Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the technology sector [5] Core Viewpoints - The AI-driven data center construction continues to show growth potential, with major tech companies increasing their capital expenditures significantly [1][2] - SMCI's recent financial performance has not aligned with the strong industry trends, indicating potential issues with its shipment policies and management credibility [2] - The introduction of new liquid cooling systems and AI products by SMCI is expected to enhance its competitive position in the market [3] Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Investment Rating - The technology sector is rated as "Overweight," indicating expectations for the sector's stock index to outperform benchmarks [5] Section 2: AI Infrastructure Growth - Major tech companies like Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon have shown substantial year-on-year increases in capital expenditures, with growth rates of 43%, 104%, 53%, and 74% respectively, reaching $172 billion, $137 billion, $167 billion, and $243 billion [1] - IDC forecasts a CAGR of 16.3% for the AI server market over the next five years, while the data center market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15-17% [1] Section 3: SMCI Financial Performance - SMCI's FY25Q3 revenue was $4.59 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 19% [1] - Non-GAAP EPS for FY25Q3 was $0.31, down 53% year-on-year and 47% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company has lowered its FY2025 revenue forecast from $23.5-25 billion to $21.8-22.6 billion due to uncertainties related to tariffs [1] Section 4: Product Development - SMCI launched the HGX B300 NVL16 and GB300 NVL72 systems, which support both air and liquid cooling, with significant enhancements in performance and energy efficiency [3] - The new products include advanced features such as high-speed interconnects and improved thermal design, which can reduce overall energy consumption by up to 40% [3]

Vertiv (VRT) FY Conference Summary Industry Overview - The critical digital infrastructure industry is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% to 12% through 2029, with mid-teens growth anticipated in cloud and colocation sectors [3][4][6] - The demand for data center capacity remains strong, driven by AI advancements and the need for enhanced infrastructure [5][9][22] Core Insights - The company maintains that the growth assumptions from the Investor Day remain valid despite market fluctuations, with a potential for even stronger demand than previously anticipated [4][7][9] - The shift from AI training to inference is noted, with inference expected to grow faster due to its monetization potential [15][17] - The company reported a record quarter for orders, with a year-on-year increase of 13% and a 60% increase compared to the previous year [11][12] Demand Dynamics - The demand for large data centers continues, alongside a rise in smaller, distributed edge data centers [18][19] - There are no significant long-term changes in market dynamics, although short-term adjustments may occur due to resource constraints [21][22] - The company is optimistic about long-term demand, supported by a strong pipeline and industry trends [22][23] Competitive Landscape - New entrants in the market, including sovereign and neo cloud providers, are expanding the industry, but the company does not perceive this as an increase in risk [26][27] - The company employs rigorous credit checks and often requires advanced payments to mitigate risks associated with new customers [28][29] Tariff Impact - The company has not observed any material impact from tariffs on demand, as the demand for AI capacity remains robust [31][32] - There is a focus on maintaining competitive lead times, which may provide opportunities for market share gains amidst tariff uncertainties [37][39] Capital Expenditure (CapEx) Strategy - The company plans to maintain a 25% to 30% capacity headroom versus demand, indicating confidence in future growth [47][50] - CapEx allocation is influenced by geopolitical conditions, but no dramatic shifts in strategy are expected [48][49] Product Innovation and Market Share - Recent product launches, including new chillers and modular solutions, are aimed at increasing market share and addressing customer needs [52][56] - The company is particularly focused on expanding its liquid cooling capacity, which has seen significant growth [61][62] Conclusion - Vertiv is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for critical digital infrastructure, with a strong pipeline, innovative product offerings, and a strategic approach to managing risks associated with market dynamics and tariffs [9][22][37][61]

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential investment opportunity in Vertiv Holdings (NYSE: VRT), suggesting that the worst may be behind the company and it is well-positioned for future growth [1] - The investment group Beyond the Wall Investing offers features such as a fundamentals-based portfolio, weekly analysis from institutional investors, and alerts for short-term trade ideas based on technical signals [1] - The author indicates a potential intention to initiate a long position in VRT within the next 72 hours, reflecting a bullish sentiment towards the stock [1]

