximately 83.7% to 92.0% due to ongoing market expansion in rural areas and growth in per-store revenue [6] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) anticipates a net profit of 4.5886 billion to 4.7235 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 70.0% to 75.0%. This growth is attributed to the high-end specifications of smartphone cameras and improved product mix, leading to higher gross margins [6] - Baidu (02315.HK) expects to achieve operating revenue of 1.369 billion to 1.389 billion RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 39.61% to 41.65%. Net profit is projected to be between 162 million to 182 million RMB, marking a significant increase of 384.26% to 443.88% due to continued expansion in overseas markets [6] - Nocare (09969.HK) forecasts total operating revenue of approximately 2.365 billion RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of around 134%. The company also expects to achieve profitability for the first time, with a net profit of about 633 million RMB [7] - Yujian Xiaomian (02408.HK) anticipates a net profit ranging from 100 million to 115 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 64.7% to 89.5% [7] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical (01276.HK) has received acceptance for the listing application of a new indication for its innovative drug, which is expected to become a new clinical treatment option for patients with unresectable liver cancer [7] - Dazhong Public Utilities (01635.HK) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to be between 350 million to 500 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 50.12% to 114.46% [7] - Tigermed (03347.HK) projects a net profit of approximately 830 million to 1.23 billion RMB for 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 105% to 204% [7]

智通财经1月30日讯（编辑 赵昊）周四（1月29日），微软暴跌拖累美股早盘走低，但三大指数盘中持续缩小跌幅，最终道指收盘转涨。 截至收盘，标普500指数跌0.13%，报6969.01点；纳斯达克综合指数跌0.72%，报23685.12点。盘中，两只指数分别一度跌1.5%和2.6%。 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯指数 | 0 | 49071.56 | +55.96 | 0.11% | | 标普500指数 | | 6969.01 | -9.02 | -0.13% | | 纳斯达克综合指数 | | 23685.12 | -172.33 | -0.72% | 道琼斯指数涨0.11%，报49071.56点，盘中一度跌0.85%。30只成分股中，22家上涨8家下跌，IBM、霍尼韦尔涨近5%，弥补了微软跌约10%的拖累。 前一交易日，微软发布的业绩报告显示，公司云业务增速从40%放缓至39%；毛利率约为68%，降至三年来最低。微软周四收跌9.99%，盘中一度跌逾12%。 微软的暴跌重创软件板块，季度盈利和营收均好于预期的Se ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, which aligns with market expectations, leading to significant movements in the precious metals market and mixed performance in U.S. stock indices [5][21]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Reserve's decision to keep the interest rate unchanged was supported by 10 out of 12 committee members, with only two members advocating for a 25 basis point cut [5]. - Economic indicators suggest that U.S. economic activity is expanding steadily, but uncertainties regarding the economic outlook remain high, with ongoing concerns about inflation and employment growth [5][21]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the Fed's announcement, gold prices surged, reaching a new high of over $5400 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose by more than 10% [2][15]. - The Dow Jones increased by 0.02%, while the S&P 500 decreased by 0.01%, and the Nasdaq rose by 0.17%, indicating a mixed performance among major U.S. stock indices [6]. Group 3: Technology Sector Performance - Major technology stocks showed varied performance, with the Nasdaq's seven tech giants index rising by 0.19%. Notable movements included Nvidia up by 1.59% and Google and Microsoft increasing by 0.38% and 0.22%, respectively, while Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla experienced declines [8][10]. - Microsoft reported Q2 FY2026 revenue of $81.27 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, but its stock fell over 7% post-announcement before recovering [10]. - Meta's Q4 FY2025 revenue reached $59.89 billion, surpassing market estimates, leading to a stock increase of over 10% after hours [10]. Group 4: Commodity Prices - International oil prices rose, with light crude oil futures increasing by $0.82 to $63.21 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures up by $0.83 to $68.40 per barrel [19]. - Precious metals saw significant price increases, with gold and silver prices rising sharply following the Fed's decision, indicating a strong market reaction to monetary policy [15][17].

