大全能源：公司专注于高纯多晶硅的研生销售。形成年产30.5万吨高质量、低能耗、低成本的高纯多晶 硅产能，是多晶硅行业主要的市场参与者之一，2025年前三季度公司多晶硅产品产销率达到138%。 *免责声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议 展望明年，光伏板块在历经为期3年左右的调整后，众多产业链优质公司的PB维持在1-2倍，随着盈利 能力恢复，看好光伏产业链价值重构对行情的驱动，电新板块内有全球核心竞争力优质资产将有望迎来 系统性的价值重构，考虑到当前光伏板块低PB的现状，重点布局光伏产业链优质企业。 公司方面，据上市公司互动平台、公告表示， 通威股份：2025年上半年，公司实现多晶硅销售16.13万吨，全球市占率约30%，全球市占率第一。 据智通财经11月6日报道，一些光伏龙头企业正在与中小企业洽谈收购重组事宜，以淘汰部分企业及其 产能。 报道综合多方信息勾勒出了联合体的框架：不超过10家硅料头部企业以及金融机构出资，联合组建硅料 平台公司；该平台公司再收购其他硅料企业的产能。其他硅料企业可选择出钱成为平台公司的股东，也 可选择被平台公司收购后拿钱走人。业界希望以此快速降低硅料行业产能。未来，这家平台公司将协 ...

Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a projected 45% increase in new installed capacity in 2024 compared to the previous year, marking a nearly 20-fold increase since 2015, indicating a shift from supplementary energy to a primary energy source [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes green transformation as a core goal, aiming to consolidate and expand the advantages of the wind and photovoltaic industries [1] - Recent "anti-involution" policies from the government aim to regulate competition within the photovoltaic sector, transitioning the industry from chaotic low-price competition to sustainable development, which is expected to bring substantial benefits to both supply and demand sides [1] - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a technological transformation, with the market share of N-type monocrystalline silicon technology expected to exceed 96.9% by 2025, alongside advancements in TOPCon, HJT, and BC technologies, leading to improved efficiency and reduced costs [1] - The multi-crystalline silicon sector is addressing supply-side issues through the establishment of a joint platform involving 17 major companies, focusing on capacity coordination, quality grading, and self-discipline to curb disorderly expansion [2] - The multi-crystalline silicon industry has begun to increase prices in Q3 2025, moving above the comprehensive cost line under the new pricing regulations [2] Related Companies in the Photovoltaic Industry - GCL-Poly Energy (03800), New Special Energy (01799), Flat Glass Group (06865), Xinyi Solar (00968), Fuyao Glass (03606), and CAISSA New Energy (01108) are key players in the Hong Kong stock market related to the photovoltaic industry [3]

Core Viewpoint - The market's primary focus on photovoltaic supply-side reform is the establishment of a joint platform involving 17 major companies, aimed at addressing the supply-side contradictions in the polysilicon sector through capacity coordination, quality grading, and self-discipline in production cuts [1][3]. Group 1: Joint Platform and Industry Reform - The joint platform's formation is crucial for accelerating supply-side reforms in the polysilicon sector, which is characterized by capital and technology intensity, and is key to determining costs and profit distribution across the entire industry chain [3]. - The joint platform aims to mitigate the chaotic expansion of the industry, which has been exacerbated by previous overcapacity and price wars, leading to a "low price-loss" vicious cycle [3]. Group 2: Price Recovery and Profit Restoration - Since the initiation of the "anti-involution" measures, the number of participants has increased, and there has been a significant recovery in product prices. By the third quarter of 2025, the polysilicon industry is expected to start price increases under the "no less than cost sales" regulation, gradually returning prices above the comprehensive cost line [4]. - This price recovery has led to notable profit restoration for companies, with Daqo Energy reporting a net profit of 73.48 million yuan in the third quarter of 2025, ending a five-quarter streak of losses, and GCL-Poly Energy also achieving profitability in its photovoltaic materials business [4]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include polysilicon firms that are central to the anti-involution efforts: Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438.SH), Daqo Energy (688303.SH), and GCL-Poly Energy (03800) [5]. - Additionally, companies with independent alpha trends in the BC sector such as Aiko Solar (600732.SH) and LONGi Green Energy (601012.SH) are recommended for attention [5]. - As the sector's valuation and profitability recover, the supply-side reform is expected to extend to auxiliary material segments, suggesting a focus on photovoltaic film companies like Foster (603806.SH) and glass manufacturers like Flat Glass Group (601865.SH) [5].