在新任首席执行官阿瑟-霍埃尔德（Arthur Hoeld）的领导下，彪马正在经历一场转折，此前其运动服装 和Speedcat运动鞋的需求不振，以及美国对进口商品征收关税对整个行业造成的打击，都对该公司的业 务造成了影响。 该公司还取消了2025年的股息。该公司一年前向股东派发了0.61欧元的股息。 德国运动服制造商彪马周四表示，在2025年亏损幅度低于预期之后，该公司预计今年仍将出现亏损。 责任编辑：刘明亮 德国运动服制造商彪马周四表示，在2025年亏损幅度低于预期之后，该公司预计今年仍将出现亏损。 该公司还取消了2025年的股息。该公司一年前向股东派发了0.61欧元的股息。 在新任首席执行官阿瑟-霍埃尔德（Arthur Hoeld）的领导下，彪马正在经历一场转折，此前其运动服装 和Speedcat运动鞋的需求不振，以及美国对进口商品征收关税对整个行业造成的打击，都对该公司的业 务造成了影响。 该公司表示，预计2026年的运营亏损将在5000万至1.5亿欧元之间（5900万至1.77亿美元）。 该公司表示，预计2026年的运营亏损将在5000万至1.5亿欧元之间（5900万至1.77亿美元）。 该公司在一份声 ...

[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|纺织服饰 2026 年 2 月 26 日 证券研究报告 | 分析师： [Tabl | 糜韩杰 | 分析师： | 钟泽宇 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260516020001 | | SAC 执证号：S0260526020002 | | | SFC CE.no: BPH764 | | | | | 021-38003650 | | 020-66336949 | | | mihanjie@gf.com.cn | | zhongzeyu@gf.com.cn | | | 请注意，钟泽宇并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | | [本报告联系人： Table_C ontacter] [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 相关研究 [Table_Report ： ] 纺织服装行业全球观察之亚瑟士:FY2025：业绩持续高增长，FY2026 展望乐观 2026-02-25 纺织服装行业全球观察之德克斯户外:FY2026Q3：HOKA 营收持续高增，公司上调业绩指引 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a narrow consolidation, with the leading consumption ETF (159928) declining by 0.52% and a total trading volume exceeding 350 million yuan, while net inflows over the past 60 days have surpassed 2.1 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai government has introduced new real estate policies, reducing the social security requirement for non-local residents to purchase homes within the outer ring from 3 years to 1 year, and allowing families with a residence permit for 5 years to buy one property without social security [3] - During the recent Spring Festival, there were reports of shortages of premium liquor, with some distributors indicating that they could not meet demand, leading to an increase in prices instead of the usual post-holiday decline [3] Group 2 - The Spring Festival has seen a significant recovery in restaurant consumption, with key retail and restaurant enterprises reporting a daily sales increase of 5.7% year-on-year, and foot traffic in 78 key pedestrian streets rising by 6.7% [5] - The demand for dining experiences during the holiday surged, with Meituan's New Year's Eve dinner reservations increasing by 105% and Douyin's group purchases rising by 185%, indicating strong consumer vitality [5] - The frozen food and seasoning sectors are benefiting from the recovery in restaurant consumption, with B-end product sales increasing due to the resurgence of dining scenes during the Spring Festival [6] Group 3 - The overall consumption trend during the Spring Festival aligns with expectations, showing a division between material and service consumption, with emotional consumption demonstrating resilience [7] - The consumption ETF (159928) is characterized by its essential and domestic demand attributes, showing significant profitability resilience across economic cycles, with the top ten constituent stocks accounting for over 68.55% of the index [8] - The restaurant supply chain is expected to see improvements in inventory and sales, driven by the strong performance of downstream dining consumption, which is likely to enhance the profitability of leading companies in the sector [6][7]

BERLIN – German sportswear brand Puma ended a challenging year with a whimper. The brand’s annual sales fell 8.1 percent in currency adjusted terms to 7.29 billion euros, down from 8.39 billion euros in 2024, but slightly better than market consensus. More from WWD Puma ended with a particularly disheartening fourth quarter — sales in the final three months of the year dropped 20.1 percent, currency adjusted, to 1.56 billion euros. “2025 was a reset year for us,” chief executive officer Arthur Hoeld said ...

