2025年4月，《成都市推动首发经济发展三年行动计划（2025—2027年）》正式印发，提出力争到2027年底，落地各类首店累计达6500家，高能级首秀首 展等首发活动超1000场，打造首发经济地标载体100个，培育新消费品牌500个。 不必等到年终结算，仅凭2025上半年，成都就已再次写下首店经济的新注脚。对这座城市来说，品牌的首次登陆从未只是一个商业动作，也是对城市消费 肌理的一次轻轻叩问。 赢商大数据最新统计显示，2025年上半年，成都共引入首店品牌193家，商业项目间的"吸附力"之争以外，还有新锐品牌的试水、国际品牌的加码与本地 市场细胞的再度活化。 01. 品牌引力突出 2025年上半年，成都消费市场依然火热，凭借庞大的城市消费潜力与优越的营商环境，持续吸引各类首店品牌落户。 西南首店以24.5%的高占比，显著印证了成都作为西南区域商业枢纽的核心吸附力，凸显成都作为品牌布局西南市场的首选地位依然突出。与此同时，全 国首店与省份首店合计占比达15.1%，共同构成了成都吸引高能级、战略性首店的重要力量，体现了城市在品牌层级布局上的深度价值。 品牌级次维度，A级+B级占比近半（合计45.7%）构成首店主力 ...

阅文与王者荣耀联动，关注 IP 衍生品行 业势能 ——轻工纺服行业周报（20250811-0815） 一、行情回顾：本周（2025.08.11-2025.08.15），A股 SW纺织服饰行 业指数下滑 1.37%，轻工制造行业上涨 1.56%，而沪深 300 上涨 2.37%，上证指数上涨 1.70%。纺织服装在申万 31 个一级行业中涨幅 排名第 29 位，轻工制造在申万 31 个一级行业中涨幅排名第 16 位。 二、核心逻辑： 1）轻工行业：①我们认为潮玩谷子行业需求快速增长，Z 世代引领新 消费趋势，盲盒等产品触及情绪价值深层需求。伴随泡泡玛特、国谷 等产品走向世界，中国 IP 文化加速渗透。②DeepSeek 等 AI 新技术 与轻工制造有望深度融合，伴随以旧换新政策延续、财政持续发力、 国家推动房地产市场止跌回稳等，轻工内需有望逐步企稳，实现估值 修复。 潮玩谷子：阅文集团与王者荣耀联动，深耕 IP 衍生品市场。根据北京 商报网，近日阅文集团与王者荣耀启动了"国创内容战略合作计划"， 同步发布并上线了《诡秘之主》与王者荣耀联动，本次两大世界级 IP 联动，系双方深度合作以来，首次实现周边和皮肤同步上 ...

Group 1: Domestic Sports Brands - Domestic sports brands such as Anta, Li Ning, 361°, and Xtep are utilizing a dual strategy of technological democratization and precise scene targeting to capture the segmented sports market [4] - Anta has introduced the Mach 5SE running shoes with advanced nitrogen technology and carbon tube anti-twist system at a price below 500 yuan, while Li Ning has implemented a full-sole heterogeneous carbon plate for professional scene configuration, breaking the monopoly of international brands on high-end technology [4] - Brands are addressing localized needs by dissecting sports scenarios; for instance, 361° developed a "wetland anti-slip" outsole for rainy regions, and Xtep's Hydrogen Wind 5.0 targets high-temperature training environments in southern China [4] Group 2: International Sports Brands - International brands like Nike, Adidas, Fila, Saucony, and Yonex are leveraging cutting-edge technology and precise marketing to establish a stronghold in the high-end market [5] - Nike has reinforced its dominance in the elite racing segment with the ZOOMX midsole in the Vaporfly Next% 3, while Saucony addresses marathon runners' core pain points with the Endorphin Pro4's carbon fiber structure [5] - Marketing strategies focus on deepening connections with specific consumer segments; for example, Nike's limited edition Kobe 8 "What The Kobe" has generated global collector interest, and Adidas has collaborated with Japanese street brand BAPE to create a new SUPERSTAR series [5]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of the Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV) system in driving sustainable growth for brands in a competitive market where traditional advertising methods are becoming less effective [5][12][20]. Group 1: Brand Performance - Pop Mart achieved global revenue exceeding 13 billion, with 46 million members and 11.72 million new members, where nearly half (49.4%) are repeat buyers [1]. - Lin Qingxuan reported a high repurchase rate of 34.6% with 4.3 million active users [2]. - Proya's revenue surpassed 10.7 billion, growing over 20% year-on-year, and net profit reached 1.55 billion, marking it as the first domestic beauty brand to enter the "billion club" [12][14]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market has shifted from an incremental to a stock market, leading to rational consumer decision-making and challenges for brands that previously dominated the Chinese market [11]. - International brands are withdrawing from the market, while domestic brands like Proya and Lin Qingxuan are experiencing growth due to their effective user relationship management [11][12]. Group 3: CLTV System Implementation - The CLTV system focuses on building long-term trust with users and continuously extracting user value, likened to nurturing a fruit orchard rather than just harvesting [8][20]. - The system comprises three core strategies: precise customer acquisition, refined retention, and transforming customers into lifelong assets [15][19][20]. Group 4: GAIN Model - The GAIN model, introduced by Tmall, serves as a practical framework for implementing the CLTV system, focusing on user value extraction rather than just user acquisition [22][28]. - It evaluates user value growth through four dimensions: demand drivers, demographic strategies, participatory interaction, and long-term growth [29][35][38]. Group 5: Case Studies - Helena's strategy includes creating product bundles and leveraging live