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is expected to establish a joint platform by the end of 2025, with a clear supply-side reform strategy focusing on top-level policies, industry self-discipline, and technological iteration. The sector has completed price and profit stabilization, indicating a positive market outlook [1]. Group 1: Joint Platform and Supply-Side Reform - The establishment of the joint platform is crucial for accelerating supply-side reforms in the polysilicon sector, which is the most upstream part of the photovoltaic industry chain. This initiative involves 17 major companies and aims to address the severe overcapacity and price wars that have led to a "low price-loss" cycle [2]. - The collaborative mechanism of the joint platform will facilitate the elimination of outdated production capacity and help polysilicon prices return to levels above the cost line, thereby laying a solid foundation for profit recovery across the entire industry chain [2]. Group 2: Price and Profit Recovery - The ongoing "anti-involution" efforts have led to a significant expansion of participating entities and noticeable recovery in product prices. By the third quarter of 2025, polysilicon prices began to rise above the comprehensive cost line, resulting in substantial profit recovery for companies [3]. - For instance, Daqo Energy reported a net profit of 73.48 million yuan in the third quarter of 2025, marking the end of five consecutive quarters of losses, while GCL-Poly also achieved profitability in its photovoltaic materials business during the same period [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the photovoltaic sector [4]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing significant price recovery and profit restoration due to supply-side reforms, particularly in the polysilicon segment, which is crucial for the entire supply chain [4]. - A joint platform involving 17 major companies is expected to be established by the end of 2025, aimed at addressing supply-side issues and preventing disorderly expansion in the industry [4]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw notable profit recovery for companies like Daqo New Energy and GCL-Poly Energy, marking an end to a prolonged period of losses [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The photovoltaic sector is undergoing supply-side reforms with a focus on polysilicon, which is essential for controlling costs and profit distribution across the supply chain [4]. - The establishment of a joint platform is a key step in addressing the oversupply and price wars that have plagued the industry [4]. Market Performance - Following the announcement of the joint platform, the photovoltaic sector saw a significant stock price increase, with companies like LONGi Green Energy and Trina Solar reaching new highs [2][4]. - The price recovery in the polysilicon market has led to improved profitability for several companies, indicating a positive trend for the industry [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on polysilicon companies such as Tongwei Co., Daqo New Energy, and GCL-Poly Energy as key investment opportunities [4]. - Additionally, companies in the BC segment like Aiko Solar and LONGi Green Energy are highlighted for their potential independent market performance [4]. - As the supply-side reforms progress, attention is also drawn to auxiliary material companies like Foster and Xinyi Glass, which may benefit from the overall recovery in the sector [4].

Investment Rating - The report rates the photovoltaic industry as "Overweight," indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [4]. Core Insights - The establishment of a joint platform involving 17 major companies is expected to accelerate supply-side reforms in the polysilicon sector, which is crucial for addressing the industry's overcapacity and price wars [4]. - The "anti-involution" initiative has led to significant price recovery and profit restoration across the industry, with companies like Daqo New Energy and GCL-Poly Energy reporting a return to profitability in Q3 2025 [4]. - The report suggests that the joint platform will be completed by the end of 2025, supported by top-level policies, industry self-discipline, and technological advancements, which will further stabilize prices and profits [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant shift with the formation of a joint platform aimed at addressing supply-side issues, particularly in polysilicon production [4]. - The industry has faced severe price competition leading to losses, but recent collaborative efforts are expected to restore profitability [4]. Company Analysis - Key companies to watch include: 1. Polysilicon leaders: Tongwei Co., Daqo New Energy, and GCL-Poly Energy [4]. 2. Companies with independent alpha performance: Aiko Solar and LONGi Green Energy [4]. 3. Companies in auxiliary materials: Foster and Xinyi Glass, which are expected to benefit from the overall recovery in the sector [4]. Financial Metrics - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, highlighting their market capitalization and projected net profits for 2025 and beyond [5]. - For instance, Tongwei Co. has a market cap of 112 billion yuan with a projected net profit of -5.23 billion yuan for 2025, while Daqo New Energy is projected to recover to a profit of 1.36 billion yuan in 2026 [5].

