Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The bull market for gold is not over, with macro factors remaining optimistic and short-term fluctuations driven by geopolitical events [3][11][13] - Key macro pricing factors for gold have not changed, indicating a sustained upward potential in the medium to long term [3][13] - Micro indicators show that while gold price deviations are high, the RSI is healthy, and ETF inflows continue to rise, suggesting no clear direction for gold prices [3][13] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry Insights - TSMC's revenue for December 2025 is projected to grow by 20.4% year-on-year, driven by high-margin advanced processes and strong demand from AI/HPC sectors [4][12] - The advanced process capacity is fully loaded, with HPC accounting for 55% of revenue and 3nm technology representing 28% of wafer revenue [4][12] - TSMC's guidance for Q1 2026 indicates revenue between $34.6 billion and $35.8 billion, with a gross margin of 63%-65%, reflecting strong demand visibility in AI [4][14] Group 3: Beauty Industry Trends - The South Korean beauty market has undergone several growth and decline phases, with the current phase focusing on global market expansion and reducing reliance on China [18][20] - New brands like APR and Silicon2 are outperforming traditional giants, indicating a shift in market dynamics and consumer preferences [20] - The report highlights the importance of innovation in product formulation and packaging, with South Korean brands leading in areas like cushion packaging and functional skincare products [20]

业 研 究 / 行 业 点 相关研究 行 业 及 产 业 美容护理 2026 年 01 月 22 日 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 聂霜 A0230524120002 nieshuang@swsresearch.com 联系人 聂霜 A0230524120002 nieshuang@swsresearch.com 品牌格局重塑，全球战略扩张 看好 ——从韩国美妆发展看如何重建新增长动能 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 ⚫ 韩国美妆市场相对成熟，进行国际化探索早，并随着自身国家综合实力、本土需求与国 际市场需求的变化，发展经历数次沉浮，其展现的发展路径值得国货公司参考借鉴。我 们通过对韩国美妆市场的研究，探索韩国美妆在不同的发展阶段，崛起的美妆集团组织 架构的特点，如何在需求端快速变化的产品领域加速推新，在新成分、新剂型等领域如 何走在全球市场前端，以及拥抱全球市场背后所需要的能力。 ⚫ 韩国美妆四大成长与衰退阶段，把握低谷紧抓转型，再临高峰。韩国 ...

Market Overview - The personal care products sector experienced a decline of 0.82% on January 22, with Yanjiang Co., Ltd. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the personal care sector included: - Reliable Co., Ltd. with a closing price of 13.79, up 1.62% [1] - Zhongshun Jiesang with a closing price of 8.43, up 1.57% [1] - Liangmian Needle with a closing price of 6.10, up 1.16% [1] - Major decliners included: - Yanjiang Co., Ltd. with a closing price of 19.65, down 5.98% [2] - Ziya Co., Ltd. with a closing price of 22.31, down 2.83% [2] - Beijia Clean with a closing price of 37.69, down 2.51% [2] Capital Flow - The personal care products sector saw a net inflow of 4.56 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 2.44 million yuan [2] - However, speculative funds experienced a net outflow of 7 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Yanjiang Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 17.47 million yuan from institutional investors but a net outflow of 21.97 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Reliable Co., Ltd. saw a net inflow of 10.56 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 1.55 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Beijia Clean experienced a net outflow of 4.44 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.25 million yuan [3]

Market Overview - The personal care products sector increased by 0.76% on January 21, with Yanjiang Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4116.94, up 0.08%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14255.12, up 0.7% [1] Stock Performance - Yanjiang Co., Ltd. (300658) closed at 20.90, up 7.73% with a trading volume of 595,600 shares and a transaction value of 1.202 billion yuan [1] - Beijia Clean (603059) closed at 38.66, up 6.27% with a trading volume of 51,500 shares and a transaction value of 195 million yuan [1] - Jeya Co., Ltd. (301108) closed at 37.08, up 2.01% with a trading volume of 20,700 shares and a transaction value of 75.4978 million yuan [1] - Baiya Co., Ltd. (003006) closed at 22.96, up 2.00% with a trading volume of 133,100 shares and a transaction value of 302 million yuan [1] - Reliable Co., Ltd. (301009) closed at 13.57, up 0.89% with a trading volume of 35,200 shares and a transaction value of 47.5696 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The personal care products sector experienced a net outflow of 15.344 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 22.6944 million yuan [2] - However, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 38.0385 million yuan [2] Detailed Capital Flow Analysis - Baiya Co., Ltd. (003006) had a net inflow of 55.3986 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 45.3097 million yuan [3] - Beijia Clean (603059) saw a net inflow of 9.3501 million yuan from institutional investors and a net outflow of 2.32565 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Jeya Co., Ltd. (301108) experienced a net outflow of 6.1734 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 7.5396 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - The personal care products sector increased by 1.77% on January 20, with Yanjiang Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] - Key