Welcome back to Squawkbox. OpenAI is reportedly looking to raise as much as a hundred billion dollars for its expansion plans, which could value the company as high as, you ready for this. 830 billion.So, we're getting close to the trillion dollar mark. The Wall Street Journal saying that the earliest fundraising round would be completed at the end of the first quarter of this coming year. Then, opening eye expected to draw in financing from sovereign wealth funds as well.Earlier in the week, the informatio ...

Core Insights - OpenAI is seeking to raise $100 billion in funding, potentially increasing its valuation to $830 billion and paving the way for an IPO [1][2] - The company currently holds approximately 17% of the global chatbot market, primarily through its ChatGPT series [1] Funding and IPO Speculation - The funds are intended to scale OpenAI's operations and maintain competitiveness, with speculation surrounding CEO Sam Altman's potential plans for an IPO [2] - The funding round is expected to close by March 2026, but there is uncertainty regarding investor participation at the desired scale [2] Valuation and Market Predictions - Predictions suggest that the $100 billion funding could lead to a public-market valuation between $900 billion and $1.05 trillion, marking one of the largest IPOs in history [4] - The anticipated public float is estimated to be between 12% and 15%, with a 15% float being most likely to ensure liquidity and meet investor demand [5] Share Price Estimates - Based on a hypothetical 500 million shares outstanding, the estimated stock prices are $2,000 per share at a $1 trillion valuation, $1,800 at $900 billion, and $2,100 at $1.05 trillion [8] - The analysis indicates that substantial pre-IPO funding could dilute existing shareholders, affecting ownership percentages and market perception [7][9]

And welcome back to Worldwide Exchange. Check on a few big stories that we are following this morning. President Trump not ruling out a potential war with Venezuela and new comments to NBC News this morning, saying there will be additional seizures of oil tankers and he also declined to say whether ousting President Nicholas Maduro was his ultimate goal.The president also talking his trade policy, saying his tariffs are permanent. The Bank of Japan raising their short-term interest rates by a quarter point ...

A historic labor shock may be about to hit the job market. That's according to London Business School professor Ekaterina Abramova.She said AI is advancing so quickly that it could trigger mass layoffs long before new jobs emerge to replace them — a mismatch that has historically fueled social unrest. Abramova, who studies technology-driven economic transitions, said the past three years of AI advances mark a sharp break from earlier waves of mechanization.In past eras — from 18th-century textile automati ...

甲骨文和博通刚开完业绩发布会，股价就跟断了线的风筝似的往下掉。 甲骨文两天跌了快16%，博通更狠，一天就砸了超10%，整个AI板块跟着抖了三抖。 投资者们手里的计算器怕是都按出火星子了，这人工智能的钱，到底还能不能赚？ AI龙头业绩"爆雷"，是真不行了还是市场想多了？ 文 |姑苏九歌 编辑 |姑苏九歌 这周AI板块有点热闹，准确说是有点"慌"。 甲骨文这次财报看得人心里发毛，营收没达标就算了，花钱的架势倒是一点不含糊。 为了搞AI基础设施，又是买服务器又是扩数据中心，资本支出噌噌往上涨，现金流表看着就有 点"虚"。 有机构查了下，它的信用违约互换利差都飙到2009年以来最高了。 简单说就是，市场觉得它还不上钱的风险在变大。 科技公司烧钱不新鲜，谷歌、Meta哪个没烧过？但烧完得有回响啊。 以前市场对AI公司宽容，觉得"现在烧钱是为了以后赚大钱"，现在不一样了，你得让我看到这钱扔进去 能听着响，不然谁还敢把钱给你？ 晨星倒是出来说句公道话，甲骨文的数据库、应用程序这些老本行用户转换成本高，基本盘还在。 可现在市场就盯着AI这块新业务，老本行再稳，新业务"哑火"也不行啊。 博通的剧情更魔幻，明明营收、利润都超了华 ...

2025年12月，在腾讯科技HiTechDay上，以《模型再进化：2025，智能重新定义世界》为主题的圆桌论坛，正是围绕大模型进化的深度、维度、效率三条 线索展开。 华中师范大学人工智能教育学部助理教授熊宇轩为嘉宾主持，三位嘉宾北京智源人工智能研究院院长王仲远、面壁智能联合创始人、首席科学家刘知远、 峰瑞资本投资合伙人陈石分别从各自的领域，解读2025对于大模型进化的深入观察。 王仲远指出，大模型的进化正在经历"从Learning from Text到Learning from Video"的质变。视频数据中蕴含了丰富的时空信息与动态交互线索，为模型学 习物理世界动态演变规律提供了关键的数据来源，同时也是当前最容易规模化获取的一类多模态数据，是AI"从数字世界迈向物理世界"的关键桥梁，也为 具身智能（Embodied AI）的爆发提供了构建"世界模型"的底座。 刘知远提出的"密度法则"（Densing Law）认为，如同芯片摩尔定律，AI的未来在于不断提升单位参数内的"智能密度"。他大胆预言，未来的算力格局将 是"云端负责规划，端侧负责做事（执行）"，到2030年，我们甚至有望在端侧设备上承载GPT-5级别的 ...

Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, expressed concerns about Google’s dominance in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). He believes that Google’s immense power and business model could pose a significant threat in the AI space.Altman Warns of Google's AI PowerAltman, in a conversation with Alex Kantrowitz on the Big Technology Podcast, highlighted the potential danger that Google’s AI capabilities pose. “Google is still a huge threat…you know extremely powerful company,” stated Altman.He reflected on the s ...

文｜陆莫斯 封面来源｜AI生成 如果想知道AI市场到底发展成什么样，火山引擎已经是中国市场当仁不让的风向标。 "截至今年12月，豆包大模型日均token使用量突破50万亿，较去年同期增长超过10倍。"12月18日，在人头攒动的Force大会现场，火山引擎总裁谭待宣布 了这一数字。 MaaS（模型即服务），是最直接的观察模型消耗量的指标。单论这一市场，如今火山引擎已经成为国内市场份额第一，全球也能排在第三位。 2025年中旬，云厂商争夺"AI云第一"的硝烟还未停息，到了今年最后一个月，各个大厂又端上了各个新版本——前有谷歌的旗舰模型Gemini 3、视频模型 Veo 3.1炸场，后有OpenAI的GPT-5.2紧追不舍。在国内，包括阿里、腾讯等巨头也纷纷端出了新模型的更新。 "大家可能以为这个很简单，但我们做起来也很不容易！"谭待笑着说，"现在的模型能力其实已经够强了，但是很多企业还是用不起来，问题是Agent的工 具和生态还很早期，企业做Agent迭代就会很慢。" 距离2020年火山入局云市场，已经过去了五年。彼时火山还被称为是云市场的"新军"，现在，火山已经凭借大模型的东风，成为AI领域里不可忽视的力量 — ...

2025 年 12 月 19 日 每日晨报 | 指数 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 近一交易日% | 近20交易日% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯工业 | 48,101 | 47,952 | 0.14 | 3.93 | | 纳斯达克 | | 23,012 23,006 | 1.38 | 1.96 | | 标普500 | 6,778 | 6,775 | 0.79 | 2.00 | | 富时100 | 9,774 | 9,838 | 0.65 | 3.25 | | 日经225 | 49,058 49,002 | | -1.03 | 0.96 | | 上证指数 | 3,857 | 3,876 | 0.16 | -1.39 | | 深证指数 | | 13,113 13,054 | -1.29 | 0.56 | | 科创50 | 1,315 | 1,306 | -1.46 | -1.67 | | 恒生指数 | 25,331 | 25,498 | 0.12 | -1.31 | | 主要市场股指表现 | | | | | | 5.00 （%） | | 近一交易日% | 近20交 ...

大模型已经从单点能力， 进入系统工程的较量。 文 ｜ 陆莫斯 封面来源 ｜ AI生成 如果想知道AI市场到底发展成什么样，火山引擎已经是中国市场当仁不让的风向标。 "截至今年12月，豆包大模型日均token使用量突破50万亿，较去年同期增长超过10倍。"12月18日，在人头攒动的Force大会现场，火山引擎总裁谭待宣布 了这一数字。 2025年，这一数字仅为16.4万亿 图源：火山引擎 MaaS（模型即服务），是最直接的观察模型消耗量的指标。单论这一市场，如今火山引擎已经成为国内市场份额第一，全球也能排在第三位。 2025年中旬，云厂商争夺"AI云第一"的硝烟还未停息，到了今年最后一个月，各个大厂又端上了各个新版本——前有谷歌的旗舰模型Gemini 3、视频模型 Veo 3.1炸场，后有OpenAI的GPT-5.2紧追不舍。在国内，包括阿里、腾讯等巨头也纷纷端出了新模型的更新。 如果要给2025年的AI市场概括关键词，多模态和Agent必定在榜。 这次的Force大会，火山引擎重点发布的产品，也围绕这两方面展开： 模型侧：豆包旗舰模型1.8、以及视频生成模型Seedance 1.5 pro； 围绕Agent开 ...