沪深两市成交额2.48万亿，较上一个交易日缩量633亿。 2月4日，A股三大指数分化，沪指震荡上行。截至收盘，沪指涨0.85%，深成指涨0.21%，创业板指跌0.4%，科创综指跌0.98%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅量 | 现价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000517 | 荣安地产 | +10.27% | 2.04 | | 600683 | 京投发展 | +10.09% | 6.00 | | 000560 | 我爱我家 | +10.06% | 3.61 | | 600325 | 华发股份 | +9.95% | 4.42 | | 000838 | 财信发展 | +9.92% | 2.66 | | 000042 | 中洲控股 | +7.91% | 9.00 | | 601155 | 新城控股 | +7.62% | 18.08 | | 600791 | 京能量化 | +7.60% | 6.51 | | 001979 | 招商蛇口 | +7.31% | 10.87 | | 600649 | 城投控股 | +6.94% | 5.55 | | 600463 | 空港股份 | +6.7 ...

2月4日午后，龙头地产表现强劲，代表A股龙头地产行情的中证800地产指数猛涨超4%，成份股方面， 招商蛇口领涨超7%，新城控股、滨江集团、保利发展等多股大涨超5%。 热门ETF方面，全市场唯一跟踪中证800地产指数的地产ETF（159707）场内价格暴涨超4%，大幅领跑 同类，放量成交超9000万元，资金近五日加仓超1.3亿元。 估值端上，以央国企、优质房企为代表的龙头地产当前仍处估值低位。中证800地产指数最新PB估值仅 为0.68倍，低于近10年超88%的时间区间，估值低位特征明显，修复空间或较大。 布局央国企及优质房企，建议重点关注地产ETF（159707）。资料显示，地产ETF（159707）跟踪中证 800地产指数，汇集市场11只头部优质房企，在投资方向上具有明显的头部集中度优势，前十大成份股 权重超9成，央国企含量高！在行业出清大背景下，龙头地产或更具弹性！更具弹性！ 数据来源：沪深交易所、中证指数公司、Wind等。 风险提示：地产ETF被动跟踪中证800地产指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布日期为2012.12.21，指 数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数 ...

截至2026年2月4日 13:53，南方基金旗下房地产ETF(512200)一度涨超3%，现涨2.55%，盘中换手 4.43%，成交3.08亿元。跟踪指数中证全指房地产指数成分股荣安地产上涨10.27%，我爱我家上涨 10.06%，华发股份上涨9.95%，财信发展，招商蛇口等个股跟涨。 房地产ETF(512200)，场外联接(A类：004642；C类：004643) 中信证券指出，尽管行业短期业绩仍受历史调整影响，但经营性资产复苏态势显著，政策支持、REITs 市场扩容等多重积极信号密集释放，房地产行业已具备止跌回稳基础，核心资产价值有望迎来重估。 该行指出，我国居民部门的现金流量表保持良好，宏观经济健康向上，这也是未来企业经营性现金流净 流入可能持续修复的底气。政策力推住宅价格止跌，加上商业地产资产增值，相信房地产板块的主体信 用风险已经开始退潮。当行业的主要融资性现金流入，从以信用债（主体负债）为主转向以项目融资 （REITs和物业经营贷等）为主之际，企业资产和负债错配的矛盾就正在得到解决。 房地产ETF(512200)紧密跟踪中证全指房地产指数，为反映中证全指指数样本中不同行业公司证券的整 体表现，为投 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share real estate sector has seen significant gains, particularly driven by the launch of a program in Shanghai to acquire second-hand housing for affordable rental housing projects, targeting new citizens, young people, and graduates [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Real estate stocks in the A-share market experienced substantial afternoon gains, with notable performers including I Love My Home and Huafa Co., which hit the daily limit [1] - Other companies such as Rong'an Real Estate, Jingtou Development, and Caixin Development also reached their daily limit previously, while China Merchants Shekou and City Investment Holdings rose over 7% [1] - The following companies showed significant increases: Jindi Group and Tefa Service over 6%, and Zhongzhou Holdings, Jingneng Real Estate, Binjiang Group, and Shilianhang over 5% [1] Group 2: Company Data - Rong'an Real Estate: 10.27% increase, market cap of 6.495 billion [2] - Jingtou Development: 10.09% increase, market cap of 4.445 billion [2] - I Love My Home: 10.06% increase, market cap of 8.503 billion [2] - Huafa Co.: 9.95% increase, market cap of 12.2 billion [2] - Caixin Development: 9.92% increase, market cap of 2.927 billion [2] - China Merchants Shekou: 7.50% increase, market cap of 98.2 billion [2] - City Investment Holdings: 7.13% increase, market cap of 1.39 billion [2] - Jindi Group: 6.69% increase, market cap of 15.1 billion [2] - Tefa Service: 6.52% increase, market cap of 7.183 billion [2] - New Town Holdings: 6.19% increase, market cap of 40.2 billion [2] - Zhongzhou Holdings: 5.88% increase, market cap of 5.87 billion [2] - Jingneng Real Estate: 5.79% increase, market cap of 2.898 billion [2] - Binjiang Group: 5.74% increase, market cap of 37.8 billion [2] - Shilianhang: 5.54% increase, market cap of 5.699 billion [2]

