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零跑汽车(09863):公司连续2个季度盈利,2026年销量有望快速增长,建议“买进”
C o m p a n y U p d a t e C h i n a R e s e a r c h D e p t . 2025 年 11 月 25 日 沈嘉婕 | H70455@capital.com.tw | | --- | | 目标价(港币) 65 | 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | | 汽车 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | H 股价(2025/11/24) | | | 50.00 | | 恒生指数(2025/11/24) | | | 25,716.5 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | | 73.5/27.7 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | | 1,421.81 | | H 股数(百万) | | | 1,131.05 | | H 市值(亿元) | | | 347.61 | | 主要股东 | | | 陈爱玲(27.07%) | | 每股净值(元) | | | 9.73 | | 股价/账面净值 | | | 5.14 | | 一个月 | | 三个月 一年 | | | 股价涨跌(%) | 61.03% | -26.42 -13.79 | | 近期评等 | 出刊日期 | ...
乐道总裁沈斐:做大电池增程车不合逻辑,用户不该为“鸡肋”功能买单
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-11-24 07:56
今年,大电池增程车凭借媲美纯电车的续航里程以及燃油车的补能效率,成为市场新的热点,智己 LS9、零跑D19、小鹏X9等纯电续航超过400公里的增程车相继发布。 蔚来是目前唯一一家只走"纯电+换电"路线的新能源车企。面对大电池增程车的这轮攻势,蔚来高级副 总裁、乐道汽车总裁沈斐不以为然,他在11月21日的2025广州车展上接受经济观察报等媒体采访时表 示:现在做大电池增程车,在逻辑上解释不通。 沈斐的判断首先基于电动汽车补能设施的状况——与五六年前相比,全国公共充电桩的数量增加了5至 10倍,充电已足够方便,这种情况下还堆电池容量,不是一个足够合理的选择。 乐道产品体验负责人俞斌认为,如今推出大电池增程车的车企,吃了"时间差"的亏。"做一个新平台新 产品,需要经过约三年时间才能出第一台车。2025年倒推三年是2022年,那时国内充换电设施还不完 善,增程确实解决了一些用户的顾虑,所以很多友商纷纷立项大电池增程车。但现在增程车的产品差 异,代表的是三年前大家对行业的判断,不是对今天的判断。"他对经济观察报等媒体说。 其次,沈斐觉得增程系统比较"鸡肋"。"有一个友商品牌在公开推文里讲,增程用户需要烧油的场景一 年可 ...
车展新趋势:新能源大六座排队登场!车企为何扎堆造大车?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-11-24 02:52
虽然在部分人看来,本届广州车展没有之前那么热火朝天,但至少在某些产品细分赛道,车企们显得"热情高涨",大六座SUV就是一个典型例子。在广州车 展上诸多大六座SUV的重磅发布,可谓丰俭由人,各有的各的卖点。 购买门槛在30万元以下的,不乏吉利、奇瑞这些自主品牌大厂以及大牌造车新势力出品。 吉利银河M9以不足18万元的起售价,提供了宽敞六座空间和全员奢享的舒适体验。同时,它搭载了新一代雷神电混系统和AI数字底盘,兼顾了强劲性能、 低能耗和高阶智能驾驶。在广州车展完成上市首秀的奇瑞风云系列风云T11,起售价为18.99万元。该车要以越级配置,打造成豪华SUV的平替产品。乐道 L90售价从26.58万元起,支持Baas租电方案的起售价更低至17.98万元。 入手门槛为28.99万元的领克900,采用了SPA Evo架构,可旋转二排座椅、双8295芯片,具备丰富的动力选择。起售价为29.98万元的腾势N8L,全系标配"易 三方"技术平台和云辇-A智能空气悬架。预计明年上半年交付的零跑D19,以25万-30万级定价,提供了号称百万级的空间配置。而魏牌蓝山也以29.98 万-32.68万元的售价,通过媲美百万级豪车的舒适空 ...