Core Viewpoint - Vertiv (VRT) shares have declined 19% year to date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the Zacks Computers - IT Services industry, primarily due to macroeconomic challenges and trade war fears stemming from U.S. tariffs [1][2]. Company Performance - VRT stock has underperformed compared to Eaton (ETN), which has invested over $8 billion in sustainable energy solutions, with Eaton's shares down 11.3% year to date [2]. - Vertiv's organic orders grew approximately 20% in the trailing 12 months, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4 for Q1 2025, indicating strong prospects [5]. - The backlog increased by 10% sequentially and 25% year over year, reaching $7.9 billion [5]. Product Portfolio Expansion - Vertiv launched four new systems in March 2025 aimed at AI applications, including Vertiv Unify software and SmartRun modular solutions, enhancing power efficiency and scalability [6]. - The introduction of the Vertiv CoolLoop Trim Cooler offers up to 70% energy savings and 40% space reduction for high-density cooling environments [7]. Strategic Partnerships - Vertiv's partnerships with companies like Tecogen, NVIDIA, and others are key growth drivers [8][9][10]. - The collaboration with Tecogen focuses on advanced natural gas-powered chiller technology for data centers, enhancing cooling solutions [9]. - The partnership with NVIDIA aims to launch a modular AI supercomputer in Italy by 2025 [10]. Financial Guidance - For 2025, Vertiv expects revenues between $9.325 billion and $9.575 billion, with organic net sales growth projected at 16.5% to 19.5% [11]. - The second-quarter 2025 revenue forecast is between $2.325 billion and $2.375 billion, with organic net sales growth expected in the 19% to 23% range [12]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 revenues is $2.27 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 16.48% [13]. - The 2025 earnings estimate is pegged at $3.55 per share, reflecting a 24.56% increase from 2024 [14]. Valuation Metrics - Vertiv is currently trading at a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 12.19X, compared to the sector's 8.90X, indicating it is overvalued [15]. - The company has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting investors should wait for a more favorable entry point [19].

一、行情 4月30日，算力、大模型板块集体走强。鸿博股份4连板，电光科技、超讯通信、浙文互联、常山北明、创意信息（20CM）等纷纷涨停。 天源迪科、亚康股份、东方材料、华胜天成、亿田智能、城地香江、并行科技等集体走强。 | 股票名称 | | 最新价 ◆ | 涨跌幅 ◆ | 涨停时间 ◆ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 鸿博股份 002229.SZ | 4天4板 | 15.88 | +9.97% | 09:42:09 | | 川润股份 002272.SZ | | 9.77 | +10.02% | 10:14:33 | | 亿田智能 300911.SZ | | 52.23 | +14.97% | | 二、事件：顶层推动+国产大模型发力+算力订单持续落地 1）据新华社报道，4月29日，中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平在上海考察。这是习近平在位于徐汇区的上海"模速空间"大模型创新生态社 区，同正在参加"下一代智能体的自主进化"主题沙龙的青年创新人才亲切交流。 报道称，几天前的中央政治局集体学习中，总书记深刻指出，"面对新一代人工智能技术快速演进的新形势，要充分发挥新 ...

