Group 1 - In July, U.S. inflation indicators showed a gradual recovery, leading to a slight increase in international gold prices, with COMEX gold rising by 0.11% [1] - Gold-related ETFs experienced gains, with Huaxia Gold ETF (518850) up by 0.16% and Gold Stock ETF (159562) rising by 0.91%. Notably, Jiangxi Copper's stock surged over 5%, while Huayu Mining, Zijin Mining, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals also saw significant increases [1] - The non-ferrous metal ETF (516650) rose by 1.03%, with holdings like Bowei Alloys hitting the daily limit, and other stocks such as Huayu Mining, Huafeng Aluminum, and Huaxi Nonferrous Metals showing strong performance [1] Group 2 - Gold mining companies are reporting strong performance in their 2025 semi-annual reports, with notable growth in companies like Western Gold, Hunan Gold, Shandong Gold, and Zhongjin Gold, attributed to high gold prices [1] - Despite increasing expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, analysts from Galaxy Futures suggest that the gold market lacks sufficient upward momentum, indicating potential for further adjustments and a high-level range-bound trading pattern in the future [1] - As market consensus on long-term gold price increases solidifies, the investment logic for gold stocks is shifting from short-term production growth to a greater focus on company reserves, highlighting the value of companies with larger reserves [1]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations are rising, significantly supporting the precious metals market [1] - The volatility in U.S. employment data has led to a near certainty of a rate cut in September, which will lower real interest rates and enhance the attractiveness of gold [1] - Central banks in emerging markets are actively purchasing gold, with China increasing its gold reserves for nine consecutive months, providing long-term support for gold prices [1] Group 2 - As of August 13, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) rose by 1.33%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Jiangxi Copper (00358) up 6.30% and Zijin Mining (601899) up 3.65% [3] - The Gold Stock ETF (159322) increased by 1.46%, with a recent price of 1.25 yuan, and has shown a cumulative increase of 1.48% over the past week [3] - The Gold Stock ETF has a one-year net value increase of 30.95%, with a maximum monthly return of 16.59% since inception [3] Group 3 - The Gold Stock ETF has a Sharpe ratio of 1.25 over the past year, ranking it in the top 1/3 of comparable funds, indicating higher returns for the same level of risk [4] - The fund has experienced a relative drawdown of 3.00% year-to-date, with a recovery time of 7 days, the fastest among comparable funds [4] - The Gold Stock ETF closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index, which includes 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales [4][5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong upward trend, driven by a temporary easing of US-China tariffs and positive market sentiment regarding metal prices due to anticipated interest rate cuts in the US [1][2] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.07% as of August 13, 2025, with significant gains in stocks such as Luoyang Molybdenum (up 3.65%) and Jiangxi Copper (up 3.62%) [1] - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) increased by 1.23%, reflecting the overall performance of the non-ferrous metal sector [1] Group 2 - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Index accounted for 49.71% of the index, with major companies including Zijin Mining and Northern Rare Earth [2] - The non-ferrous ETF fund has various connection options, including A, C, and I classes, indicating a structured investment approach for different investor needs [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that with the market stabilizing around 3600, a slow bull trend in the stock market is evident, and both dividend and technology assets are expected to yield excess returns in the long term, with a barbell strategy gaining attention [1] - The Shanghai 180 Index employs a barbell strategy consisting of 90% dividend and 10% technology assets, making it a good choice for equity market allocation, benefiting from both stable dividends and the growth of technology [1] - As of August 13, 2025, the Shanghai 180 Index has increased by 0.42%, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Luoyang Molybdenum (up 3.55%) and Zijin Mining (up 3.40%) [1] Group 2 - The Shanghai 180 ETF closely tracks the Shanghai 180 Index, which selects 180 securities with large market capitalization and good liquidity from the Shanghai stock market, reflecting the overall performance of core listed companies [2] - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Shanghai 180 Index account for 25.4% of the index, including major companies like Kweichow Moutai and China Ping An [2] - The Shanghai 180 ETF has various connection funds available for investment, enhancing accessibility for investors [2]

