Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [5][11]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in net profit in 2025, driven by advancements in AI and automotive software, as well as its internationalization strategy [2][11]. - The company is in a new development phase characterized by technological iteration and product innovation, with projected revenues of 7.76 billion, 9.26 billion, and 11.03 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11][25]. - The company emphasizes integrating AI deeply into its automotive software development processes, focusing on core areas of intelligent connected vehicles [11][24]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 639 million in 2023, with a forecasted increase to 776 million in 2025, representing a growth rate of 27.8% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to turn positive, reaching 79 million in 2025, a significant increase from a loss of 15 million in 2023 [4]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve, with a projected gross margin of 35.5% in 2025 [18]. Revenue Breakdown - Software technology services are expected to generate revenue of 294.7 million in 2025, with a gross margin of 26.4% [18]. - Customized software development services are projected to bring in 328.6 million in 2025, maintaining a gross margin of approximately 38% [18]. - Third-party testing services are anticipated to generate 146.1 million in revenue in 2025, with a gross margin of 45.8% [17][18]. Valuation Analysis - The report suggests a target price of 63.12, based on a dynamic price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 6.3 for 2026 [5][25]. - The company is considered to have a higher valuation elasticity due to its smaller market capitalization and profit base, indicating potential for significant market growth [25].

证券分析师 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 晨会纪要（2026/02/06） 市场处于震荡整固阶段，结构性行情将是重点——A 股市场 2026 年 2 月投资 策略报告 行业研究 关注年报业绩催化与创新药械产业链——医药生物行业 2 月投资策略展望 崔健 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.02.06） 宏观及策略研究 晨会纪要（2026/02/06） 宏观及策略研究 市场处于震荡整固阶段，结构性行情将是重点——A 股市场 2026 年 2 月投资策略报告 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 要 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 云计算提价印证高景气，AI 应用迎来多点催化——计算机行业 2 月投资策略 展望 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S1150124030005） 1、宏观方面 2026 年年初，出口端在结构优化、产品竞争优势以及经贸环境改善的支撑下将 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the high demand for AI computing power, as evidenced by recent price increases in cloud services from major providers like Google and Amazon, indicating a robust market environment for AI applications [2][5][15] - The introduction of new AI models, such as DeepSeek V4, is expected to drive technological advancements in domestic AI capabilities, potentially leading to a new wave of innovation in the industry [5][46] - The report maintains a "neutral" rating for the computer industry while recommending an "overweight" position on Hongsoft Technology, indicating a cautious but optimistic outlook for select companies within the sector [6][48] Industry Data - In 2025, China's software industry reported a business revenue of 154,831 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.2%, while total profits reached 18,848 billion yuan, up 7.3% [3][24] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for the computer industry in December 2025 decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.7% year-on-year, indicating some pricing pressures in the sector [3][16] - The total export value of the software industry was 62.73 billion USD in 2025, marking a 7.7% increase compared to the previous year [24] Company Announcements - Zhisheng Information announced a significant contract worth 63.7183 million yuan for the supply of server and software integration services, which is expected to positively impact its market presence and performance [4][37] - Shiji Information signed a major service agreement with Okura Nikko Hotel, providing a new generation of cloud-based hotel management systems, which enhances its brand recognition in the high-end hotel sector [4][39] Market Review - From January 1 to January 31, the Shenwan Computer Industry Index rose by 6.94%, with most sub-sectors experiencing gains, particularly horizontal general software, which increased by 16.97% [4][40] - As of January 31, 2026, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the Shenwan Computer Industry was 219.14 times, with a valuation premium of 1515.01% compared to the CSI 300 index [41][43] Monthly Strategy - The report emphasizes the acceleration of AI application penetration and the importance of companies that demonstrate strong capabilities in AI technology implementation and scene adaptation [5][46][48] - The anticipated launch of DeepSeek V4 and the introduction of Google's Project Genie are expected to catalyze further advancements in AI applications, potentially leading to an earlier-than-expected commercialization turning point in the industry [5][46]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry and Company Involved - The focus is on the **commercial aerospace industry** and **AI technology sector**, specifically highlighting **SpaceX** and its initiatives [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **SpaceX's Progress**: SpaceX is actively advancing its IPO process and plans to integrate xAI into its business model. It has submitted an application to the FCC for a million AI satellites, aiming to create a satellite constellation for space computing power [1]. - **Collaboration with Apple**: SpaceX is collaborating with Apple to promote direct satellite connectivity for mobile phones, which is expected to expand the downstream