布局央国企及优质房企，建议重点关注地产ETF（159707）。资料显示，地产ETF（159707）跟踪中证 800地产指数，汇集市场11只头部优质房企，在投资方向上具有明显的头部集中度优势，前十大成份股 权重超九成，央国企含量高，在行业出清大背景下，龙头地产或更具弹性。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 2月4日午后，龙头地产持续走强，招商蛇口、新城控股、滨江集团等多股涨逾5%。热门ETF方面，全 市场唯一跟踪中证800地产指数的地产ETF（159707）午后持续上探涨逾4%，成交额已近8000万元。 消息面上，上海正式启动收购二手住房用于保障性租赁住房项目，此举带动房地产板块整体走强。财通 证券认为，经历多年筑底后，地产基本面的拐点正渐行渐近，若后续政策组合拳能够有序有力地出台， 则有望率先迎来地产股的拐点，建议关注左侧布局机会。 估值端上，以央国企、优质房企为代表的龙头地产当前仍处估值低位。中证800地产指数最新PB估值仅 为0.68倍，低于近10年超88%的时间区间，估值低位特征明显，修复空间或较大。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes that the second-hand housing acquisition initiative directly addresses the supply pressure in Shanghai, particularly focusing on older small-sized second-hand homes in districts with a willingness for new home replacements [1] - The report estimates that there are approximately 9.7 million tradable stock housing units in Shanghai, with the pilot districts accounting for about 32% of this total, and homes built before 2000 making up around 15% [1] - The report suggests that the ongoing inventory issues in Shanghai and Beijing may lead to an earlier cyclical turning point, with positive policies aiding in inventory reduction [1] Group 2 - The new land supply scheme is crucial for sustaining expectations of improvement in the real estate market, with a focus on maintaining a reasonable internal funding loop within districts [2] - The report indicates that from Q2 2025, the price trends in high-energy cities are expected to weaken compared to mid-low energy cities, largely due to the land supply increase during the first half of 2025 [2] - It highlights that controlling short-term land supply is essential for stabilizing price expectations, and any strong measures to limit supply could shift local market expectations to a more positive outlook [2] Group 3 - The report anticipates that if local real estate market inventory signals improve, the real estate stock market in 2026 may be primarily driven by beta factors [3] - Recommended mainstream investment targets include A-share companies such as Binjiang Group, New Town Holdings, and China Merchants Shekou, as well as Hong Kong-listed firms like China Resources Land and China Overseas Development [3] - The report notes that for investors with a higher risk tolerance and liquidity requirements, some quality private enterprises in the Hong Kong market undergoing debt restructuring may present rare investment opportunities [3]

