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特钢板块11月10日涨0.38%,常宝股份领涨,主力资金净流出2749.59万元
Market Overview - The special steel sector increased by 0.38% on November 10, with Changbao Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4018.6, up 0.53%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13427.61, up 0.18% [1] Stock Performance - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) closed at 8.85, up 4.12% with a trading volume of 202.77 thousand shares and a transaction value of 1.807 billion [1] - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 26.57, up 1.68% with a trading volume of 21.50 thousand shares and a transaction value of 570 million [1] - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 15.37, up 0.92% with a trading volume of 18.02 thousand shares and a transaction value of 277 million [1] - Other notable performances include Jinzhou Pipeline (002443) at 8.31, up 0.12%, and Xining Special Steel (600117) at 3.17, unchanged [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 27.4959 million from institutional investors and 17.9619 million from retail investors, while individual investors saw a net inflow of 45.4578 million [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks indicates varying trends, with Jiuli Special Materials seeing a net inflow of 70.0669 million from institutional investors [3] Individual Stock Analysis - Changbao Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 800.56 thousand from retail investors, despite a net outflow of 1.78287 million from speculative funds [3] - CITIC Special Steel experienced a net outflow of 1.58266 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 911.29 thousand [3] - Xining Special Steel faced a net outflow of 729.07 thousand from institutional investors, but retail investors contributed a net inflow of 882.76 thousand [3]
大越期货锰硅周报-20251110
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-11-10 03:12
Report Title - Manganese Silicon Weekly Report (11.3 - 11.7) [1] Core Viewpoints - From the cost side, the third round of coke price hikes has been implemented and prices are stable after the increase, while the manganese ore market is showing a strong trend, making the cost side of silicon manganese relatively firm. In the northern region, after the second round of coke price hikes in late October, freight rates in the main production areas of Inner Mongolia have increased. In Ningxia, due to the decline in electricity prices last month, the overall cost gap with the main production areas in Inner Mongolia has decreased. [2] - From the supply side, in early November, the silicon manganese market continued the weak and volatile trend of October. In November, the wait - and - see sentiment in both the north and south regions is still strong. In the northern region, there are planned new silicon manganese production capacities, but the specific ignition time depends on the market situation. Currently, northern enterprises mainly focus on fulfilling steel procurement orders and futures warehouse receipts, with a low willingness to quote for retail. In the southern region, the dry season has officially begun, and the electricity price in Yunnan has increased significantly, leading to production cuts in alloy plants. [2] - From the demand side, steel mills will conduct concentrated maintenance in mid - to - late November, with an estimated reduction in production, which may reduce the demand for silicon manganese alloy. Overall, the current silicon manganese market shows a weak and volatile pattern, and the most important factor to watch in November is the impact of steel mill production cuts on the demand for silicon manganese alloy. It is expected that the market will continue to fluctuate in the short term. [2] Summary by Directory Manganese Silicon Supply - **Capacity**: The document presents the monthly capacity of Chinese silicon manganese enterprises [6][7] - **Annual Production**: It shows the annual production of silicon manganese in Guangxi, Guizhou, Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Yunnan, other regions, and the whole of China [8][9] - **Weekly, Monthly Production and Operating Rate**: The weekly and monthly production of Chinese silicon manganese and the weekly operating rate of Chinese silicon manganese enterprises are presented [10][11] - **Regional Production**: It includes the monthly production of Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Guizhou, as well as the daily average production of Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Guizhou, and Guangxi [12][13] Manganese Silicon Demand - **Steel Procurement Price**: The monthly procurement prices of silicon manganese 6517 by various steel enterprises such as Baosteel, Baowu Egang, and others are shown [15][16] - **Daily Average Hot Metal and Profit**: The weekly daily average hot metal production and profitability of 247 Chinese steel enterprises are presented [17][18] Manganese Silicon Import and Export - The monthly import and export volumes of Chinese silicon manganese iron are presented [19][20] Manganese Silicon Inventory - The weekly inventory of 63 sample silicon manganese enterprises in China, and the monthly average available inventory days in China, the northern region, and the eastern region are presented [21][22] Manganese Silicon Cost - **Manganese Ore Import Volume**: The monthly import volumes of manganese ore from different sources and trade methods are presented [23][24] - **Manganese Ore Port Inventory and Available Days**: The weekly port inventory of manganese ore in China, Qinzhou Port, and Tianjin Port, as well as the weekly average available inventory days in China are presented [25][26] - **High - Grade Manganese Ore Port Inventory**: The weekly port inventory of high - grade manganese ore from different origins in Qinzhou Port and Tianjin Port is presented [27][28] - **Tianjin Port Manganese Ore Price**: The daily price of different types of manganese ore in Tianjin Port is presented [29] - **Regional Cost**: The daily cost of silicon manganese in Inner Mongolia, the northern region, Ningxia, the southern region, and Guangxi is presented [30][31] Manganese Silicon Profit - The daily profit of silicon manganese in the northern region, southern region, Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Guangxi is presented [32][33]
钢铁价格或筑底抬升,继续看多钢铁板块 | 投研报告
Core Viewpoint - The steel sector has shown a positive performance with a 4.57% increase this week, outperforming the broader market, driven by various sub-sectors including special steel and iron ore [1][2]. Market Performance - The steel sector increased by 4.57%, with special steel up 3.89%, long products up 1.39%, and flat products up 4.20%. The iron ore sector rose by 11.38%, while steel consumables and trade circulation sectors increased by 4.99% and 4.38%, respectively [1][2]. Supply Situation - As of November 7, the blast furnace capacity utilization rate for sample steel companies was 87.8%, down 0.80 percentage points week-on-week. Electric furnace capacity utilization was at 50.9%, down 2.12 percentage points week-on-week. The production of five major steel products was 7.491 million tons, a decrease of 18.53 thousand tons or 2.41% week-on-week [2][3]. Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products was 8.669 million tons, down 49.47 thousand tons or 5.40% week-on-week. The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 96 thousand tons, a decrease of 0.79 thousand tons or 7.60% week-on-week [2][3]. Inventory Situation - As of November 7, the social inventory of five major steel products was 10.75 million tons, down 2.10 thousand tons or 0.19% week-on-week, but up 31.11% year-on-year. Factory inventory was 4.286 million tons, down 8.09 thousand tons or 1.85% week-on-week, and up 7.45% year-on-year [3][6]. Steel Prices & Profits - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel was 3,419.8 yuan/ton, down 37.72 yuan/ton or 1.09% week-on-week, and down 8.28% year-on-year. The comprehensive index for special steel was 6,592.5 yuan/ton, down 7.02 yuan/ton or 0.11% week-on-week, and down 3.62% year-on-year. The profit for rebar from blast furnaces was -39 yuan/ton, an increase of 18.0 yuan/ton or 31.58% week-on-week [3][4]. Raw Material Situation - As of November 7, the spot price index for Australian powder ore (62% Fe) was 776 yuan/ton, down 30.0 yuan/ton or 3.72% week-on-week. The price for main coking coal was 1,800 yuan/ton, up 60.0 yuan/ton week-on-week. The price for first-grade metallurgical coke was 1,880 yuan/ton, up 55.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - Despite challenges in the steel industry, including supply-demand imbalances, the implementation of "stabilization growth" policies is expected to support steel demand. The industry is anticipated to maintain a stable supply-demand situation, with opportunities for structural investments in high-margin special steel companies and leading steel enterprises with strong cost control [7].
