Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Neutral (maintained rating) [6] Core Viewpoints - The Shanghai Marine Bureau has announced plans to develop a marine hydrogen energy industry base and promote offshore wind power, focusing on the research and application of new energy vessels and the low-carbon transformation of traditional ships [1][13] - The basic chemical sector has shown a week-on-week increase of 4.28%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.32 percentage points, ranking 12th among all sectors [4][16] - Key chemical products have experienced price fluctuations, with notable increases in natural gas (+20.7%), hydrogen peroxide (+19.9%), and urea (+13.2%) [2][30] Summary by Sections Key News Tracking - The Shanghai Marine Bureau's announcement emphasizes support for new energy vessels and the development of marine renewable energy sources [1][13] - The European Parliament has reached an agreement on modifying the carbon border adjustment mechanism, impacting carbon-intensive industries [13] Product Price Tracking - WTI oil price decreased by 11.3% to $65.52 per barrel, while several chemical products saw price increases and decreases [2][30] - Urea prices fluctuated due to market dynamics, with a rebound following export policy rumors [2] Sector Performance - The basic chemical sector's performance was highlighted, with significant weekly gains in sub-sectors such as membrane materials (+12.82%) and other plastic products (+8.35%) [4][19] - The sector's PB ratio stands at 2.04, while the overall A-share market PB is at 1.51 [25] Key Industry Insights - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in stable demand sectors such as refrigerants and phosphates, as well as sectors with improving supply-demand dynamics like organic silicon [5] - Recommendations include focusing on companies like Juhua Co., Yuntianhua, and Wanhu Chemical for their respective sectors [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The report is optimistic about the domestic breakthroughs in COC materials, packaging materials, and semiconductor materials, emphasizing the importance of "domestic substitution" in achieving supply chain security and reducing production costs for end products [1][22] Summary by Sections Semiconductor Materials - The global semiconductor sales are projected to reach approximately $630.5 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of about 19.7%, with the Asia-Pacific region expected to see a growth of 17.5% [4][38] - The steady growth in the semiconductor market is anticipated to drive an increase in demand for semiconductor materials, including photoresists and electronic specialty gases [4][43] COC/COP Materials - COC/COP, a high-end optical material, has shown significant potential, with Akolai's thousand-ton production line entering trial production in Q3 2024 [2][29] - COC/COP materials are characterized by high thermal deformation temperature, high transparency, low birefringence, and low dielectric loss, making them ideal for optical components [25][28] - The domestic production of COC/COP is gaining momentum, with several companies, including Akolai, making strides in industrialization [28][29] PSPI Materials - PSPI combines the functions of photoresist and dielectric insulation layer, showing promise in integrated circuits and OLED applications [3][35] - Domestic companies like Aolide and Dinglong have achieved breakthroughs in the localization of PSPI, indicating a potential increase in domestic supply [3][36] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-value new materials, particularly semiconductor materials, OLED supply chains, and wind power materials [5] - It also highlights the importance of monitoring the development of new capacities in the semiconductor materials sector [43]

Economic Performance - The Pingdingshan Nylon New Materials Development Zone achieved fixed asset investment of 1.86 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.4% from January to May [1] - The industrial added value reached 1.69 billion, growing by 15.7% year-on-year [1] - The total industrial output value was 8.55 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 15.8% [1] - Expected operating income is 13.25 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.8% [1] Project Development - The development zone plans to implement 35 projects this year with a total investment of 22.54 billion, including 6 provincial key projects worth 5.34 billion and 17 municipal key projects worth 15.75 billion [3] - Nine projects, including the first phase of the Nylon Technology annual production of 100,000 tons of caprolactam project, are expected to be completed in the first half of the year, adding an estimated annual output value of 6 billion [3] - Four new projects have commenced, with a total investment of approximately 2.72 billion, contributing to industrial upgrades and the cultivation of emerging industries [3] Investment Attraction - The development zone has adopted a "dual recruitment and dual introduction" strategy as a key initiative, focusing on upstream sourcing, midstream strengthening, and downstream expansion [4] - The zone's招商团队 has conducted 46 online promotional activities and visited 23 leading enterprises across four provinces [4] - A total of 18 projects have been connected, with an estimated total investment of approximately 8.27 billion, including 5 projects ready for signing worth about 2.43 billion [5]

