21世纪经济报道记者张敏 深圳报道 4月22日晚间，正在筹划重大资产重组的中交地产，终于公布了交易预案。 预案显示，中交地产拟将旗下的房地产业务转让给控股股东中交房地产集团有限公司（即"中交房地产 集团"），这笔资产共涉及51家公司，资产规模较大。公告还披露了中交房地产集团的财务状况。 虽然中交地产并未公布交易价格，但业界普遍预计在百亿量级。这也是近年来房地产资产重组案例中， 涉及规模较大的一宗。 今年年初，中交地产宣布，2024年出现资不抵债，公司股票有可能被实施退市风险警示。同时，公司将 筹划重大资产重组，将房地产业务转让给控股股东，并聚焦物业服务、资产管理与运营等轻资产业务。 4月17日，在发布三次退市风险警示后，中交地产的股票简称正式变更为"*ST 中地"。 中交地产是基建央企中交集团旗下的房地产企业，此前发展不温不火，但在2019年忽然提出冲击千亿规 模的目标。随后，在房地产去杠杆的政策导向下，公司获取的高价地逐渐成为负担。 自2019年开始，中交地产的归母净利润连续六年下滑，最近两年更是出现亏损。随着公司走向资不抵 债，重组也成为无奈之选。 千亿野心 回归当年，李永前就提出，"2019年冲刺350 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for specific developers, including China Resources Land, China Overseas, Greentown China, China Jinmao, and Longfor Group, due to their favorable positioning in the market [3][43]. Core Insights - The report has adjusted its forecasts for the real estate industry, predicting a delay in price stabilization for first and second-tier cities by 6-12 months, now expected around mid-2026 [1][11]. - The impact of the US-China trade tensions is anticipated to create short-term challenges for the housing market, particularly affecting the secondary market, where bid-ask spreads are expected to widen [2][13]. - Despite the downward adjustments, the report suggests that the long-term outlook for the real estate market remains positive, especially if structural reforms are prioritized [1][3]. Summary by Sections Industry Forecast Adjustments - The report has lowered the sales volume forecast for the secondary housing market by 13% for 2025-2027, with a price reduction of 2% [2]. - For the primary market, the sales volume forecast has been reduced by an average of 6% for 2025-2026, with a 2% decrease in investment predictions [2][21]. - The completion area forecast has also been adjusted downward, reflecting a trend that has not met expectations [2][21]. Developer Coverage - The core earnings per share (EPS) forecast for covered developers has been adjusted down by 4%-6% for 2025-2027, with target prices reduced by an average of 3% [2][47]. - Developers with significant land reserves in first-tier cities are expected to recover more quickly, with a focus on quality land acquisitions [3][32]. - The report highlights that state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are expected to maintain stable contract sales growth, contrasting with a projected decline for private-owned enterprises (POEs) [47]. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the average daily new home sales in export-reliant cities have dropped by approximately 30% since the tariff announcement, compared to a 25% decline in other cities [7]. - The performance divergence among cities is noted, with top-tier cities showing stronger fundamentals and population growth compared to lower-tier cities [8]. - The report emphasizes that the secondary market is likely to face more significant challenges due to deteriorating supply quality and increased competition from new homes [14][18].

从三级管控全面转向两级管控，精兵简政提效能；投资节奏加快，京沪成投资重心。 行业排名居1 2位，销售回款率达9 9% 2024年中国金茂实现全口径销售额982.55亿元，行业排名提高1位至第12位，继续保持行业头部地位；销售面积581.84万平方米，销售业绩的降幅与百强房企 平均的收缩水平持平（百强全口径销售额同比降幅30.3%）。金茂持续优化"6-10-12-24"全周期管控体系，通过标准化提速在行业下行期实现更快的资金回 笼， 全年回款金额高达970亿元，回款率较去年同期提升5个百分点至99%。 ◎ 作者 / 沈晓玲、陈家凤 核 心 观 点 【 行业排名居12位，销售回款率达99%】 2024年中国金茂实现全口径销售额982.55亿元，行业排名提高1位至第12位。持续优化"6-10-12-24"全周期管 控体系， 全年回款金额高达970亿元。 年内金茂调 整组织架构 ，将开发单位三级架构精简为二级，推动资源向核心城市倾斜。 2025年预计总推货值达 1800亿 ，其中一二季度占比67%，推货节奏前置，叠加良好的货源结构（2023年以来新获取地块占比约70%）及精简的组织架构，销售规模有望突破千 亿。 【 ...