applications in the commercial aerospace sector [1]. - **AI and AGI Development**: Major companies like Ant Group and Google are releasing world models, which are crucial for the advancement of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The integration of Large Language Models (LLM) and world models is anticipated to enhance AI's ability to understand and interact with the physical world [1]. Additional Important Content - **AI Traffic Competition**: Major companies are competing for AI traffic during the Spring Festival, with total investments exceeding 1.5 billion. The success of DeepSeek and subsequent promotions is setting a precedent for AI product marketing during the festival [2]. - **Future AI Product Promotion**: In 2026, various companies are expected to launch promotional subsidies, which may accelerate the adoption of Bot-type AI products and lay the groundwork for the commercialization of AI applications [2]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Continued optimism is expressed for the synergy between aerospace and AI. Key companies to watch include: - **AI Sector**: Haitai Ruisheng, Deepin Technology, Dingjie Zhizhi, Hehe Information, Guoneng Rixin, Zhongkong Technology, and Wanxing Technology [2]. - **Commercial Aerospace**: Focus on three main areas: - Rocket manufacturing materials and structural components (e.g., Guoji Jinggong) - Core components and testing services for satellites (e.g., Electric Science Digital, Suochen Technology) - Terminal and service-related companies in space computing and communication operations [2].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry and Company Involved - Focus on AI and Commercial Aerospace, specifically highlighting companies such as Deepin Technology, Haikang Information, Dingjie Zhizhi, Tonghuashun, Hongsoft Technology, Hehe Information, Electric Science Digital, Haitian Ruisheng, and Guoneng Rixin [1][2] Core Insights and Arguments - **Commercial Aerospace Developments**: - SpaceX is actively advancing its IPO process and plans to integrate xAI into its business [1] - SpaceX has submitted an application to the FCC for a million AI satellites, aiming to create a space computing satellite constellation [1] - Collaboration between Apple and SpaceX is underway to promote direct satellite connectivity for mobile phones, which is expected to expand downstream applications in commercial aerospace [1] - **AI and World Models**: - Major companies like Ant Group and Google are continuously releasing world models, which are crucial for the advancement of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) [1] - The integration of LLM (Large Language Models) as the brain of AGI with world models for physical world perception is anticipated to accelerate the path towards AGI [1] - **AI Traffic Competition for Spring Festival**: - Over 1.5 billion invested by major companies for AI product promotion during the 2025 Spring Festival, with DeepSeek and subsequent promotions gaining traction [2] - In 2026, various manufacturers are expected to launch promotional subsidies, which may facilitate the popularization of Bot-type AI products and lay the groundwork for the commercialization of AI applications [2] Additional Important Content - **Investment Recommendations**: - Continued optimism for the resonance between aerospace and AI sectors [2] - Key companies to focus on in AI include Haikang Ruisheng, Deepin Technology, Dingjie Zhizhi, Hehe Information, Guoneng Rixin, Zhongkong Technology, and Wanxing Technology [2] - In commercial aerospace, three main directions are highlighted: - Rocket manufacturing materials and structural components, with a focus on companies like Guoji Jinggong [2] - Core components and testing services for satellites, including Electric Science Digital and Suochen Technology [2] - Terminal and service-related companies in space computing and communication operations [2]

Core Viewpoint - Hongsoft Technology experienced a 4.39% decline in stock price on February 2, with a trading volume of 390 million yuan, indicating market volatility and investor sentiment [1]. Financing Summary - On February 2, Hongsoft Technology had a financing buy-in amount of 55.26 million yuan, with a net financing buy of 22.08 million yuan after repayments [1]. - The total financing and securities balance reached 676 million yuan, representing 3.44% of the circulating market value, which is above the 60th percentile of the past year [1]. - The company had no short selling activity on February 2, with a short selling balance of 1.58 million yuan, indicating low short interest [1]. Company Overview - Hongsoft Technology, established on February 25, 2003, and listed on July 22, 2019, specializes in visual artificial intelligence technology, providing solutions for smart devices including smartphones and smart cars [1]. - The revenue composition includes 82.69% from mobile intelligent terminal visual solutions, 15.76% from smart automotive and other AIoT solutions, and 1.55% from other sources [1]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Hongsoft Technology reported a revenue of 628 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.39%, and a net profit of 142 million yuan, which is a significant increase of 60.51% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 613 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 387 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 13.85% to 22,900, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 12.16% to 17,513 shares [2]. - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is now among the top ten circulating shareholders, holding 3.25 million shares as a new entrant, while some funds have exited the top ten list [3].

