Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry ETF, E Fund (516570), has shown strong performance, with significant increases in both stock prices and fund inflows, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the chemical sector [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index (H11057) rose by 2.00%, with key stocks such as Zhejiang Longsheng up by 6.18%, Hengyi Petrochemical up by 5.01%, and Rongsheng Petrochemical up by 4.93% [1]. - The E Fund chemical industry ETF has increased by 7.61% over the past month, ranking in the top half among comparable funds [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Volume - The E Fund chemical industry ETF had a turnover rate of 3.39% during the trading session, with a total transaction volume of 56.91 million yuan [1]. - The average daily trading volume over the past week reached 94.10 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Size and Shares - The latest size of the E Fund chemical industry ETF reached 1.65 billion yuan, marking a one-year high [1]. - The total number of shares for the E Fund chemical industry ETF is now 1.538 billion, also a one-year high [1]. Group 4: Fund Inflows - Over the past 15 days, the E Fund chemical industry ETF has experienced continuous net inflows, with a peak single-day net inflow of 391 million yuan, totaling 1.449 billion yuan in net inflows [1]. - The average daily net inflow during this period was 96.58 million yuan [1]. Group 5: Index Composition - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index accounted for 55.71% of the index, including major companies like Wanhua Chemical and China Petroleum [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities indicates a stable execution of long-term contracts for air conditioning companies in Q1 2026, with rising prices for mainstream refrigerants and a focus on the recovery of fluoropolymer prices due to cost support and supply-demand improvements [1][6]. Group 1: Refrigerant Prices - In Q1 2026, long-term contract prices for mainstream refrigerants are expected to continue rising, with R32 at 61,200 CNY/ton (up 1,000 CNY/ton, +1.66% from Q4 2025) and R410A at 55,100 CNY/ton (up 1,900 CNY/ton, +3.57% from Q4 2025) [1]. - The expected price ranges for the upcoming week are approximately 62,000-63,000 CNY/ton for R32, 55,000-56,000 CNY/ton for R410A, and 56,000-57,000 CNY/ton for R134a [1]. Group 2: Production and Sales Data - In February 2026, total air conditioning production decreased by 31.6% year-on-year, significantly impacted by the timing of the Spring Festival [3]. - Domestic production in February 2026 was 4.555 million units (down 38.1% year-on-year), while export production was 6.93 million units (down 26.5% year-on-year) [3]. Group 3: Fluoropolymer Price Trends - The prices of fluoropolymers are on the rise due to ongoing cost increases and tight supply conditions, with PTFE prices ranging from 42,000 to 45,000 CNY/ton and PVDF prices for coating grade at 54,000-60,000 CNY/ton [4]. - The demand for fluoropolymers remains strong, with pre-holiday stockpiling intentions contributing to upward price pressure [4]. Group 4: Company Profit Forecasts - Companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160) are expected to achieve a net profit of 3.54-3.94 billion CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 80%-101% [5]. - Yonghe Co., Ltd. (605020) anticipates a net profit of 530-630 million CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 111%-151% [5]. - Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) projects a net profit of 1.99-2.15 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth of 156%-176% [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance for mainstream refrigerants like R32, R134a, and R125, with long-term price increases anticipated [6][7]. - Companies with complete industrial chains, advanced technology, and leading refrigerant quotas are recommended for investment, including Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160), Dongyue Group (00189), and Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) [8].

