- The report introduces a quantitative model named "250-Day New High Distance" to track market trends and identify leading stocks. The model calculates the distance between the latest closing price and the highest closing price over the past 250 trading days using the formula: $ 250\text{-Day New High Distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ where $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price, and $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ is the maximum closing price in the past 250 trading days. If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance equals 0; otherwise, it indicates the percentage drop from the peak[10][11][12] - The report evaluates the model positively, citing its ability to capture momentum and trend-following strategies effectively. It references prior research, such as [George@2004] and insights from investment books like "Stock Market Wizard," which emphasize the importance of tracking stocks near their 52-week highs[10][18][21] - The report applies the model to major indices, showing their respective 250-Day New High Distances as of August 1, 2025: - Shanghai Composite Index: 1.54% - Shenzhen Component Index: 4.38% - CSI 300: 4.73% - CSI 500: 2.25% - CSI 1000: 1.53% - CSI 2000: 1.08% - ChiNext Index: 8.93% - STAR 50 Index: 7.99%[11][12][33] - The report identifies industries and concept indices close to their 250-Day New Highs, such as Media, Communication, Pharmaceuticals, Defense, and Steel. Concept indices like Wind Microcap Equal Weight, Electronic Equipment, CRO, and Innovative Drugs also show proximity to their 250-Day New Highs[12][14][33] - The report tracks stocks that have reached 250-Day New Highs in the past 20 trading days. A total of 1,239 stocks are identified, with the highest counts in industries like Pharmaceuticals (192 stocks), Machinery (169 stocks), and Basic Chemicals (132 stocks). The highest proportions are found in Banking (64.29%), Steel (56.60%), and Nonferrous Metals (41.94%)[19][20][34] - The report introduces a factor named "Stable New High Stocks," which selects stocks based on criteria such as analyst attention, relative price strength, price path smoothness, and sustained new highs. Specific metrics include: - Analyst attention: At least five buy or overweight ratings in the past three months - Relative price strength: Top 20% in 250-day returns - Price path smoothness: Evaluated using metrics like cumulative absolute daily returns over 120 days - Sustained new highs: Average 250-Day New High Distance over the past 120 days - Trend continuation: Average 250-Day New High Distance over the past five days[24][27][28] - The report lists 50 stocks selected as "Stable New High Stocks," with the highest counts in Manufacturing (15 stocks) and Technology (14 stocks). Examples include Shenghong Technology, Borui Pharmaceuticals, and Feilihua[28][32][34]

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, serving as market indicators and highlighting the effectiveness of momentum and trend-following strategies [1][4] - As of August 1, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index at 1.54%, Shenzhen Component Index at 4.38%, CSI 300 at 4.73%, CSI 500 at 2.25%, CSI 1000 at 1.53%, CSI 2000 at 1.08%, ChiNext Index at 8.93%, and STAR Market 50 Index at 7.99% [6][25] - Among the CITIC first-level industry indices, Media, Communication, Pharmaceuticals, Defense, and Steel are closest to their 250-day new highs, while Food & Beverage, Coal, Real Estate, Home Appliances, and Transportation are further away [9][25] Group 2 - A total of 1,239 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest number of new highs in the Pharmaceuticals, Machinery, and Basic Chemicals sectors [2][14] - The sectors with the highest proportion of new high stocks are Banking, Steel, and Non-ferrous Metals, with respective proportions of 64.29%, 56.60%, and 41.94% [14][16] - The manufacturing and cyclical sectors had the most new high stocks this week, with 381 and 297 stocks respectively, while the proportion of new high stocks in the CSI 2000, CSI 1000, CSI 500, CSI 300, ChiNext, and STAR Market indices are 21.85%, 20.30%, 21.80%, 19.33%, 16.00%, and 14.00% respectively [16][25] Group 3 - The report identifies 50 stocks that have shown stable new highs, including Shenghong Technology, Borui Pharmaceuticals, and Feilihua, with the most new high stocks in the Manufacturing and Technology sectors, totaling 15 and 14 respectively [3][21][26] - The Machinery industry had the highest number of new highs within the Manufacturing sector, while the Electronics industry led in the Technology sector [21][26]