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 《计算机板块持仓分析！CPU、沙箱、 Agent 全面分析！ ——计算机行业周报 20260119-20260124》 2026/01/24 《台积电 CapEx 指引算力需求确定性！ 2025 业绩前瞻！——计算机行业周报 20260112-20260116》 2026/01/17 证券分析师 黄忠煌 A0230519110001 huangzh@swsresearch.com 洪依真 A0230519060003 hongyz@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 研究支持 崔航 A0230524080005 cuihang@swsresearch.com 曹峥 A0230525040002 caozheng@swsresearch.com 陈晴华 A0230525100001 chenqh@swsresearch.com 罗宇琦 A0230124070004 luoyq@swsresearch.com 联系人 王开元 A0230125030001 wangky ...

Macro and Strategy Research - The Federal Reserve maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%, aligning with market expectations. This decision reflects a belief that the labor market may be stabilizing, despite low job additions, and current inflation remains slightly above the 2% target due to tariffs [2][3] - In the past five trading days (January 23 to January 29), major indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.86% and the ChiNext Index falling by 0.73%. The average daily trading volume increased to 3.08 trillion yuan, up by 323.69 billion yuan compared to the previous five-day average [2][3] - The market is expected to continue its consolidation phase, with structural opportunities being the focus. Key sectors to watch include TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) due to ongoing capital expansion in AI, and the non-ferrous metals sector supported by supply-demand gaps [3] Industry Research - The AI application landscape is evolving, highlighted by the overseas AI assistant Clawdbot gaining attention for its capabilities, including local deployment and interaction through popular messaging apps. This indicates a potential acceleration in the commercialization of AI applications [4][5] - Recent developments in the AI sector include Tencent's push into AI social networking with a new feature distributing 1 billion red envelopes during the Spring Festival, and the first successful deployment of a large model in space [5][6] - The domestic cloud computing sector is expected to see a rebound in capital expenditure as supply constraints ease, and the introduction of new AI models is anticipated to drive further technological advancements [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the computer industry and an "Accumulate" rating for Hongsoft Technology (688088) [2] Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in AI applications, including Tencent's new AI social feature "Yuanbao" and the global first deployment of a large model in space by Guoxing Aerospace [12][13] - The domestic cloud computing sector is expected to see a rebound in capital expenditure due to easing chip supply constraints, while AI applications are anticipated to reach a commercialization inflection point earlier than expected [25][26] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with strong AI technology implementation capabilities and scene adaptation advantages [26] Industry News - Tencent's AI assistant "Yuanbao" has launched a new version that includes various social features, aiming to create a multi-user social space [12] - The first successful deployment of a large model in space was achieved by Guoxing Aerospace, marking a significant milestone in AI technology [13] - Domestic GPU company Suiruan Technology has received approval for its IPO on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aiming to raise 6 billion yuan [14] Company Announcements - Dahua Technology reported a total revenue of 32.743 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.75% [15] - Yimikang expects a net profit of 0.25 to 0.37 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 128.69% to 142.46% [17] - Glodon anticipates a net profit of 3.76 to 4.26 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 50.15% to 70.11% [18] Market Review - From January 22 to January 28, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.11%, while the Shenwan Computer Industry index decreased by 0.35% [19] - The report notes mixed performance among the Shenwan Computer sub-industries, with horizontal software leading at 2.39% [19] Weekly Strategy - The report suggests that the domestic computing power industry is likely to accelerate due to policy support and technological advancements in AI [25] - The anticipated launch of DeepSeek V4 during the Lunar New Year is expected to drive a new round of technological iteration in domestic large models [25] - The report encourages attention to companies that demonstrate strong capabilities in AI technology implementation and scene adaptation [26]

Core Viewpoint - The company has developed foundational algorithms in the visual artificial intelligence industry over several decades, which are versatile and applicable across various sectors [1] Group 1: Industry Applications - The foundational algorithms can be utilized in smartphones and smart vehicles, as well as in intelligent insurance, retail, smart homes, and healthcare [1] - In the healthcare sector, the company possesses technologies related to heart rate detection, live detection, and temperature detection through computer vision [1]