钢铁价格或筑底抬升,继续看多钢铁板块
Xinda Securities· 2025-11-09 12:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the steel industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The steel sector has shown a weekly increase of 4.57%, outperforming the broader market, with specific segments like special steel and iron ore seeing significant gains [2][10] - Despite facing supply-demand imbalances and declining overall industry profits, the steel demand is expected to stabilize or slightly increase due to government policies aimed at economic growth, particularly in real estate and infrastructure [3][34] - The report highlights that the steel industry is likely to maintain a stable supply-demand situation, with a focus on high-end steel products benefiting from macro trends [3] Supply Situation - As of November 7, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces in sampled steel companies is 87.8%, down 0.80 percentage points week-on-week [24] - Electric furnace capacity utilization is at 50.9%, a decrease of 2.12 percentage points week-on-week [24] - The total production of five major steel products is 749.1 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 18.53 million tons [24] Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products reached 866.9 million tons as of November 7, down 49.47 million tons week-on-week [34] - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders is 96,000 tons, a decrease of 0.79 million tons week-on-week [34] Inventory Situation - Social inventory of five major steel products is 10.75 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 2.10 million tons [42] - Factory inventory stands at 4.286 million tons, down 8.09 million tons week-on-week [42] Price & Profit Situation - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel is 3,419.8 yuan/ton, down 37.72 yuan/ton week-on-week [48] - The comprehensive index for special steel is 6,592.5 yuan/ton, down 7.02 yuan/ton week-on-week [48] - The profit for rebar produced in blast furnaces is -39 yuan/ton, an increase of 18.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [51] Raw Material Situation - The spot price index for Australian iron ore (62% Fe) is 776 yuan/ton, down 30.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [66] - The price for coking coal at Jingtang Port is 1,800 yuan/ton, up 60.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [66] - The average profit for independent coking enterprises is -22 yuan/ton, an increase of 10.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [66] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on regional leading enterprises with advanced equipment and environmental standards, as well as companies with strong growth potential and those benefiting from the new energy cycle [3]
2025年1-9月黑色金属矿采选业企业有1538个,同比增长0.2%
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-11-09 03:38
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current state and future outlook of the black metal mining industry in China, indicating a slight increase in the number of enterprises and their contribution to the industrial sector [1]. Industry Overview - As of January to September 2025, the number of enterprises in the black metal mining sector reached 1,538, which is an increase of 3 compared to the same period last year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.2% [1]. - The black metal mining enterprises account for 0.29% of the total industrial enterprises in China [1]. Related Companies - The report mentions several listed companies in the black metal mining sector, including CITIC Special Steel, Hebei Iron and Steel, and Baosteel, among others [1].
特钢板块11月7日跌0.3%,盛德鑫泰领跌,主力资金净流出1.8亿元
Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.3% on November 7, with Shengde Xintai leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances included: - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) rose by 3.41% to a closing price of 8.50, with a trading volume of 1.93 million shares and a turnover of 1.616 billion [1] - Fushun Special Steel (666009) increased by 1.61% to 5.68, with a trading volume of 870,900 shares [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) saw a rise of 1.14% to 6.19, with a turnover of 176 million [1] - Jiu Li Special Materials (002318) fell by 1.62% to 26.13, with a trading volume of 147,300 shares and a turnover of 387 million [1][2] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 180 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 145 million [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks included: - Fushun Special Steel had a main fund net inflow of 58.63 million, but a net outflow from retail investors of 55.44 million [3] - Shengde Xintai experienced a net outflow of 25.61 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 16.72 million [3] - Jiu Li Special Materials had a net outflow of 2.69 million from main funds, but a net inflow of 33.42 million from retail investors [3]