市场全天震荡调整，三大指数小幅收跌。 盘面上，医药板块全线逆势走强，创新药概念延续强势，昂利康（002940）涨停；中药股展开补涨，维 康药业（300878）涨停；光伏概念反弹，捷佳伟创（300724）涨停；午后AI应用端活跃，智能体方向 领涨，鼎捷数智（300378）涨超10%；数据要素概念走强，深桑达A涨停。下跌方面，体育概念集体调 整，共创草坪（605099）跌停。 截至收盘，沪指跌0.37%，深成指跌0.17%，创业板指跌0.24%。市场热点快速轮动，个股涨多跌少，全 市场超3300家个股上涨。沪深两市全天成交额1.60万亿，较上个交易日缩量3377亿。 市场再现"技术性调整" 今日，A股市场震荡调整，三大指数均小幅下跌，量能较昨日大幅萎缩。 对于最近两日A股的杀跌，机构认为主要还是技术性调整。一方面，从市场结构而言存在涨幅快速积累 后的回调需求，指数摸高至3600点的过程中，不少板块站上阶段性高位，资金获利离场。另一方面，中 报季来临，进入8月中报期，市场将要开始验证上市公司业绩成色。 消息面上，快递行业近期催化颇多。一是国家邮政局召开快递企业座谈会，就依法依规治理行业"内卷 式"竞争，强化农村地区 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of the military industry sector in the capital market, particularly around the "August 1" Army Day, which marks the 98th anniversary of the People's Liberation Army [1] - Historical data shows that the military industry sector tends to outperform the broader market in August, with a 60% probability of rising and an average increase of nearly 1% over the past 15 years [1] - After the Army Day, the military index has a 66.67% probability of rising in the following five trading days, indicating a significant "post-holiday effect" [1] Group 2 - As of Q2 2025, public fund holdings in the military sector increased significantly, reaching 112.296 billion yuan, a 23.14% quarter-on-quarter rise, placing it among the top ten industries in the Shenwan classification [3] - The military-themed ETFs have seen substantial growth, with total assets rising from 29.733 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to 53.392 billion yuan, an increase of over 78% [5] - Notable ETFs include the Guotai CSI Military ETF and the Fortune CSI Military Leader ETF, which have seen significant growth in shares, 51% and 108% respectively [5] Group 3 - Long-term performance analysis shows that the Huabao CSI Military ETF and the E Fund CSI Military ETF have delivered total returns of 2.88% and 2.45% respectively over three years, indicating strong stability compared to peers [6] - The E Fund National Aviation Industry ETF has achieved a remarkable return of 21.59% year-to-date, making it the only military industry ETF to exceed 20% returns this year [5] - The military sector is expected to benefit from a recovering economy and increased military trade, which could become a second growth driver for the industry [7]

本轮融资余额持续增长始于6月23日，截至最新，融资资金已连续六周净买入超百亿元，累计金额达到1674.73亿元。历史行情显示，融资资金连续六周及 以上净买入的情况共出现过七次，其中前三次发生在2014年和2015年，后三次则集中在2024年"9·24"行情后。 6月23日以来，融资资金净买入居前的个股集中于算力、半导体、新能源汽车等科技赛道，共有56股累计净买入超5亿元，如CPO龙头新易盛净买入41.21 亿元，居于榜首，中科曙光、中际旭创亦上榜；半导体概念菲利华、澜起科技、寒武纪-U等个股上榜；新能源汽车概念股比亚迪、宁德时代、国轩高科 等也上榜。 校对 陶善工 扬子晚报网8月1日讯（记者 范晓林 薄云峰）截至7月29日，A股市场融资余额达到19684.21亿元，创2015年7月3日以来新高。沪市融资余额突破万亿元大 关，达到10008.36亿元，为2015年7月8日以来10年新高，深市融资余额达到9612.51亿元，刷新历史纪录。 市场融资余额一览表 ...

Macro Strategy - The report discusses the potential growth of bond ETFs, suggesting that despite the inherent advantages of actively managed bond funds, there is room for ETFs to leverage their product strengths. It highlights the significant improvement in liquidity for credit bonds through ETFs and suggests expanding the range of tracked indices [1][16]. - The report emphasizes the expected growth in the management scale of domestic index bond funds, particularly credit bond index ETFs and equity-linked ETFs, as the equity market recovers [1][16]. Macro Commentary - The July FOMC meeting maintained interest rates at 4.25-4.5%, signaling a hawkish stance as inflation targets remain distant compared to employment goals. This may delay rate cuts until Q4 2025, with expectations for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to rise to 4.05% and 4.5% respectively [2][17]. - The second quarter GDP growth in the U.S. was reported at +3.0%, reversing the previous quarter's -0.5% and exceeding market expectations. However, the core GDP indicator, PDFP, only grew by +1.2%, indicating that the growth was largely driven by inventory adjustments rather than strong internal economic growth [3][19]. Fixed Income Analysis - The report notes that the issuance of secondary capital bonds totaled 109.9 billion yuan, with a trading volume of approximately 288.1 billion yuan, reflecting an increase in market activity [7]. - Green bond issuance reached 35.9 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 61 billion yuan, indicating a growing interest in sustainable finance [7]. Company-Specific Insights - Su Shi Testing (300416) reported a 26% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q2, driven by strong growth in the integrated circuit sector. The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 280 million, 350 million, and 430 million yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [10]. - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (300750) slightly exceeded profit expectations, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 66.1 billion, 80.2 billion, and 96.6 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating due to its leading position in the global battery market [11]. - Yonghui Supermarket (601933) plans to raise 4 billion yuan through a private placement to support store renovations, with adjusted profit forecasts reflecting a potential recovery in performance [13]. - Huaneng International (600011) reported a 24.3% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, benefiting from a 9.2% decrease in coal costs. The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 13.78 billion, 16.02 billion, and 17.53 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [14].

