Group 1 - A-shares brokerage stocks have shown strong performance, with Huayin Securities rising over 7% and Dongwu Securities increasing over 3% [1] - Other notable gainers include Huaxin Securities, Guotai Haitong, and Southwest Securities, each rising over 2% [1] Group 2 - Huayin Securities has a market capitalization of 51.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 24.85% [2] - Dongwu Securities has a market capitalization of 47.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 4.97% [2] - Huaxin Securities has a market capitalization of 18.1 billion and a year-to-date increase of 12.01% [2] - Guotai Haitong has a market capitalization of 352.4 billion but a year-to-date decrease of 2.73% [2] - Southwest Securities has a market capitalization of 30.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 2.23% [2]

根据Choice数据，截至2026年2月3日，A股和港股市场已有24家上市券商披露业绩预告或业绩快报，且 全部实现净利润正增长。 | 公司简称 | 预告净利润中值 | 预告类型 | 预告净利润变动中值 | 预告净利润 | 预告净利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | /业绩快报净利润(亿元) | | /业绩快报变动幅度(%) | 上限(亿元) | 下限(亿元) | | 中信证券 | 300.51 | 预增 | 38.46 | | | | 国泰海通 | 277.70 | 预增 | 113.00 | 280.06 | 275.33 | | 招商证券 | 123.00 | 预增 | 18.43 | 1 | i | | 甲万宏源 | 96.00 | 预增 | 84.24 | 101.00 | 91.00 | | 中美公司 | 95.39 | 预增 | 67.50 | 105.35 | 85.42 | | 东方证券 | 56.20 | 预增 | 67.80 | 56.20 | 56.20 | | 方正证券 | 39.70 | 预增 | 80.00 | 40.80 | ...

2026年2月3日早盘，截至10:48，中证全指证券公司指数下跌0.99%。成分股华林证券领涨，锦龙股份、 华鑫股份跟涨；华泰证券领跌，广发证券、东吴证券跟跌。 消息方面，2026年初以来，A股市场交投持续活跃，日均股基成交额达3.70万亿元，环比增长7.63%； 两融余额稳守2.74万亿元高位，杠杆资金参与度保持历史峰值。已披露2025年业绩快报的26家上市券商 归母净利润同比增速中位数超60%，其中国泰海通同比增长111%～115%，中信证券增长38.5%，头部券 商依托综合化与国际化优势稳健扩张，中小券商则凭借低基数或特色业务突破展现更高弹性。当前券商 板块估值仍显著滞后于盈利修复节奏，业绩兑现确定性高。 东海证券指出，对于证券行业，公募业绩比较基准指引正式落地，新规明确业绩比较基准 的"锚"与"尺"作用，确保产品风格稳定；推动构建全流程内部管理机制，防止"风格漂移"；并将业绩比 较基准与薪酬考核挂钩，绑定管理人与投资者利益。近期上市券商2025年业绩快报/预告密集披露，权 益市场弹性带动的券商业绩提升效果显著。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证全指证券公司指数前十大权重股分别为东方财富、中信证 ...

其中，伦敦现货黄金半小时内狂泻超400美元至5100美元/盎司附近，单日振幅近10%。现货白 银跌超8%，失守107美元/盎司关口。COMEX黄金跌近4%，COMEX白银跌6%。现货铂金跌近 7%，现货钯金跌近5%。 华闻期货研究所所长程小勇对经济观察报记者表示，贵金属的大幅回调，与三大风险有很大关系： 一是美联储在1月没有继续降息；二是避险买盘消退，反映市场恐慌的VIX指数在1月29日降至 16.88，一般高于20代表市场恐慌；三是贵金属多头甚至程序化交易的持仓集中平仓所致，因贵 金属多头极度拥挤，一开始是小范围止盈平仓，稍后会因引发大范围的多头踩踏式出逃。 一位头部期货公司副总经理对经济观察报记者表示，黄金大涨后大跌，日内波动500美元。前期地 缘政治紧张格局，包括美国和委内瑞拉、美国和伊朗导致黄金白银加速上涨。另外，弱美元也加强 了这一走势。最近十个交易日黄金涨幅超过一千美元，不断打破历史新高，过快的上涨导致部分获 利盘了结头寸，出现大幅波动。 狂飙突遇暴跌 截至1月30日上午休市，COMEX黄金期货最活跃合约较历史高点回落幅度超过7%，跌破了5200 美元/盎司；上海黄金期货4月合约价格较昨日创下的高 ...

