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港股收评:恒指跌0.29%录得4连跌,铜矿股全天强势,半导体股午后突发跳水
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-09 08:32
港股三大指数午后震荡回落,恒生指数收跌0.29%,国企指数微幅上涨0.07%,恒生科技指数转跌至 0.66%,恒指、恒科指连续4日走低。 另一方面,半导体芯片股午后跳水明显,龙头中芯国际跌近7%,华虹半导体、宏光半导体、上海复旦 跟跌,生物医药类股全天低迷,创新药概念方向跌幅明显,加密货币概念股、影视股、苹果概念股、军 工股普遍低迷。(格隆汇) 盘面上,大型科技股涨跌参半,其中,快手涨3.56%,网易、腾讯、京东勉强飘红,阿里巴巴跌2.4%, 百度跌超1%,小米跌0.9%;供给短缺+算力革命助推铜价上涨,铜矿股全天强势引领有色金属股上涨, 中国大冶有色金属飙涨超21%表现最佳,中国黄金国际、江西铜业股份、中国有色矿业皆大涨;国内海 风市场9月迎来招中标高峰期,风电股午后涨幅扩大,高铁基建股、航空股、煤炭股、建材水泥股、电 力股、燃气股、纸业股表现活跃。 ...
金鹰基金:“十五五”蓝图启新程 金秋十月布局正当时
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-10-09 06:05
Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a decrease in profit-making effects in September compared to August, with short-term capital speculation amplifying market volatility. Economic high-frequency data indicates strong supply and weak demand, constraining expectations for economic resilience. The market is primarily consolidating to digest previous valuations, guided by industrial catalysts and mid-term report performance [1] Group 1: Economic and Market Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to be a key macro variable in October, with policies promoting a unified national market and addressing industry issues. There is a focus on the growth potential of service consumption and the profitability improvement of cyclical industries [2] - October marks the disclosure period for Q3 reports, which will provide strong indicators for industry prosperity. There is a divergence in market expectations regarding performance realization, which needs clarification from earnings guidance [3] Group 2: Key Factors to Monitor - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session will be held in late October, focusing on the "14th Five-Year Plan" recommendations. Recent industry guidelines aim to promote technological manufacturing as the core economic driver, emphasizing service consumption and market unification [3] - The U.S. economic environment remains stable, with ongoing negotiations in U.S.-China trade relations. Recent announcements of new tariffs by the U.S. necessitate close monitoring of further negotiations [3] - The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting at the end of October may indicate a balance between long-term inflation expectations and interest rate adjustments, which could impact market conditions [4] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors aligned with the "14th Five-Year Plan" and Q3 report insights, particularly in technology manufacturing, which is expected to see high growth due to policy support and technological advancements. Key areas include AI applications and advanced semiconductor processes [4] - The innovative pharmaceutical and non-ferrous metals sectors are anticipated to benefit from renewed liquidity and economic recovery, with a focus on overseas business development [5] - The consumer sector may face short-term performance pressures, but stock prices have largely reflected mid-term pessimism. The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests a shift towards domestic demand, potentially leading to moderate growth by 2026 [6]
寻踪节后轮动线索 机构热议四大主线
Group 1 - The A-share market has experienced a consolidation pattern throughout September, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing above 3800 points, indicating a potential new round of upward movement [1] - Institutional investors remain optimistic about the post-holiday market, citing a favorable policy environment, friendly liquidity conditions, resilient fundamentals, improved risk appetite, and historically low valuation levels as key reasons [2][3] - The technology sector, particularly semiconductor and AI, continues to attract attention, alongside new energy represented by batteries, innovative pharmaceuticals, and cyclical materials benefiting from interest rate cuts [1][3] Group 2 - The market is expected to focus on four main lines of investment post-holiday, including innovative pharmaceuticals, AI, military industry, and batteries, with new energy and innovative pharmaceuticals likely to be the hottest themes [3][4] - The lithium battery equipment sector is experiencing a strong recovery driven by policy incentives and technological innovations, with solid-state battery technology making significant progress [4] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is seeing increased investment from multinational companies in China, with a positive outlook for the production and global market share of Chinese innovative drugs [4][5] Group 3 - The cyclical materials sector, particularly non-ferrous metals, is benefiting from macroeconomic easing, supply constraints, and increasing demand from sectors like new energy and AI [5] - The Hong Kong stock market is viewed as having significant investment value, particularly in the technology sector, due to the presence of leading companies and a growing number of quality tech firms listing in Hong Kong [5]
2块钱的稀土股不是垃圾:有矿有订单,机构悄悄买了近3亿股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 23:03
中重稀土龙头中国稀土整合赣州80%离子矿,2025年一季度净利润7261万,成功扭亏。 如果说股市里有什么"白菜价宝藏",稀土股绝对算一个——2元的价格,买不了吃亏,买不了上当,但买对了,可能买到下一个"郑州煤电"翻十倍的财富 密码。 稀土,这个听起来像"土特产"的东西,其实是新能源、机器人、军工的"工业维生素"。中国坐拥全球70%的稀土储量,但过去总因低价出口被吐槽"挖矿 送人"。如今剧情反转——缅甸宣布全面停采稀土,全球供应链瞬间绷紧。政策端也火力全开:中国收紧出口配额,稀土价格应声暴涨,氧化镝价格较两 年前翻了3倍。 关键数据: 中国稀土储量占全球38%,轻稀土龙头北方稀土手握白云鄂博矿,2025年高性能磁材产能冲15万吨。 1. 北方稀土(600111):轻稀土"价格屠夫" 硬核实力:全球最大轻稀土供应商,白云鄂博矿储量够全球用80年,2025年Q1净利润同比暴涨727%。 骚操作:绑定特斯拉、比亚迪,磁材直供新能源车电机,单台车用量3-5kg,需求直接拉满。 2. 中国稀土(000831):中重稀土"隐形冠军" 黑科技:晶界扩散技术让钕用量减少60%,成本直降30%,墨西哥建厂避开关税,特斯拉Opt ...
