Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [6][16]. Core Views - The company achieved a significant year-on-year growth of 43% in net profit attributable to shareholders in Q1 2025, showcasing strong growth potential for the long term [1][6]. - The report highlights the company's robust performance in the wind power sector, particularly in offshore and onshore projects, driven by improved wind conditions in Fujian province [6][7]. - The report anticipates a structural adjustment in the renewable energy sector, particularly in wind and solar power, which could lead to substantial growth opportunities for the company [6][7]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 145.63 billion, with a slight decline of 0.9% year-on-year, while net profit is expected to reach 27.93 billion, reflecting a growth of 6.5% [2][6]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 1.00 in 2024 to 1.29 by 2027, indicating a positive growth trajectory [2][6]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 13.1 yuan, representing a 32% upside from the current price of 9.96 yuan [2][6]. Operational Data - The company’s total installed capacity as of the end of 2024 is approximately 6.096 million kilowatts, with a clean energy generation capacity accounting for 56.35% [6][7]. - The report notes that the company’s market-based electricity trading volume reached 173.88 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, constituting 75.70% of total electricity generated [6][7]. - The company has signed contracts with 400 users for electricity sales, achieving a total sales volume of 10 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024 [6][7]. Growth Projections - The report revises the profit forecast for 2025 to 30.43 billion and for 2026 to 33.70 billion, with a new projection for 2027 at 35.93 billion [6][7]. - The expected growth rates for net profit are 8.9% in 2025, 10.8% in 2026, and 6.6% in 2027, indicating a stable growth outlook [2][6]. - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the offshore wind sector, which is currently underdeveloped, with only 41GW of installed capacity as of 2024 [6][7].

4月28日，西班牙和葡萄牙遭遇大规模停电，影响了整个伊比利亚半岛的大部分地区。当天，西班牙内 政部宣布进入国家紧急状态，并在马德里、安达卢西亚、埃斯特雷马杜拉和穆尔西亚等地区启动了国家 三级紧急响应机制。国家电网公司在28日21时确认，预计需要数小时才能恢复供电。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the nuclear power sector, recommending a "Buy" rating for specific companies such as China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [1][10]. Core Insights - The State Council approved five nuclear power projects on April 27, 2025, which includes a total of 10 units, continuing the trend of regular approvals in recent years [3][4]. - China's nuclear power capacity is projected to reach 113 million kilowatts by 2025, making it the largest in the world, with expectations to further increase by 2030 [2][3]. - The report highlights the diversification of technology and participants in the nuclear power sector, with a focus on domestically developed third-generation technologies like "Hualong One" and CAP1000 [3][4]. - The financing environment for nuclear projects is improving, with decreasing interest rates and diversified funding channels, which will alleviate the financial pressure on nuclear companies [3][10]. Summary by Sections Project Approvals - The report details the approval of 10 nuclear units, including projects in Guangxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Shandong, and Fujian, with a mix of domestic and advanced foreign technologies [3][4]. Capacity and Technology - As of 2024, China has 102 operational, under-construction, and approved nuclear units, with a total capacity of 113 million kilowatts, positioning it as a global leader in nuclear energy [2][5]. - The report emphasizes the rapid development of nuclear technology in China, showcasing a blend of imported and indigenous technologies [3][5]. Financial Outlook - The average cost of constructing a third-generation nuclear unit is approximately 16,000 yuan per kilowatt, with significant capital expenditure expected [3]. - Recent interest rate cuts are expected to lower financing costs for nuclear projects, enhancing the financial viability of upcoming constructions [3][10]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends investment in China Nuclear Power, China General Nuclear Power, and Funiu Co., which has stakes in the Xiapu Nuclear Power project, citing their growth potential during the upcoming production phase [3][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company's thermal power business continues to improve, with a net profit of 573 million yuan from Hongshan Thermal Power and Long'an Thermal Power, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.90%. The net profit per kilowatt-hour for thermal power reached 0.078 yuan, up 0.014 yuan year-on-year. The company's new energy business also saw growth, with Funiu New Energy's net profit increasing by 14.72% and Funiu Haixia's net profit rising by 23.28% [2][6][12] - Despite a decline in investment income due to reduced contributions from the invested company Guoneng Shishi, the company achieved a total net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.793 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.47% [2][12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 14.563 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.90% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.793 billion yuan, an increase of 6.47% [6][12] - The thermal power business achieved a net profit of 782 million yuan, up 12.64% year-on-year, driven by improved operational performance [12] - The new energy segment, particularly offshore wind power, demonstrated strong profitability, with a net profit of 1.148 billion yuan, reflecting a 23.30% increase [12] Operational Highlights - The company’s thermal power generation hours were 5,932 hours, a slight decrease of 1.36% year-on-year, while the total electricity generated was 7.37 billion kilowatt-hours, up 1.14% year-on-year [12] - The wind power utilization hours reached 3,324 hours, a year-on-year increase of 9.41%, with significant growth in both offshore and onshore wind power generation [12] Future Outlook - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.31 yuan per share for 2024, with a payout ratio of 30.85%. It also aims to maintain a cash dividend of at least 10% of the net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of 2025 [12] - The forecast for earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 1.03 yuan, 1.04 yuan, and 1.43 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.50, 9.38, and 6.86 [12]