Group 1: Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, ending a series of rate cuts since September of the previous year [1] - There was internal dissent within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), with two members voting against the decision, advocating for a 25 basis point cut, indicating ongoing debates over monetary policy [1] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the current policy rate is at a neutral level and highlighted the resilience of consumer spending and business investment, along with signs of stabilization in the unemployment rate [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average slightly up by 0.02%, the Nasdaq Composite up by 0.17%, and the S&P 500 down by 0.01% [2] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 2.34%, reaching a new historical high, with significant gains in major semiconductor stocks such as Intel (up 11.04%) and Texas Instruments (up 9.94%) [4] - The semiconductor market is experiencing a broad recovery, with demand exceeding supply across nearly all segments, as noted by Argent Capital Management [5] Group 3: Tech Giants Earnings - Microsoft reported Q2 revenue of $81.27 billion, slightly exceeding market expectations, but the stock initially dropped over 7% in after-hours trading [6] - Meta's Q4 revenue reached $59.89 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, leading to a stock price surge of over 9% in after-hours trading [6] - Tesla's adjusted EPS of $0.50 surpassed estimates, and the company announced developments in its humanoid robot and vehicle production, resulting in a 3% increase in stock price [6] Group 4: Chinese Stocks Performance - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index saw a slight increase of 0.32%, with individual stocks showing a mixed performance [7] - Notable gainers included New Oriental (up 5.32%) and Li Auto (up 2.39%), while Pinduoduo experienced a significant decline of 3.84% [7] Group 5: Precious Metals and Oil Market - Precious metals prices surged following the Fed's decision, with gold prices reaching a new high of $5,425.757 per ounce, and silver prices increasing by 10.15% to $116.71 per ounce [9] - Oil prices rose due to escalating tensions in Iran, with light crude oil futures up by 1.31% to $63.21 per barrel [9] Group 6: Market Outlook - The focus will be on the announcement of the new Federal Reserve chair and subsequent policy directions, with market expectations indicating a high probability of maintaining rates in March and April [10] - The semiconductor industry's recovery, tech giants' earnings, and geopolitical developments are expected to continue influencing global financial market volatility [10]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate unchanged, leading to record highs in spot gold and silver prices [1][5][6]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Decision - On January 28, the Federal Reserve announced it would keep the federal funds rate in the range of 3.50% to 3.75%, while upgrading its assessment of economic growth [5][6]. - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rates until the end of Powell's term [2][5]. - Powell indicated that current data does not suggest a significantly restrictive policy and mentioned that no rate hikes are expected in the next meeting [6][7]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the Federal Reserve's decision, U.S. Treasury yields rose, reflecting a robust expansion in economic activity and signs of stabilization in the unemployment rate [6]. - The Dow Jones increased by 12.19 points (0.02%) to 49,015.60, while the Nasdaq rose by 40.35 points (0.17%) to 23,857.45, and the S&P 500 slightly decreased by 0.57 points (-0.01%) to 6,978.03 [2][3]. Group 3: Gold and Silver Prices - On January 28, spot gold surged over 4.5%, reaching a new high of 5,413.805 USD/oz [3][8]. - By January 29, during the Asian trading session, both spot gold and COMEX gold prices surpassed 5,500 USD/oz [9][10]. - Spot silver also saw significant gains, breaking through 118 USD/oz, marking a new historical record [10].

