6 月光伏装机增速环比大幅降低，天然气进口量同比下降 5.5% 【】【】[Table_Industry] 公用事业—电力天然气周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 7 月 26 日 15666646523.tcy 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 公用事业 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522070001 联系电话：010-83326723 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 化工行业： 唐婵玉 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500525050001 邮 箱：tangchanyu@cindasc. ...

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of China Fusion Company marks a significant transition from experimental research to engineering and commercial application in fusion energy, demonstrating a key leap for the fusion industry cluster development in China [1][2]. Group 1: Company Establishment and Investment - China Fusion Company was officially established on July 22, 2025, in Shanghai, with a total investment of 11.492 billion yuan from seven units, including China National Nuclear Corporation and China Petroleum Kunlun Capital [2]. - The company will focus on the engineering and commercialization of fusion energy, utilizing the magnetic confinement Tokamak technology [2]. - China Fusion Company has signed a deepening cooperation agreement with several institutions, including Shanghai Jiao Tong University and Shanghai Electric Group, to promote collaborative development within the fusion industry chain [2][3]. Group 2: Industry Development and Technological Advancements - Shanghai is actively promoting the fusion industry cluster, emphasizing the integration of innovation elements from enterprises, universities, and research institutions to accelerate the commercialization of fusion technology [3]. - Shanghai Superconductor has achieved breakthroughs in high-temperature superconducting core technology, holding over 80% market share for domestic and international fusion reactor supplies [3]. - The establishment of the fusion innovation consortium will enhance the density of technological innovation and accelerate the development of a globally influential fusion energy innovation hub [3]. Group 3: Global Context and Future Outlook - The global fusion industry is thriving, with at least 45 commercial fusion companies and cumulative investments of approximately 7 billion USD, with 80% of surveyed companies expecting to supply power to the grid in the 2030s [4]. - China has validated the feasibility of fusion reactors through national research projects and plans to start the BEST project in 2025, aiming for its first power supply to the grid by 2030 [4]. - The role of state capital in Shanghai is crucial for encouraging social capital to foster innovation in the upstream and downstream sectors, potentially shortening the growth cycle of the fusion industry [4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a continued performance divergence within the power sector, with thermal power companies showing improved performance in regions like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Guangdong, and Shanghai, while new energy companies exhibit significant individual performance differences [5][6] - Hydropower and nuclear power maintain stable performance, with hydropower's unique business model and resource scarcity being emphasized as key investment considerations [5] - The report suggests focusing on companies with resilient business models that can navigate annual cycles and have higher certainty with lower downside risks [5] Summary by Sections Performance Analysis - The report anticipates that thermal power companies will see improved performance in regions with smaller declines in electricity prices, particularly in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Central China [5] - New energy performance is expected to vary significantly based on regional wind conditions, electricity price declines, and installed capacity growth [5] - Hydropower's pricing impact is expected to be controllable in the short term, with a focus on low-valuation and growth-oriented companies [5] Investment Recommendations - The report provides three stock selection strategies: prioritize resilient hydropower assets, continue to monitor low-valuation or growth-oriented wind power operators, and focus on quality thermal power assets and power equipment manufacturers [5] - Key recommended companies include: 1. Quality Hydropower: Chuan Investment Energy, Yangtze Power, Huaneng Hydropower, State Power Investment [5] 2. Hong Kong Wind Power: Longyuan Power (H), Datang New Energy, CGN New Energy, New天绿色能源 [5] 3. Quality Thermal Power: China Resources Power, Anhui Energy, Sheneng Co., Guangzhou Development [5] 4. Traditional Power Equipment Manufacturers: Dongfang Electric [5]

Core Viewpoint - The development of renewable energy projects in the Hubei County of Xinjiang is significantly contributing to local economic growth and ecological protection, with substantial investments in wind and solar energy projects [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Growth - The general public budget revenue of Hubei County increased by 15.2% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [1]. - Urban residents' per capita disposable income grew by 6.5% in the first quarter, while rural residents' per capita disposable income rose by 7.6% [1]. - The implementation of renewable energy projects is expected to enhance the local economy by diversifying the industrial structure beyond mining and agriculture [2]. Group 2: Renewable Energy Projects - The State Grid Energy and Feng Coal Power Co., Ltd. is investing 1.977 billion yuan in a 500,000 kW wind power project, with an expected annual electricity generation of 1.112 billion kWh, replacing approximately 340,000 tons of standard coal and reducing CO2 emissions by about 900,000 tons [2]. - The Sheneng 2 million kW photovoltaic project has a total investment of around 5 billion yuan, with an anticipated annual power generation of approximately 3.2 billion kWh [2]. - The construction of these renewable energy projects includes the installation of about 1.53 million foundation piles and approximately 3.99 million photovoltaic components, benefiting from favorable transportation conditions and abundant sunlight in the Gobi Desert [2]. Group 3: Environmental Impact - The renewable energy initiatives are expected to provide significant environmental benefits, including substantial reductions in carbon emissions and a shift towards cleaner energy sources [2]. - The projects are designed to support both economic development and ecological protection, creating a sustainable model for high-quality development in the region [2].