Core Viewpoint - Vertiv (VRT) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) are key players in the AI infrastructure market, which is expected to exceed $200 billion in spending by 2028, presenting significant investment opportunities for both companies [1]. Company Performance - Vertiv shares have declined 24.2% year-to-date (YTD), while Super Micro Computer shares have increased by 21.7%. Since the 90-day tariff pause on April 9, VRT shares have appreciated 18.3%, compared to SMCI's 1.1% [2]. Vertiv (VRT) Analysis - Vertiv's extensive product portfolio includes thermal systems, liquid cooling, UPS, switchgear, busbar, and modular solutions. Organic orders grew approximately 20% in the trailing 12 months, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4 for Q1 2025, indicating strong prospects. The backlog increased by 10% sequentially and 25% year-over-year to $7.9 billion [5]. - In March, Vertiv launched four new systems, enhancing capabilities in infrastructure management, modular deployment, advanced thermal management, and DC power distribution [6]. - Strong capital expenditure plans by hyperscalers for data center expansion are favorable for Vertiv. The company expects net sales for 2025 to be between $9.325 billion and $9.575 billion, up from the previous guidance of $9.13 billion to $9.28 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for VRT's 2025 revenues is $9.23 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15.14% [7]. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Analysis - Super Micro Computer is experiencing growth due to the increasing deployment of AI and HPC workloads, with rising demand for its high-performance and energy-efficient servers as data centers expand [9]. - The company leads the Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) market, having shipped over 3,000 DLC racks in 2024, which is approximately 70% of the global DLC market. SMCI is rapidly expanding its production facilities across Malaysia, Taiwan, Europe, and the United States [10]. - Super Micro Computer has a growing partner base, including Intel and AMD, and utilizes Intel Gaudi 3 accelerators for scalable AI tasks. Its H14 Series servers leverage AMD's EPYC 9005 CPUs and GPU-Accelerated Systems utilize AMD's Instinct MI325X GPUs [11]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vertiv's 2025 earnings is $3.55 per share, down by 1.11% over the past 30 days, indicating a 24.56% increase over 2024's reported figure [12]. - For Super Micro Computer, the consensus estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings has declined by 1.2% to $2.52 per share over the past 30 days, suggesting a 14.03% growth over fiscal 2024 [13]. Earnings Quality - Vertiv has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, with an average surprise of 10.42%. In contrast, Super Micro Computer has beaten estimates twice and missed once, with a negative surprise of 1.82% [14]. Valuation Comparison - Both companies are considered overvalued, with a Value Score of D. Vertiv shares are trading at a forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio of 22.57X, while Super Micro Computer's ratio is 11.84X, indicating that SMCI is cheaper than VRT [14][15]. Conclusion - Super Micro Computer benefits from strong momentum from data center and cloud computing clients and is less exposed to tariff concerns compared to Vertiv. Currently, SMCI holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), making it a stronger investment choice compared to Vertiv, which has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [18].

以下文章来源于硬AI ，作者硬ai 然而，担忧或许过头了，有迹象显示，AI整体资本支出依然强劲。 "我们继续看到AI部署在数据中心市场加速扩展，强劲的需求信号强化了我们对近期和长期增长的信心，"总部位于俄亥俄州的数据中心供应商 Vertiv的CEO Giordano Albertazzi在上周的财报电话会议上表示。该公司股价上周上涨了22%。 硬AI . AI时代，快人一步~ 来源 | 硬AI 当微软上个月取消了在俄亥俄州的数据中心计划，加之报道称亚马逊云服务正在撤销部分人工智能数据中心项目，市场迅速陷入了对数据中心 热潮是否已经结束的焦虑。 市场需求并非撤退，而是"暂时的暂停"。根据麦肯锡公司最新的模型预测(不包括关税影响)， 未来五到七年数据中心市场预计将保持20%至 25%的增长范围，但逐年之间增长率会有波动。 "增长不会是线性的，"麦肯锡高级合伙人Pankaj Sachdeva表示，他研究数据中心发展并预计会有起伏。 科 技 巨 头 重 申 市 场 强 劲 ： 需 求 未 见 减 弱 亚马逊和英伟达上周都重申，数据中心市场依然强劲。 "没有出现任何重大变化，"亚马逊全球数据中心副总裁Kevin Mil ...

点击 上方 硬AI 关注我们 硬·AI 作者 | 张雅琦 市场需求并非撤退，而是"暂时的暂停"。根据麦肯锡公司最新的模型预测(不包括关税影响)， 未来五到七 年数据中心市场预计将保持20%至25%的增长范围，但逐年之间增长率会有波动。 "增长不会是线性的，"麦肯锡高级合伙人Pankaj Sachdeva表示，他研究数据中心发展并预计会有起伏。 分析指出，AI整体资本支出依然强劲，市场需求并非撤退，而是"暂时的暂停"。根据麦肯锡的预测，未来五到七年数据中 心市场预计将保持20%至25%的增长范围，但逐年之间增长率会有波动。 编辑 | 硬 AI 当微软上个月取消了在俄亥俄州的数据中心计划，加之报道称亚马逊云服务正在撤销部分人工智能数据中 心项目，市场迅速陷入了对数据中心热潮是否已经结束的焦虑。 然而，担忧或许过头了，有迹象显示，AI整体资本支出依然强劲。 "我们继续看到AI部署在数据中心市场加速扩展，强劲的需求信号强化了我们对近期和长期增长的信 心，"总部位于俄亥俄州的数据中心供应商Vertiv的CEO Giordano Albertazzi在上周的财报电话会议上表 示。该公司股价上周上涨了22%。 01 科技巨 ...