中产特供「大车」挤满广州车展,接下来还能卷什么?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 13:25
文 | 每人Auto 何欣欣 原雅坤 编辑 | 李欢欢 大车集体来袭 2025快要走到尾声,广州车展如期而至。 就像很多App都会发布"年终总结",广州车展作为今年最后一个A级车展,不仅是各大车企最新产品和 前沿科技成果的展示平台,也是给这一年划上一个句号,再为下一年抛出风向标。 今年的广州车展共有1085台展车,首发新车93台,相比去年有所增加。其中,新能源车占比58%,数量 已经过半,比例也大大提升。最新数据显示,2025年前10个月,新能源乘用车国内销量同比增长了 24%,市场渗透率超过了52.9%,电动化浪潮正在加剧涌动。 一家车企的规模和野心,总能在车展上得到最直观的体现。东道主广汽集团包揽了一整个2.2号馆,阵 仗差不多大的还有设立专馆的比亚迪——为了展示了仰望U8的应急浮水功能,比亚迪还特地包下了一 个室外展区。此外,大众、奇瑞、北汽、长城汽车与鸿蒙智行等,也大多占据了一馆的半壁江山。 品牌退场,在近年的车展上已经不算是新闻。因为在中国市场份额连年下降、关注度持续降低,劳斯莱 斯、宾利、法拉利等超豪华玩家们的炫酷身影,遍寻不见。而捷达、雪佛兰、东风雪铁龙等一些在车圈 厮杀中本就失去了存在感的品牌 ...
2025广州国际车展开幕,93台全球首发新车亮相
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-11-21 14:29
11月21日,2025广州国际车展今天在广交会展馆正式开幕。本届车展一共展出1085辆车,其中新能源车型就有629辆,占比接近六成。现场共有93台全球首 发新车亮相。作为汽车行业年末最重要的展会之一,本届车展集中展现了车企在电动化、智能化和多动力路线方面的最新动作。 智能化技术同样是本届车展最受关注的亮点之一。虽然华为没有设置独立展台,但它的技术几乎遍布整个展馆。"五界"系列车型首次同台亮相,广汽昊铂 A800、岚图FREE+等"华为全家桶"车型吸引了大量关注。日产天籁鸿蒙座舱版、广汽丰田铂智7等合资品牌也引入了华为座舱系统,说明智能座舱和智能驾 驶在车企中的应用正在加速普及。 ( 17 5 . 19 6 0 0 6 e AYE 7 - r Fifty - VC. Press Do Nara e " qu qp # � 93 es YANGWANG U9 8 E 越"级"教"前"所未 一些ABALLALLE g ally in the E wma 00355 seat 093 8 BRAKE ACCELE PATCH ■ l 0 University 60808 and 今年国内新能源车的零售渗透率已经达到5 ...
广州车展来袭 8款重磅车型抢先看
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 12:19
Core Insights - The Guangzhou Auto Show, themed "New Technology, New Life," will commence on November 21, featuring 93 global debut vehicles among 1,085 total exhibits, with 629 being new energy vehicles, marking a penetration rate of 57% [1] Group 1: New Vehicle Highlights - Xiaopeng X9 Super Extended Range: First extended range model from Xiaopeng, featuring a 60L fuel tank and 63.3 kWh battery, offering a pure electric range of 452 km and a comprehensive range of 1,602 km, with a combined energy consumption of 16.5 kWh/100 km and fuel consumption as low as 2.53 L/100 km [1] - Xiaopeng G01: A larger six-seat extended range model based on the G9, expected to have a pure electric range exceeding 400 km, equipped with 800V high-voltage architecture and 5C ultra-fast charging technology [2] - Leap Motor D19: The first model in Leap's flagship D series, targeting the 200,000-300,000 yuan market, offering both extended range and pure electric versions, with a battery capacity of 80.3 kWh and a pure electric range of 500 km [3] - Leap Motor A10: An entry-level small SUV with a starting price expected to be under 80,000 yuan, featuring laser radar for advanced driver assistance, competing with models like BYD Yuan UP [4] - Xiangjie S9: The annual flagship model from Hongmeng Zhixing, has received over 8,000 pre-orders in just 2 hours, featuring upgraded four-laser radar and enhanced cabin comfort options [5] - Lantu Taisan: The flagship model of Lantu, equipped with a 65 kWh battery, offering a pure electric range of 370 km and a comprehensive range of 1,400 km, featuring advanced suspension and driving assistance technologies [6] - Lantu Zhuiguang L: A mid-large plug-in hybrid sedan with a pure electric range of 410 km, featuring a 63 kWh battery and advanced suspension systems [7] - BMW iX3: Built on the new NCAR pure electric platform, featuring a redesigned front grille and enhanced local adaptations, including integration with Alibaba and Huawei technologies [8] Group 2: Market Trends - The upcoming Guangzhou Auto Show is set to showcase a competitive landscape among fuel, hybrid, and pure electric vehicles, highlighting the latest automotive technologies and indicating future directions for the Chinese automotive market [8][9]