Core Viewpoint - The recent capital increase and expansion by State Grid New Source Holdings Co., Ltd. is a significant move to enhance the development capacity of pumped storage projects in China, aiming to support the country's energy transition and achieve carbon neutrality goals [2][5]. Group 1: Capital Increase and Investment - State Grid New Source Holdings has signed a capital increase project worth 36.5 billion yuan, setting a record for cash fundraising in state asset transactions [2]. - The raised funds will be fully invested in pumped storage project construction, expected to leverage over 300 billion yuan in project investments, stimulating related industries such as equipment manufacturing, construction, and technology research [2][3]. Group 2: Industry Development and Capacity - As of 2024, China's cumulative installed capacity of pumped storage is projected to exceed 58 million kilowatts, with an additional 7.75 million kilowatts expected to be added that year [3]. - China has maintained the world's largest installed capacity of pumped storage for nine consecutive years, with ongoing projects showing a trend towards larger single-unit capacities and increased domestic manufacturing of equipment [3][4]. Group 3: Technological and Market Trends - Pumped storage technology is recognized as the most mature large-scale energy storage solution, suitable for peak shaving, frequency regulation, and emergency backup in power systems [4]. - The future of pumped storage is seen as a strategic opportunity, especially with the rapid increase in photovoltaic penetration and the challenges faced by the power system [5]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Investment opportunities are suggested in leading pumped storage companies with advantages in resource endowment, project acquisition, technological accumulation, and financial strength [5]. - Water and electricity companies with strong cash flow and active involvement in pumped storage are also highlighted as potential growth points [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the growing importance of green finance in China, particularly under the guidance of the "dual carbon" goals, and highlights the role of the securities industry in supporting sustainable development through innovative financial products and services [1][2]. Green Finance Development - Dongfang Securities has been actively expanding its green finance business, focusing on green investment, financing, carbon finance, and research [2]. - The company has issued nearly 50 green bonds in recent years, raising approximately 200 billion yuan for various enterprises [6]. - From 2021 to 2024, Dongfang Securities has guided over 470 billion yuan into sustainable development, with an annual growth rate exceeding 10% [7]. Green Bond Innovations - The first green bond supporting sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) was issued by Henan Civil Aviation Development Investment Group, with Dongfang Securities acting as the sole green structuring advisor [3][4]. - The company has launched the "Dongfang Securities CFETS Common Classification Directory Green Bond Basket" to enhance liquidity and facilitate cross-border investment in green bonds [8]. Carbon Finance Initiatives - Dongfang Securities has obtained qualifications for carbon emissions trading and has completed its first carbon quota transaction in early 2023 [9][10]. - The company has developed a comprehensive carbon finance service model, integrating traditional financial services with carbon asset management [12][16]. ESG Leadership - Dongfang Securities has established itself as a leader in ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) practices, achieving an AA rating from MSCI and setting benchmarks for sustainable finance [18][20]. - The company has implemented a systematic governance structure for sustainable development, integrating ESG risk management into its financial operations [19][21]. Challenges and Strategic Responses - The company faces challenges in the nascent green finance market, including the need for standardized policies and the long-term nature of low-carbon products [13]. - Dongfang Securities has formed a green finance working group to develop strategic plans and enhance product innovation [13][14]. Digital Transformation - The company views financial technology as a crucial support for the development of green finance, aiming to improve operational efficiency and customer experience [14]. Conclusion - Dongfang Securities is committed to expanding its green finance footprint and acting as a pioneer in the ESG space, aligning its business strategies with sustainable development goals [17][23].