专题：聚焦2025基金四季报：AI应用、商业航天、核聚变，谁领2026投资主线？ 近日，中国证券投资基金业协会发布的数据显示，截至2025年12月底，我国公募基金总规模攀升至37.71万亿元，较上月增加约6957.48亿元， 连续第九个月创下历史新高。 据21世纪经济报道记者统计，2025年全年公募基金规模激增4.89万亿元，增幅达14.9%。 从全年整体增长结构看，2025年各类基金规模均实现正增长。其中，债基规模大增60%，股票型基金大增36%。 规模近38万亿元 近日，中国证券投资基金业协会发布的最新数据显示，截至2025年12月底，我国公募基金总规模攀升至 37.71万亿元，较前一月增长约6957.48 亿元。 这已是该规模连续第九个月刷新历史纪录。从2025年4月底的33.12万亿元增长至2025年12月底的37.71万亿元。 与2024年末的32.83万亿元相比，2025年全年规模激增4.89万亿元，增幅高达14.9%。 截至2025年12月底，境内共有公募基金管理机构165家，包括150家基金管理公司和15家取得公募资格的资产管理机构。 在各类基金中，货币市场基金仍以15.03万亿元的规模占据首 ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 1月29日，华鑫股份在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司已于近日披露《公司2025年 年度业绩预增公告》。 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 策略深度报告 黄金大涨的背后: 美元信用周期的终结与黄金定价权的重塑 报告日期： 2026年01月29日 ◼ 分析师：杨芹芹 ◼ SAC编号：S1050523040001 ◼ 分析师：孙航 ◼ SAC编号：S1050525050001 投 资 要 点 核心观点：黄金传统研究框架对本轮黄金大涨的解释力十分有限，主要是短期美元指数走低和中长期美元信用替代逻辑的叠加，市场情绪和动 量资金驱动。随着美元信用裂缝的扩大，黄金中长期上涨的逻辑在强化。但由于长期逻辑短期化交易较为极致，黄金投资盘多头回落、实业盘 空头较低，PCR处于历史底部，短期黄金市场 "裸多"风险值得警惕。特别是在白银"空头拥挤+高波动率+高持仓"的背景下，白银高位回 落拖累黄金的概率在提升。 传统框架崩塌：过去美元、实际利率和风险定价的黄金研究框架解释力显著减弱。非框架因素解释贡献再度创新高。从大宗商品联动角度来看， 金油比阶段性失效，仅有铜保持一定的正贡献，比特币则是受限于流动性，出现了短期贡献的走弱。 中长期的新驱动力：去美元化与央行购金。非美国家持有的黄金价值已超过美债价值，显示出对美元信用的不信任的共识已经形成。非美央 ...

证券日报网讯1月29日，华鑫股份（600621）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司坚持金融科技引 领业务发展的战略，持续锻造公司的核心竞争力，推进公司的可持续发展，争取为投资者创造良好的回 报。 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The stock market performance on January 27, 2026, showed the Shanghai Composite Index at 4139.90 points, up 0.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 14329.91 points, up 0.09%, and the ChiNext Index at 3342.60 points, up 0.71% [1] - The brokerage index decreased by 1.11%, while the insurance index increased by 1.95% [1] - The total trading volume for stocks was 28,949.81 billion yuan, with the SW Securities II industry accounting for 391.88 billion yuan, representing 1.35% of the total trading volume [1] - The margin trading balance from the previous trading day was 27,254.11 billion yuan [1] - The yield on ten-year government bonds was measured at 1.8311% [1] Company Announcements - **Shenwan Hongyuan**: Completed the principal and interest payment for the short-term corporate bonds issued on October 23, 2025, on January 23, 2026 [1] - **Yuexiu Capital**: Announced the issuance of corporate bonds for professional investors, with a face value not exceeding 800 million yuan, starting from February 2, 2026. The inquiry range for the first type is 1.4%-2.4%, and for the second type, it is 1.7%-2.7% [2] - **Huaxin Co., Ltd.**: Projected a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 648 million yuan for 2025, an increase of 77.48% year-on-year. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be around 625 million yuan, up 73.44% year-on-year [2] - **China Pacific Insurance**: The independent director Huang Xianrong's qualification has been approved by the National Financial Supervision Administration, officially replacing Jiang Xuping as an independent director of the company's tenth board [2] - **Ruida Futures**: The "Ruida Convertible Bonds" issued by the company triggered conditional redemption during the term and will be fully redeemed, delisting from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange starting January 27, 2026 [2] Important News - **Central Bank**: Conducted a 402 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation at a fixed rate of 1.40%. A total of 324 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos matured today, resulting in a net cash injection of 78 billion yuan [3] - **Central Bank**: Announced improvements to the cross-border use of the renminbi, promoting trade facilitation, optimizing the layout of renminbi clearing banks, and supporting the development of the offshore renminbi market [3] - **Ministry of Commerce**: Initiated pilot reforms in automotive circulation consumption to further unleash automotive consumption potential and is promoting a prize invoice pilot program [3]

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage industry is experiencing significant profit growth, with many firms reporting substantial increases in net profits for 2025, indicating a strong recovery and potential for further gains in the sector [1][3]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - Guotai Haitong Securities expects a net profit of 27.53 billion to 28.01 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 111% to 115% [1]. - CITIC Securities reported a net profit exceeding 30 billion yuan for the first time, with a year-on-year increase of 38.64% [1]. - A total of 21 brokerages have disclosed their 2025 performance, with a combined net profit of approximately 104.82 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 58.14% [1]. Group 2: Industry Trends - 90.48% of the brokerages reported positive year-on-year growth, with five firms, including Guotai Haitong and Guolian Minsheng, achieving a doubling of net profit growth [1]. - The active trading environment has driven significant increases in market turnover and margin financing balances, supporting retail business growth and the recovery of proprietary trading [3]. - The brokerage sector is currently undervalued, with the CSI All Share Securities Companies Index showing only a 2.54% increase in 2025, lagging behind broader market indices [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict continued profit growth in 2026, driven by favorable policies and the potential for a revaluation of the sector [3]. - The current market conditions suggest that the brokerage sector, characterized by strong performance and low valuations, may see a rebound once trading constraints are lifted [4]. - The average daily trading volume and other high-frequency indicators indicate a positive trend for earnings growth in the near future [6].