Group 1: Global Gas Turbine and Aerospace Engine Demand - The demand for gas turbines is expected to surge, with GE Vernova projecting a backlog of 60GW by the end of 2025, with orders signed until 2028 [3][4] - In Q1 2025, GE Vernova added 7.1GW in new gas turbine orders, a 44.9% year-on-year increase, primarily from heavy-duty gas turbine orders [3][4] - The aerospace engine market is experiencing robust demand, with Boeing reporting a net addition of 300 aircraft orders in May 2025, raising its backlog to 5943 aircraft [5][6] Group 2: High-Temperature Alloy and Chromium Salt Industry - The growth in gas turbine and aerospace engine demand is driving the need for high-temperature alloys, with domestic manufacturers poised to benefit from supply chain constraints [9][13] - Companies like Zhenhua Co. and Sry New Materials are expanding their production capabilities and reporting significant revenue growth from overseas markets [9][10] - The high-temperature alloy sector is rated as "recommended" due to the increasing demand for core components amid supply chain shifts towards China [13] Group 3: Coal Industry Dynamics - In May 2025, China's industrial raw coal production reached 400 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, indicating a recovery in the coal supply [15][18] - The industrial electricity generation in May 2025 showed a positive shift, with coal-fired power generation increasing by 1.2% year-on-year, reversing a previous decline [19][22] - The coal market is witnessing a gradual improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with coal prices stabilizing and inventory levels decreasing [21][23] Group 4: Real Estate and Land Market Factors - The land market's performance is influenced by five key factors, including financing environment, new housing market stability, inventory reduction, sales model changes, and land supply rules [24][27] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a significant recovery in the real estate market, with new housing transactions positively impacting land market activity [29][30] - The land market is entering a "dual concentration" phase, with significant activity concentrated in major cities and among top real estate firms [25][26] Group 5: Company-Specific Developments - Xiaogoods City (600415.SH) is leveraging its position in Yiwu to enhance its global trade capabilities, with a projected revenue growth of 25% from 2025 to 2027 [36][39] - Huayi Group is diversifying its operations across five core business areas, reporting a revenue increase of 9.3% in 2024 [40]

行 业 及 产 业 基础化工 2025 年 05 月 05 日 25Q1 基础化工底部回暖，在建工 程见顶回落，重点关注低估值高成 长标的 看好 ——《化工周报 25/04/28-25/04/30》 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 任杰 A0230522070003 renjie@swsresearch.com 赵文琪 A0230523060003 zhaowq@swsresearch.com 周超 A0230123090004 zhouchao@swsresearch.com 李绍程 A0230124070001 lisc@swsresearch.com 联系人 马昕晔 (8621)23297818× maxy@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ...

Summary of the Conference Call for Xinjubang Company Overview - **Company**: Xinjubang - **Industry**: Lithium battery materials, fluorochemical products, capacitor chemicals Key Points and Arguments 1. Sales and Revenue Performance - In Q1 2025, Xinjubang achieved revenue of 2.002 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.14% [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 230 million yuan, up 39.3% year-on-year [3] - Lithium battery business saw a significant sales increase of approximately 70-80% year-on-year, although overall revenue was pressured by price declines [2][5] 2. Growth Drivers - The main growth drivers were fluorochemical products and capacitor chemicals, both achieving double-digit growth in sales and profit contributions [2][6] - The semiconductor and cosmetics sectors performed well, albeit from a smaller base [2][6] 3. International Sales and Market Strategy - Overseas sales accounted for approximately 20-30% of electrolyte sales, with significant contributions from fluorochemical and capacitor chemicals [10][12] - The company exports primarily through its European factory in Poland, mitigating short-term tariff impacts [5][10] - The Malaysian factory is in the planning stage, with a construction period of about two years, and will adjust its pace based on market demand [10] 4. Product Development and Market Position - Following 3M's exit from the market, there may be inventory accumulation among downstream customers for organic fluorine products [7] - The company is expanding its product range, including cooling and cleaning products, to drive business growth [7][8] 5. Price Stability and Market Outlook - Current prices for fluorinated liquids are stable, with short-term price declines unlikely due to the slowdown in wafer factory growth [12] - Long-term trends suggest gradual price decreases as production increases [12] 6. Future Performance Expectations - The company aims for a profit target of 1.1 billion yuan for 2025, with expectations for better performance in the second half of the year [4][15] - The company maintains an optimistic outlook for the fluorochemical sector, which is less affected by tariff policies [4][15] 7. Challenges and Risks - The potential impact of U.S. tariffs on electrolyte exports remains uncertain, although currently manageable [13][20] - The company is closely monitoring the evolving market conditions and regulatory environment, particularly regarding environmental regulations affecting competitors like 3M [11][16] 8. Strategic Collaborations and Innovations - The capacitor chemicals business is expected to remain a core growth pillar, supported by leading technology and stable quality [3][21] - Ongoing R&D collaborations, such as with Jianghai for MLCC conductive polymer materials, are still in the development phase [21] 9. Stock Incentive Plans - The company confirmed stock incentive expenses for 2023 and plans to allocate approximately 60 million yuan for the new incentive plan starting in May 2025 [19] 10. Overall Market Position - Xinjubang's performance shows resilience compared to peers, with stable growth in fluorochemical and capacitor businesses despite challenges in electrolyte profitability [22] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's performance, growth strategies, market dynamics, and future outlook.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met market expectations, with revenue of 2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 8.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 230 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.3% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.5% [8] - The report anticipates a turning point in fluorochemical and electrolyte segments in 2025, driven by high growth in electrolyte shipments and increasing overseas orders [8] - The company has acquired a 42% stake in Shilei, which is expected to enable self-supply of hexafluoropropylene, meeting 40-50% of its electrolyte demand [8] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to grow from 7,484 million yuan in 2023 to 16,678 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 27.95% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 1,011.07 million yuan in 2023 to 2,005.03 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 23.97% [1] - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) to rise from 1.34 yuan in 2023 to 2.66 yuan in 2027, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25x for 2025 [1][8]