10月美国ADP就业数据超预期
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-06 00:50
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Gold: Short - term price in a callback trend [16] - US Dollar: Short - term oscillation [20] - Chinese Stock Index Futures: Long - position balanced allocation for each index [23] - US Stock Index Futures: Short - term high - level shock adjustment, with a bullish view considering profit support [27] - Treasury Bond Futures: Recently, the bond market is slightly bullish with limited upside, and long - positions should consider rhythm and odds [29] - Sugar: Chinese sugar market to oscillate, strict control on syrup and powder imports and reduced Q4 imports [34] - Steel: Adopt an oscillating approach to steel prices [41] - Live Pigs: Short - sell 03 contract after a sharp rebound, and keep an eye on long - positions in far - month contracts [44] - Red Dates: Wait and see, focus on price negotiation and acquisition progress in production areas [47] - Oils: If no major negative news, consider long - positions; wait for market sentiment to stabilize if negative [48] - Corn Starch: Band - trading [51] - Corn: 01 contract to oscillate weakly in the short - term and rebound in the long - term; be cautious about far - month contracts [53] - Thermal Coal: Price to remain strong in the short - term, watch policy changes after breaking through $800 [55] - Iron Ore: Downside space limited, consider negotiation and coking coal valuation [56] - Coking Coal/Coke: Short - term oscillation, watch for risks from declining hot metal production [57] - Copper: Oscillation, consider buying on dips [60] - Polysilicon: If the contract price corrects to par or discount to spot, consider long - positions; beware of options risks this weekend [63] - Industrial Silicon: Buying on dips may be more cost - effective [65] - Lead: Short - term strength, be cautious about chasing long; positive spread arbitrage available; be cautious in external trading [69] - Zinc: Speculative long - positions take profit on rallies; observe positive spread arbitrage opportunities; wait and see for external trading [74] - Lithium Carbonate: Short - term wide - range oscillation; consider short - selling on rallies in the medium - term [79] - Nickel: Wait and see for speculative single - side trading; bet on valuation recovery after risk release [81] - Crude Oil: Price to oscillate [85] - Asphalt: Short - term weak oscillation [87] - Methanol: Holders of short - positions add short after the rebound ends; conservative investors take profit [89] - Pulp: Limited upside space [90] - Urea: Oscillation due to sentiment support [92] - Caustic Soda: Short - term weak oscillation [94] - Soda Ash: Downside space depends on coal price and new capacity; bearish in the medium - term [95] - Float Glass: Wait and see due to intense market game [97] - Container Freight Rates: Short - sell after the rally [99] 2. Core Views of the Report - The US ADP employment data in October exceeded expectations, indicating a short - term recovery in the labor market, but the economic downward pressure persists, and the US dollar maintains an oscillating trend [2][19] - In the context of a global stock market correction, the A - share market showed unexpected resilience, and the stock index is expected to oscillate at a high level [3][22] - The prices of steel, copper, and other commodities are affected by factors such as macro - expectations, fundamentals, and supply - demand relationships, showing different trends [5][6] 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial News and Reviews 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - The US ADP employment in October increased by 42,000, and the ISM non - manufacturing PMI was 52.4, both better than expected [14][15] - Gold prices rebounded slightly, and the market is waiting for the end of the US government shutdown. Gold is expected to consolidate and approach the 60 - day moving average [15] 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - Trump blamed the government shutdown for the Democratic victory in local elections [17] - The US Supreme Court questioned the legality of Trump's tariff policy [18] - The ADP employment data exceeded expectations, but the economic downward pressure continues, and the US dollar maintains an oscillating trend [19] 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - China will firmly promote high - level opening - up [21] - The A - share market showed resilience, and the stock index is expected to oscillate at a high level [22] 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - The US ADP employment in October increased by 42,000, and the ISM services PMI reached a new high [25][26] - The US economic data remained resilient, and the stock market's risk appetite recovered [26] 3.1.5 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank conducted 65.