广汽比亚迪包馆,合资抱紧华为!超千台展车的广州车展这样逛
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-11-20 08:57
Core Insights - The 2025 Guangzhou Auto Show will take place from November 21 to 30, featuring 93 global debut vehicles and a total of 1,085 cars on display, including 629 new energy vehicles [2] - Despite a reduction in exhibition space compared to the previous year, the show promises more highlights with significant product launches from various brands, including new energy and traditional automakers [2][4] - The event reflects the ongoing transformation in the automotive industry, with major companies focusing on business restructuring and product innovation [4][7] New Vehicle Highlights - New energy brands like Xiaopeng, Zeekr, and Aion are reintroducing hybrid models, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [4] - Geely's new brand, Galaxy, will unveil its first MPV, the Galaxy V900, while Chery's iCar will present the new V27 model [4] - Lantu will showcase its flagship luxury SUV, the Lantu Taishan, featuring advanced technology and high-quality materials [4] Brand Strategies and Collaborations - BYD and GAC are prominently showcasing their vehicles, while Huawei's technology is integrated into several new models, enhancing their appeal [5][8] - The collaboration between traditional automakers and tech companies like Huawei is evident, with multiple brands launching models equipped with Huawei's smart cockpit solutions [5][8] Exhibition Experience and Engagement - Unique exhibition strategies include Zeekr's tea house setup and GAC Honda's recreation of its advanced new energy factory, enhancing visitor engagement [6][7] - The presence of celebrity guests and interactive experiences at various booths aims to attract more visitors and create a lively atmosphere [7] Venue Layout and Brand Distribution - The exhibition covers 22,000 square meters, with various zones dedicated to mainstream brands, new energy vehicles, and luxury models [9][10] - Key areas include dedicated spaces for major brands like BYD, GAC, and traditional luxury brands, showcasing a wide range of vehicles [12][21][24]
零跑汽车(09863.HK):销量表现持续强劲 产品结构向宽向上
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-19 20:04
多款车型推动销量持续高增,D 平台实现产品矩阵向上突破。3Q25营收同环比+97%/+37%至194.5 亿 元,营收保持高速增长,主要系:1)3Q25 公司销量为17.4 万台,同环比+102%/+30%,具体来看,C 系列与B 系列销量分别环比+26%/+87%至9.8 万台/6.1 万台。10 月公司月销首度突破7 万台大关,持续 证明其产品具备持续领先优势。2)T 系列小车销量占比下降,推动单车收入环比+5.4%至11.2 万元。往 前看,随着D19 大六座车型陆续推出,产品矩阵不断完善,我们预计公司有望进一步打开增长空间。 毛利率持续改善,现金流表现优化。3Q25 毛利率为14.5%,同环比分别+6.4/+0.9ppt,改善主要受益于 规模效应、成本管控及产品结构优化。期间费用管控规模效应显现,销管研费用率合计同环比分 别-1.2ppt/-1.8ppt 至14.3%,展现公司精益化管理优势。随着公司连续两个季度盈利转正,我们认为公司 已逐步具备自我造血能力,3Q25经营性现金流达到48.8 亿元,现金流表现持续优化。 全球化战略协同推进,产能与渠道布局持续深化。公司新车周期强劲,运动轿跑零跑Lafa ...