Group 1 - Tesla's Model Y L orders for October are sold out, with delivery for new orders expected in November, indicating strong demand for the vehicle [1] - Huaxin Securities reports that Tesla's global production and sales data for Q2 2025 shows a recovery, although competition in the domestic market has increased [1] - Wuzhou Xinchun's bearings are now supplied to top five global manufacturers, including products used in Tesla and other electric vehicles [2] Group 2 - RISC-V architecture is seen as a significant breakthrough for future chip industry innovation, with Infineon planning to mass-produce RISC-V MCU products by 2028-2029 [3] - Haitong International believes RISC-V's transition to high-performance computing will reshape the competitive landscape of the chip industry [3] - Chengdu Huami has successfully launched a low-power RISC-V MCU, suitable for IoT and wearable devices [4] Group 3 - Meituan's AI Agent product "Xiao Mei" is set for public testing, designed to enhance local service experiences through natural language interaction [5] - IDC predicts the global AI Agent market will reach approximately $5.29 billion by 2024, with significant growth expected in the Chinese enterprise AI Agent application market by 2030 [6] - Companies like Zhongwen Online and Yidian Tianxia are developing AI Agent systems for marketing and public services, indicating a trend towards AI integration in various sectors [7] Group 4 - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a shift towards price increases and production limits, with a focus on supply-side reforms to restore healthy market conditions [8] - Daqo New Energy is a leading player in the silicon material industry, with an annual production capacity of 305,000 tons of high-purity polysilicon [8] Group 5 - The People's Bank of China and Bank Indonesia have launched a bilateral currency settlement framework and QR code interoperability project, enhancing cross-border payment cooperation [9] - The CIPS system's improvements are expected to boost the efficiency of RMB cross-border clearing, benefiting payment service providers and financial IT service companies [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy's revenue decreased in the first half of the year due to the photovoltaic industry's capacity clearance, low-price competition, and weak installation demand, resulting in continued net losses [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Longi Green Energy achieved revenue of 32.813 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.83%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 2.57 billion yuan, an increase in loss of 50.88% year-on-year [1] - The company's net loss narrowed to approximately 350 million yuan in the second quarter, a decrease of nearly 21% compared to the first quarter, indicating signs of stabilization [1][2] - The second quarter saw a revenue of 19.161 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.12% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 40.35%, with a net loss of 1.133 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increase in loss of 60.66% and 21.1% respectively [2][3] Operational Efficiency - Longi Green Energy managed to reduce its sales and management expenses by 37% and 23% respectively, contributing to the reduction in losses [1][3] - The total sales and management expenses for the first half were 2.18 billion yuan, down 28.9% from 3.067 billion yuan in the same period last year [3] Market Dynamics - The average price of N-type silicon wafers increased by at least 24% in the third quarter compared to the previous quarter, raising market expectations for Longi Green Energy's performance [1][4] - The photovoltaic industry is currently in an "L-shaped" cycle bottom, and whether Longi Green Energy can confirm the bottom of the cycle in the third quarter is a key focus for the market [4] Supply and Demand Factors - The reduction in production and changes in demand are critical factors affecting the performance of photovoltaic manufacturers in the third and fourth quarters [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments have emphasized the need for stricter control over low-price sales and to stabilize the market [5] - Despite recent policy advancements, terminal demand remains weak, leading to a cautious market atmosphere among downstream sectors [5][6] Technological Advancements - Longi Green Energy continues to advance the mass production of BC (Back Contact) batteries, aiming to replace PERC capacity and create a competitive advantage [6] - The company expects that by the end of the year, the high-efficiency capacity of its upgraded HPBC2.0 batteries will exceed 60%, completing the product structure upgrade [6]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **polysilicon industry** and its implications for the **photovoltaic (PV) sector** [1][3][4][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - The **Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT)** has intensified energy conservation inspections in the polysilicon industry, aiming to lower comprehensive energy consumption standards, which may lead