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing importance of green finance under the "dual carbon" goals, emphasizing the role of Dongfang Securities in promoting green investment, financing, and carbon finance initiatives [1][2][3]. Green Finance Development - Dongfang Securities has been actively expanding its green finance business, focusing on green investment, financing, carbon finance, and research, positioning itself as a pioneer in the ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) sector [1][2]. - The company has underwritten nearly 50 green bonds, raising approximately 200 billion yuan for various enterprises, including green corporate bonds and green asset securitization products [2][3]. Green Bond Innovation - The issuance of China's first green bond supporting sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) by Henan Civil Aviation Development Investment Group marks a significant breakthrough in financing low-carbon industries [2]. - Dongfang Securities played a crucial role as the exclusive green structuring advisor and global coordinator for this bond, showcasing its commitment to innovative green financing solutions [2]. Carbon Finance Initiatives - Dongfang Securities has established a distinctive path in the carbon trading market, becoming one of the few licensed brokerages to participate in carbon emissions trading [4]. - The company has successfully executed multiple carbon quota transactions and is actively exploring "electric-carbon-finance" cooperation models to enhance its carbon finance offerings [4][5]. ESG Leadership - Dongfang Securities has set a benchmark in the industry by being the first to publish net-zero emissions targets and sustainable finance quantitative indicators, achieving an AA rating from MSCI in ESG ratings [9][10]. - The company has integrated ESG risk management into its financial operations, establishing a sustainable development governance framework to guide responsible investment practices [9][10]. Challenges and Strategic Initiatives - The company faces challenges in the nascent green finance market, including the need for improved policies and standards, as well as the long-term nature of low-carbon products [7]. - To address these challenges, Dongfang Securities has formed a green finance working group and established a green finance research institute to drive innovation and strategic planning in this area [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The green power sector is experiencing mixed performance, with fluctuations in stock prices and significant developments in green energy projects, indicating potential investment opportunities and market dynamics [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of July 23, 2025, the National Green Power Index decreased by 0.04%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1]. - GCL-Poly Energy led the gains with a rise of 3.60%, while South Grid Energy Storage saw the largest decline [1]. - The Green Power ETF (159625) underwent adjustments, reflecting changes in market conditions [1]. Group 2: ETF Performance - The Green Power ETF recorded a turnover of 5.52% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 17.49 million yuan [3]. - Over the past week, the ETF's average daily transaction volume was 21.42 million yuan, with a significant growth in scale of 17.61 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3]. - The ETF's net value increased by 10.21% over the past six months, with a maximum single-month return of 9.19% since inception [3]. Group 3: Key Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Green Power Index accounted for 56.91% of the index, with China Yangtze Power and Three Gorges Energy being the largest components [3][6]. - The performance of these stocks varied, with China Nuclear Power increasing by 1.82% and Huaneng Water Power declining by 2.05% [6]. Group 4: Future Developments - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with an investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly boost infrastructure development and clean energy initiatives in the western region [4]. - The green certificate market is anticipated to gain momentum in 2026, driven by new energy consumption assessments for major industries [4].