单季卖车超17万辆,净赚1.5亿元,零跑离冲击百万年销还有多远?
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-18 10:06
11月17日,零跑汽车(09863.HK)披露了2025年第三季度业绩报告。三季度,零跑实现营收194.5亿元,较2024年同期的98.6亿元同比增 长97.3%。同时,继2025年上半年首次实现半年度净利润转正之后,零跑在三季度实现单季度盈利1.5亿元,前三季度净利润1.8亿元。 无论从销量、营收还是利润来看,这都算得上是一张亮眼的成绩单。在2024年同期,零跑的净亏损为6.9亿元。零跑在财报中提到,同比 盈利增加主要由于整车销量的增加及单车收益能力的优化。 销量的增长是零跑的核心驱动力,这不仅带动营收同比大增97.3%、净利润达到1.5亿元,还直接推动毛利率提升至14.5%。作为对比,其 毛利率在2024年同期为8.1%,在2025年第二季度为13.6%。 零跑表示,业绩同比改善主要由于销量上升带来的规模效应、持续的成本管理、产品组合的优化,及其他业务的收入;环比改善主要由于 产品组合的优化,及持续的成本管理。 单季度销量超17万辆,提前完成年销50万辆目标 零跑汽车在财报中提到,收入增长主要得益于:整车及备件交付量的提升,带动整车相关服务收入同步增长。 2025年三季度,零跑在单季度交付新车173852 ...
BBA全新电动阵容对决自主旗舰 豪华新车太有看头
Core Insights - The 2025 Guangzhou International Auto Show will commence on November 21, featuring a significant 58% of exhibits being new energy vehicles, marking a shift from being a "supporting role" to a "leading role" in the automotive market [1] - Major luxury brands such as BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Audi (BBA) will showcase their electric vehicle lineups, indicating a strong focus on the luxury electric vehicle market [1] Group 1: BBA's Electric Transformation - BBA will present key electric models including the new generation BMW iX3, the all-new Mercedes-Benz pure electric CLA, and the FAW Audi Q6L e-tron, highlighting their transition to native electric platforms [2][5] - The new generation BMW iX3 features advanced technology, including a sixth-generation electric drive system and a new energy management system, enhancing the electric driving experience [4] - The all-new Mercedes-Benz pure electric CLA boasts an 800V architecture with a range of 866 km and a power consumption of only 10.9 kWh per 100 km, showcasing high energy efficiency [7] Group 2: Audi's Innovations - The FAW Audi Q6L e-tron, as the first product on the PPE luxury electric platform, offers a range of over 750 km and features advanced charging capabilities, including a 10-minute charge for 294 km of range [9] - The vehicle incorporates a new electronic architecture for enhanced control and communication, along with Huawei's intelligent driving technology for improved user experience [9] Group 3: Domestic Brands' Breakthroughs - Domestic brands are leveraging insights into Chinese consumer needs to compete with BBA, focusing on both intelligence and high-end features [10] - The Lantu Taisan combines "Chinese luxury" with performance, featuring advanced driving assistance and a sophisticated digital cockpit [12] - The new Xiangjie S9 aims to enhance brand influence in intelligent driving, offering a range of up to 816 km and advanced driver assistance systems [14] - The Leap D19 targets the high-end market with a focus on cost-effectiveness, featuring a large battery and advanced autonomous driving capabilities [16] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The competition at the Guangzhou Auto Show represents a clash of traditional luxury brands and emerging domestic players, emphasizing a shift from brand dominance to value competition [17] - The event is expected to push the market towards a new direction focused on technological strength and user experience, benefiting consumers with diverse choices [17] - The ongoing competition will accelerate the iteration and popularization of electric and intelligent technologies in the luxury car market [17]