格隆汇2月2日｜白酒股盘初走高，其中，水井坊涨超5%，山西汾酒、贵州茅台、五粮液涨超3%，古井 贡酒、舍得酒业跟涨。消息上，酒价内参2月2日价格发布，十大单品涨跌分化整体价格升至阶段高位。 ...

今日市场十大单品七涨三跌。上涨产品中，国窖1573、青花汾20、古井贡古20各环比上涨10元/瓶，渠 道补货与成交重心上移带动价格显著抬升；五粮液普五八代同步回升，上涨8元/瓶，批零价差得到阶段 性修复；洋河梦之蓝M6+环比上涨6元/瓶，区域库存去化支撑报价上调；精品茅台环比上涨2元/瓶，高 端礼赠需求继续带动成交价微调，该酒品已四连阳累计涨幅超60元；水晶剑南春微涨1元/瓶。下跌产品 方面，习酒君品回落17元/瓶，跌幅领先，625元/瓶的均价创下30天来新低；飞天茅台下跌15元/瓶，青 花郎回落6元/瓶。 新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在2月2日呈分 化走势，但整体价格继续走升。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为9020元，较昨日上 涨9元，升至1月8日以来最高位。 "酒价内参"的每日数据源自全国各大区均有合理分布的约200个采集点，包括但不限于酒企的指定经销 商、社会经销商、电商平台和零售网点等，原始取样数据为过去24个小时中各点位经手的真实成交终端 零售价格，力求为社会各界提供一份关 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market shows a divergence in retail prices for the top ten products, with an overall upward trend in prices, reaching the highest level since January 8, 2023, at a total price of 9020 yuan for a bundled sale of these products, an increase of 9 yuan from the previous day [1]. Price Movements - Among the top ten products, seven saw price increases while three experienced declines. Notable price increases include: - Guojiao 1573, Qinghua Fen 20, and Gujing Gong 20, each rising by 10 yuan per bottle due to channel restocking and a shift in transaction focus [1]. - Wuliangye Pu 58th generation increased by 8 yuan per bottle, indicating a recovery in the price difference between wholesale and retail [1]. - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ rose by 6 yuan per bottle, supported by regional inventory reduction [1]. - Premium Moutai increased by 2 yuan per bottle, driven by high-end gifting demand, accumulating a total increase of over 60 yuan in four consecutive days [1]. - Crystal Jian Nan Chun saw a slight increase of 1 yuan per bottle [1]. Price Declines - The products that experienced price declines include: - Xijiu Junpin, which fell by 17 yuan per bottle, reaching a 30-day low at an average price of 625 yuan [1]. - Feitian Moutai decreased by 15 yuan per bottle [1]. - Qinghua Lang dropped by 6 yuan per bottle [1]. Current Prices of Major Products - Current retail prices for notable products are as follows: - Feitian Moutai: 1715 yuan per bottle, down by 15 yuan [3]. - Premium Moutai: 2417 yuan per bottle, up by 2 yuan [3]. - Wuliangye Pu 58th generation: 801 yuan per bottle, up by 8 yuan [4]. - Qinghua Fen 20: 384 yuan per bottle, up by 10 yuan [4]. - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+: 585 yuan per bottle, up by 6 yuan [4]. - Gujing Gong 20: 520 yuan per bottle, up by 10 yuan [4]. - Xijiu Junpin: 625 yuan per bottle, down by 17 yuan [4]. - Qinghua Lang: 707 yuan per bottle, down by 6 yuan [4]. - Crystal Jian Nan Chun: 389 yuan per bottle, up by 1 yuan [4].

Investment Rating - The report rates multiple companies in the consumer staples sector as "Outperform," including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili [1]. Core Insights - The consumer staples industry in January 2026 shows a recovery in basic demand while hedonic consumption remains under pressure, indicating a divergence in performance across different segments [3][29]. - Among the eight key consumer industries tracked, four are experiencing positive growth (condiments, frozen food, soft drinks, and catering), while four are facing declines (high-end and above Baijiu, mass-market Baijiu, dairy products, and beer) [29]. Summary by Segment Baijiu (High-end and Above) - In January, the revenue for high-end Baijiu reached 47 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 14.0%. The price pressure is significant, with expectations of over a 10% price drop throughout the year due to high inventory levels [11]. Baijiu (Mass-market and Below) - The mass-market Baijiu segment generated 22.9 billion yuan in January, down 3.0% year-on-year. Despite the decline, the segment shows resilience due to rigid demand and adaptability to consumption scenarios [13]. Beer - The beer industry reported revenues of 17 billion yuan in January, a decrease of 7.1% year-on-year. The demand was affected by adverse weather and the delayed Spring Festival, leading to a cautious inventory approach by distributors [15]. Condiments - The condiment sector achieved revenues of 46.9 billion yuan in January, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.5%. The recovery in the catering channel and increased demand from small and medium-sized businesses are key drivers [17]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector's revenue was 43.5 billion yuan in January, down 3.3% year-on-year. The demand remains under pressure, but a potential recovery is anticipated in the coming months due to low base effects [19]. Frozen Food - The frozen food segment saw revenues of 14.99 billion yuan in January, with a year-on-year increase of 8%. The demand is supported by pre-Spring Festival stocking and favorable weather conditions [21]. Soft Drinks - The soft drink industry generated 96.2 billion yuan in January, with a modest growth of 1.1% year-on-year. Increased promotional activities indicate heightened market competition [24]. Catering - The catering sector reported revenues of 16.2 billion yuan in January, up 2.5% year-on-year. The demand is gradually improving, particularly in small and medium-sized restaurants [26].