streaming to enhance cross-category purchasing intentions [38]. - Huaxizi effectively targets Gen Z consumers by incorporating traditional elements into product design and focusing on platforms like Bilibili and Xiaohongshu for marketing [33]. - Natural Hall's membership operations emphasize consumer insights and engagement, transforming one-way transactions into two-way interactions [37]. Group 6: Tmall's Role - Tmall provides comprehensive support for the CLTV system through data analysis tools and a complete marketing ecosystem, facilitating the implementation of the GAIN model [45]. - The "Red Cat Plan" exemplifies innovative cross-platform operations that convert traffic into sustainable user engagement [46][49].

Group 1 - Zhengzhou fried chicken brand "Zhang Duntun Kaiflower Chicken Leg" successfully completed angel round financing of tens of millions RMB, with funds focused on optimizing franchise support and market expansion [3] - Professional outdoor brand "SURPINE Songyoupai" completed tens of millions RMB Pre-A financing, aimed at product R&D innovation, user experience enhancement, team building, and multi-channel expansion [4][5] - "Nezha Xianyin" completed 10 million RMB angel round financing, with funds primarily for product R&D upgrades and nationwide store network expansion [7] Group 2 - "M password" sanitary napkins were reported to contain high levels of carcinogens, with specific products showing sulfur content as high as 16653.4679μg/g, although the company claims all products meet national standards [8][9] - Sam's Club acknowledged a decline in the quality of organic soybeans, with the current product being rated as grade 3, while the previous product was grade 1 [10][11] - TikTok's revenue for 2024 is projected to reach $23 billion, a 42.8% year-on-year increase, making it the fourth largest social app globally [11] Group 3 - The price of gold jewelry has dropped, with various brands reporting a decrease in price per gram, such as Chow Sang Sang at 1015 RMB, down 14 RMB from the previous day [17] - The AI eyewear market has seen explosive growth, with transaction volume increasing tenfold year-on-year in the first half of the year, and average prices dropping from over 2000 RMB to around 1500 RMB [18] - In the first half of 2025, non-bank sectors in China experienced a net inflow of $127.3 billion in cross-border funds, continuing the trend of net inflows since the second half of last year [19]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher on July 16, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.46%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 0.56%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 0.89% [1] - Major technology stocks and biopharmaceutical stocks saw a broad increase, with innovative drug concept stocks active and rare earth concept stocks rising [1] - The retail sales of consumer goods in June reached 4.2 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.8%, while the total for the first half of the year was 24.5 trillion yuan, up by 5.0% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The National Bureau of Statistics indicated that China is in a critical phase of consumption structure upgrading, with per capita GDP stabilizing above 13,000 USD for two consecutive years, highlighting significant growth potential in cultural tourism, healthcare, and elderly care consumption [1] - Ping An Securities' research report emphasizes the importance of focusing on niche markets related to spiritual needs in the second half of the year, suggesting that understanding consumer sentiment fluctuations could present opportunities for consumer goods companies [1] - The report specifically highlights optimism for industries related to outdoor sports, gold and jewelry, and cultural creative IP [1] Group 3 - Relevant popular ETFs include the Tourism ETF (562510), which may benefit from the ongoing summer holiday, the Food and Beverage ETF (515170) for core assets in the food and drink sector, the Consumption 30 ETF (510630) covering various segments like liquor, food, beauty care, and biotechnology, and the Hong Kong Consumption ETF (513230) that aggregates leading new consumption stocks in Hong Kong [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution and current state of "new consumption" in China, emphasizing the need for innovation and adaptation to changing consumer demands in a rapidly evolving market [3][4]. Group 1: Definition and Characteristics of New Consumption - New consumption represents a