Group 1 - In July, the financing balance increased by over 130 billion yuan, marking the highest monthly growth in financing balance for the year [2] - Six industries attracted over 10 billion yuan in net financing, including electronics, pharmaceuticals, electric equipment, non-ferrous metals, computers, and non-bank financials [2] - The top three industries by net financing in July were electronics (14.7 billion yuan), pharmaceuticals (14.1 billion yuan), and electric equipment (12.7 billion yuan) [2] Group 2 - Among individual stocks, nine stocks saw net financing exceeding 1 billion yuan, with notable mentions being Xinyi Technology, Northern Rare Earth, and Shenghong Technology [2][3] - Xinyi Technology experienced a nearly 50% increase in July, with its stock price nearly doubling over the past two months [3] - The top five stocks with the highest net selling amounts included Wuliangye, Sunshine Power, BeiGene, Muyuan Foods, and Hengli Petrochemical, each exceeding 300 million yuan [3] Group 3 - As of July 30, six companies had financing balances exceeding 10 billion yuan, including Dongfang Wealth, China Ping An, Kweichow Moutai, CITIC Securities, BYD, and Yangtze Power, all of which are large-cap blue-chip stocks [3]

Market Overview - The market continued to rise in July, supported by both policy and liquidity[5] - Policies aimed at "anti-involution" have led to higher elasticity in commodity prices, driving cyclical industries to lead the market[5] - Future focus will remain on liquidity support and the gradual increase in risk appetite, although the likelihood of market adjustments is rising[5] Investment Recommendations - The "Golden Stock Portfolio" has achieved a year-to-date return of 30.37%[15] - Key recommended stocks include: - China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) - Innovent Biologics (1801.HK) - Bairun Food (002568.SZ) - Muyuan Foods (002714.SZ) - Filihua (300395.SZ) - CATL (300750.SZ) - Hubei Yihua (000422.SZ) - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) - Conch Cement (600585.SH) - North Huachuang (002371.SZ)[12] Risk Factors - Risks include macroeconomic performance falling short of expectations, policy implementation delays, and overseas expansion not meeting projections[12]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights that the equity incentive plan of Feilihua binds core talents with the long-term interests of the company, further enhancing the long-term incentive mechanism [1] Group 1: Company Performance and Incentives - The company’s performance assessment is based on a net profit of 314 million yuan for 2024, with required net profit growth rates of no less than 25%, 56%, and 95% for the years 2025-2027 [1] - Individual performance must reach at least a B grade to unlock 100% of the incentives; otherwise, the incentives will be repurchased and canceled at 50% or 0% [1] Group 2: Talent and Market Focus - The incentive plan covers both technical backbones and the sales team, emphasizing the company's dual focus on R&D innovation and market expansion [1] - This approach is expected to help the company consolidate its competitive advantage amid the wave of domestic semiconductor material localization [1] Group 3: Industry Position - The company is recognized as a leading domestic manufacturer of quartz glass materials and products, and one of the few globally capable of mass production of quartz fibers [1] - The competitive landscape is favorable, leading to a maintained "buy" rating for the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry sector is experiencing weakness amidst overall market decline, but there are signs of strong buying interest in specific ETFs and stocks, indicating potential future growth opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On July 31, the defense and military sector showed weak fluctuations, with the defense military ETF (512810) dropping by 1% before recovering slightly, with real-time transactions exceeding 570 million yuan [1]. - The ETF saw over 55 million yuan in net subscriptions despite the market downturn, accumulating over 91 million yuan in the last three days [1]. - Major defense stocks, including China Shipbuilding and AVIC Heavy Machinery, fell by over 1%, while Long State Aerospace surged over 8%, reaching a historical high [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The overall market sentiment is poor, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping nearly 1%, affecting large-cap stocks and dragging down the sector's performance [3]. - Analysts suggest that the defense and military sector is currently in a state with significant upward potential and limited downside risk, although short-term volatility may occur in rapidly rising sub-sectors [3]. - Upcoming events, such as the August 1 Army Day and the September 3 military parade, may act as catalysts for market performance [3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The defense military ETF (512810) covers a range of themes, including traditional military forces and emerging technologies, making it a diversified investment option [4]. - The ETF underwent a share split in June, reducing the investment threshold by half, allowing access to core defense assets for under 70 yuan [4]. - The current environment is characterized by policy benefits and technological breakthroughs in the defense sector, with clear growth logic in military trade orders and military electronics [3].