截至07月11日10:27，有色ETF基金(159880.SZ)上涨1.39%，其关联指数国证有色(399395.SZ)上涨 1.46%；主要成分股中，北方稀土上涨9.92%，盛和资源上涨8.00%，中国稀土上涨4.86%，紫金矿业上 涨0.64%，中国铝业上涨1.82%。 关联个股： 紫金矿业（601899）、北方稀土（600111）、洛阳钼业（603993）、中国铝业（601600）、山东黄金 （600547）、华友钴业（603799）、赣锋锂业（002460）、中金黄金（600489）、赤峰黄金 （600988）、天齐锂业（002466） 消息面上，北方稀土、包钢股份上调第三季度稀土精矿交易价格至不含税19109元/吨，环比上涨1.5%， 带动稀土永磁概念股集体走强，其中北方稀土、盛和资源等成分股涨幅显著。此次稀土精矿价格上调反 映出上游资源端供需格局趋紧，对相关产业链企业盈利预期形成支撑。 关联产品： 有色ETF基金（159880），联接基金（A类 021296，C类 021297，I类 022886） 券商研究方面，国泰海通证券指出依据Stable beta+基金筛选逻辑，国证有色（399395.S ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that cobalt production cuts are gradually being realized, leading to an expected increase in cobalt prices due to tightening supply conditions [1][6][98] - The report maintains a bullish stance on strategic metals, particularly recommending rare earths and antimony due to their rigid supply characteristics and potential for value reassessment [6][84] Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the industry is approximately 32,393.83 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 30,354.97 billion yuan [2] - In May, the production of electric vehicles in China saw a significant year-on-year increase, with sales reaching 1.27 million units, marking a 35% growth [22][24] - The photovoltaic sector also experienced robust growth, with newly installed capacity reaching 197.85 GW in the first five months of 2025, a 150% increase year-on-year [19] Cobalt Market Analysis - The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has extended its export ban on cobalt for an additional three months, which is expected to further tighten supply and drive prices upward [6][98] - In June, the production of electrolytic cobalt was reported at 2,730 tons, a decrease of 22% month-on-month, indicating a tightening supply situation [6][106] - The price of standard-grade MB cobalt was reported at $15.78 per pound, down 0.79% from the previous period, while alloy-grade MB cobalt increased by 1.31% to $19.35 per pound [17][98] Rare Earth Market Insights - The report highlights that rare earth prices are at a cyclical low, with the domestic price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide at 446,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.22% increase [6][82] - The strategic value of rare earths is being reassessed due to export controls on medium and heavy rare earths, which are expected to lead to a more concentrated supply structure [84] Lithium Market Dynamics - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has shown signs of recovery, with a current price of 62,300 yuan per ton, up 2.05% [43][44] - Lithium hydroxide prices have slightly decreased by 0.74%, currently at 60,100 yuan per ton, while lithium concentrate prices increased by 3.80% to $653 per ton [44][70] Antimony and Other Metals - Antimony remains in a tight supply situation, with domestic antimony ingot prices at 185,500 yuan per ton, down 2.11% [6][8] - Tin prices are experiencing fluctuations, with SHFE tin prices at 267,300 yuan per ton, down 0.60%, while LME tin prices increased by 0.61% to $33,770 per ton [6][8]

Group 1 - The stock of Rongbai Technology (688005) has a comprehensive score of 64.91, indicating a strong performance [1] - The main cost analysis shows that the current main cost is 22.49 yuan, with a 5-day main cost of 22.68 yuan, a 20-day main cost of 20.59 yuan, and a 60-day main cost of 20.00 yuan [1] - In the past year, the stock has experienced 0 instances of hitting the upper limit and 1 instance of hitting the lower limit [1] Group 2 - The short-term pressure level is at 23.33 yuan, while the short-term support level is at 22.32 yuan [2] - The current short-term trend is unclear, with the market waiting for the main funds to choose a direction [2] - The funds flow data on July 1, 2025, indicates a net outflow of 70.61 million yuan from main funds, accounting for -13% of the total transaction amount [2] Group 3 - The related industry sectors show a slight decline in battery (-1.20%) and solid-state battery (-0.12%), while lithium batteries and small metal concepts have minor increases of 0.23% and 0.43%, respectively [2]