Group 1 - The chemical sector is experiencing an upward trend, with collective strength in chemical stocks and continuous capital inflow, as evidenced by a net subscription of 490 million units in the chemical ETF (159870) over four consecutive days [1] - According to Guosen Securities, certain sub-industries are recovering ahead of others since 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.56% in net profit attributable to the parent company in the first three quarters, indicating a gradual stabilization and recovery in industry profitability [1] - Looking ahead to February 2026, there is an anticipated recovery in overseas demand for certain chemical products, alongside a potential boost in domestic demand, with a focus on investment directions in oil and gas, refining and chemical, potash fertilizer, and phosphorus chemicals due to improved supply-demand dynamics and scarcity of resources [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI sub-sector chemical industry theme index (000813) include Wanhua Chemical, Salt Lake Industry, Cangge Mining, Tianci Materials, Hualu Hengsheng, Hengli Petrochemical, Juhua Co., Baofeng Energy, Yuntianhua, and Rongsheng Petrochemical, collectively accounting for 44.82% of the index [2]

Group 1 - The chemical sector is showing strong performance, with the Chemical ETF (516020) experiencing a price increase of 3.13% as of the report time [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector, including Enjie Co., Ltd., Hongda Co., and Duofuduo, have seen significant gains, with Enjie Co. reaching the daily limit up and others rising over 8% [1][2] - The basic chemical sector has attracted substantial capital inflow, with nearly 20 billion yuan in net inflow, leading among 30 major sectors [1][3] Group 2 - Prices for mainstream refrigerants have continued to rise, with R32 long-term contract prices at 61,200 yuan per ton, up 1,000 yuan from the previous quarter, marking a 1.66% increase [3] - The outlook for the industry suggests that regulatory measures and self-discipline initiatives will strengthen supply constraints, benefiting certain sub-sectors like chlor-alkali and pesticides [3] Group 3 - The Chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI sub-sector chemical industry index, covering popular themes such as AI computing power and new energy [4] - Investors can also access the chemical sector through the Chemical ETF linked funds, which provide a more efficient way to invest [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][10]. Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing rapid growth, with prices of fluorinated polymers continuing to rise. The performance of fluorochemical companies is strong, supported by stable demand and supply dynamics [1][4]. - The long-term outlook for mainstream refrigerants such as R32, R134a, and R125 remains positive due to tightening quota constraints, which are expected to sustain price increases [5][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the fluorochemical index stood at 2155.24 points, up 6.77% from the end of December 2025. The index underperformed the Shenwan Chemical Index by 5.95 percentage points but outperformed the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite indices by 5.12 and 3.01 percentage points, respectively [1][17]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - In the first quarter of 2026, long-term contract prices for mainstream refrigerants are on the rise. R32 is expected to be priced at 61,200 CNY/ton, a 1.66% increase from the previous quarter, while R410A is projected at 55,100 CNY/ton, up 3.57% [2][22]. - The domestic prices for R22, R134a, R125, and R32 have shown increases, with R22 reaching 17,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 48,500 CNY/ton, and R134a maintaining at 58,000 CNY/ton [24][23]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side of the fluorochemical industry is characterized by tight overall supply and low inventory levels among companies, which supports price increases. The demand side shows continued interest in stockpiling ahead of the holiday season [4][9]. - The production quotas for refrigerants in 2026 indicate a slight increase in the production capacity for R32, R125, and R134a, while R143a and R152a quotas have been reduced [4][79]. 4. Liquid Cooling Demand - The rapid growth of data centers is driving the demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants, as traditional air cooling methods are becoming insufficient. The market for liquid cooling solutions is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a market size exceeding 100 billion CNY by 2027 [64][70]. - Companies involved in the production of fluorinated liquids, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and others, are well-positioned to benefit from this trend [73][74]. 5. Key Company Profit Forecasts - Juhua Co. is expected to achieve a net profit of 3.54-3.94 billion CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 80%-101%. Dongyue Group and Sanmei Co. are also projected to see significant profit increases [4][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][10]. Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing rapid growth, with prices of fluoropolymers continuing to rise. The industry index has shown a performance that outpaces the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [1][5]. - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see stable execution of long-term contracts for refrigerants, with significant price increases noted for R32 and R410A [2][5]. - The demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants is anticipated to increase due to the growth of liquid cooling technologies in data centers, driven by the need for efficient cooling solutions [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the fluorochemical index reached 2155.24 points, up 6.77% from the end of December 2025, while the chemical index rose by 12.72% [1][17]. - The Guosen Chemical Fluorochemical Price Index reported a 2.95% increase, indicating a positive trend in pricing for fluorochemical products [1][18]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - Long-term contract prices for refrigerants are on the rise, with R32 priced at 61,200 CNY/ton and R410A at 55,100 CNY/ton, reflecting increases of 1.66% and 3.57% respectively from the previous quarter [2][22]. - The domestic prices for R22, R125, and R134a have also seen upward adjustments, with R22 now at 17,000 CNY/ton, up 1,000 CNY/ton from the previous month [2][24]. 3. Liquid Cooling Demand - The report highlights the urgent need for efficient cooling technologies in data centers, with liquid cooling solutions becoming increasingly favored over traditional air cooling due to their superior efficiency [3][64]. - The market for liquid cooling in data centers is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% expected from 2019 to 2027 [3][70]. 4. Refrigerant Quota Announcements - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has announced the refrigerant quotas for 2026, indicating a slight increase in production quotas for R32, R125, and R134a, while R141b's quota has been eliminated [4][79]. - The report suggests that the tightening of refrigerant quotas will support long-term price stability and growth in the industry [4][74]. 5. Company Profit Forecasts - Major companies in the fluorochemical sector, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and Sanmei Co., are expected to see significant profit growth in 2025, with Juhua's net profit projected to increase by 80%-101% [4][10].

