非银金融 非银行业周报 (2026年第六期) 关注券商并购重组主线,行业迎来估值业绩双修复 市场表现: 2026年02月14日 证券研究报告|行业研究|行业点评 本期(2026.2.9-2026.2.13)非银(申万)指数-1.59%,行业排 26/31,券商Ⅱ指 数-1.19%,保险II指数-2.48%; 上证综指+0.41%，深证成指+1.39%，创业板指+1.22%。 个股涨跌幅排名前五位：锦龙股份（+6.85%）、浙江东方（+4.89%）、华金资本 (+3.16%）、华南华铁（+0.98%）、永安期货（+0.92%）; 个股涨跌幅排名后五位：九鼎投资（-14.46%）、华林证券（-8.11%）、国盛证券 (-4.80%）、华鑫股份（-4.40%）、中国太保（-4.28%）。 (注：去除 ST 及退市股票) 核心观点: 证券: 市场层面,本周,证券板块下跌 1.19%,跑输沪深 300 指数 1.55pct,跑输上证综 指数 1.60pct。当前券商板块 PB 估值为 1.34 倍。 本周,西南证券2月13日披露60亿元定增预案,成为沪深北交易所2月9日推出 优化再融资一揽子措施后,首家披露大额定增预案 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 从行业视角看，东方证券2025年的发展路径，避开了头部券商的全能化竞争，走出了特色化突围路线。 增长逻辑上，其更重质量而非规模，业绩高增源于业务结构优化与盈利能力提升，叠加稳定分红，股东 回报持续改善。 2025年的东方证券，以人事稳定保战略连续，以业务复苏兑现增长潜力，以特色定位抢占行业赛道。同 时，在行业高质量发展趋势下，东方证券也面临投行业务质量提升、局部合规补齐的挑战。 来源：金融人事mini 2025年资本市场逐步回暖，证券行业迎来修复性增长。 2025年12月，东方证券公告称董事长龚德雄因工作调动离任，副董事长鲁伟铭代为履行董事长及法定代 表人职责。 近日，券商人事获悉，东方证券的新董事长人选已经确认，为上海国际集团有限公司党委委员、副总裁 周磊。 周磊，1978年7月出生，在职研究生学历，工商管理硕士学位，经济师。2000年7月参加工作，曾任上海 国际集团资产管理有限公司融资安排总部总经理、项目开发副总监，上海爱建信托投资有限责任公司副 总经理、风控合规负责人、总经理、董事，上海国有资产经营有限公司副总经理、总经理、副董事 ...

| 代码 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 へ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 800700 恒生科技指数 | | 5270.70 -114.65 -2.13% | | | 800100 国企指数 | 9007.86 | -189.52 | -2.06% | | 800000 恒生指数 | | 26590.32 -491.59 -1.82% | | 数跌2.06%，恒生科技指数盘中一度跌至2.7%，最终收跌2.13%。 2月24日，关税恐慌再现、以及地缘政治紧张，受美股大跌影响，港股马年第三个交易日三大指数大幅下挫，恒生指数跌1.82%，国企指 盘面上，大金融股(银行、保险、券商)全天表现弱势，保险股跌幅尤其明显，中国银河、中金公司领衔中资券商股下跌；春节挡票房同 比大幅下滑，影视板块跌幅较大，旅游观光股、光伏股、有色金属股纷纷走低。另一方面，半导体储存概念股逆势上扬，兆易创新大涨 近12%领衔，港口及海运股、油气股全天活跃。 | | | | 油气生产商 | 能源储存装 | 消费性电讯设 -1.81% | 生物技术 -2.39% | | 服装 -1.19% | | --- ...