大地熊688077 时间: 2025年6月24日星期二 52.83分综合得分 较强 趋势方向 主力成本分析 29.69 元 当日主力成本 29.95 元 5日主力成本 28.99 元 20日主力成本 25.67 元 过去一年内该股 涨停 1次 跌停 0 次 技术面分析 60日主力成本 周期内涨跌停 33.75 短期压力位 29.37 短期支撑位 36.54 中期压力位 23.65 中期支撑位 目前短线趋势不慎明朗，静待主力资金选择方向； 目前中期趋势不慎明朗，静待主力资金选择方向 K线形态 ★平顶★ 温和的反转 资金流数据 2025年06月24日的资金流向数据方面 | 主力资金净流出1584.35万元 | | --- | | 占总成交额-8% | | 超大单净流出344.17万元 | | 大单净流出1240.18万元 | | 散户资金净流入55.29万 | 关联行业/概念板块 小金属 1.48%、稀土永磁 1.77%等 （以上内容为自选股写手差分机完成，仅作为用户看盘参考，不能作为操作依据。） 风险提示：以上内容仅作为作者或者嘉宾的观点，不代表和讯的任何立场，不构成与和讯相关的任何投 资建议。在作出任何投资决 ...

截至2025年6月20日 11:15，中证稀有金属主题指数上涨0.22%，成分股中钢天源上涨5.52%，天华新能上涨3.54%，横店东磁上涨2.45%，厦门钨业上涨 1.52%，中矿资源上涨1.46%。稀有金属ETF(562800)上涨0.59%。 值得注意的是，该基金跟踪的中证稀有金属主题指数估值处于历史低位，最新市净率PB为2.21倍，低于指数近5年84.84%以上的时间，估值性价比突出。 流动性方面，稀有金属ETF盘中换手1.2%，成交1023.87万元。拉长时间看，截至6月19日，稀有金属ETF近1年日均成交3611.02万元，排名可比基金第一。 规模方面，稀有金属ETF近1年规模增长545.06万元，新增规模位居可比基金第一。数据显示，杠杆资金持续布局中。稀有金属ETF最新融资买入额达170.22 万元，最新融资余额达2573.79万元。 截至6月18日，稀有金属ETF近1年净值上涨13.41%。从收益能力看，截至2025年6月19日，稀有金属ETF自成立以来，最高单月回报为24.02%，最长连涨月 数为3个月，最长连涨涨幅为14.06%，上涨月份平均收益率为7.60%。 国泰海通证券指出，2023 ...

Market Performance - The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets opened higher on June 11, with significant gains observed across major indices, particularly in sectors such as blind box economy, automotive parts, and rare earth permanent magnets [1] - By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index reached 3403.00 points, up 0.54%, with a trading volume of approximately 312.7 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.89% to 10252.69 points, with a trading volume of about 477.9 billion yuan [1] Strategic Metals and Nuclear Fusion - Citic Securities highlighted the ongoing geopolitical factors affecting the supply of strategic metals like tin, nickel, and rare earths, suggesting that these factors will continue to catalyze supply dynamics throughout the year [2] - Huatai Securities noted Japan's revised nuclear fusion innovation strategy, advancing the timeline for demonstration power generation from 2050 to 2030, indicating a positive trend in global nuclear fusion policies and potential investment opportunities in the industry [2] Automotive Industry Payment Terms - A collective commitment from multiple automotive companies, including major players like BYD and Geely, to standardize payment terms to a maximum of 60 days is in response to the new regulations aimed at improving payment practices for small and medium enterprises [3] Gaming Industry Support Measures - The Zhejiang provincial government, along with 17 departments, has introduced measures to support the gaming industry's international expansion, including optimizing product approval processes and encouraging collaboration with smart device manufacturers [4]