4月22日，杭州有2宗萧山区宅地出让，总成交金额44.73亿元，平均溢价率63.7%。 其中，市北单元地块由绿城以31.13亿元竞得，成交楼面价35066元/m²，溢价率59.39%；湘湖单元地块 由滨江以13.6亿元竞得，成交楼面价19306元/m²，溢价率高达74.4%。2宗地成交楼面价均刷新板块纪 录。 业内人士认为，杭州土拍持续高热印证了房企对核心地块的信心，核心区新房价格上涨或带动次新房价 值重估。 同日，成都也有2宗宅地出让，成交金额8.97亿元。其中，最受关注的郫都区地块吸引了多家房企参与 竞价，最终由四川联投以楼面价9250元/m²竞得该地块，成交总价约2.61亿元，溢价率33.09%。 杭州2宗宅地近45亿元成交 4月22日，杭州有2宗萧山区宅地出让，分别位于市北单元和湘湖单元，总土地出让面积104375m²，总 规划建筑面积159201.9m²，总起始价27.33亿元，最终2宗地块总成交金额44.73亿元。 中指研究院华东大区常务副总经理高院生指出，本次土拍核心地块高溢价成交，市北、湘湖地块楼面价 均刷新板块纪录，显示出房企对"核心区位+低密属性"地块争夺白热化。同时，产品也有差异化竞争， ...

其中，市北单元XS070101-26地块的土地出让面积40354㎡，规划建筑面积88778.8㎡，容积率2.2，建筑限高 80m，地块起始价19.53亿元，起始楼面价22000元/㎡。经过81轮竞价，最终由绿城以31.13亿元竞得，成交楼 面价35066元/㎡，溢价率59.39%。 4月22日，杭州有2宗萧山区宅地出让，总成交金额44.73亿元，平均溢价率63.7%。 其中，市北单元地块由绿城以31.13亿元竞得，成交楼面价35066元/㎡，溢价率59.39%；湘湖单元地块由滨江 以13.6亿元竞得，成交楼面价19306元/㎡，溢价率高达74.4%。2宗地成交楼面价均刷新板块纪录。 业内人士认为，杭州土拍持续高热印证了房企对核心资产的信心，核心区新房价格上涨或带动次新房价值重 估。 另外，同日，成都也有2宗宅地出让，成交金额8.97亿元。其中，最受关注的郫都区地块吸引了多家房企参与 竞价，最终由四川联投以楼面价9250元/㎡竞得该地块，成交总价约2.61亿元，溢价率33.09%。 杭州2宗宅地近45亿成交 4月22日，杭州有2宗萧山区宅地出让，分别位于市北单元和湘湖单元，总土地出让面积104375㎡，总规划建 ...

新京报贝壳财经讯 4月22日，杭州迎来两宗萧山区宅地出让，分别位于市北单元和湘湖单元，总土地出 让面积约10.4万平方米，总规划建筑面积约15.9万平方米，总起始价27.33亿元。据中指研究院数据显 示，最终，绿城旗下的杭州浙咏置业有限公司溢价59.39%竞得市北单元地块，杭州滨江房产集团股份 有限公司溢价74.4%竞得湘湖单元地块，2宗地块总成交价44.73亿元。 编辑 寇德娜 具体来看，萧山城区市北单元XS070101-26地块，用地性质为二类城镇住宅用地，土地出让面积40354 平方米，规划建筑面积88778.8平方米，容积率2.2，建筑限高80米，地块起始价19.53亿元，起始楼面价 22000元/平方米。经过81轮竞价，最终由杭州浙咏置业有限公司以总价31.13亿元竞得，成交楼面价 35066元/平方米，溢价率59.39%。 而湘湖单元（闻堰北片区）XS160101-01地块，用地性质为二类城镇住宅用地，土地出让面积64021平 方米，规划建筑面积70423.1平方米，容积率1.1，建筑限高24米，地块起始价7.80亿元，起始楼面价 11070元/平方米。经过115轮竞价，最终由杭州滨江房产集团股份 ...

实力房企坚定看好后市。 4月22日，杭州2025年第9批次土地成功出让。此次土拍可以说是萧山专场，两宗地块分别位于萧山市北 和湘湖新城，地块出让土地面积共104375平方米，总建筑面积15.9万平方米，出让总起价约27.32亿元。 此次杭州最终收金约44.73亿元，绿城、滨江分别高溢价拿地，且刷新板块地价新高，以重金押注的姿 态表明对杭州后市的看好。 杭州土拍市场的火爆，从两宗地块均有不下10家房企报名可见一斑。其中，市北地块有房企一次性加价 1亿元，这导致开拍10分钟，就已经有64轮报价，溢价率冲到50.69%。最终地块由绿城竞得，成交总价 31.13亿元，溢价率59.39%，成交楼面价35066元/平方米。 湘湖单元地块则由滨江竞得，成交总价13.60亿元，溢价率74.4%，成交楼面价19306元/平方米。 这两宗地块的单价均刷新了各自板块的新高。 杭州土拍热度不减的背后，是优质地块持续推出。市北西地块，北靠钱江世纪城，西靠滨江区区政府所 在板块，南面地块有规划大型综合体预期，是市北西近期出让的少有的优质地块。湘湖新城地块位于萧 山与滨江区的交界处，紧邻地铁四号线浦炬街站，容积率1.1，城市资源密集，靠核 ...