Company Overview - Jaxin International Resources Investment Co., Ltd. is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, having passed the listing hearing on August 11, with China International Capital Corporation as the sole sponsor [1][5] - The company was established on August 29, 2014, and is focused on developing the Bakuta tungsten mine project in Kazakhstan [6] - The major shareholders include Hengzhao Holdings Group and Jiangxi Copper (Hong Kong) Investment Co., holding approximately 43.35% and 41.65% respectively [6] Mining Project Details - The Bakuta tungsten mine is recognized as the largest open-pit tungsten mine in terms of WO₃ mineral resources and the fourth largest overall [7] - As of June 30, 2025, the estimated mineral resource is approximately 107.5 million tons, containing 227,300 tons of WO₃ [7] - The company aims to achieve an annual mining and mineral processing capacity of 3.3 million tons of tungsten ore this year [8] Financial Performance - Jaxin International has not generated revenue in the past three years, with a reported revenue of HKD 26.31 million (approximately RMB 24.09 million) in the first half of this year [10] - The company has incurred significant losses over the past three years, totaling approximately HKD 352 million (around RMB 322 million) [10] - The debt-to-asset ratio has been high, reaching 101.6% as of the first half of this year [11] Market Context - China is the largest tungsten resource country, holding over 50% of global reserves and accounting for more than 80% of global production [12] - Due to resource depletion and environmental regulations, China's tungsten production has decreased from 69,000 tons in 2019 to an estimated 67,000 tons in 2024 [12] - The demand for tungsten is expected to grow, particularly in hard alloy products, with consumption projected to reach 65,500 tons by 2029 [12] Competitive Landscape - Jaxin International plans to sell tungsten products primarily to the Chinese market, competing with local tungsten producers [15] - The company faces risks associated with reliance on a single mining project, which could be affected by various operational challenges [15] - Tungsten prices are influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, with recent data indicating a significant price increase of 37.65% year-to-date [16]

上市公司：江西铜业（600362），安源煤业（600397），九丰能源（605090），中国稀土（000831）， 仁和药业（000650），富祥药业（300497），同和药业（300636），江中药业（600750），煌上煌 （002695），甘源食品（002991），阳光乳业（001318），百胜智能（301083），南矿集团 （001360），江铃汽车（000550） 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 2025年上半年，江西省工业企业数（以下数据涉及的工业企业，均为规模以上工业企业，从2011年起， 规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务收入2000万元）为19279 个，和上年同期相比，增加了554个，同比增长2.96%，占全国的比重为3.71%。 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国工业云行业市场深 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Greater China Materials, specifically focusing on **Steel and Iron Ore** sectors [1][4] Key Metrics and Trends - **Weekly Output**: Increased by **3.7%** week-over-week (WoW) for long products [1] - **Inventory Levels**: - Inventory at mills rose by **0.8%** WoW [1] - Iron ore inventory at ports decreased by **1.1%** [3] - **Utilization Rates**: - Blast furnace utilization dipped by **0.6 percentage points (ppts)** [1] - Electric arc furnace utilization increased by **1.6 ppts** [1] - **Crude Steel Production**: Average daily output of crude steel by key enterprises was **1.982 million tons (mnt)**, a decline of **7.4%** compared to early July [1] Iron Ore Shipments - **Total Shipments**: Combined shipments from Australia and Brazil decreased by **1.00 million tons (Mt)** WoW for the period from July 28 to August 3 [2] - Shipments from Australia increased by **0.71 Mt** [2] - Shipments from Brazil decreased by **1.71 Mt** [2] Consumption and Demand - **Apparent Consumption**: - Long products consumption increased by **3.4%** WoW [4] - Flat products consumption decreased by **2.9%** WoW [4] - **Rebar Output**: Increased by **4.8%** WoW and **31.2%** year-over-year (YoY) [7] Weekly Data Summary - **Steel Inventory**: - Traders' inventory at **9,625 kt**, up **2.1%** [3] - Mills' inventory at **4,129 kt**, up **0.8%** [3] - **Operating Rates**: - Steel operating rate at **62.4%**, down **2.1 ppts** [3] - Average daily output of iron ore at **393.8 kt**, down **3.2%** [3] Analyst Insights - **Industry View**: Rated as **Attractive** by Morgan Stanley [5] - **Analyst Contacts**: Multiple analysts involved, including Rachel Zhang and Hannah Yang [4] Additional Notes - **Potential Conflicts of Interest**: Morgan Stanley may have business relationships with companies covered in the research, which could affect objectivity [5] - **Investment Recommendations**: Ratings include Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated, and Underweight, with no direct Buy, Hold, or Sell ratings [22][25] This summary encapsulates the essential insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the steel and iron ore industries in Greater China.