Market Overview - US stock market showed mixed results as investors digested the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision and awaited earnings reports from several tech giants [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 12.19 points, or 0.02%, closing at 49,015.60 points, while the Nasdaq increased by 0.17% to 23,857.45 points; the S&P 500 index slightly declined by 0.01% to 6,978.03 points, having briefly surpassed the 7,000-point mark during the session [2][3] Technology Sector Performance - Star tech stocks exhibited mixed performance: Nvidia rose by 1.59%, Google by 0.38%, and Microsoft by 0.22%, while Tesla fell by 0.10%, and Meta, Amazon, and Apple dropped over 0.6%, with Apple down by 0.7% and Oracle down by 1.20% [3][4] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 0.32%, with Alibaba up by 1.70%, NetEase by 1.46%, and Baidu by 0.02%, while JD.com fell by 0.92% and Pinduoduo dropped by 3.84% [3] Semiconductor Sector Highlights - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 2.3%, with Intel increasing by 11.04% and Texas Instruments by 9.9% [5] - ASML, a semiconductor equipment giant, opened high but closed down by 2.1%. The company reported a record net sales of €9.7 billion for Q4 2025, exceeding market expectations, driven by increased investment in AI chip manufacturing capacity [5] - ASML also raised its sales outlook for 2026, expecting annual sales between €34 billion and €39 billion, compared to analyst expectations of €35 billion [5] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve announced it would maintain interest rates, stating that the US economy is expanding at a "steady pace" and the unemployment rate shows signs of stabilization [5] - Market expectations suggest that the first potential interest rate cut could occur in June or July of this year [6] Commodity Market Movements - Geopolitical factors continue to impact oil prices, with WTI crude oil rising by 1.31% to $63.21 per barrel and Brent crude oil increasing by 1.23% to $68.40 per barrel [7] - Precious metals saw significant gains, with COMEX gold futures for January delivery rising by 4.36% to $5,301.60 per ounce and silver futures increasing by 7.19% to $113.11 per ounce [7]

*三大股指分化，纳指涨0.1%； *中长期美债收益率上扬，10年期美债升至4.25%； *半导体板块发力，英特尔大涨超11%。 周三美股涨跌互现，投资者消化最新美联储利率决议，并等待多家科技巨头盘后公布业绩。截至收盘， 道指涨12.19点，涨幅为0.02%，报49015.60点，纳指涨0.17%，报23857.45点；标普500指数微跌0.01%， 报6978.03点，盘中历史首次突破7000点大关。 【热门股表现】 明星科技股分化，英伟达涨1.59%，谷歌涨0.38%，微软涨0.22%，特斯拉跌0.10%，Meta，亚马逊和苹 果跌逾0.6%，苹果跌0.7%，甲骨文跌1.20%。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨0.32%，阿里巴巴涨1.70%，网易涨1.46%，百度涨0.02%，京东跌0.92%，拼多 多跌3.84%。 | 英伟达(NVIDIA) 191.520 1 1.59% 3.000 NVDA.O | | --- | | 600G G 336.280 3 336.280 2 0.38% G 1.280 G GOOG.O | | 微软(MCROSO... 481.630 00.22% 1.050 MSFT.O ...

盘面上，美股三大指数收盘涨跌互现，大型科技股表现分化。 美联储按兵不动 据新华社报道，美国联邦储备委员会28日结束为期两天的货币政策会议，宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在3.5%至3.75%之间不变。这一决定符合市场 预期。 当地时间1月28日，美联储宣布维持联邦基金利率目标区间在3.5%至3.75%之间不变。 受此影响，贵金属市场大幅走高，伦敦金现价格冲上5400美元/盎司，再创新高；COMEX白银期货涨超10%。 芝加哥商品交易所美联储观察工具显示，截至当日早些时候，市场认为美联储在此次货币政策会议上维持利率不变的概率超过95%。 Wind数据显示，截至当日收盘，道指涨0.02%，标普500指数跌0.01%，纳指涨0.17%。 美股大型科技股表现分化，万得美国科技七巨头指数上涨0.19%。成分股中，英伟达涨1.59%，谷歌、微软分别涨0.38%、0.22%；苹果、亚马逊、Meta、 特斯拉收跌。 | 盗版 成分 | 资讯 相关基金 | 月度收益 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ◆ | lil | | 英伟达(NVIDIA) | 191.520 | ...

纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨0.32%，热门中概股中，新东方收涨4.9%，比亚迪、理想涨超2%，阿里、网 易、小米、美团涨超1%，蔚来跌超0.7%，文远知行跌1.9%，拼多多跌3.8%。 格隆汇1月29日｜美联储维持利率不变，美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一，道指涨0.02%，纳指涨0.17%，标 普500指数跌0.01%。存储概念股走高，希捷科技涨超19%，西部数据涨超10%，闪迪涨超9%，美光科 技涨超6%。 ...