金融界4月21日消息，上证指数低开高走，中证港股通内地地产指数 (港股通内地地产，H11143)平盘报 收，报0.0点，成交额0.0亿元。 据了解，中证港股通内地地产指数从港股通范围内选取内地控股地产主题上市公司证券作为指数样本， 以反映港股通内地地产上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数以2007年12月31日为基日，以1000.0点为基 点。 从中证港股通内地地产指数持仓样本的行业来看，房地产开发占比74.61%、房地产管理占比25.39%。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。样本公司发生收购、合并、分 拆等情形的处理，参照计算与维护细则处理。当港股通证券范围发生变动导致样本不再满足互联互通资 格时，指数将相应调整。 本文源自：金融界 作者：行情君 从指数持仓来看，中证港股通内地地产指数十大权重分别为：华润置地（17.19%）、中国海外发展 （15.69%）、龙湖集团（8.93%）、华润万象生活（7. ...

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Real Estate Stronger than the Market (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Policy expectations are rising, enhancing the risk-reward ratio for the sector. The Prime Minister emphasized the need for new support measures during a recent survey in Beijing, coinciding with the upcoming Politburo meeting at the end of April. The report suggests that the short-term investment risk-reward ratio for the sector is improving due to potential policy enhancements aimed at boosting domestic demand and supporting the real estate market [2][3] - The report estimates that the potential demand for residential properties in China from 2025 to 2030 is around 876 million square meters, with 2024 sales expected to be 810 million square meters, indicating a significant gap. The promotion of "good houses" is expected to accelerate the release of improvement and replacement demand [2] - Short-term policy and fundamental factors are expected to resonate positively, while the long-term product iteration presents new opportunities. Recommended stocks include companies with strong product capabilities and optimized inventory structures, such as China Resources Land, China Overseas Development, and Poly Developments [2] Summary by Sections Policy Environment Monitoring - The Prime Minister highlighted the significant development space in China's real estate market. Recent new policies in cities like Wuxi, Qingdao, and Suzhou aim to stimulate housing demand and support families with multiple children [6] Market Operation Monitoring - Transaction volume remains stable, with new home sales in 50 key cities at 14,000 units, a slight decrease of 0.1% week-on-week. The average daily sales for new homes in April show a year-on-year decline of 22.2% [9][12] Capital Market Monitoring - The real estate sector saw a 3.4% increase in stock prices, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 0.59%. The current price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the real estate sector is 35.72, significantly higher than the CSI 300's 12.26, indicating a high valuation relative to historical levels [23][29]

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Real Estate Stronger than the Market (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - Policy expectations are rising, enhancing the risk-reward ratio for the sector. The government is likely to introduce new support measures, especially with the upcoming Politburo meeting at the end of April. The short-term investment risk-reward ratio for the sector is improving due to potential policy enhancements aimed at boosting housing demand and supporting the market [2][3] - The real estate market still has significant development potential, with a projected demand for residential properties of 876 million square meters from 2025 to 2030. The estimated sales area for 2024 is 810 million square meters, which is below the mid-term demand center. The promotion of "good houses" is expected to accelerate the release of improvement and replacement demand [2] - Short-term policy and fundamental factors are expected to resonate positively, while the long-term product iteration presents new opportunities. Recommended stocks include companies with strong product capabilities and optimized inventory structures, such as China Resources Land, China Overseas Development, and Poly Developments [2] Summary by Sections Policy Environment Monitoring - The government emphasizes the significant development space in the real estate market, with new policies introduced in cities like Wuxi, Qingdao, and Suzhou to support housing demand [6] Market Operation Monitoring - Transaction volume remains stable, with new home sales in 50 key cities at 14,000 units, a slight decrease of 0.1% week-on-week. The average daily transaction volume for new homes in April shows a year-on-year decline of 22.2% [9][12] Capital Market Monitoring - The real estate sector saw a 3.4% increase in stock prices, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 0.59%. The current PE ratio for the real estate sector is 35.72, significantly higher than the CSI 300's 12.26, indicating a high valuation relative to historical levels [23][29]