deepening evolution of consumption upgrade trends and an upgrade in the operational philosophy of the large consumption industry [4]. - Key characteristics of new consumption include product and service innovation, new operational models, and a focus on consumer experience [5]. - The emergence of new consumption brands is primarily driven by diverse consumer demands, with significant growth observed in sectors like IP toys, jewelry, outdoor sports, and beauty products [4][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - The Chinese consumption market is transitioning from an incremental to a stock market, with retail sales growth stabilizing at a compound annual growth rate of 3.6% from 2019 to 2024 [9]. - Consumer confidence is gradually recovering, supported by improved housing price-to-income ratios and policies encouraging consumption [12]. - Different consumer groups exhibit varied spending behaviors, with younger generations (Z and Alpha) showing a strong inclination towards personalized and experiential consumption [20][24]. Group 3: Supply-Side Strategies for Growth - Companies should focus on innovation, optimizing channels, expanding product categories, and enhancing brand positioning to maintain consumer loyalty and achieve sustainable growth [7][74]. - The importance of transitioning from a focus on traffic acquisition to long-term brand loyalty is emphasized, particularly for traditional consumption companies [7][74]. Group 4: Infrastructure and Technological Support - The rise of new consumption is supported by improved infrastructure, including the development of mobile internet, logistics, and digital payment systems, which enhance consumer experience [31][34]. - The increasing strength of intellectual property protection is fostering a more vibrant environment for new consumption creators [31]. Group 5: Consumer Demand Trends - The demand for practical value (cost-performance ratio, functionality) and emotional value (cultural identity, companionship) is driving the success of new consumption brands [44][47]. - Consumers are increasingly seeking products that offer both practical benefits and emotional satisfaction, reflecting a shift from material needs to emotional fulfillment [46][49]. Group 6: Challenges and Market Competition - New consumption categories face inevitable iterations and challenges, including intensified competition and the need for continuous innovation to avoid market obsolescence [66]. - The article highlights the dual-edged nature of social media and secondary market speculation, which can both enhance and undermine brand value [68]. Group 7: Future Outlook - The article concludes that the future of new consumption in China is promising, driven by government policies and the evolving landscape of consumer preferences [4][6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Overweight" [4] Core Viewpoints - The light industry sector is experiencing rapid growth in demand for trendy toys, driven by Generation Z, with products like blind boxes tapping into deep emotional values. The integration of AI technologies is expected to enhance the light manufacturing sector, supported by policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market and boosting domestic demand [2][3] - The export chain for light industry products such as thermos cups and office furniture is showing stable overseas demand, with tariff impacts expected to be gradually absorbed. Companies with overseas production capacity and supply chain resilience are recommended for attention [3] - The home goods sector is set to benefit from an additional 150 billion yuan in special government bonds for consumer upgrades, which is expected to stimulate demand and support economic growth [4] Summary by Sections Light Industry - The trendy toy sector is witnessing significant growth, with a sixfold increase in bookings for the Bubble Mart city park in June compared to the previous year, surpassing other entertainment venues in Beijing [2] - Companies to watch include Bubble Mart, Blokus, and Miniso [2] Export Chain - The light industry export chain is expected to recover as tariff policies become clearer, with a focus on companies like Jiangxin Home, Ninebot, and Jia Yi [3] Home Goods - The third batch of consumer upgrade funds will be released in July, with manufacturing PMI showing signs of improvement, indicating a potential recovery in home goods consumption [4][7] Textile and Apparel Industry - The demand for gold is projected to grow, with domestic jewelry companies expected to see sales and performance improvements in 2025. The outdoor economy is also boosting sales in sports apparel [8][9] - Companies to focus on include Anta, Li Ning, and Bosideng, which are expanding their market presence [10][11] Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector is expected to grow due to increased overseas production and enhanced core competitiveness, with companies like Huali Group and Weixing Co. recommended for investment [12][13]