to an increase in polysilicon prices and promote supply-side reforms in the PV industry [1][3]. - The **China Photovoltaic Association** has clarified that work related to polysilicon is progressing steadily, focusing on anti-involution measures and price recovery, which will benefit polysilicon and glass segments significantly [1][6]. - The **price of polysilicon** is a critical indicator for the PV sector, with recent supply-side reforms driving price increases. The current average transaction price of polysilicon has risen, indicating that anti-involution measures are being realized [4][9]. - Despite potential demand declines in the second half of the year due to regulatory impacts, the long-term outlook for global PV penetration remains optimistic, with current levels exceeding 20% [5][7][8]. Additional Important Content - The **component price dynamics** need to address both cost transmission from rising polysilicon prices and profit recovery, with the potential for downstream operators to face challenges due to regulatory impacts [7][8]. - The **auxiliary materials** sector, particularly paste materials, is highlighted as a significant area of focus, while inverters are expected to benefit from developments in energy storage [10]. - The **wind energy sector** shows promising signs, with an increase in bidding prices for onshore wind energy and the commencement of offshore wind projects, indicating improved demand across the supply chain [13]. - **Investment opportunities** are identified in polysilicon, battery components, and silicon wafers, contingent on effective price transmission from components [9][17]. Conclusion - The polysilicon industry is poised for growth due to regulatory support and market dynamics, with significant implications for the broader photovoltaic sector. The focus on energy efficiency and price recovery will be crucial for sustaining long-term growth in this industry.

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Macro Finance**: - Stocks: Bullish [1] - Bonds: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Gold: Bullish [1] - Silver: Bullish in the short - term, cautious in the medium - term [1] - **Non - ferrous Metals**: - Copper: Bullish (Oscillating upward) [1] - Aluminum: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Alumina: Neutral (Wide - range oscillating) [1] - Zinc: Bullish [1] - Nickel: Bullish in the short - term, cautious in the long - term [1] - Stainless Steel: Bullish (Oscillating upward) [1] - Tin: Volatile in the short - term [1] - Industrial Silicon: Bullish [1] - Polysilicon: Bullish [1] - Lithium Hydroxide: Bullish [1] - **Ferrous Metals**: - Rebar: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Hot - rolled Coil: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Iron Ore: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Silicomanganese: Bullish [1] - Ferrosilicon: Bullish [1] - Glass: Bullish [1] - Soda Ash: Bullish [1] - Coking Coal: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Coke: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - **Agricultural Products**: - Palm Oil: Bullish, with risks [1] - Methanol: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Rapeseed Oil: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Cotton: Bullish in the short - term, limited upside for 01 contract [1] - White Sugar: Bullish, limited upside [1] - Corn: Bearish for CO1, limited upside for C09 [1] - Soybean Meal: Bullish for M01 on pullbacks, limited upside for M09 [1] - Pulp: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Logs: Bullish in the short - term, not advisable to chase [1] - Live Pigs: Neutral (Stable) [1] - **Energy and Chemicals**: - Crude Oil: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Fuel Oil: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Asphalt: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Natural Rubber: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - BR Rubber: Neutral (Oscillating with support) [1] - PTA: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - Ethylene Glycol: Bullish [1] - Short - fiber: Bullish [1] - Styrene: Bullish [1] - Urea: Neutral (Oscillating) [1] - PF: Neutral (Oscillating downward) [1] - DO: Bullish (Oscillating upward) [1] - PVC: Bullish (Oscillating upward) [1] - Caustic Soda: Bullish [2] - LPG: Bearish [2] - Shipping: Bearish [2] 2. Core Views - In the short term, stock indices are expected to be strong due to the "asset shortage" and "national team" support, as well as the boost from "anti - involution" and real estate policy expectations. Bond futures are favored by the "asset shortage" and weak economy, but the central bank's short - term interest rate risk warning restricts their upside. Gold and silver are expected to be strong in the short term due to market uncertainties [1]. - In the non - ferrous metals sector, "anti - involution" policies and other factors drive price movements. For example, zinc and stainless steel prices are rising, while nickel is strong in the short term but faces long - term over - supply pressure [1]. - In the ferrous metals sector, supply - side reforms drive the prices of many