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光伏50ETF(159864)跌超4%,技术迭代与需求前景成焦点,回调或可布局
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-21 06:38
(责任编辑:董萍萍 ) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com 注:如提及个股仅供参考,不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考,不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动,不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考,不构成任何投资建议,也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品,请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险,投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 中邮证券指出,光伏行业的需求成长性首先来源于国家自主贡献(NDC3.0)的持续推进,全球能 源转型具有持续性,预计2026年中国光伏新增装机达250GW。电力市场化改革对光伏行业是利好,市 场化价格信号有助于缓解限电问题,并推动绿电资产重估,随着全球碳市场的建立,电碳联动将进一步 提升绿电价值。光伏产业当前面临产能问题,最终需依靠技术迭代实现产能出清,晶硅+钙钛矿叠层电 池被视为未来重要技术方向,其效率提升显著( ...
多家A股公司披露第四季度新签重要订单
Core Insights - Over 70 A-share listed companies in China have disclosed significant contracts or strategic cooperation agreements since October, indicating a broad industry impact, particularly in machinery and power equipment sectors [1][2] - The recent surge in orders is attributed to a combination of policy windows, global inventory adjustments, and technological iterations, rather than mere seasonal fluctuations [1][2] - New orders are increasingly focused on technology cooperation and supply chain collaboration, enhancing profitability and customer loyalty for related companies [1] Industry Developments - Major contracts include a 34.15 billion yuan offshore wind power project led by China Huadian Corporation, and significant contracts in energy storage and high-end equipment manufacturing, aligning with national investment plans [2] - The high-end manufacturing sector is witnessing a rise in orders related to AI computing power, energy storage, and advanced photovoltaic technologies, reflecting growing enthusiasm from downstream customers for new technologies [3] Global Expansion - Chinese companies are shifting from "product export" to "technology export," with notable contracts signed in Saudi Arabia and Peru, totaling approximately 195.54 billion yuan and 117.19 billion yuan respectively [4] - This transition signifies an upgrade in the role of Chinese enterprises within the global supply chain, with some companies achieving a leap in capabilities abroad [5]
民企人才需求保持旺盛态势
Liao Ning Ri Bao· 2025-11-19 00:49
高端装备智能化改造及汽车新能源转型等技术迭代需求,促使相关企业集中引才以支撑产能扩张与 技术攻坚。数据显示,工程机械与高端重型装备、精细化工、汽车及零部件3个产业集群人才需求进一 步集中,占比超过半数,合计需求人数较二季度提高5.05个百分点,需求人数占比连续两个季度保持正 增长。 近日,辽宁老工业基地重点产业集群三季度人才需求目录发布,我省民营企业人才需求始终保持旺 盛态势,提出人才需求的民营企业户数和需求人数均较二季度有所增长。 新兴产业人才需求攀升。新能源、新材料、生物医药、数字经济、新一代信息技术、节能、未来产 业等战略性新兴产业人才需求占比较二季度上升0.64个百分点。 岗位、专业需求集中度相对平稳。需求排名前十的岗位分别是销售服务、机械工程师、营销管理、 化工产品生产通用工艺人员、软件工程师、会计师、主管、市场开发、人事专员/经理/主管、电气工程 师,合计需求4657人,占需求总人数的21.01%,人数与占比与二季度相比基本持平,销售服务、机械 工程师的岗位需求仍稳居前两位。 ...
业绩高质量增长,零跑持续盈利在手现金达339.2亿元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 09:47
值得注意的是,新能源汽车行业来到了下半场决赛圈,大部分品牌虽然受益于行业高速增长,但忽视质量增长,持续性亏损,经营现金流净额持续为负,现 金储备不断消耗殆尽。而零跑一直遵从高质量发展理念,不仅实现了成长领跑,同时实现盈利及现金流的健康生态,是造车新势力中第二家实现盈利的品 牌。 高质量增长,连续两个季度盈利 通览零跑Q3财报,从季度业绩看,各项成长指标基本保持了翻倍的趋势,Q1、Q2及Q3收入分别增长187.11%,165.7%及97.3%,今年前三季度合计收入437 亿元,同比增长133.7%。而在销量上气势如虹,季度销量也呈三位数的增长,稳居新势力排行榜首位。随着规模利润凸显,盈利指标非常强劲。 从2024年Q2开始,该公司毛利率持续为正,且处于上升趋势,2024年Q4至2025年Q3,毛利率稳定在13-15%区间,2025年Q3为14.5%,处于行业领先水平, 而股东净利润持续改善,步入盈利正轨,已连续两个季度实现股东盈利。更为重要的是,该公司实现了业务造血的内循环,不再消耗现金储备。 连续8个月蝉联新势力销冠,月交付量突破7万台大关,且两个季度实现股东盈利,拥有正向自由现金流,零跑(09863)终是和 ...