[Table_IndNameRptType] 基础化工 行业周报 乙烷禁运风波趋缓，从"全面停运"到"可运输、暂不卸货" [Table_IndRank] 行业评级：增持 报告日期： 2025-6-30 [Table_Chart] 行业指数与沪深 300 走势比较 -27% -14% 0% 14% 27% 41% 基础化工 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 执业证书号：S0010522110002 电话：13621792701 邮箱：wangqf@hazq.com 分析师：潘宁馨 执业证书号：S0010524070002 电话：13816562460 邮箱：pannx@hazq.com [Table_Report] 相关报告 1.壳牌关闭新加坡炼油厂，原油、制冷剂 R22 价格上涨 20250105 山东布局精细化工产业发展，制冷剂 R32、 R125、R134a 价格上涨 20241230 2.2025 年制冷剂配额下发，天然气、顺酐价 格上涨 20241224 主要观点： ⚫[Table_Summary] 行业周观点 本周（2025/06/23-2025/06/27）化工板块整体涨跌 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The chemical industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices. Key areas of focus for June include safety regulations, supply changes in the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations due to export dynamics, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials [4][11] - The report suggests a mid-to-long-term investment strategy focusing on high oil prices, robust performance in the oil and gas extraction sector, and the growth potential in new materials, particularly in electronic and renewable energy materials [4][11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of June 29, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemicals sector is 22.34, at the 63.93 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.83, at the 14.09 percentile historically. For the oil and petrochemical sector, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio is 10.98, at the 15.69 percentile historically, and the price-to-book ratio is 1.19, at the 2.39 percentile historically [4][11] Price Changes - In the week of June 23-29, 38 chemical products saw price increases, 38 saw decreases, and 24 remained stable. The average price of WTI crude oil fell by 12.56% to $65.52 per barrel, while Brent crude fell by 12.00% to $67.77 per barrel. The average price of MDI decreased by 1.59% to 15,500 CNY/ton, while H acid increased by 5.39% to 44,000 CNY/ton [10][28][30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong dividend policies and those in high-growth sectors such as oil and gas, electronic materials, and new energy materials. Specific companies highlighted for investment include China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and several others in the electronic materials sector [4][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the basic chemical industry [1] Core Insights - The prices of bio-jet fuel (SAF) and bio-diesel have increased, with SAF reaching $2230 per ton, up 9.85% week-on-week and 20.28% year-to-date [3][11] - Refrigerant prices remain strong, with R32 and R134a showing slight increases of 0.96% and 1.03% respectively [4][11] - The demand for high-performance fibers and lightweight materials is expected to rise due to advancements in robotics and the low-altitude economy [5][28] Summary by Sections 1. Sub-industry Tracking - Bio-jet fuel (SAF) and bio-diesel prices are on the rise, with SAF priced at $2230 per ton and bio-diesel at 8100 RMB per ton [3][11] - Refrigerant prices are stable, with R32 at 52500 RMB per ton and R134a at 49000 RMB per ton [4][11] - Prices for vitamins, multi-crystalline silicon, and other materials have declined [4][11] 2. Electronic Chemicals - The electronic chemicals sector focuses on materials for the electronics industry, including wet electronic chemicals and photolithography materials [13][16] - The market for semiconductor materials is projected to grow, with a significant increase in domestic production capabilities [20][23] 3. New Quality Productivity - Carbon fiber and ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE) are highlighted as key materials benefiting from the low-altitude economy and robotics [28][30] - PEEK materials are gaining traction in humanoid robotics, with demand expected to grow significantly [33] 4. Lithium Battery/Storage Materials - Conductive agents like carbon black and carbon nanotubes are essential for lithium battery materials, with current market prices showing a downward trend [36][39] - Sodium-ion battery materials are also gaining attention due to their cost advantages [39] 5. Renewable and Modified Plastics - The demand for recycled plastics is increasing, with a notable rise in the proportion of recycled materials used in packaging [55][58] - Specialty engineering plastics are in demand across various industries, including automotive and aerospace [55][60] 6. Coatings, Inks, and Pigments - The demand for new functional coating materials is growing, driven by the automotive and consumer electronics sectors [62][64] 7. Market Performance - The basic chemical index has shown a 4.15% increase, outperforming the overall market [66][67]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The new materials sector is a crucial direction for the future development of the chemical industry, currently experiencing rapid downstream demand growth. With policy support and technological breakthroughs, domestic new materials are expected to accelerate their long-term growth. The report emphasizes that "one generation of materials leads to one generation of industries," highlighting the foundational nature of the new materials industry for other sectors [4][15]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Electronic Information Sector - Focus on semiconductor materials, display materials, and 5G materials [5]. - The global semiconductor manufacturing industry is projected to maintain strong growth, with capacity expected to grow at a CAGR of 7% from the end of 2024 to 2028, reaching a record monthly output of 11.1 million wafers. Advanced process capacity (7nm and below) is anticipated to increase from 850,000 wafers per month in 2024 to a historical high of 1.4 million wafers per month by 2028, representing a growth of approximately 69% and a CAGR of about 14%, which is double the industry average [6][28]. 2. Aerospace Sector - Focus on PI films, precision ceramics, and carbon fibers [7]. 3. New Energy Sector - Focus on photovoltaics, lithium-ion batteries, proton exchange membranes, and hydrogen storage materials [9]. - As of May 2025, China's cumulative installed photovoltaic capacity has surpassed 1 billion kilowatts, reaching 1.08 billion kilowatts, which is equivalent to about 48 Three Gorges power stations and accounts for 30% of the total installed capacity in China, nearly half of the global photovoltaic installed capacity [10]. 4. Biotechnology Sector - Focus on synthetic biology and scientific services [11]. 5. Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Sector - Focus on adsorption resins, membrane materials, and biodegradable plastics [13]. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - The report highlights several key companies with their respective stock prices and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2023, 2024E, and 2025E, along with their price-to-earnings (PE) ratios and investment ratings. For example, Ruihua Tai (688323.SH) has a stock price of 14.45 with an EPS forecast of 0.29 for 2025, rated as "Increase" [17].

