郭晨凯 制图 上证指数2025年2月5日以来走势图 沪指蛇年上涨25.58% 机构判断节后科技主线有望回归 ◎记者 费天元 东方证券研报认为，中芯国际AI、存储、中高端应用相关的订单呈现增加态势，展望未来，公司有望 凭借在BCD、模拟、存储、MCU、中高端显示驱动等细分领域中的技术储备与领先优势，在本轮行业 发展周期中保持有利位置。 另有多家存储芯片企业2025年业绩预喜。根据业绩预告，模组龙头江波龙预计2025年净利润为12.5亿元 至15.5亿元，同比增长151%至211%；德明利预计2025年实现净利润6.5亿元至8亿元，同比增长85%至 128%。佰维存储、朗科科技等均预告业绩大幅增长或实现扭亏。 除存储芯片外，昨日计算机设备、养殖等2025年业绩向好板块均获得资金关注，相关龙头公司股价上 扬。展望后市，3月开始上市公司年报进入密集披露期，机构普遍提示聚焦绩优方向。 中信证券研报表示，根据业绩预告，2025年A股上市公司业绩预喜比例扩大，科技、金融、周期是最大 亮点，整体呈现"科技驱动、外需支撑、金融压仓"的结构性特征。其中，基础化工、电子、医药、有色 金属、机械等行业业绩超预期个股数量领先，汽车、电 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the dominance of ByteDance in the tech industry, particularly in the context of the Hang Seng Tech Index, highlighting how its aggressive strategies and innovative approaches have outpaced traditional competitors like Tencent and Alibaba [1][19][22]. Group 1: Competitive Landscape - ByteDance is described as a formidable competitor that has effectively created a "red ocean" in various sectors, challenging established players without being a publicly listed company [1][19]. - Among the top 10 companies in the Hang Seng Tech Index, 6 are in direct competition with ByteDance, collectively holding a 40% weight in the index [2]. - The article emphasizes that ByteDance's approach to competition is not merely about financial strength but about its relentless drive and adaptability in the market [1][19]. Group 2: Market Disruption - ByteDance's entry into e-commerce through Douyin (TikTok) has significantly impacted Alibaba, with Douyin's GMV projected to approach 4 trillion yuan by 2025, capturing a substantial market share [6][9]. - The article argues that ByteDance's innovative model of combining content with e-commerce is more effective than Alibaba's traditional search-based approach, leading to a shift in consumer behavior [6][9]. - The dominance of ByteDance in various sectors, including short videos, news, and AI, is highlighted, indicating its broad market influence [7][9]. Group 3: Management and Leadership - The core competitive advantage of ByteDance is attributed to its founder, Zhang Yiming, whose unique management style and continuous learning mindset set the company apart from its competitors [11][12]. - Zhang's approach to management emphasizes equality, flexibility, and a focus on talent density, allowing for a more dynamic and innovative corporate culture [12][13]. - The article suggests that ByteDance's ability to maintain efficiency and cross multiple sectors is a testament to its superior management capabilities compared to other tech giants [13][19]. Group 4: Industry Implications - The article posits that the ongoing competition in the tech industry is not just between companies but also a challenge for companies to adapt and innovate continuously [22][23]. - It warns that companies in the Hang Seng Tech Index must either learn from ByteDance's strategies or risk being outpaced and potentially eliminated from the market [22][23]. - The narrative concludes that the future of the tech industry will be shaped by companies that embrace change and innovation, with ByteDance leading the charge [22][23].

Core Insights - The company reported 4Q25 revenue of $2.489 billion, exceeding previous guidance and market expectations, with a year-over-year growth of 12.8% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.5% [1] - The company is cautious in its 1Q26 guidance, projecting flat revenue quarter-over-quarter and a year-over-year increase of 10.7% [1] - The company anticipates a structural demand shift in 2026, driven by AI and automotive sectors, while facing challenges from the storage cycle [2] Financial Performance - 4Q25 gross margin was 19.2%, slightly below market expectations, primarily due to increased depreciation [1] - The net profit for 4Q25 was $203 million, a significant year-over-year decline of 24.9% and a quarter-over-quarter drop of 35.5% [1] - For the full year 2025, the company achieved a record revenue of $9.327 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 16.2% and a net profit of $685 million, up 39.1% year-over-year [1] Market Segmentation - In 4Q25, the revenue breakdown by application showed consumer electronics at 47.3%, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3.9 percentage points [1] - The 12-inch wafer revenue accounted for 77.2% of total wafer revenue, with a year-over-year decrease of 3.4 percentage points [1] - Geographically, revenue distribution in 4Q25 was 87.6% from China, 10.3% from the U.S., and 2.1% from the Eurasian region [1] Capacity and Investment - The company maintained a high utilization rate of 95.7% in 4Q25, with a year-over-year increase of 10.2 percentage points [2] - Capital expenditure in 4Q25 was $2.41 billion, with expectations to maintain similar levels in 2026 [2] - The company plans to add 40,000 pieces of 12-inch monthly capacity in 2026, although the pace of capacity release may be slower than capital expenditure [2] Profitability Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts downward due to pressures from the storage cycle and increased depreciation from new production lines [2] - Expected net profits for 2026-2027 are $1.08 billion and $1.25 billion, respectively, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 58% and 16% [2] - Current stock prices correspond to a price-to-book ratio of 3.2x for 2026 and 3.0x for 2027 in the Hong Kong market [2]