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 (8621)23297818× zhuhe@swsresearch.com 2025 年 04 月 28 日 新能源装机首超煤电 欧美气价降至 近期新低 看好 ——申万公用环保周报(25/04/21~25/04/25) 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 - ⚫ 电力：新能源装机历史性超越火电，清洁能源占比稳步提升。1-3 月我国新增发电装机容量达 8572 万千瓦，其中水电、火电、核电、风电、光伏装机新增容量分别为 213、925、0、1462、 5971 万千瓦，新能源新增装机贡献率达 86.7%。截至 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies including Three Gorges Energy, Yangtze Power, and China Nuclear Power, while providing a "Cautious Recommendation" for China General Nuclear Power and others [4][24]. Core Insights - The wind and solar installed capacity has surpassed thermal power for the first time, indicating a shift towards renewable energy as the main source of installed capacity [2][25]. - As of Q1 2025, the total installed capacity of wind and solar power reached 1.482 billion kilowatts, with wind power at 536 million kilowatts and solar power at 946 million kilowatts, exceeding thermal power's 1.451 billion kilowatts [2][25]. - The report forecasts a 6% year-on-year growth in total electricity consumption for 2025, with an expected total of 10.4 trillion kilowatt-hours [29]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The electricity sector outperformed the market, with the public utility sector index rising by 2.43% and the electricity sub-sector by 2.39% as of April 25, 2025 [1][8]. - Among the electricity sub-sectors, thermal power increased by 3.75%, while wind and solar power saw increases of 2.73% and 1.99%, respectively [15][22]. Industry Data Tracking - The report highlights that the total installed capacity of renewable energy is expected to exceed 60% by 2025, with new renewable energy installations projected to surpass 300 million kilowatts [29]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a total electricity consumption of 2.38 trillion kilowatt-hours, a 2.5% increase year-on-year [27][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend stocks within the electricity sector and those with stable performance and relatively low valuations, recommending companies such as Funiu Co., Yangtze Power, and others [3][22]. - It also emphasizes the importance of companies with strong wind power assets and low-cost thermal power, recommending Three Gorges Energy and Funiu Co. [23][24].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 电力 迎峰度夏将至，重视煤价后置下的火电机会 本周行情回顾：本周（4.21-4.25）上证指数报收 3,295.06 点，上涨 0.56%， 沪深 300 指数报收 3786.99 点，上涨 0.38%。中信电力及公用事业指数 报收 2894.72 点，上涨 2.06%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.68pct，位列 30 个 中信一级板块涨跌幅榜第 8 位。 本周行业观点： -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-03 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 电力 沪深300 作者 分析师 张津铭 执业证书编号：S0680520070001 邮箱：zhangjinming@gszq.com 分析师 高紫明 执业证书编号：S0680524100001 邮箱：gaoziming@gszq.com 投资建议：电力公司业绩陆续发布，基本面支撑与市场风格共振，重视电 力投资机会布局。迎峰度夏将至，本周煤价下跌至 665 元/吨附近，成本 超预期下跌支撑度电盈利改善，重视火电超额机会，建议关注重点火电标 的 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the new energy industry, but it highlights the need for improvement in biodiversity management and disclosure among domestic companies, indicating potential investment risks and opportunities [9][12][75]. Core Insights - The new energy industry is crucial for achieving carbon emission reduction and addressing climate change, but its impact on biodiversity during project implementation is a growing concern [9][10]. - There is an increasing demand for corporate biodiversity management and disclosure, driven by international frameworks and domestic regulations [10][11]. - The current state of biodiversity management and disclosure in the new energy sector is suboptimal, with many companies lacking comprehensive strategies and transparency [12][13][75]. Chapter Summaries Chapter 1: Background - The new energy industry is developing rapidly as a key player in carbon reduction, but its projects often disrupt local ecosystems, raising biodiversity concerns [9]. - International and domestic regulations are evolving to require better biodiversity management and disclosure from companies [10][11]. Chapter 2: Survey List and Methodology - The analysis includes 42 listed companies in the new energy sector, with a focus on their ESG reports and biodiversity management practices [15][18]. Chapter 3: Current Status of Biodiversity Management and Disclosure - MSCI ratings show that among 36 domestic companies, most are rated average or poor, with only a few achieving higher ratings [24][27]. - Governance structures for biodiversity management are disclosed by most companies, but few have established dedicated teams for biodiversity [31][34]. - Disclosure of biodiversity issues is inconsistent, with many companies failing to adequately address or prioritize biodiversity in their reports [36][39]. - Risk management practices are generally lacking, particularly in the area of biodiversity risk assessment [56][59]. - There is a significant gap in setting and disclosing biodiversity conservation targets among domestic companies compared to their foreign counterparts [63][66]. Chapter 4: Typical Cases of Domestic New Energy Enterprises' Disclosure - Power Assets Holdings is highlighted as an example of good practice in governance and biodiversity management, with a clear management structure and focus on environmental issues [77].