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown strong performance this week, with major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and the Wind All A Index recording significant gains, while the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50 Index lagged behind [1][14][16] - The market style this week favored small-cap growth and small-cap value stocks, while large-cap growth and mid-cap growth stocks underperformed [1][16] - Most sectors in the Shenwan first-level industry classification saw gains, with defense, non-ferrous metals, and machinery equipment leading the way, while pharmaceuticals, computers, and retail sectors experienced declines [1][16] Group 2 - The overall domestic market is performing well, supported by accumulating internal and external favorable factors, with expectations for continued strong performance in the future [2][22] - The weak U.S. labor market, highlighted by July's non-farm payrolls adding only 73,000 jobs and an increase in the unemployment rate to 4.2%, has raised concerns about the U.S. economy and increased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [2][22][23] - Domestic policies are actively supporting the market, with July exports growing by 7.2% year-on-year, indicating resilience in foreign trade despite a complex international environment [4][48] Group 3 - The market is expected to reach new highs in the second half of the year, driven by short-term expectations and liquidity improvements, with a shift from policy-driven to fundamentals and liquidity-driven market dynamics [5][62] - Short-term focus should be on previously lagging sectors and those likely to benefit from improved overseas liquidity, while long-term attention should be on consumption, technological self-reliance, and dividend stocks [5][63][67][68][69] - Specific sectors to watch include machinery equipment and power equipment for short-term gains, and pharmaceuticals, home appliances, and food and beverage sectors for long-term benefits from overseas liquidity improvements [5][63][68]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The non - ferrous metals industry is influenced by macro - economic factors such as global GDP growth, China's economic trends, and the Fed's monetary policy. The industry shows strong cyclicality, and there are opportunities and challenges in different segments like gold and copper [14][24][30] - The industry is experiencing several development trends, including digital transformation, globalization of resource allocation, and safety upgrades [65][70][75] - The performance of benchmark non - ferrous metal enterprises has generally improved, with growth in revenue, profit, and efficiency indicators [84][88] Group 3: Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - economic Analysis - Global GDP growth was about 3.9% in 2024, with the top ten countries accounting for 45% and a weighted growth rate of 4%. In 2025Q1, China's economy maintained rapid growth, and the full - year outlook is positive, providing a core driving force for industrial demand [11] - In 2025, the global GDP is expected to continue growing, but the growth rate may slow down. China's local governments are confident in economic growth, with most provincial GDP targets set above 5% [14] - China's CPI showed a mild decline in June 2025, but there are positive signals. The PPI of non - ferrous metal mining and smelting industries maintained positive year - on - year growth [18] - In 2025, China's manufacturing and infrastructure investment maintained growth, while real estate investment declined. High - tech manufacturing and infrastructure investment in areas like water conservancy and transportation are strong [21] - The Fed's expected interest rate cuts in the second half of 2024 led to a rise in non - ferrous metal prices, especially gold, which had a significant annual increase [24] 3.2 Industry Competition Pattern - Non - ferrous metals are basic materials for the national economy, and China has a wide variety of non - ferrous metal mineral resources. The industry is at the upstream of the manufacturing chain and is highly cyclical [25][27] - In 2024, the non - ferrous metal industry in China had good development, with total revenue of 9.0 trillion yuan and a profit of 423.9 billion yuan, both increasing by 14% year - on - year [32] - The production of ten non - ferrous metals in China reached 7,919 tons in 2024, a record high, and is expected to reach 100 million tons in 2026, with aluminum