四季度,公募看好四大赛道
证券时报· 2025-10-03 13:54
在股票市场进入四季度之际,多家公募发布2025年四季度策略,看好赚钱效应持续演绎。 基于居民存款搬家以及海外增量资金的持续涌入,基金经理对四季度A股和港股市场行情给予乐观判断,预期市场延续震荡抬升格局,行情有望在政策呵护中逐级 上移。A股和港股的科技股、新消费、互联网、创新药等四大方向是布局的核心。 公募判断后市增量资金涌入 一是政策面积极发力,构建市场稳定机制。 更加积极的财政政策与适度宽松的货币政策协同发力,稳定经济;证监会引导长期资金入市、优化并购重组机制并鼓励 上市公司回购,有效稳定了市场情绪。 二是科技产业突破引领新动能,成为行情主线。 今年以来人工智能科技叙事逻辑改变,国内在人工智能、机器人、半导体、军工、创新药及新消费等多个领域接连 迎来技术突破与产业机遇,新动能不断积累并逐步释放行业景气。 三是市场风险偏好提升,交投活跃度增强。 中长期资金持续入市,社保、险资等机构加大权益配置,险资权益投资比例上限提升至35%,为市场提供增量流动性支 持。中小投资者情绪逐渐转向积极,交投活跃度明显提升,"存款搬家"情形显现。 平安基金认为,今年增量资金供给有所提速,年初以来,资金供需波动有所加大,年初两融配合 ...
长城基金汪立:市场有望长期向好,科技成长风格或持续占优
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-29 08:00
2024年9月24日,A股市场在经历长达三年多调整后悄然开启了强势上涨行情。Wind数据显示,截至 2025年9月23日收盘,北证50指数自2024年9月24日以来上涨158.01%;科创50指数、创业板指数同样实 现翻倍涨幅,分别上涨118.85%、103.50%;上证指数、沪深300指数等其他主流指数同样涨幅可观(指 数过往业绩不代表其未来表现,投资需谨慎)。过去一年,全市场日均成交额从不足5000亿元跃升至2 万亿元以上。针对这一轮市场行情的核心驱动因素、市场结构变化及后市展望,长城基金高级宏观策略 研究员汪立近日接受采访,对此进行了深入解析。 二是科技产业实现快速突破。自去年底以来,国内在人工智能、机器人、半导体、军工、创新药及新消 费等多个领域接连迎来技术突破与产业机遇,全球竞争力持续提升,新动能不断积累并逐步释放行业景 气。科技产业的快速爆发是超市场预期的变量,也令AI、机器人等科技板块成为今年市场最强的方向 之一。 三是市场风险偏好显著回升。自去年9月底以来,投资者情绪转向积极,交投活跃度明显提升,各类主 题投资机会轮动出现,资金持续流入,维持了市场热度。 四是居民储蓄开始向股市迁移。2024年 ...
资金缘何持续流入化工板块?
■普惠金融·农银汇理基金投资视点 资金缘何持续流入化工板块? ◎农银汇理基金经理 王皓非 7月以来,市场资金持续流入化工板块,配置热情显著升温。截至9月19日,某只化工ETF规模在一个多 月内增长超过150亿元,其他化工主题ETF也普遍出现明显规模扩张。我们认为,这轮资金持续涌入化 工资产并非偶然,背后是多重因素共同推动的结果。 第一,"反内卷"政策持续推进。无论是今年5月五部门联合推动石化化工行业老旧装置更新淘汰,还是7 月中国农药工业协会启动"正风治卷"三年行动,都体现出化工行业正率先跳出低价竞争和粗放增长的传 统模式,迈向以技术创新和质量效益为核心的高质量发展阶段,为推进全国统一大市场建设提供了行业 实践样本。 第四,新材料拓展成长空间。当前的化工行业不再是传统意义上的周期行业,而是注入了显著的成长 性。如新能源材料、电子化学品、氟化工以及军工与特种材料等领域快速发展。这些领域与人工智能、 新能源汽车、光伏、军工等新兴产业紧密相关,使化工行业投资逻辑从单纯周期属性转向"周期+成 长"双轮驱动。(CIS) 第二,资本开支接近尾声,产品价格有望触底回升。据欧洲化学工业委员会(CEFIC)统计,2023年全 ...