Core Viewpoint - Vertiv Holdings Co. reported strong first-quarter 2025 earnings, driven by robust demand for AI infrastructure, leading to a significant stock price increase and raised sales forecasts [2][11][14]. Financial Performance - Net sales for Q1 2025 reached $2.036 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, surpassing the $1.94 billion consensus estimate [2][3]. - Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.64, a 49% increase from Q1 2024, exceeding the $0.62 analyst consensus [3]. - Operating profit rose by 43% to $291 million, with adjusted operating profit growing by 35% to $337 million, resulting in an adjusted operating margin of 16.5% [3]. Demand and Orders - First-quarter orders increased by approximately 13% year-over-year and about 21% from the previous quarter, leading to a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.4x [4]. - Vertiv's backlog grew to $7.9 billion, a 10% increase since the end of 2024 and 25% higher than in Q1 2024, attributed to strong market demand, particularly in AI deployments [4][5]. Forecast and Guidance - Vertiv revised its full-year 2025 net sales guidance upward by $250 million, now anticipating net sales between $9.325 billion and $9.575 billion, exceeding the previous outlook and analyst consensus of approximately $9.2 billion [6][7]. - The company maintained its prior full-year guidance for adjusted operating profit and adjusted diluted EPS, indicating potential margin compression due to ongoing international tariffs [7][8]. Market Reaction - The stock price surged following the Q1 earnings report, with shares increasing over 8% by midday on April 24, reflecting strong investor sentiment driven by the AI infrastructure narrative [11][12][14]. - The market's enthusiasm appears to focus on current performance and demand indicators rather than slight variations in Q2 EPS guidance [12][13]. Strategic Positioning - Vertiv's partnerships with companies like NVIDIA and projects such as "iGenius" in Italy highlight its capabilities in the rapidly expanding AI sector [5]. - The underlying growth narrative, supported by secular trends and strategic partnerships, remains compelling despite potential headwinds like tariff uncertainties [15].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [58]. Core Insights - Vertiv's Q1 2025 performance significantly exceeded expectations, with a sales figure of $2.036 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 24% [3][4]. - The report highlights a strong demand for AI computing and data center expansion, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, which saw a growth rate of 36% [3][7]. - The overall guidance for 2025 has been raised by $250 million, reflecting a robust growth outlook driven by core business expansion and favorable currency effects [10][21]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) sector as a key theme for 2025, with expectations of exceeding previous forecasts [20][21]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Vertiv's Q1 2025 adjusted earnings per share reached $0.64, surpassing the upper limit of the company's guidance [4]. - The company reported a TTM order growth of 20% and a Q1 order growth of 13% year-over-year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4, indicating strong demand [15][19]. Regional Performance - The Americas and Asia-Pacific regions showed remarkable growth, with revenue increases of 29% and 36% respectively, driven by strong demand from large-scale data center clients [7][9]. - The EMEA region experienced a more moderate growth of 7%, attributed to delays in AI infrastructure development [9]. Market Trends - The report notes a significant gap between current supply and the demand for AI computing resources, suggesting a structural shortage in the IDC industry [27]. - The anticipated growth in AI investment is expected to drive a new growth cycle in the IDC sector, similar to the previous boom from 2016 to 2020 [27][30]. Competitive Landscape - The report identifies third-party data center service providers as gaining market share over traditional telecom operators, highlighting their flexibility and ability to meet customized demands [30][33]. - Key players in the IDC space include CenturyLink, GDS, and others, with a focus on high-value urban clusters such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen [34][38]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests potential investment targets within the IDC sector, including companies like Ruize Technology, Century Internet, and WanGuo Data, which are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing AI and cloud trends [20][50].