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 492.2 billion yuan [28] - The bond market's upward space is limited, and it is expected to oscillate. Long - positions should consider rhythm and odds [29] 3.2 Commodity News and Reviews 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - India's 2025/26 sugar production season has started, and Brazil's sugar production estimate has been raised [30][31] - The expected high - yield of the two major producers has increased concerns about global supply surplus, which is negative for the market [34] 3.2.2 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - The retail sales of passenger cars in October increased year - on - year and month - on - month [35] - Steel prices continued to be weak, and the supply pressure is expected to ease in November - December [40] 3.2.3 Agricultural Products (Live Pigs) - The project of Wens Co., Ltd.'s subsidiary passed the environmental assessment, and Dabeinong signed a regulatory agreement [42][43] - The short - term spot market is bullish, but the medium - term supply is expected to be loose [43] 3.2.4 Agricultural Products (Red Dates) - The acquisition of red dates in Xinjiang is progressing, and the futures price declined [45][46] - The supply is increasing, and the demand is weak. It is recommended to wait and see [47] 3.2.5 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - Malaysia's palm oil production in October increased by 12.31% month - on - month [48] - The market expects inventory accumulation in October. Pay attention to actual data and November's high - frequency supply - demand data [48] 3.2.6 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - The开机率 of corn starch enterprises increased, and the inventory slightly rose [49][51] - The inventory pressure is expected to be acceptable in January, and enterprises may maintain profitability [51] 3.2.7 Agricultural Products (Corn) - The spot price of corn is generally stable, with some regional differences [51] - Substitute supply is expected to increase, and the 01 contract may oscillate weakly in the short - term and rebound in the long - term [52][53] 3.2.8 Black Metals (Thermal Coal) - The international thermal coal price was strong on November 5, and the domestic price has risen recently [54][55] - The price is expected to remain strong in the short - term, and watch policy changes after breaking through $800 [55] 3.2.9 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - The demand for concrete weakened slightly, and iron ore prices oscillated weakly [56] - The downside space is limited, considering negotiation and coking coal valuation [56] 3.2.10 Black Metals (Coking Coal/Coke) - The price of coking coal in Linfen Anze was strong [57] - The short - term market is tight, but the hot metal production has peaked, and it may oscillate [57] 3.2.11 Non - ferrous Metals (Copper) - Chile's Codelco's copper production in the first nine months increased by 2.1% year - on - year [58] - The short - term macro - expectations are volatile, and copper prices are expected to oscillate [60] 3.2.12 Non - ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - The number of photovoltaic component project bids decreased last week, and the price of polysilicon was under pressure [61][62] - November is a critical point of policy and fundamental game. Consider long - positions on dips if the contract price corrects [63] 3.2.13 Non - ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - The production of industrial silicon in Sichuan and Yunnan decreased, and the inventory is expected to be difficult to reduce in November [64] - Buying on dips may be more cost - effective [65] 3.2.14 Non - ferrous Metals (Lead) - The LME lead inventory decreased, and the domestic lead price trended upward [69] - The short - term supply is slowly recovering, and pay attention to delivery risks; consider short - selling at high levels in the long - term [69] 3.2.15 Non - ferrous Metals (Zinc) - The LME zinc showed a premium, and the domestic zinc production is expected to decline in November - December [73] - Zinc prices may oscillate at a high level in the short - term, and need demand improvement for further rise [73] 3.2.16 Non - ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - Hainan Mining's lithium concentrate has been shipped, and EVE Energy signed a cooperation agreement [75][76] - The short - term price may oscillate widely, and consider short - selling on rallies in the medium - term [79] 3.2.17 Non - ferrous Metals (Nickel) - Minmetals' acquisition of a nickel business entered the second - stage review [80] - The short - term price may be under pressure, and bet on valuation recovery after risk release [81] 3.2.18 Energy Chemicals (Crude Oil) - Kazakhstan's oil field production decreased due to maintenance, and the EIA crude oil inventory increased [82][84] - Oil prices are expected to oscillate [85] 3.2.19 