Group 1: Spring Festival Travel and Tax Policies - The 2026 Spring Festival travel season will begin on February 2 and end on March 13, lasting 40 days, with an expected cross-regional population flow of 9.5 billion people, setting a historical record [1][8] - The State Taxation Administration has announced a new export tax rebate management method to make the export tax rebate application process more convenient and efficient [1][8] - The personal tax threshold for value-added tax has been raised to 1,000 yuan, with specific conditions outlined for certain transactions that will not apply to this threshold [1][8] Group 2: Shipbuilding Industry Performance - In 2025, China's shipbuilding industry maintained its global leadership for 16 consecutive years, with a completed shipbuilding volume of 53.69 million deadweight tons, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%, accounting for 56.1% of the world total [9] - The new orders received amounted to 107.82 million deadweight tons, representing 69.0% of the global total, while the hand-held order volume reached 274.42 million deadweight tons, a year-on-year increase of 31.5%, accounting for 66.8% of the world total [9] Group 3: Telecommunications and Film Industry Updates - China Mobile, China Unicom, and China Telecom announced adjustments to the applicable scope of value-added tax for telecommunications services, with the tax rate changing from 6% to 9% starting January 1, 2026 [9][11] - As of February 1, 2026, the annual box office has exceeded 2 billion yuan, with several domestic films scheduled for release during the Spring Festival [9]

证 券 研 究 报 告 【策略月报】 红利内部轮动模型：迈向周期与制造 ——多行业联合红利资产 1 月报 策略研究 策略月报 2026 年 02 月 01 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：姚佩 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522120004 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 证券分析师：马野 邮箱：maye@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040003 相关研究报告 《【华创策略】杠杆&ETF 资金分化趋势逆转—— 流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-12-01 《【华创策略】自媒体 A 股搜索热度重回高位— —流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-11-25 《【华创策略】60 日均线的机遇挑战——策略周 聚焦》 2025-11-23 《【华创策略】股票型 ETF 为当前流入主力—— 流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-11-1 ...

酒板块眼踪点评报告 TH KE ■ 证券研究报告 因 投资评级:看好(维持) 最近 12 月市场表现 分析师 皇立德 SAC 证书编号: S0160523090004 wuwd01@ctsec.com 分析师 张之 SAC 证书编号: S0160525090004 zhangli01@ctsec.com 任金星 分析师 SAC 证书编号：S0160524010001 renix@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《4Q2025 食品饮料基金持仓分析》 2026-01-29 2. 《国标加速推出，利好行业规范和集中 度提升 》 3. 《牛肉进口政策落地,肉奶共振利好牧 业》 2026-01-05 日酒动销渐起,关注预期差下的板块机织 核心观点 作者具有中国证券业协会授予的证券投资咨询执业资格，并注册为证券分析师，具备专业胜任能力，保证报告所采用的数 据均来自合规渠道，分析逻辑基于作者的职业理解。本报告清晰地反映了作者的研究观点，力求独立、客观和公正，结论 不受任何第三方的授意或影响，作者也不会因本报告中的具体推荐意见或观点而直接或间接收到任何形式的补偿。 ● 资质声明 � 风险提示:消费力恢复不及预期，行业竞 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a positive shift in the real estate and domestic demand sectors related to liquor, with Moutai's market-oriented transformation stimulating incremental demand, leading to a continuous rise in wholesale prices and a recovery in industry valuations [1][3]. - The Wind liquor index experienced a weekly increase of 4.17%, with several stocks in the sector rising over 5% [1][3]. - Moutai's wholesale price has rebounded significantly, with the price of Feitian Moutai rising from the year's low to around 1700 yuan, contributing to a strong market rebound [3][5]. Group 2 - Despite the overall increase in liquor stock prices, some stocks like *ST Yanshi and Yanghe Co. saw declines due to performance concerns, indicating a mixed recovery in the sector [1][6]. - *ST Yanshi's stock price has been volatile, with a significant drop of 5.63% over the week, and the company has issued a risk warning regarding its financial situation, projecting revenues below 300 million yuan for 2025 [6][7]. - Yanghe Co. reported a projected net profit for the year of 2.116 billion to 2.524 billion yuan, slightly below market expectations, and adjusted its dividend policy, which may reduce its attractiveness as a dividend stock [7].

Group 1 - The company Gujing Gongjiu announced a profit distribution plan based on its total share capital of approximately 529 million shares, which includes about 409 million A-shares and 120 million B-shares [1] - The distribution will involve a cash dividend of 10 RMB per 10 shares (including tax), totaling approximately 529 million RMB in cash dividends, with no bonus shares or capital reserve transfers [1] - The record date for the dividend is set for February 9, 2026, and the ex-dividend date is February 10, 2026 [1]

一、股东会授权及董事会审议通过利润分配方案的情况 1.安徽古井贡酒股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年9月 29日召开了2025年第二次临时股东大会，审议通过《关于提请股东大 会授权董事会制定中期分红方案的议案》，同意授权董事会论证、制 定并实施2025年中期分红方案。根据2025年第二次临时股东大会的授 权，公司召开了第十届董事会第十三次会议，审议通过《2025年中期 利润分配方案》。具体分配方案为：以公司现有总股本528,600,000股 （其中A股总股本408,600,000股，B股总股本120,000,000股）为基数， 向全体股东每10股派现金10.00元（含税），共计分配现金股利人民币 528,600,000.00元，不送红股，不以公积金转增股本； 2.公司自分配方案披露日至本次实施期间，公司股本总额未发生 变化。若在分配方案实施前公司总股本由于股份回购、再融资新增股 份上市等原因而发生变化的，按照分配总额不变的原则对分配比例进 行调整； 3.本次实施的分配方案与董事会审议通过的分配方案一致； 证券代码：000596、200596 证券简称：古井贡酒、古井贡 B 公告编号：2026-003 ...