业绩高质量增长,零跑(09863)持续盈利在手现金达339.2亿元
智通财经网· 2025-11-18 09:40
连续8个月蝉联新势力销冠,月交付量突破7万台大关,且两个季度实现股东盈利,拥有正向自由现金流,零跑(09863)终是和同行拉开了差距。 智通财经APP了解到,11月17日,零跑发布2025年Q3财报,营收创下历史新高达194.5亿元,同比增长达97.3%,继续保持强劲的盈利能力,毛利率14.5%, 同比提升6.4个百分点,股东净利润1.5亿元,实现了连续两个季度的盈利。期间,该公司产生了经营现金流净额高达48.8亿元,自有现金流38.4亿元。 该公司成长速度领跑中国新能源车市,2025年Q3销量约17.4万台,同比增长101.77%,月度销量势如破竹,10月份突破7万台,拉开第二名的差距,并连续8 个月蝉联新势力销冠。在11月15日,公司年度累计销量破50万台,首个完成计划目标,并预期全年销量将突破60万台,明年将挑战100万台。 值得注意的是,新能源汽车行业来到了下半场决赛圈,大部分品牌虽然受益于行业高速增长,但忽视质量增长,持续性亏损,经营现金流净额持续为负,现 金储备不断消耗殆尽。而零跑一直遵从高质量发展理念,不仅实现了成长领跑,同时实现盈利及现金流的健康生态,是造车新势力中第二家实现盈利的品 牌。 高 ...
储能装机激增支撑电池材料需求旺盛
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-11-17 16:11
电池材料量价齐升 "当前,储能产业正以强劲的需求,推动电池核心材料行业走出此前的低迷周期,成为带动电池材料量 价齐升、企业加速扩产的关键驱动力。"萨摩耶云科技集团首席经济学家郑磊在接受《证券日报》记者 采访时表示。 从国内市场来看,今年下半年以来,储能项目加速落地、电网侧独立储能经济性逐步显现,电池出货量 持续攀升。 海外市场同样表现强劲。据中国化学(601117)与物理电源行业协会储能应用分会统计,2025年1月份 至9月份,中国企业共签订308个海外储能订单,新增出海订单合作总规模达到214.7GWh,同比增长 131.75%。 截至11月17日收盘,A股锂电池板块走强,湖北中一科技(301150)股份有限公司、宁波容百新能源科 技股份有限公司、苏州天华新能(300390)源科技股份有限公司等15只个股涨停。 消息面上,相关数据展现出新型储能市场持续繁荣,例如,我国新型储能装机规模截至今年9月底已突 破1亿千瓦,占全球总装机40%以上。 "储能需求的爆发式增长,得益于政策引导、技术迭代与国内外市场需求增加。"中国城市专家智库委员 会常务副秘书长林先平在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示。 方正证券研报显示,国 ...
万亿美元AI投资回报被夸大?现在每个人都在问:GPU的寿命究竟有几年?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-14 14:11
Core Insights - The article discusses the significant financial implications of determining the depreciation period for GPUs as major tech companies plan to invest $1 trillion in AI data centers over the next five years [1] - The depreciation period directly affects financial performance, with longer periods allowing companies to spread costs over more years, thus reducing profit impact [1][4] - Concerns about AI spending are reflected in stock price declines for companies like CoreWeave and Oracle, indicating investor skepticism about over-investment in AI [1] Depreciation Challenges - Estimating GPU depreciation is complicated due to a lack of historical usage data, as the first AI processors from NVIDIA were launched around 2018, and the current AI boom began in late 2022 [4] - CoreWeave has adopted a six-year depreciation cycle for its infrastructure, while its CEO emphasizes a data-driven approach to assess GPU lifespan [5] - Market opinions vary, with some suggesting actual GPU lifespan may be as short as two to three years, leading to concerns about inflated earnings projections by major tech firms [5] Technological Pressure - The rapid pace of technological advancement is a key factor in GPU depreciation, with new models potentially rendering older ones obsolete within a short timeframe [6][7] - NVIDIA has shifted to an annual release cycle for new AI chips, increasing the risk of older models losing value quickly [7] - Amazon has reduced the estimated lifespan of some servers from six years to five due to accelerated technological development in AI and machine learning [7] Strategic Responses from Tech Giants - Microsoft is diversifying its AI chip procurement strategy to avoid over-investment in any single generation of processors, learning from NVIDIA's rapid product cycles [8] - Depreciation estimates in fast-evolving industries like technology require careful consideration of various factors, including technological obsolescence and historical lifespan data [8]
中国电池产业迈入生态重构新周期 固态钠电探寻破局之道
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-13 07:05
11月11日至13日,围绕"求新应变 重塑价值——中国电池新能源产业大洗牌周期下的定力与韧性"主 题,由中关村新型电池技术创新联盟、ABEC组委会主办的ABEC 2025丨第12届中国(苏州)电池新能 源产业国际高峰论坛在苏州相城举行。 本届论坛汇聚了500+来自全球电池新能源产业链的"政、产、学、研、金、服、用"各界精英代表。与会 嘉宾通过多维度思想交锋与前沿洞察分享,共同探索新周期下的发展路径,推动价值对话与资源精准对 接,共同擘画产业高质量发展的新增长曲线,为全球电池新能源产业注入可持续的发展动能。 应用场景扩围 "未来的能源解决方案必然是多元化的。"陈宏表示,雄韬股份不局限于单一技术路径,开发出了高效的 氢锂储能解决方案,在低空经济领域,推出氢锂钠混动系统的无人机。同时,公司全力聚焦于AI算力 中心与数据中心UPS电源应用。今年,公司在固态电池的关键电化学性能实现显著突破,为下一代产品 奠定了坚实基础。 "全固态电池凭借高安全性、高能量密度、长循环寿命与宽温域应用等显著优势被行业称为下一代电池 技术的理想形态。"容百科技研发体系总裁兼中央研究院院长李琮熙坦言,在与客户的接触中,也切切 实实感受到了固态 ...