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance and key metrics of the Huatai-PineBridge CSI Shanghai State-Owned Enterprises ETF Fund, indicating a net asset value increase and a competitive ranking among similar funds [1][2]. Fund Performance - As of Q2 2025, the fund's latest scale is 7.942 billion yuan, with a quarterly net value increase of 3.55% [1][2]. - Over the past year, the fund's net value increased by 26.5%, ranking 1421 out of 2903 similar funds, while the median increase for similar funds was 25.63% [1][2]. - The fund's maximum drawdown over the past year was -16.59%, and since inception, it has experienced a maximum drawdown of -30.96% [1]. Fund Size and Asset Allocation - The fund's size increased by 447 million yuan from the previous period, reflecting a 5.96% quarter-on-quarter change [2]. - The current asset allocation shows that 98.71% of the net value is in stocks, with no bond assets and 1.28% in cash [2]. Top Holdings - The top ten stock positions account for 44.77% of the fund, with China Pacific Insurance (601601) being the largest holding at 8.33% [2][3]. - Other significant holdings include Shanghai Airport (5.74%) and Shanghai Electric (3.91%), with various adjustments in positions compared to the previous quarter [3]. Fund Management - The current fund manager, Wu Zhenxiang, has been in charge since July 28, 2016, with a cumulative return of -2.37% during his tenure [3]. - The fund manager oversees 23 other fund products, with the best-performing fund this quarter being Huatai-PineBridge CSI 2000 Index Enhanced A, which saw a net value increase of 11.28% [3]. Economic Context - The report notes that the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.3% in Q2 2025, with small-cap and value styles outperforming large-cap and growth styles [5]. - Domestic macroeconomic resilience is highlighted, particularly in the consumption sector, with retail sales growing by 6.4% year-on-year in May 2025, the highest since 2024 [5]. - Fixed asset investment increased by 3.7% year-on-year, with infrastructure and manufacturing investments showing strong growth, while real estate investment continued to decline [5]. Market Outlook - The report emphasizes that despite potential external demand slowdowns and pressures in the real estate market, domestic demand expansion and supportive policies provide a solid foundation for economic development [5]. - The CSI Shanghai State-Owned Enterprises Index represents listed state-owned enterprises in Shanghai, and the ETF serves as a quality tool for investors to allocate to these assets [5].

Domestic News - The coverage rate of charging piles in highway service areas has reached 98.4%, with 62,000 charging parking spaces built, alleviating "range anxiety" for electric vehicles, which now account for about 20% of daily highway traffic [4] - Guangdong and Anhui provinces are implementing measures to promote healthy development in the automotive industry, including commitments from companies like GAC, BYD, and Xpeng to optimize payment processes for suppliers [5] - GAC Group has established a new energy technology company focusing on AI applications, IoT technology development, and related services [6] - BYD's high-end brand Yangwang will enter the European market, targeting luxury brands like Bentley and Porsche with high-tech and high-performance models [7] - Toyota and Sheneng Co. signed a strategic cooperation agreement to explore the application of Toyota's nickel-hydrogen batteries in energy storage systems [8] - Hongmeng Zhixing reported over 600 user centers nationwide and integrated over 1,100 Huawei supercharging stations, creating an efficient charging network [9] - WeRide has formed strategic partnerships with Guanggu Intelligent Manufacturing Park and Hubei Science Investment to deepen collaboration in battery asset management and capital markets [12] International News - The EU plans to mandate that rental companies only purchase electric vehicles starting in 2030, accelerating the phase-out of internal combustion engine vehicles [13] - The UK is seeking public input on a licensing plan for autonomous vehicle services, with the first services expected to launch in spring 2026 [14] - Canada's share of North American automotive production has dropped to a 30-year low of 7.6%, with a 6.4% decline in production [15] - Tesla has upgraded its Robotaxi service to allow for more precise passenger pickups based on user location, enhancing user experience [16] Commercial Vehicles - Supa and TÜV Nord have partnered to enhance the efficiency of global certification for new energy heavy trucks [17] - SAIC Yuejin launched two new energy light trucks, T2 and T3, aimed at covering various logistics needs [18] - Shandong Heavy Industry's heavy truck exports accounted for 61.3% of the national total, with a 3% increase in export revenue [19] - Fast Intelligent Brake Company received recognition as an advanced intelligent factory, marking a significant achievement in smart manufacturing [20]