【环球网保险综合报道】2025年，A股上市险企股价呈现出上行趋势，保险Ⅱ(申万）（801194.SI）全年涨幅达 到26.42%。行情向好的背后，行业基本面持续稳健。 据国家金融监督管理总局披露，2025年，保险业原保险保费收入突破6.12万亿元，首次站上6万亿台阶，较上年 同期增长7.4%。2025年前三季度，A股五大上市险企（中国人寿、新华保险、中国平安、中国太保、中国人 保）合计实现归母净利润4260亿元，同比增长33.5%，刷新历史纪录。 东吴证券研报提到，在当前"存款搬家"背景下，储蓄型保险产品需求旺盛，继续看好2026年负债端增长，预计 银保渠道仍是拉动增长的主动力，同时预计2026年分红险新单保费占比进一步提升，负债成本持续优化。 在中国企业资本联盟副理事长柏文喜看来，2026年，银保渠道"战略C位"将持续强化，市场份额向头部集中。 随着网点扩张赋能增长，头部险企通过深化银行客户综合金融服务，预计2026年银保渠道仍将是新单增长主引 擎。与此同时，个险渠道将继续朝着专业化、职业化方向深度转型，中介渠道"清虚提质"加速整合。 他进一步指出，在产品方面，分红险成为市场主流，其"固收+浮动"特性契合当 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the securities and banking sectors [9]. Core Insights - The report highlights the structural relaxation of refinancing policies, which is expected to improve profitability in the banking sector. The central bank's Q4 monetary policy report emphasizes the implementation of personal credit repair measures, supporting micro-entities [1][28]. - The report identifies investment opportunities in the order of securities > insurance > banking, with a focus on the potential for marginal improvements in the brokerage business due to the recent refinancing policy adjustments [12][24]. Summary by Sections Securities Sector - The optimization of refinancing measures announced by the exchanges is expected to lead to marginal improvements in the brokerage business, with leading firms likely to solidify their advantages through professional capabilities. The Chinese brokerage index performed better than the Hang Seng index during the holiday period, increasing by 0.20% [2][13]. - Recommended stocks include leading brokerages such as CITIC Securities, Guotai Junan, and GF Securities, as well as quality regional firms like Guoyuan Securities [3][12]. Insurance Sector - The report notes a mixed performance in the insurance sector, with property insurance companies showing gains while life insurance companies mostly declined. China Property & Casualty Insurance rose by 5%, while China Taiping fell by 4% [24][25]. - Investors are advised to focus on quality leaders in the insurance sector, with a preference for defensive stocks like China Ping An and China Life Insurance for conservative investors [24][25]. Banking Sector - The banking sector is experiencing a recovery in performance, with Q4 profits improving and net interest margins stabilizing. The report indicates a year-on-year increase in social financing, primarily due to the pre-positioning of government bonds and a rebound in off-balance-sheet financing [28][37]. - Recommended stocks include quality regional banks such as Nanjing Bank and Chengdu Bank, which are expected to perform well due to their strong fundamentals [3][28].

短期避险情绪消化，马年A股有望迎来开门红。 A股休市期间，港股非银普遍上涨2%-5%。 两市成交量有望回升，非银板块基本面好、估值低，建议参与估值修复行情。 【广发非银】开工大吉，迎接开门红 短期避险情绪消化，马年A股有望迎来开门红。 A股休市期间，港股非银普遍上涨2%-5%。 两市成交量有望回升，非银板块基本面好、估值低，建议参与估值修复行情。 证券：一是估值低，该涨未涨，合理折价30%以上；二是业绩好，ADT大幅增长，股债双牛，Q1显著好于去年同 期；三是可期待，存款搬家、衍生品新规打开增长空间。 【广发非银】开工大吉，迎接开门红 推荐国泰、华泰、中信、东财、招商、东方、兴业等。 保险：一是负债持续高增长，截止目前新单增速普遍在40%以上，短期利好NBV持续增长，长期利好负债成本加 速下行；二是慢牛利好保险资产端，预计26上半年利润有望高速增长；三是政策呵护，提升行业集中度。 A股平安、太保、新华；H股国寿、平安、太平。 多元：推荐证券IT、渤海租赁、中国船舶租赁。 证券：一是估值低，该涨未涨，合理折价30%以上；二是业绩好，ADT大幅增长，股债双牛，Q1显著好于去年同 期；三是可期待，存款搬家、衍生品新 ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong insurance stocks experienced a widespread decline, with significant drops in share prices [1] - Xinhua Insurance (01336.HK) fell by 6.03%, trading at 56.85 HKD [1] - China Life (02628.HK) decreased by 5.61%, with a current price of 32.66 HKD [1] - China Pacific Insurance (02601.HK) saw a decline of 4.12%, now priced at 36.8 HKD [1] - China Property & Casualty Insurance (02328.HK) dropped by 1.71%, currently at 16.64 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector is experiencing a significant decline, with major