强一股份IPO:高增长神话下的单一客户隐忧
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 08:51
Core Insights - Strong Semiconductor (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. has shown impressive financial growth with a net profit increase of 237.56% and a gross margin of 68.99% in the first half of 2025, but this growth is heavily reliant on a single client, Company B, which accounts for 82.83% of its sales [1][2] - The company is preparing for its IPO on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, having achieved a revenue increase from 254 million to 641 million yuan and a net profit surge from 15.62 million to 233 million yuan from 2022 to 2024 [1][2] Client Concentration Risk - The revenue share from Company B has increased from 50.29% in 2022 to 82.83% in the first half of 2025, indicating a high dependency on a single client, which poses significant risk to revenue stability [2] - Company B is not only a major customer but also an affiliate, with related party transactions exceeding 40% since 2022, raising concerns about the sustainability of revenue if Company B reduces its purchases due to strategic changes [2] Financial Structure Risks - The gross margin has risen sharply from 40.78% in 2022 to 68.99% in the first half of 2025, significantly higher than competitors, raising questions about the fairness of pricing in related transactions [2] - The company faces challenges with cash flow, as operating cash flow has fluctuated dramatically, with accounts receivable reaching 262 million yuan, accounting for 69.87% of revenue in the first half of 2025, indicating high bad debt risk [3] Inventory Concerns - Inventory levels have surged from 41.52 million yuan in 2022 to 112 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in inventory impairment provisions, which could lead to profit erosion if market demand falls short [3] Technological and R&D Challenges - The company lags behind competitors in advanced technology areas like 3D MEMS probe cards, with no significant progress since 2022, while competitors have successfully commercialized similar products [4] - R&D expenditures decreased by 15.5% in 2024, raising concerns about the company's ability to keep pace with rapid technological advancements in the industry [4] Expansion Plans and Capacity Issues - The company plans to raise 1.5 billion yuan for expansion, including increasing production capacity for various probe cards, despite current production rates being below 85% for the past three years [5] - The aggressive expansion plan may lead to overcapacity and financial losses if it does not align with actual market demand, as evidenced by a 73% drop in sales of thin-film probe cards in the first half of 2025 [5] Governance Risks - The company has deep ties with its controlling shareholder, which raises concerns about governance and market competitiveness, especially given past issues with shareholding arrangements [6] - The reliance on a single major client and complex related party transactions could undermine the company's independence and sustainability in the long term [6]
储能,下一个春天! 破“内卷”后增量红利到来
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-04 12:46
Core Insights - The global lithium battery energy storage installation capacity increased by 68% year-on-year in the first three quarters of this year, indicating a significant growth in the energy storage industry [1][2] - Chinese energy storage companies added 163GWh of overseas orders in the first half of 2025, a 246% increase year-on-year, with Europe, the Middle East, and Australia becoming key markets for Chinese energy storage exports [1][2] - The cancellation of mandatory energy storage requirements in China has led to an increase in project internal rate of return (IRR), boosting companies' willingness to invest in energy storage [1][2] Industry Growth Factors - The acceleration of global energy transition is driving demand in traditional markets like the US, China, and Europe, as well as emerging markets in the Middle East [3] - The maturation of energy storage business models in developed markets is contributing to explosive growth, with China shifting focus from policy-driven mandates to value exploration [3] - Technological advancements have reduced energy storage system costs by approximately 80% compared to three years ago, enhancing economic viability and stimulating market demand [3] Company Performance - Sungrow Power Supply's energy storage system revenue reached 28.8 billion yuan, a 105% increase year-on-year, making it the company's largest revenue source [4] - Guoxuan High-Tech's total output of power and energy storage batteries was approximately 63GWh, with around 30% directed towards energy storage [4] - Envision's energy storage cell production is operating at full capacity, with significant demand from both domestic projects and international orders [7] Market Dynamics - Many photovoltaic lithium battery companies are entering the energy storage sector, with several securing large contracts [5][6] - The integration of energy storage into photovoltaic companies is seen as a way to enhance revenue and facilitate market consolidation [6] - The surplus capacity in photovoltaic and lithium battery production is being redirected towards energy storage, which is viewed as a critical factor in alleviating industry pressure [8] Recommendations for Healthy Development - Emphasizing product safety and reliability to counteract low-price competition is crucial for maintaining industry integrity [9] - Accelerating technological iterations to reduce costs and enhance efficiency is essential for the industry's sustainable growth [9] - Establishing a capacity warning system and improving electricity market rules can help guide orderly development and prevent chaotic expansion [9]