摘要 ■ 投资逻辑 基于大模型对券商年度展望的全面解析 每年的年底到年初，各券商会密集发布关于总量、行业等年度报告。对投资者而言，难以整合大量研报信息从而提取共识点，此外分歧点也同样缺乏量化 对比。大模型工具的出现解决了这一难点，大模型可以帮助分析师快速完成研报数据预处理、观点精准抓取与分类；大模型通过确定共识点与分歧点的判 定规则，系统整合分散观点，量化呈现各券商对板块不同观点的支持率，清晰核心分歧维度。本次研究以大模型为核心分析工具，全面剖析2026年各大板 块年度展望，梳理宏观、策略、固收及七大细分行业的共识与分歧，为投资者提供高效精准的决策参考。 总量观点总结 对于总量观点，我们分别从宏观经济、年度策略、固定收益三个方面分别剖析了各券商分析师的年度展望。 在宏观经济方面，大多数券商认为随着"十五五"政策发力，2026年GDP目标为5%左右；CPI、PPI从低位逐步修复，国内通货膨胀的压力得到缓解；货币 政策维持适度宽松基调，流动性保持合理充裕；财政政策延续积极取向，赤字率维持合理高位；出口保持稳健，贸易顺差维持历史较高水平；国外环境虽 然出现波动，但整体风险可控。 作者：高智威、许坤圣 在年度策略方面 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Daiwa Capital Markets indicates a positive trend in domestic consumption during the recent Spring Festival holiday, suggesting an initial recovery in the consumer market, particularly in tourism, culture, and dining sectors [1] Industry Summary - The sectors expected to benefit from structural consumption growth, potential policy support, and overseas growth opportunities include dining, services, and experiential consumption [1] - The domestic consumption industry is maintained at an "overweight" rating by Daiwa Capital Markets [1] Company Summary - Preferred stocks include Anta Sports (02020), China Resources Beer (00291), China Duty Free Group (601888.SH), Haidilao (06862), Midea Group (000333.SZ), and Yum China (09987), all rated as "buy" [1] - Target prices have been adjusted based on consumption and travel data during the Spring Festival, with Haidilao's target price raised to HKD 19.7, Li Ning's to HKD 21.6, Kweichow Moutai's to RMB 1,682, and Wuliangye's slightly increased to RMB 115.1 [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market showed weakness, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.39%, the National Enterprises Index down 1.30%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index down 1.65% as of the midday close [1] - The consumption sector in Hong Kong experienced a significant decline, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption ETF (Hua Xia, 513230) dropping nearly 1.5%, indicating a continued opening of low-position layout channels [1] - The National Immigration Administration reported an average of 1.977 million inbound and outbound trips per day during the 2026 Spring Festival holiday, representing a 10.1% increase compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - The Hainan duty-free market saw a consumption peak during the 2026 Spring Festival holiday, with customs data showing a total duty-free shopping amount of 2.72 billion yuan, a 30.8% increase from the previous year [1] - Guosen Securities released a report emphasizing that boosting domestic demand will be a key focus for economic development in 2026, highlighting the potential for significant growth in residents' service consumption compared to overseas [1] - The report suggests that the current low level of capital allocation in the sector and overall valuations reflecting pessimistic expectations provide a good opportunity for investment, recommending a focus on service consumption as a new driver for economic growth in 2026 [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption ETF (Hua Xia, 513230) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption Theme Index, which includes leading companies in traditional service industries such as hospitality and dining, as well as high-elasticity assets like trendy toys and gold jewelry [2] - The index also encompasses high-dividend stocks in sectors like sportswear and white goods, covering nearly all areas of Hong Kong consumption, including major players like Pop Mart, Yum China, Lao Pu Gold, Anta Sports, Nongfu Spring, and Mixue Ice City [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the domestic consumption market in China is showing signs of recovery, particularly during the Spring Festival holiday from February 15 to 23, with notable performance in tourism, culture, and dining sectors [1] - The company is optimistic about industries that are experiencing initial recovery, driven by structural consumption growth, potential policy support, and overseas growth opportunities, including dining, services, and experiential consumption [1] - The company has assigned a "buy" rating to several stocks, including Anta Sports (02020), China Resources Beer (00291), China Duty Free Group (601888.SH), Haidilao (06862), Midea Group (000333.SZ), and Yum China (09987), while maintaining an "overweight" rating for the domestic consumption sector [1] Group 2 - Based on consumption and travel data during the Spring Festival holiday, the company has adjusted target prices for certain stocks, raising Haidilao's target price to HKD 19.7, Li Ning (02331) to HKD 21.6, Kweichow Moutai (600519.SH) to RMB 1,682, and Wuliangye (000858.SZ) to RMB 115.1 [1]