因此， 2025高分子产业年会暨"新塑奖"评选 以 "中国新兴产业崛起引领高分子下个十年" 为主题， 将于 2025年9月10-12日 在 安徽·合肥 隆重召开！ 主题行业大会、创新展览、新塑奖评选与颁奖三大 板块及终端对接专场、国际合作专场、项目路演与投资专场 等特色活动同期进行，立足全球视野， 将带来最新的宏观预判，最新的科技成果，最新的创新解决方案，最新的新兴应用需求和趋势，邀您 共襄这一产业协作、技术创新的顶级盛会！ 01 组织机构 高分子该往哪走，如何布局？我们认为，化工行业竞争正由"规模制胜"转向"技术制胜"，新材料技 术、新物质结构的不断突破与创新至关重要。同时，全球化工主导地位向中国转移的当下，中国以其 庞大的市场，完整的产业链，稳定的政治环境，受到全球青睐，跨国企业纷纷在中国建立创新研发中 心，布局前沿创新领域。中国新兴产业的崛起，将引领高分子产业下个十年的方向。 国际市场竞争加剧、产能结构性过剩等诸多因素，正加速全球化工企业转型升级，大量高分子企业正 在被迫抛弃传统的、产能过剩的、无法盈利的相关产业，全球化工产业正经历新一轮洗牌。与此同 时，在新一轮科技革命的大背景下，低空经济、具身机器人 ...

行 业 及 产 业 基础化工 2025 年 06 月 29 日 贸易形势有望再度缓和，关注出口 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证券分析师 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 任杰 A0230522070003 renjie@swsresearch.com 赵文琪 A0230523060003 zhaowq@swsresearch.com 周超 A0230123090004 zhouchao@swsresearch.com 李绍程 A0230124070001 lisc@swsresearch.com 联系人 马昕晔 (8621)23297818× maxy@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 证 券 研 究 1. 行业动态 当前时点的化工宏观判断。根据 wind 数据统计， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform" for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the successful completion of China's largest offshore gas field, "Deep Sea No. 1," which is expected to produce over 4.5 billion cubic meters of gas annually, enhancing energy supply to the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [3]. - A significant coal comprehensive utilization project in Xinjiang has commenced, with an investment of 27.4 billion yuan, projected to generate an annual revenue of 15.4 billion yuan and create approximately 2,000 jobs [3]. - The report identifies several investment themes, including the competitiveness of domestic tire manufacturers, the potential recovery in consumer electronics, and the resilience of certain chemical sectors [4][5][10]. Summary by Sections Chemical Sector Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.91%, while the CSI 300 increased by 1.95%. The CITIC Basic Chemical Index and the Shenwan Chemical Index saw gains of 4.15% and 3.11%, respectively [16]. - The top-performing sub-industries included membrane materials (11.79%), other plastic products (6.72%), and nylon (6.51%) [19]. Key Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the strong competitive position of domestic tire companies, suggesting a focus on companies like Sailun Tire and Linglong Tire due to their growth potential in a global market [4]. - In the consumer electronics sector, a gradual recovery is anticipated, benefiting upstream material companies involved in the panel supply chain [4]. - The phosphoric chemical sector is highlighted for its tightening supply-demand dynamics due to environmental regulations and increasing demand from the new energy sector [5]. - The fluorochemical sector is expected to stabilize as production quotas for refrigerants are reduced, supporting profitability [5]. Investment Themes - Investment Theme One: Domestic tire manufacturers are positioned strongly, with recommended stocks including Sailun Tire and Linglong Tire [4]. - Investment Theme Two: The consumer electronics sector is expected to recover, with a focus on upstream material companies like Dongcai Technology and Stik [4]. - Investment Theme Three: Resilient sectors such as phosphoric and fluorochemical industries are recommended for investment due to favorable supply-demand conditions [5]. - Investment Theme Four: The recovery of leading chemical companies is anticipated as economic conditions improve, with recommendations for companies like Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Chemical [10]. - Investment Theme Five: Attention is drawn to vitamin products due to supply disruptions, with companies like Zhejiang Medicine and New Heavens being highlighted [10].