Core Insights - The ISPO SHANGHAI 2023 showcased over 600 brands from nearly 30 countries, attracting more than 30,000 professional buyers and sports enthusiasts, indicating a robust interest in the outdoor sports sector [1][2] - The event highlighted shifting consumer trends in outdoor activities, with a decline in popularity for camping and frisbee, while activities like creek hiking, rock climbing, trail running, and fishing gained traction [1][2] Industry Trends - The outdoor sports market is rapidly evolving, with a notable increase in the presence of new brands and product categories, particularly in water sports and climbing [2][4] - The water sports segment is projected to exceed 6 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of around 10% [4] - Experience zones have expanded significantly, allowing consumers to engage with products in real-world settings, which is crucial for niche and emerging sports [5][7] Consumer Behavior - Young consumers are increasingly divided in their purchasing behavior, favoring both high-value and high-end products, which reflects a blend of price sensitivity and a willingness to pay for premium experiences [9] - The presence of both budget-friendly and high-end brands at the event indicates a strategic response to diverse consumer preferences [9]

Core Insights - The "2025 High-Quality Consumer Brand TOP100 Innovation Ecological Conference" will be held in Shanghai, focusing on brand influence, innovation, social responsibility, and company scale [1] - A report titled "2025 High-Quality Consumer Brand TOP100 Trend Insight" will be released, highlighting four major trends in high-quality consumer brands [1] Group 1: Trends in High-Quality Consumer Brands - The rise of health consciousness is driving the growth of wellness and sports consumption, with outdoor sports and health products seeing the highest brand representation [5][6] - AI technology is enhancing product and service upgrades across various sectors, becoming a core competitive advantage in high-end home appliances [5][36] - Novel experiences are igniting consumer enthusiasm, particularly in the experience economy, where immersive and interest-based consumption is gaining traction [6][25] - Emotional value is unlocking new consumption scenarios, especially among younger consumers who prioritize emotional connections in their purchases [6][27] Group 2: Brand Distribution and Characteristics - Nearly 300 brands are competing across nine major sectors, with the largest representation in the beauty economy (23.6%) and health food sector (18.1%) [2][3] - Over 70% of the candidate brands are "post-00s brands," indicating a trend towards newer companies [7][8] - The geographical distribution of brands shows a concentration in major cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangzhou, with Shanghai being favored by foreign brands [11][12][14] Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Market Dynamics - The beauty and personal care market is experiencing a shift towards efficacy-driven products, with a notable increase in consumer awareness regarding product effectiveness [16][18] - The outdoor sports market is becoming increasingly segmented, with traditional apparel brands entering the space to capture the growing demand for specialized outdoor gear [19][20] - The health and wellness industry is projected to reach a total revenue of 9 trillion yuan by 2024, driven by a growing awareness of health among consumers [22][23] Group 4: AI and Technology Integration - AI is reshaping the consumer experience across various sectors, with applications in personalized recommendations, smart home devices, and immersive entertainment experiences [35][38] - A significant majority of surveyed companies (87%) believe that AI technology will bring substantial changes to the consumer sector, with many planning to increase AI integration [40][43] - The integration of AI in consumer products is becoming a key trend, with companies focusing on enhancing user experience through intelligent features [36][37]