其中，中国市场成为亚玛芬业绩增长的重要动力。大中华区全年收入同比增长43.4%至18.6亿美元，在 2024年四季度增速也达到了41.8%。作为对比，亚玛芬北美地区全年收入同比增长14.3%至21.3亿美元， EMEA（欧洲、中东和非洲地区）全年收入同比增长19.3%至18.1亿美元。 21世纪经济报道记者贺泓源、徐鸿儒 运动户外市场的两极分化似乎正在加剧。 2月24日，始祖鸟母公司亚玛芬体育披露了截至2025年12月31日的2025财年及第四季度业绩。财报显 示，在2025财年，亚玛芬营收同比增长27%至65.66亿美元；调整后净利润进一步增长至5.45亿美元2024 年为2.36亿美元。 在2025年第四季度，亚玛芬营收同比增长28%至21.01亿美元；调整后净利润为1.76亿美元 ，2024年同 期为0.9亿美元。 亚玛芬与李宁们的业绩差异，或许指向多种原因。 一方面，以始祖鸟为代表的高端消费市场，可能就是比中端市场更坚挺一些。毕竟，高端市场的总体规 模也更小。比如，2024年，李宁整体营收达到286.8亿元人民币，远超亚玛芬在华127.77亿元人民币的销 售额。 同时，户外运动市场，可能确实具有相当大 ...

Core Insights - The outdoor sports market is experiencing increasing polarization, with companies like Amer Sports showing significant growth while others like Li Ning and Anta are struggling [1][3][5]. Financial Performance - Amer Sports reported a 27% year-on-year revenue increase to $6.566 billion for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with adjusted net profit rising to $545 million from $236 million in 2024 [1][2]. - In Q4 2025, Amer Sports' revenue grew by 28% to $2.101 billion, with adjusted net profit reaching $176 million, up from $90 million in the same quarter of 2024 [2]. - The Greater China region was a key growth driver for Amer Sports, with annual revenue increasing by 43.4% to $1.86 billion, and Q4 growth reaching 41.8% [2]. Market Comparison - In contrast, Li Ning's sales in Q4 2025 showed a low single-digit decline across all channels, with offline retail and wholesale channels experiencing mid-single-digit declines [3]. - Anta's main brand retail revenue also saw a low single-digit decline, while Nike's sales in China dropped by 16% to $1.423 billion [4]. Market Dynamics - The disparity in performance between Amer Sports and its competitors may be attributed to the resilience of the high-end consumer market, represented by brands like Arc'teryx, compared to the mid-range market [5]. - The outdoor sports market is perceived to have substantial growth potential, prompting increased investments from competitors like Nike and Li Ning in this segment [6][7].