stocks in the personal care sector showed varied performance, with Yanjiang Co., Ltd. closing at 19.40, up 9.11%, and Ziya Co., Ltd. at 22.51, up 4.16% [1] Group 2 - The personal care products sector experienced a net outflow of 47.99 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 9.42 million yuan [2] - The trading volume for Yanjiang Co., Ltd. was 638,400 shares, with a total transaction value of 1.257 billion yuan [1] - The stock performance of major companies included a 2.51% increase for Beijia Co. and a 2.25% increase for Dengkang Oral Care [1][2] Group 3 - The net inflow from retail investors for the stock of Yiyi Co. was 400.92 million yuan, while the net outflow from institutional investors was 595.82 million yuan for Kela Co. [3] - The net inflow for Ziya Co. was 299.34 million yuan from retail investors, while it faced a net outflow of 1,407.33 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - The overall market sentiment showed mixed results, with some stocks like Yiyi Co. and Beijia Co. attracting retail interest despite institutional outflows [3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced significant fluctuations, dropping below 4100 points and later recovering slightly, with a maximum decline of over 0.8% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.22%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.83% by the close of the morning session [4] Market Influences - Concerns over the performance of US markets following the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday contributed to negative sentiment in the Asia-Pacific markets [2] - A report indicated that the US will impose a 10% tariff on goods from several European countries starting February 1, which added to market anxiety [2] - A notable decline in market liquidity was observed, with the A-share market's financing balance decreasing by 8.5 billion yuan to 27,059 billion yuan as of January 19 [2] Consumer Sector Performance - The consumer sector showed strong performance, with significant gains in beauty care, food processing, and liquor sectors [6] - The stock of Pop Mart surged after announcing a share buyback of approximately 251 million HKD, positively impacting market sentiment towards new consumption [8] - Recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic consumption were highlighted, including plans to enhance service consumption and address supply-demand imbalances [8][9] AI Sector Activity - The AI for Science (AI4S) concept saw active trading, with leading stocks like Zhizhi New Materials rising over 17% [11] - Analysts noted that advancements in AI model capabilities are accelerating the commercialization of AI applications, particularly in scientific research [11] - The competition among major AI model providers for market share is expected to intensify, creating growth opportunities across various sectors [11]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced significant volatility, dropping below 4100 points and reaching a maximum decline of over 0.8% before recovering slightly [1] - The technology sector faced a pullback, particularly in the computing industry chain, while consumer sectors, high-dividend assets, and chemicals saw gains [1] Market Influences - The U.S. stock market was closed on Martin Luther King Jr. Day, leading to concerns about its performance upon reopening, which negatively impacted the Asia-Pacific markets [1] - A report indicated that U.S. President Trump announced a 10% tariff on imports from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland starting February 1 [1] - Market liquidity has changed, with a rapid decline in trading volume since January 15 and a decrease in margin financing balance, which reported 2.7059 trillion yuan as of January 19, down 8.5 billion yuan from the previous day [1] Consumer Sector Activity - The consumer sector showed strong performance, with significant gains in beauty care, food processing, and liquor sectors. Notably, stocks of "new consumption" companies like Pop Mart, Mixue Group, and Laopu Gold rose collectively [4] - Analysts attribute the strength in the consumer sector to several factors, including Pop Mart's announcement of a share buyback worth approximately 251 million Hong Kong dollars, which positively influenced market sentiment [6] Policy Support - Recent government policies aimed at boosting consumption were highlighted, including a meeting on January 16 that discussed measures to enhance service consumption and domestic demand [7] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the need to strengthen domestic demand and adapt to the evolving demand structure, with plans to develop a strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030 [7] AI Sector Developments - The AI for Science concept saw active performance, with leading stocks like Zhite New Materials rising over 17%. Other AI application stocks also experienced significant gains [8] - Analysts noted that advancements in model capabilities and cost reductions are accelerating the commercialization of AI applications, suggesting a growing competitive landscape among major AI model providers [8]