布局央国企及优质房企，建议重点关注地产ETF（159707）。资料显示，地产ETF（159707）跟踪中证 800地产指数，汇集市场11只头部优质房企，在投资方向上具有明显的头部集中度优势，前十大成份股 权重超9成，央国企含量高！在行业出清大背景下，龙头地产或更具弹性！更具弹性！ 数据来源：沪深交易所、中证指数公司、Wind等。 2月4日，截至10时37分，龙头地产表现强劲，中证800地产指数上涨3.34%，成份股方面，招商蛇口领 涨5.03%，新城控股上涨5.0%，滨江集团上涨4.96%。热门ETF方面，全市场唯一跟踪中证800地产指数 的地产ETF（159707）场内价格上涨3.3%，成交额达4522.78万元。 | 地产ETF(SZ:159707) | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ¥0.658 +0.021 +3.30% | | | | | 交易中 02-04 10:38:27 北京时间 | 1.17 万球友关注 | | | 最高:0.660 | 今开:0.638 | | 涨停:0.701 | | 成 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the real estate sector is showing strong performance, driven by policy initiatives such as Shanghai's acquisition of second-hand housing for rental projects, indicating a potential turning point for the industry [2][3]. - The CSI 800 Real Estate Index has increased by 3.34%, with leading stocks like China Merchants Shekou rising by 5.03%, New City Holdings by 5.0%, and Binjiang Group by 4.96% [2]. - The real estate ETF (159707), which tracks the CSI 800 Real Estate Index, has seen a price increase of 3.3% with a trading volume of 45.2278 million yuan, reflecting strong market interest [2]. Group 2 - Financial analysts believe that after years of bottoming out, the real estate sector is approaching a fundamental turning point, with expectations for effective policy measures to support recovery [3]. - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio of the CSI 800 Real Estate Index is 0.68, which is lower than 88% of the time over the past decade, indicating significant room for valuation recovery [3]. - The real estate ETF (159707) is noted for its concentration in top-tier companies, with over 90% of its weight in the top ten constituents, suggesting a strong focus on leading state-owned enterprises and quality developers [5].

行 业 及 产 业 2026 年 02 月 04 日 房地产融资政策进入友好期，REITs 和定增将 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 看好 ——房地产行业融资事件点评 《目前板块业绩仍然承压，但最困难时期 或将逐渐过去——房地产行业 2025 年业 绩预告分析及前瞻》 2026/02/01 《首批商业不动产 REITs 上报，优质商业 地产迎来价值重估——首批商业不动产 REITs 上报点评》 2026/01/31 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 房地产 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 事件： 点评： 开辟股权融资渠道 ⚫ 1）26 年 1 月 28 日，中房报报道，多家房地产企业已不再被监管部门要求每月上报"三 道红线"相关数据。 ⚫ 2）1 月 27 日，保利发展公告拟 ...

Core Viewpoint - Binhai Group's stock has shown significant growth in early 2025, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit year-on-year, indicating strong performance in the real estate sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 4, Binhai Group's stock rose by 2.26%, reaching 11.76 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 75.61 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.24% [1]. - Year-to-date, Binhai Group's stock price has increased by 17.01%, with a 4.63% rise over the last five trading days, 15.98% over the last 20 days, and 8.39% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Binhai Group achieved a revenue of 65.514 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 60.64%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.395 billion CNY, up by 46.60% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Binhai Group has distributed a total of 4.735 billion CNY in dividends, with 1.313 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of January 30, 2025, the number of shareholders in Binhai Group decreased by 8.16% to 27,400, while the average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 8.88% to 98,054 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, the third-largest is the Fuguo Tianhui Growth Mixed Fund, holding 50 million shares, a decrease of 3 million shares from the previous period [2].