Energy Chemicals (Asphalt) - The capacity utilization rate of domestic heavy - traffic asphalt decreased [86] - The asphalt price may oscillate weakly in the short - term [87] 3.2.20 Energy Chemicals (Methanol) - The Chinese methanol port inventory increased slightly [88] - The rebound does not indicate a fundamental reversal. Holders of short - positions add short after the rebound ends [89] 3.2.21 Energy Chemicals (Pulp) - The import pulp price was stable, and the futures price rose [90] - The upward space of the pulp price is limited [90] 3.2.22 Energy Chemicals (Urea) - The urea enterprise inventory increased, and the price oscillated upward due to export quota rumors [91] - The urea price may oscillate due to sentiment support [92] 3.2.23 Energy Chemicals (Caustic Soda) - The caustic soda price in Shandong decreased locally, and the inventory decreased [93][94] - The caustic soda price may oscillate weakly in the short - term [94] 3.2.24 Energy Chemicals (Soda Ash) - The soda ash price in Shahe oscillated, and the demand may be affected in the short - term [95] - The soda ash price may decline in the medium - term, and the short - term downside space depends on coal price and new capacity [95] 3.2.25 Energy Chemicals (Float Glass) - The float glass price in Shahe increased slightly, and the market game is intense [96][97] - It is recommended to wait and see due to intense market game [97] 3.2.26 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rates) - Shipping companies adjusted European - route freight rates [98] - The container freight rate may rise in the short - term, and consider short - selling after the rally [99]
沙钢牵头共建高性能钢铁材料产业知识产权和标准协同创新中心
Core Points - The establishment of the first national collaborative innovation center for high-performance steel materials in Zhangjiagang, led by Shagang Group, aims to enhance China's steel industry's core competitiveness and international influence [1][2] - The center will integrate resources across the industry chain and explore the "Shagang model" and "Zhangjiagang experience" to transition the high-performance steel materials industry from "manufacturing" to "intelligent manufacturing" [1] - A strategic planning report on the integration of intellectual property and standards in the high-performance steel materials industry was released, providing a comprehensive roadmap for high-quality development [1] - Experts at the conference emphasized that standards can effectively promote the transformation of cutting-edge technology into real industrial competitiveness [1] - Shagang plans to leverage the center to build a joint body for innovation in intellectual property and standards, enhancing international standard-setting and overseas patent layout to strengthen China's steel industry's global market presence [1] Company and Industry Insights - The innovation center's establishment reflects Shagang's leadership in innovation and its commitment to high-quality development and industry transformation [2] - Shagang aims to drive deep integration of technological and industrial innovation, creating a new paradigm of "intellectual property + standards" to empower industry development [2]
特钢板块11月5日涨1.71%,常宝股份领涨,主力资金净流入1.13亿元
Market Performance - The special steel sector increased by 1.71% on November 5, with Changbao Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3969.25, up 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13223.56, up 0.37% [1] Stock Performance - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) closed at 7.47, up 10.01% with a trading volume of 939,200 shares and a transaction value of 693 million [1] - Other notable performers include: - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) at 38.38, up 4.15% [1] - Fushun Special Steel (600399) at 5.62, up 3.69% [1] - Xining Special Steel (600117) at 3.19, up 2.24% [1] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) at 4.30, up 1.65% [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net inflow of 113 million in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 26.03 million [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks includes: - Changbao Co., Ltd. with a net inflow of 63.79 million [3] - Fushun Special Steel with a net inflow of 15.27 million [3] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel with a net inflow of 19.67 million [3]
锰硅周报-20251104
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-11-04 03:08
锰硅周报10.27-10.31 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号:F03105325 投资咨询证号:Z0021337 联系方式:0575-85226759 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 每周观点 本周观点: 近期硅锰市场震荡偏弱运行,市场观望情绪浓厚。 从成本端来看,本周焦炭二轮提涨落地,焦炭市场短期偏强运 行,锰矿市场暂稳运行。整体成本支撑加强。 从供应端来看,北方5600-5700元/吨,南方5645-5705元/吨,南北方零 售价格均贴近成本线,合金厂仅维持排单生产,生产积极性不高。有个别合金厂由于硅锰行情没有达到预期水平,10 月开始高炉检修,10月份整体开工率相较9月份有小幅下降。进入11月,南北市场表现可能不尽相同。据了解,北方 市场11月份有新增硅锰合金产能,开工率可能存在一定涨幅;而云南地区受丰水期结束影响,11月份电价即将上涨, 硅锰生产总成本将显著抬升。目前已有云南工厂明确表示 ...