截至2025年6月10日 13:27，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)成分股金力永磁(300748)上涨6.04%，中国稀 土(000831)上涨2.23%，紫金矿业(601899)上涨1.67%，西部黄金(601069)上涨1.58%，盛和资源(600392) 上涨1.29%。有色ETF基金(159880)红盘震荡。 消息面上，6月7日，央行公布的数据显示，中国5月末黄金储备报7383万盎司，环比增加6万盎司。继去 年11月重启增持后，这已是央行连续第7个月增持黄金。 国元证券认为， 受全球区域冲突、关税政策、美国通胀数据等多方面因素影响，市场避险情绪加剧， 近两周贵金属表现强势。海外方面，北美加大稀土项目推进，以支持自给自足供应链的发展；国内方 面，稀土、镓、锗、钨、锑等战略金属的价格走势分化，建议重点关注战略小金属的投资机会。 有色ETF基金紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指数化投资标的。 数据显示，截至2025年5月30 ...

截至2025年6月6日 09:39，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)强势上涨1.05%，成分股白银有色(601212)上 涨9.31%，兴业银锡(000426)上涨6.67%，北方铜业(000737)上涨4.14%，金徽股份(603132)，创新新材 (600361)等个股跟涨。有色ETF基金(159880)上涨1.21%，最新价报1.09元。 据SMM，中国从5月中旬开始已经向部分稀土磁材生产商发动出口许可，随着合规化稀土磁材出口恢复 正常，海外涨价有望向国内传导。2023年以来中国先后对锗、镓、锑、钨、碲、铋、钼、铟、中重稀土 等金属品种实施出口管制，这些小金属品种多数在国防军工、电子信息、航空、精密制造等领域扮演重 要地位，从价格表现来看，中国实施出口管制后，多数品种实现了较大幅度的价格上涨。 有色ETF基金紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指数化投资标的。 数据显示，截至2025年5月30日，国证有色金属行业指数(3993 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is 757 million yuan, a decrease of 66% year-on-year; the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is 603 million yuan, down 72% year-on-year [2][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 135 million yuan, a decrease of 47% year-on-year and 36% quarter-on-quarter; the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is 43 million yuan, down 81% year-on-year and 77% quarter-on-quarter [2][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 5.364 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross profit of 1.757 billion yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 33% [14]. - The lithium segment generated revenue of 3.129 billion yuan, down 26% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 583 million yuan and a gross margin of 18.62%, a decrease of 39.15 percentage points year-on-year [11]. - The cesium and rubidium segment achieved revenue of 1.395 billion yuan, an increase of 24% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 1.092 billion yuan and a gross margin of 78.29%, an increase of 13.91 percentage points year-on-year [11]. Business Segments - The lithium segment's production volume increased by 138% year-on-year to 43,700 tons, while sales volume increased by 145% year-on-year to 42,600 tons [11]. - The cesium and rubidium segment maintained stable growth, with sales volume of 843.97 tons, down 16% year-on-year, but revenue increased significantly due to price hikes [11]. - In Q1 2025, the lithium sales volume was 9,000 tons, impacted by maintenance during the holiday period [11]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its lithium production capacity and exploring new metal resources such as gallium and germanium [11]. - The copper segment is expected to enhance its production capacity with ongoing exploration and project developments [11].

证 券 研 究 报 告 有色金属行业周报（20250512-20250516） 推荐（维持） 几内亚大型铝土矿停产，价格或受强支撑 一、工业金属 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：马金龙 邮箱：majinlong@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522120003 证券分析师：刘岗 邮箱：liugang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522120002 证券分析师：李梦娇 邮箱：limengjiao@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525040002 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 126 | 0.02 | | 总市值(亿元) | 28,850.56 | 2.90 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 25,084.76 | 3.17 | 行业研究 有色金属 2025 年 05 月 18 日 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | | 相对表现 | -0.3% | 4.3% | -4.6% | -24 ...