9·24一周年!从北证50到“易中天”,这些基金一年狂赚200%!
私募排排网· 2025-09-28 03:04
以下文章来源于公募排排网 ,作者康波 公募排排网 . 看财经、查排名、买基金,就上公募排排网,申购费低至0.001折。 此间市场精彩纷呈:北证50指数飙升超150%,成为市场最亮眼的风景线;科技主线强势领跑,通信、电子行业涨幅居前;人形机器人、 CPO、创新药等主题概念板块轮番爆发,在一年时间里谱写出了一幅波澜壮阔的结构性牛市画卷。 ( 点此查看9·24行情以来北证50基金收益 TOP10名单 ) 北证50打响9·24行情 业绩10强收益均超130% 9·24行情刚起,市场火热,但市场热点难以持续,板块切换加快。 而 北证 50指数逆势大涨,屡创历史新高。 资金率先选择北证50,是因这轮 行情受A股情绪和流动性改善驱动,而北证50受其影响较大。加上其30%的涨跌停限制高于其他板块,成分股市值小、股价弹性大,易受关 注。另外在当时,北交所释放积极改革信号,增强投资者信心。 这时北证50指数基金因高投资门槛受关注,因资金涌入,基金公司开始限购控制规模。但严控规模也抵不住市场的热情, 自 9·24行情以来, 业绩10强基金收益均超130%。 ( 点此查看9·24行情以来北证50基金收益TOP10名单 ) 其中2只基 ...
【午报】三大指数缩量整理全线收跌,风电板块逆势爆发,AI概念股陷入调整
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 04:21
Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1% and a total trading volume of 1.37 trillion yuan, a decrease of 173.3 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - Over 2,500 stocks declined, while the wind power sector showed strength with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [1][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.79%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.17% [1] Wind Power Sector - The wind power sector continued its strong performance, with stocks like Weili Transmission and Jixin Technology hitting the daily limit [1][3] - The National Energy Administration reported that as of August, the cumulative installed capacity for wind power reached 580 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 22.1% [3] - Analysts expect domestic wind power installation demand to remain resilient, highlighting investment opportunities in key component suppliers and submarine cable companies [3] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor supply chain showed signs of recovery, with stocks like Saiwei Microelectronics hitting the daily limit and reaching historical highs [1][3] - Despite some activity, most semiconductor stocks still experienced slight declines overall [11] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector was active, with stocks like Shuguang and Sailyus hitting the daily limit [1][4] - Sailyus announced plans to issue up to 331 million overseas listed shares, which has been approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [4][22] - Some electric vehicle manufacturers are gradually improving profitability, with companies like Leap Motor and Xiaopeng Motors expected to reach breakeven by 2025 [7] Nonferrous Metals Sector - The nonferrous metals sector remained active, with stocks like Jingyi and Shengtun Mining showing significant gains [3][31] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association expressed strong opposition to "involution" competition in the copper smelting industry [4][31] - The Grasberg mine in Indonesia, which accounts for about 3% of global copper supply, announced a force majeure due to a landslide, impacting global supply [4][31] Military Industry - The military sector rebounded, with stocks like Hangyu Technology and Hangya Technology showing notable gains [7][25] - Analysts predict a new upward cycle for the defense industry from 2025 to 2027, with 2025 marking a significant turning point [25]
长城基金汪立:“924行情”是关键转折点,市场有望长期向好
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-26 04:01
去年9月24日,A股市场在系列政策"组合拳"的发力下,开启了一轮历史性上涨行情。随着"924行情"一 周年节点来临,回顾过去一年,A股整体表现持续令人振奋。 估值层面,上证综指的市盈率(PE)从12倍左右抬升至当前的16.4倍,已处于2010年以来的85.9%分 位,意味着估值修复已相对充分。 流动性层面,"924行情" 启动前市场整体处于存量博弈甚至缩量的状态,而当前A股成交额持续保持在2 万亿元以上,整体交投情绪活跃。 "投资者结构的变化同样关键。" 汪立指出,"去年9月底前,ETF和保险是主要资金增量来源,市场呈现 大盘龙头风格;今年上半年,保险和游资成为主要增量,市场形成小微盘+红利(主要是银行)的哑铃 型风格;近期,随着市场赚钱效应逐步显现,公募、私募等偏机构风格资金大幅入场,使市场更聚焦景 气方向。" 不过,随着美联储降息"靴子"落地,部分投资者选择获利了结,近期指数也有所回撤。对于未来行情空 间,汪立也给出了分析判断。他表示,国内"十五五" 规划即将启动制定,且美联储降息为我国宏观政 策提供了更多操作空间,预计四季度或将出台一系列稳定增长的政策措施,这些政策既能为今年经济运 行提供保障,也能为明 ...