Core Viewpoint - The personal care products sector experienced a 1.96% increase on January 19, with Yanjiang Co., Ltd. leading the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.29% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price of Yanjiang Co., Ltd. was 17.78, reflecting a significant increase of 19.97% with a trading volume of 767,100 shares and a transaction value of 1.28 billion yuan [1] - Baiya Co., Ltd. closed at 21.61, up by 4.60%, with a trading volume of 130,400 shares and a transaction value of 283 million yuan [1] - Reliable Co., Ltd. saw a closing price of 13.46, increasing by 2.12% with a trading volume of 32,300 shares [1] Group 2: Fund Flow Analysis - The personal care products sector had a net outflow of 50.30 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 17.49 million yuan [2] - The main funds showed a net inflow of 7.99 million yuan into Stable Medical, while the retail funds had a net outflow of 16.41 million yuan [3] - In contrast, Jingya Co., Ltd. experienced a net outflow of 3.24 million yuan from main funds, but retail funds showed a net inflow of 5.23 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "stronger than the market," indicating an expected performance that exceeds the market by more than 5% within the next six months [25]. Core Insights - The report highlights a divergence in the performance of various segments within the consumer sector, with a stable overall market performance but most sub-sectors underperforming compared to the broader market [4][6]. - There is an expectation for consumer demand to improve ahead of the Lunar New Year, driven by sufficient market liquidity [4]. - The tourism sector is showing potential for growth, with leading companies responding effectively to changing consumer demands [4]. - The beauty industry is experiencing steady growth, with a focus on companies that adapt quickly to market dynamics [4]. - The food and beverage sector is seeing a recovery in supply-demand relationships, particularly in dairy products, while the restaurant supply chain is stabilizing [4]. - In the liquor segment, leading companies are expected to maintain market share despite recent profit adjustments [4]. Market Performance Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.57% during the week of January 12-16, with the media sector rising by 3.34% while other sectors like food and beverage and agriculture saw declines of 2.03% and 3.49% respectively [6][8]. Social Services - The report emphasizes the importance of companies that actively respond to changes in consumer demand, particularly in tourism and beauty sectors [4]. Industry Dynamics - The People's Bank of China has introduced measures to enhance structural monetary policy support, which may positively impact consumer spending and economic recovery [10]. - The Philippines has announced visa-free entry for Chinese citizens, which could boost tourism [11]. Company Announcements - Companies like Giant Biological and Proya are making strategic moves, such as product approvals and share buybacks, indicating proactive management in response to market conditions [13][19]. - The report notes significant developments in the liquor industry, including the launch of premium products and partnerships for promotional events [20].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the competitive advantage of Qian Dama through its "community small store + daily clearance mechanism + warehouse and cold chain" model, which enhances supply stability and operational efficiency [3][24][35] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption themes and identifies high-quality companies in high-growth sectors, recommending specific companies across various segments [6][37] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The retail and social service indices reported a decline of 1.47% and an increase of 1.53% respectively during the week of January 12-16, 2026 [5][13] - The internet e-commerce sector showed the highest growth, with a year-to-date increase of 11.18% [16][19] Company Highlights - Qian Dama has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on fresh food retail in the South China market, with a GMV of 9.8 billion yuan in 2024, significantly outperforming its competitors [24][25] - The company operates 2,983 stores, with 2,898 being franchise stores, contributing over 90% of its revenue [25][31] - The report recommends several companies based on their performance and market positioning, including: - Chaohongji, expected to achieve a net profit of 436-533 million yuan in 2025, driven by brand upgrades and channel expansion [39][43] - Meilitiantian Medical Health, projected to see a revenue increase of 28.2% in FY2025H1 [39] - Zhou Dafu, focusing on product structure optimization and store upgrades [39] Investment Themes - Investment Theme 1: Focus on high-end gold and fashion jewelry brands, recommending Chaohongji and Laopu Gold [6][37] - Investment Theme 2: Emphasize retail companies adapting to trends and AI-enabled cross-border e-commerce leaders, recommending Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [6][37] - Investment Theme 3: Highlight domestic beauty brands that meet emotional value and safety innovation, recommending Maogeping and Pola [6][37] - Investment Theme 4: Focus on differentiated medical beauty product manufacturers and leading medical beauty institutions, recommending Meilitiantian Medical Health and Aimeike [6][37]