companies like Xinhua Insurance, China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance all reporting notable drops in stock prices. Analysts predict that the fourth quarter of 2025 will see pressure on net profit growth for listed insurance companies due to a temporary adjustment in growth sectors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Xinhua Insurance's stock fell by 6.03%, trading at 56.85 HKD [1] - China Life's stock decreased by 5.61%, reaching 32.66 HKD [1] - China Pacific Insurance's stock dropped by 4.12%, priced at 36.8 HKD [1] - China Property & Casualty Insurance's stock declined by 1.71%, at 16.64 HKD [1] Group 2: Profit Forecasts - Dongwu Securities forecasts that the net profit growth for listed insurance companies in Q4 will face slight pressure, primarily due to a temporary adjustment in growth sectors [1] - The report indicates that since 2025, insurance companies have maintained a high equity holding ratio, with the A-share market, ChiNext, and STAR Market indices showing changes of +1.0%, -1.1%, and -10.1% respectively [1] - The decline in stock prices will directly impact the current profit and loss due to the holdings being recorded under FVTPL [1] Group 3: Market Conditions - Shenwan Hongyuan notes that the capital market's fluctuations in Q4 2025, combined with some insurance companies significantly increasing their secondary market equity allocation in the second half of 2025, will lead to a temporary pressure on profits [1] - The firm projects that the net profit for A-share listed insurance companies will grow by 22.7% year-on-year to 426.4 billion CNY, although this represents a 10.9 percentage point decline compared to the first three quarters of 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector is experiencing a significant decline, with major companies like Xinhua Insurance, China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance all reporting notable drops in stock prices. This downturn is attributed to anticipated pressure on net profit growth for listed insurance companies in Q4 2025 due to a temporary adjustment in growth segments [1][1][1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Xinhua Insurance's stock fell by 6.03%, trading at 56.85 HKD [1] - China Life's stock decreased by 5.61%, reaching 32.66 HKD [1] - China Pacific Insurance's stock dropped by 4.12%, priced at 36.8 HKD [1] - China Property & Casualty Insurance's stock declined by 1.71%, at 16.64 HKD [1] Group 2: Profit Growth Expectations - Dongwu Securities forecasts slight pressure on the net profit growth rate for listed insurance companies in Q4, primarily due to a phase adjustment in growth segments [1] - The report indicates that since 2025, insurance companies have maintained a high equity holding ratio, with the performance of major indices showing mixed results: +1.0% for the CSI All A, -1.1% for the ChiNext Index, and -10.1% for the Sci-Tech 50 Index [1] - The anticipated profit growth for A-share listed insurance companies in 2025 is projected at 22.7%, totaling 426.4 billion CNY, with a sequential decline of 10.9 percentage points compared to the first three quarters of 2025 [1]

2026 年 2 月 24 日 分析师：董文欣 执业证书编号：S0930521090001 010-57378035 dongwx@ebscn.com ——银行&保险业春节后投资展望 银行业 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：王一峰 行业研究 金融股又到"春播"时？ 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：黄怡婷 执业证书编号：S0930524070003 010-57378023 huangyiting@ebscn.com 分析师：赵晨阳 执业证书编号：S0930524070005 010-57378030 zhaochenyang@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 资料来源：Wind 相关研报 1 月贷款同比少增，稳定需求仍需政策加力 — — 2026 年 1 月 份 金 融 数 据 点 评 (2026-2-14) 息差保持稳定，盈利增速回升——2025 年四 季 度 商 业 银 行 主 要 监 管 指 标 点 评 (2026-2-13) 要点 事项： 年初以来（截至 2 月 13 日），A、H 金融股表现分化，涨跌互现， ...