Market Analysis - The A-share market experienced a volume contraction and adjustment on the last trading day before the Spring Festival, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.26% to 4082.07 points, below the 4100-point mark [4] - The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.28% to 14100.19 points, while the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.57% to 3275.96 points, indicating a broad market decline with 3824 stocks falling and only 1537 rising [4] - For the entire year, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 25.28%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 38.84%, and the ChiNext Index by 58.73% [4] Sector Performance - The defense and military sector was the only one to gain, up 0.46%, driven by advancements in commercial aerospace technology and geopolitical tensions [6] - Semiconductor equipment index rose by 1.65%, benefiting from increased demand for storage chips and AI computing power [6] - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a significant decline of 3.31%, influenced by fluctuations in international precious metal prices [6] Bond Market - The bond futures market showed mixed performance, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.04% to 112.84 yuan, while the 10-year contract fell by 0.10% to 108.505 yuan [8] - The central bank conducted a net injection of 613.5 billion yuan, leading to a significant decline in short-term interest rates [8] - The market is expected to remain confident in the central bank's moderately loose monetary policy, which may support bond market recovery [8] Commodity Market - The commodity index fell by 1.69%, with industrial products leading the decline, particularly in precious metals and energy [8] - The main crude oil contract dropped by 4.22% to 456.3 yuan per barrel, amid concerns over supply surplus [8] - Soybean prices surged to a one-year high, driven by supply-demand factors and weather conditions in Brazil [8] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests a balanced allocation in technology and consumer sectors, with a focus on sectors like photovoltaic technology, commercial aerospace, and non-ferrous metals for future growth [8][12] - The report highlights several hot investment themes, including AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-machine interfaces, and robotics, indicating strong future potential [10][12]

智通财经APP讯，中芯国际(00981)发布公告，于2026年2月13日，非本公司董事因行使根据2014以股支 薪奖励计划(于2013年6月13日获采纳)所授予的受限制股份单位而发行的普通股股份1.66万股。 ...

近五日涨跌: 0.99% (原标题：中芯国际(00981)因行使根据2014以股支薪奖励计划所授予的受限制股份单位而发行1.66万股) 智通财经APP讯，中芯国际(00981)发布公告，于2026年2月13日，非本公司董事因行使根据2014以股支薪奖励计划(于2013年6月13日获采纳)所授 予的受限制股份单位而发行的普通股股份1.66万股。 相关ETF 港股通科技ETF基金 (产品代码: 159101) ★ 跟踪：经估值汇率调整后的国证港股通科技指数 市盈率： 29.54倍 资金流向: 最新份额为35.1亿份,增加 了300.0万份,净申赎274.6 厅元。 估值分位:21.24% 恒生科技指数ETF (产品代码: 513180) ★ 跟踪：恒生科技指数 近五日涨跌:0.99% 资金流向: 最新份额为740.8亿份, 增 加了8.1亿份,净申赎5.7亿 元。 港股通互联网ETF基 金 (产品代码: 520910) 资金流向: 最新份额为7.4亿份,增加 了0.0份, 净申赎0.0元。 估值分位:18.04% 恒牛互联网ETF (产品代码：513330) ★ 跟踪: 恒生互联网科技业指数 近五日涨跌: -0. ...

Group 1 - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Meituan-W (03690) ranked as the top three companies in terms of trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) on February 13, 2026, with transaction amounts of 4.301 billion, 3.680 billion, and 3.169 billion respectively [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Meituan-W (03690) also led the trading volume on the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) with transaction amounts of 3.563 billion, 2.870 billion, and 1.460 billion respectively [1] Group 2 - The top ten active companies on the Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) included Tencent Holdings (00700) with a net buy of 1.426 billion, Alibaba-W (09988) with a net buy of 1.143 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) with a net sell of 0.368 billion [2] - On the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound), Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net buy of 0.837 billion, Alibaba-W (09988) had a net buy of 1.156 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) had a net buy of 0.611 billion [2]

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 中芯國際集成電路製造有限公司 呈交日期： 2026年2月13日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | | 00981 | 說明 | 港股 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 ...

如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | | 00981 | 說明 | 港股 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | | 已發行股份總數 | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份（不包括庫存股 份）數目百分比 (註3) | 庫存股份數目 | | ...

智通财经APP获悉，2月13日港股市场，北水成交净买入202.19亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入114.77亿港元，港股通 (深)成交净买入87.43亿港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是盈富基金(02800)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)、腾讯(00700)。北水净卖出最多的个股是长飞光纤光缆 (06869)、中海油(00883)。 | 盈富基金 | 11.80亿 | 188.87万 | 11.82亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HK 02800 | | | +11.78亿 | | 南方恒生 ... | 11.51亿 | 2782.07万 | 11.79 亿 | | HK 03033 | | | +11.24 乙 | | 小米集团-W | 8.00亿 | 2.98亿 | 10.98 亿 | | HK 01810 | | | +5.02 乙 | | 长飞光纤 ... | 4.90亿 | 4.56亿 | 9.461乙 | | HK 06869 | | | +3338.34万 | | :: 洪烟田中 | 3.76亿 | 5.19 乙 | 8.95亿 | | HK 00883 | | | ...