accounting for 56% [38] - The concentration of the non - ferrous metal industry is increasing, with the CR5 of listed companies' revenue and net profit rising to 45% and 49% respectively [42] 3.3 Development Trend Prediction - The digital transformation of the non - ferrous metal industry is promoted by policies, aiming to cultivate more than 15 digital transformation benchmark factories by 2026 [65] - Chinese non - ferrous metal enterprises are accelerating the "going - out" strategy, extending the industrial chain overseas from "mining" to "smelting" [70] - With the rise in metal prices, the industry's production capacity is being released. However, deep - mining safety risks are increasing, and new regulations are promoting enterprise safety standardization [75] 3.4 Industry Organization Efficiency Analysis - The "Five - Efficiency" analysis model is used to analyze the organizational efficiency of non - ferrous metal enterprises from five dimensions: human efficiency, yuan efficiency, cost efficiency, asset efficiency, and market efficiency [82] - The performance of benchmark enterprises has generally improved, with revenue and net profit increasing by 25% and 52% respectively in 2024 [84] - In terms of human efficiency, per - capita revenue and per - capita net profit increased by 23% and 46% respectively year - on - year, and the 3 - year CAGR was 12% and 25% respectively [88] - In terms of yuan efficiency, the labor cost efficiency of benchmark enterprises continued to improve, and there was a gradient differentiation pattern among enterprises [95] - In terms of cost efficiency, the gross profit margin and net profit margin of benchmark enterprises increased by 30% and 27% respectively year - on - year [101]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Headwinds - The market is increasingly concerned about "stagflation" in the U.S. economy, with the services PMI nearing the threshold and the price index soaring to 69.9%, a three-year high [2] - Investors are selling industrial metals like copper in favor of safe-haven assets such as gold and government bonds due to fears of stagnant growth and high inflation [2] Group 2: Tariff Policy Impact - The tariff policy from the Trump administration has targeted the copper supply chain, imposing a 50% tax on semi-finished products like copper cables while exempting refined copper [3] - This has led U.S. wire importers to cancel orders and forced Chinese copper processing companies to relocate to Southeast Asia to avoid high tariffs [3] Group 3: Federal Reserve Uncertainty - The sudden announcement of changes in the Federal Reserve's leadership has raised concerns about potential delays in interest rate cuts, prompting copper bulls to exit the market [4] - This uncertainty has contributed to increased market volatility and further depressed copper prices [4] Group 4: Inventory Dynamics - LME copper inventories surged by 14,275 tons (10.23%) on August 5, reaching a five-month high, primarily due to U.S. traders selling off during the tariff exemption window [7] - In contrast, the Chinese market is experiencing a shortage of copper, with significant price discrepancies between regions, indicating an underlying inventory crisis [7] Group 5: Industry Chain Challenges - Copper concentrate processing fees have dropped to -42.09 USD/ton, resulting in losses for smelters [8] - The cost of production for Chilean copper has risen to 2.10 USD/pound, while smelters are struggling to maintain profitability [8] Group 6: Market Reactions - On August 6, stocks of copper companies like Tongling Nonferrous and Jiangxi Copper saw significant price increases, driven by speculation around policy expectations [9] - However, futures markets remain focused on real inventory levels and weak consumption, leading to narrow trading ranges for copper contracts [9] Group 7: Long-term Outlook - Despite short-term challenges, the demand for copper driven by electrification remains strong, with Tesla's Shanghai factory increasing copper cable orders by 35% year-on-year [10] - Strategic stockpiling activities by various entities, including the Chinese state reserves and U.S. military contractors, are also noteworthy [10] Group 8: Conclusion - The short-term fluctuations in copper prices are influenced by a complex interplay of macroeconomic factors, tariff policies, supply chain dynamics, and market expectations [12] - The future trajectory of copper prices will depend on the resolution of these interrelated factors [12]