Group 1: Infrastructure Challenges - Traditional infrastructure is facing systemic shortcomings in risk resilience and emergency response efficiency due to outdated design standards and insufficient disaster resistance [1] - Current infrastructure design standards are primarily based on historical disaster data, which are inadequate for the increasing frequency of extreme weather events [1] - Monitoring methods are lagging, with low coverage of intelligent monitoring systems, making it difficult to detect structural damage in aging infrastructure [1] Group 2: Advancements in Urban Infrastructure - The acceleration of new urban infrastructure construction, particularly through the application of artificial intelligence, is reshaping urban disaster prevention systems [2] - The integration of digital construction, smart facilities, and information platforms significantly enhances data collection, analysis, and forecasting capabilities for urban infrastructure [2] - Technologies like digital twins are enabling simulation-based urban governance, allowing managers to optimize emergency response plans in virtual environments [2] Group 3: Disaster Management in Zhejiang - Zhejiang faces significant risks from typhoons and secondary disasters, necessitating advanced disaster management strategies [3] - The province has developed the first national resilience disaster prevention model, integrating comprehensive risk assessment and decision support systems [3] - This model can provide real-time forecasts of various risks and assist in decision-making for population relocation and resource allocation [3] Group 4: Resilience of the Power Grid - The extensive power grid system in Zhejiang is vulnerable to natural disasters, making it crucial to enhance its disaster resilience [4] - The State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Company has established a comprehensive disaster resilience model that incorporates advanced technologies for risk forecasting and assessment [4] - This model enables dynamic risk predictions for power grid equipment during disasters and supports optimal decision-making across various stages of disaster management [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price based on a PE ratio of 9/8/7 for the years 2025/2026/2027 respectively [6][12]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 met expectations, with revenue of 14.563 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.90% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.47% to 2.793 billion yuan [1]. - The company benefited from improved wind conditions in Fujian province, leading to a 42.83% increase in net profit in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The company is expected to see stable growth driven by high-quality assets in offshore wind and cogeneration projects, with projected net profits of 2.916 billion yuan, 3.372 billion yuan, and 3.725 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][5]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 4.08 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.0% year-on-year, while net profit was 1.02 billion yuan, an increase of 3.3% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company generated a revenue of 3.097 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.31% year-on-year, with net profit reaching 752 million yuan, up 42.83% [1][2]. - The average utilization hours for the company's wind power projects reached 3,323.98 hours in 2024, significantly higher than the national average [4]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts revenues of 14.853 billion yuan in 2025, 15.565 billion yuan in 2026, and 16.420 billion yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 2.0%, 4.8%, and 5.5% [5][10]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 2.916 billion yuan, with an EPS of 1.05 yuan, and a PE ratio of 9 [5][10]. - The report indicates a stable gross margin improvement, with expected gross margins of 27.60% in 2025 and 30.98% in 2026 [9][10]. Operational Highlights - The company’s cogeneration project in Jinjiang achieved a net profit of 109 million yuan in 2024, despite a year-on-year decrease of 27.25% [3]. - The company has a robust project pipeline, with ongoing investments in offshore wind projects and cogeneration, which are expected to contribute positively to future earnings [4][5]. Market Conditions - The report notes that coal power prices are under pressure, while wind power prices remain relatively stable, with a slight increase in offshore wind pricing [2][4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the competitive allocation of offshore wind resources in Fujian province, enhancing its growth prospects [4].