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector is experiencing a general price increase, leading to a rise in the chemical ETF (159870) with a net subscription of 357 million units, marking four consecutive days of net inflow [1] Group 1: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - Multiple categories of chemical products are witnessing price increases, driven by the cancellation of export tax rebates and improved supply-demand dynamics in the industry [1] - The leading companies and products at price bottoms show strong potential for profit recovery [1] Group 2: Index Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index (000813) surged by 3.49%, with significant gains from component stocks such as Enjie Co., Ltd. (up 8.52%), Zhejiang Longsheng (up 8.31%), and DuPont (up 8.24%) [1] - The chemical ETF (159870) increased by 3.79%, with the latest price reported at 0.9 yuan [1] Group 3: Index Composition - The CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index (000813) includes major stocks such as Wanhua Chemical, Salt Lake Industry, and Cangge Mining, with the top ten stocks accounting for 44.82% of the index [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][10]. Core Insights - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing rapid growth, with prices of fluorinated polymers continuing to rise. The industry index has shown a performance that outpaces the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [1][5]. - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see sustained price increases for mainstream refrigerants due to stable execution of long-term contracts by terminal air conditioning companies [2][5]. - The demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants is anticipated to increase due to the growth of liquid cooling technologies in data centers, driven by the need for efficient cooling solutions [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the fluorochemical index was at 2155.24 points, up 6.77% from the end of December 2025, indicating a strong performance relative to other indices [1][17]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - Long-term contract prices for refrigerants such as R32 and R410A have increased, with R32 priced at 61,200 CNY/ton and R410A at 55,100 CNY/ton, reflecting increases of 1.66% and 3.57% respectively from the previous quarter [2][22]. - The domestic prices for R22, R125, and R134a have also seen increases, with R22 at 17,000 CNY/ton and R125 at 48,500 CNY/ton [24]. 3. Liquid Cooling Demand - The report highlights the urgent need for efficient cooling technologies in data centers, with liquid cooling solutions becoming a preferred choice due to their superior performance compared to traditional air cooling [3][64]. - The market for liquid cooling in data centers is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% expected from 2019 to 2027 [70]. 4. Refrigerant Quota Announcements - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has announced the 2026 refrigerant quotas, indicating a slight increase in production quotas for R32, R125, and R134a, while R141b's quota has been eliminated [4][79]. - The report anticipates that the stringent quota policies will continue to support the long-term growth of refrigerant products [4][74]. 5. Key Company Profit Forecasts - Key companies in the fluorochemical sector, such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and Sanmei Co., are projected to achieve significant profit growth in 2025, with expected net profits increasing by 80%-176% year-on-year [4][10].

Core Viewpoint - The leading companies in the refrigerant industry are experiencing positive forecasts due to rising prices and demand for refrigerants, with significant profit growth expected for several firms by 2025 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Dongyue Group (00189) saw its stock rise over 4%, currently trading at 12.47 HKD with a transaction volume of 89.72 million HKD [1] - Companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160), Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379), and Yonghe Co., Ltd. (605020) are projecting net profit growth exceeding 100% by 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The increase in refrigerant prices is attributed to a stable recovery in the prices of fluorinated refrigerants and stable production and sales volumes [1] - According to Shenwan Hongyuan, the issuance of HFC quotas for 2026, combined with strict global supply constraints, is expected to optimize the industry structure and increase refrigerant prices and margins in the long term [1] Group 3: Industry Characteristics - Refrigerants are being recognized as functional products with "essential consumer goods" attributes, and a "franchise" business model is gradually forming within the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The leading companies in the refrigerant industry are experiencing positive forecasts due to rising prices and demand for refrigerants, with significant profit growth expected for 2025 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Dongyue Group's stock has risen over 4%, currently trading at 12.47 HKD with a transaction volume of 89.72 million HKD [1] - Other companies in the refrigerant sector, including Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co., anticipate net profit growth exceeding 100% by 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The increase in refrigerant prices is attributed to a recovery in fluorinated refrigerant prices and stable product sales volumes [1] - According to Shenwan Hongyuan, the issuance of HFC quotas for 2026, combined with strict global supply constraints, is expected to optimize the industry landscape and enhance downstream demand, leading to a long-term upward trend in refrigerant prices and margins [1] Group 3: Industry Characteristics - Refrigerants are increasingly being recognized as essential consumer products with a "functional" nature, and the industry is developing characteristics of "essential consumer goods" and "franchise" business models [1]