products such as silicomanganese, ferrosilicon, glass, and soda ash to be strong [1]. - In the agricultural products sector, different products have different trends. For example, corn has different strategies for different contracts, and soybean meal has different outlooks for M09 and M01 [1]. - In the energy and chemicals sector, factors such as supply - demand relationships, cost support, and seasonal factors affect product prices. For example, styrene is bullish due to factors such as increased device load, while LPG is bearish due to high inventory and seasonal factors [1][2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro Finance - **Stock Indices**: Recently, stock indices have shown obvious insensitivity to negative news, with strong trading volume and market sentiment. The "asset shortage" and "national team" support increase the willingness to allocate equity assets, and "anti - involution" and real estate policy expectations boost market sentiment. In the short term, stock indices are expected to be strong [1]. - **Bond Futures**: The "asset shortage" and weak economy are favorable for bond futures, but the central bank's short - term interest rate risk warning restricts their upside [1]. - **Gold and Silver**: Market uncertainties remain, so the price of gold is expected to be strong and oscillating in the short term. Silver shows short - term resilience, but caution is needed in the medium term [1]. Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The "anti - involution" theme in China is volatile, and downstream demand is fair, so the copper price is oscillating upward [1]. - **Aluminum**: The "anti - involution" theme in China is emerging, but high prices suppress downstream demand, so the aluminum price may oscillate [1]. - **Alumina**: Alumina profits are expanding, with both supply and inventory increasing, and the price is oscillating widely [1]. - **Zinc**: The "anti - involution" and capacity - reduction themes in China are emerging, infrastructure demand is boosted, and the risk of LME zinc squeeze is increasing, so the zinc price is rising. Attention should be paid to LME warehouse receipts [1]. - **Nickel**: The "anti - involution" policy in China is emerging, and the macro - sentiment is positive. Indonesia's RKAB approval quota in the first half of the year reached 364 million wet tons, and the premium of Indonesian nickel ore has slightly declined. In the short term, the nickel price is mainly driven by the macro - situation and is oscillating upward. It is recommended to wait and see and look for short - selling opportunities after the sentiment calms down. In the long term, the over - supply of primary nickel still exerts pressure [1]. - **Stainless Steel**: The "anti - involution" policy in China is emerging, and the macro - sentiment is warming up, which boosts the steel price. The price of raw material ferronickel is weak, the social inventory of stainless steel is slightly decreasing, and after profit recovery, steel mills' production cuts may be less than expected. Attention should be paid to the actual production of steel mills. The stainless steel futures are oscillating upward. It is recommended to wait and see and look for positive arbitrage opportunities between futures and spot, and pay attention to raw material changes and steel mills' production schedules [1]. Ferrous Metals - **Rebar and Hot - rolled Coil**: Strong furnace materials provide valuation support, and the prices are oscillating [1]. - **Iron Ore**: Although the commodity sentiment is positive, the fundamentals are marginally weakening, and the price is oscillating [1]. - **Silicomanganese, Ferrosilicon, Glass, and Soda Ash**: Supply - side reforms are restarted, and the prices are mainly strong [1]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The "anti - involution" theme is mentioned in high - level meetings. Although it cannot be compared with the 2015 supply - side reform bull market, it cannot be falsified in the short - term trading aspect. Short - selling orders should be temporarily avoided, and industrial customers should seize the opportunity of premium to establish positive arbitrage positions between futures and spot. For coke, the key is to seize the opportunity of futures premium for short - selling hedging [1]. Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: There is an expectation of international demand growth, and the reference price in Malaysia is raised. The risk lies in the negative impact of increased production in the producing areas and weak exports [1]. - **Cotton**: Cotton has increased positions and prices in the short term, mainly driven by the logic of squeezing the 01 contract in the near - month. The upside of the 01 contract is limited. Attention should be paid to the time window from the end of July to the beginning of August and the release of sliding - scale tariff quotas [1]. - **White Sugar**: White sugar is running strongly, with the bottom - divergence rebound of raw sugar and peak - season demand, but the upside is limited. Attention should be paid to the oscillation in the range of 5600 - 6000 [1]. - **Corn**: The supply - demand of old - crop corn is tightening, which supports the market, but the low price difference between wheat and corn squeezes the demand for corn. Under the pressure of high warehouse receipts, the rebound space of C09 is expected to be limited. The planting cost of new - season corn is reduced, and the production situation is good. It is recommended to short CO1 at high prices [1]. - **Soybean Meal**: The domestic soybean meal is in the inventory - accumulation cycle, and the basis is expected to continue to be under pressure. In the short term, the spot lacks the conditions for a sharp rise. Under the low basis, the upside of M09 is expected to be limited. Supported by the import cost, it is recommended to wait for pullbacks to buy M01 [1]. - **Pulp and Logs**: Pulp has rebounded significantly due to the strong commodity sentiment. Currently, the basis of broad - leaf pulp has weakened to - 1400 yuan/ton, and it is not recommended to chase the rise. In the short term, the main trading logic of logs may shift to the "strong expectation" of the 09 contract. After a sharp rise, it is not recommended to chase the rise [1]. - **Live Pigs**: With the continuous restoration of live - pig inventory, the slaughter weight is continuously increasing. The market expects sufficient inventory, and the futures are at a large discount to the spot. In the short term, the spot is less affected by slaughter, and the overall decline is limited, so the futures remain stable [1]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil and Fuel Oil**: The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has cooled down, and the market has returned to the supply - demand logic. OPEC+ has increased production more than expected, and short - term peak - season consumption in Europe and the United States provides support. The prices are oscillating [1]. - **Asphalt**: In the short term, the supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, and it follows the crude oil price. Cost disturbances and demand recovery balance each other, and the price fluctuation is limited [1]. - **Natural Rubber and BR Rubber**: For natural rubber, there are short - term rainfall disturbances in the producing areas, slow inventory reduction, and positive macro - sentiment in the market. For BR rubber, the cost of butadiene provides support, the fundamentals of synthetic rubber are stable, demand is weakening, the spot price is oscillating, and there will be some device maintenance of butadiene in the future with limited cargo supply, so the BR futures are expected to consolidate in stages and then have price support [1]. - **PTA**: PTA supply has shrunk, but the crude oil price remains strong. The downstream load of polyester remains at 90% despite the expectation of load reduction. In July, bottle chips and short - fibers will enter the maintenance cycle. PTA ports have slightly reduced inventory, and the replenishment willingness of polyester is not high [1]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The coal price has risen slightly, the commodity sentiment is generally positive, overseas ethylene glycol device maintenance has been postponed, the supply has shrunk, and the market expects less arrival of goods in the future [1]. - **Short - fiber**: The registration volume of short - fiber warehouse receipts is small, and short - fiber factories' maintenance is increasing. Under the high basis, the cost of short - fiber is closely related [1]. - **Styrene**: The pure - benzene price has slightly declined, styrene sales are active, the device load of styrene has increased, the basis of styrene has significantly weakened, and there are many old - capacity issues in the pure - benzene and styrene industries [1]. - **Urea**: There is an expectation of supply contraction, and domestic demand has entered the off - season [1]. - **PF**: The macro - sentiment has faded, and it has returned to the fundamentals. There are many maintenance activities, demand is mainly for rigid needs, and the price is oscillating downward [1]. - **DO**: The downstream has entered the seasonal off - season, the supply pressure is increasing, and the price is oscillating upward [1]. - **PVC**: The prices of coking coal and other products have risen, the market sentiment is good, the maintenance has decreased compared with the previous period, and the price is oscillating upward [1]. - **Caustic Soda**: Maintenance is approaching the end, the spot price has fallen to a low level, the premium of caustic soda delivery substitutes has increased, there are many coal policies, and the sentiment is positive [2]. - **LPG**: The support from crude oil is insufficient, the international fundamentals are loose, the port propane inventory is high, the CP - FEI spread has narrowed, the LPG combustion demand is in the seasonal off - season, the chemical demand is average, the spread between industrial and civil uses has narrowed, and the domestic LPG price is running weakly [2]. - **Shipping**: The signal of freight rate peaking is emerging, European ports are still congested, and there will be many scheduled ships in August [2].