来源：证券时报 在科技股大放异彩的2025年，不少基金凭借着高仓位得以积累可观的净值。 但基金经理对后市观点的分歧体现在对股票仓位增减不一的操作中，根据去年四季报数据统计，有超过 一半的主动权益产品四季度内降低了股票仓位。 灵活配置型基金凭借更小的仓位约束，成为基金经理操作的"利器"。部分基金经理在四季度大幅增持股 票资产，踏准行情取得了两位数的收益；也有基金经理选择落袋为安，并将投资方向聚焦至优质白马股 或部分低估值个股，基金净值走势也较为平缓。 超过一半的基金降低股票仓位 据去年四季报数据统计，纳入统计的4525只主动权益基金中(仅统计A类份额)，有超过一半的基金(2597 只)四季度内降低了股票仓位，基金经理的谨慎观点也在四季报以及近期发声中有所体现，而在已经集 体上涨的权益市场中，因避险情绪影响，白马股和低估值板块更受青睐。 华东某公募基金经理认为，当前市场成长和主题方向越来越昂贵以至脱离基本面的真实价值，相当多股 票处于历史上最贵的估值分位，各行各业的龙头白马大部分处于历史估值中枢的下限附近，整体宏观经 济在产能周期的作用下也已逐渐出现拐点，主题与小微盘的极度高估与龙头白马的便宜与低估形成了鲜 明的 ...

Agriculture Industry - In 2026, the pig and beef cattle breeding sectors are expected to reach a cyclical turning point, with companies that have comprehensive production, sales, and research capabilities likely to succeed in the competitive pet market [1][2] - The planting sector shows significant growth potential in specialty crops, warranting attention [1] - The white chicken supply-demand balance is expected to take time to restore, while yellow chicken demand may increase due to promotional activities [2] - The long breeding cycle of beef cattle and supply-side contraction are anticipated to drive price increases starting in 2025 [2] - The feed sales volume is expected to grow, with leading companies increasing market concentration [3] Military Industry - Guorui Technology is a key supplier of radar equipment and systems in China, benefiting from the advancement of national defense informationization and the expansion of civil radar and intelligent transportation demands [5][7] - The company is expected to see steady growth in revenue and profits due to its diversified business and increased R&D investment [5][7] - The industrial software and smart rail transit sectors are emerging as important growth areas for the company [7][8] Radar Equipment - Guorui Technology's radar business is projected to maintain steady growth, supported by increasing global defense budgets and advancements in civil applications [7] - The company is focusing on developing industrial software and smart manufacturing, which are expected to contribute significantly to its revenue [7] Pet Industry - The pet market is experiencing robust growth, with pet owners showing a strong willingness to spend [3] - Companies with comprehensive capabilities in production, sales, and research are rare and likely to outperform in the competitive landscape [3] Planting Industry - The importance of food security is rising, with grain prices expected to stabilize and increase [3] - There is a growing demand for plant extraction products driven by health trends [3] Investment Banking and Brokerage Industry - The derivative business of brokerages has seen rapid growth, with the nominal principal of the OTC derivative business increasing from 346.7 billion to 20.868 trillion from 2018 to 2022 [28][29] - The development of the derivative business is influenced by changes in customer demand and regulatory policies [28] - The future growth of the derivative business is expected to be steady, with a focus on high-quality leading brokerages [29]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report focuses on the latest policies, industry developments, and upcoming events in the hydrogen energy industry. The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the national green hydrogen, ammonia, and alcohol planning layout, and multiple regions have introduced relevant industrial policies. There are also many significant industrial developments, such as the launch of new projects and the delivery of new products. Additionally, a major industry conference is upcoming [3][6][12]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry Policies - The National Development and Reform Commission promotes the national green hydrogen, ammonia, and alcohol planning layout, including building zero - carbon transportation corridors and stations, increasing new energy supply, etc. [3][6] - Beijing encourages the construction of renewable energy projects in factories and explores the use of hydrogen energy [6]. - Urumqi plans to add no less than 20,000 tons/year of green hydrogen production capacity by 2027 [6]. - Guangzhou Baiyun promotes the application of hydrogen - fuel - cell vehicles and supports the construction of hydrogen refueling stations [6]. - Shandong Zhaoyuan focuses on developing nuclear power, wind and solar equipment, energy storage batteries, and hydrogen production industries [6]. 3.2 Industry Dynamics - A 100 - million - yuan project for 100 sets of 1000 - standard - cubic - meter alkaline electrolyzer components is about to start [7]. - Kunhua Technology delivers 200 hydrogen - powered heavy trucks in Xinjiang Hami [8]. - Dalian Shipbuilding delivers the world's first methanol - dual - fuel - powered intelligent VLCC, with significant emission reduction [8]. - Rongcheng New Energy starts the trial operation of the first batch of hydrogen - assisted two - wheeled vehicles [8]. - Jieqing Technology delivers a new small - power closed - type air - cooled system for a German hydrogen - powered drone inspection project [8]. - A 3.534 - billion - yuan project for alloy solid - state hydrogen storage materials in Inner Mongolia is approved [8]. - A 4 - billion - yuan green hydrogen project of China Guangdong Nuclear Power is in the environmental impact assessment publicity stage [8]. - China National Coal Group signs a 200,000 - ton green methanol project in Inner Mongolia [8]. - Dongfang Hydrogen Energy unveils the "Hydrogen Intelligence Safety Center" [8]. - Sunlight and Longji are pre - selected for the bid of 29 alkaline electrolyzers of State Power Investment Corporation [9]. - CIMC Enric and Datang Hainan plan to cooperate on a green methanol project in Hainan [9]. - The first "carbon compensation" trade in the hydrogen energy field in China is completed in Zhejiang Jiaxing [3][9]. - China's first million - ton - level near - zero - carbon steel production line is fully connected, with a potential carbon reduction of 50% - 80% [3][9]. - Fujian's first hydrogen - powered zero - carbon bus demonstration line (Xiamen Route 736) is opened [3][9]. 3.3 Investment and Financing Events No investment and financing events are reported [10]. 3.4 Industry Conference Forecast The 2nd China Hydrogen Energy and Fuel Cell Technology Conference will be held from January 22 to 23, 2026, in Hefei, Anhui. The conference focuses on the innovation of the entire hydrogen fuel cell industry chain, and many well - known enterprises and institutions will participate [12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][3] Core Insights - The first large-scale "CO2 + Green Hydrogen" methanol production project in China has been initiated, with a significant contract signed by Huadian Technology for the supply of core equipment, indicating a strategic opportunity in the green methanol equipment market, which is expected to exceed 10 billion annually [3][9] - By 2030, China's green methanol production capacity is projected to reach approximately 10 million tons, with an average annual increase of 2 million tons [4][7] - The investment in green methanol equipment is estimated to reach 13 billion annually from 2026 to 2030, with specific allocations for CO2 processing and methanol synthesis equipment, as well as hydrogen and storage tank investments [4][7] Summary by Sections Project Announcement - On December 19, Huadian Technology announced a major contract worth 815 million (including tax) to supply equipment for a 450,000 kW wind power hydrogen production coupled with green methanol project in Liaoning [3][5] Market Potential - The green methanol equipment market is expected to reach an annual investment of 13 billion, with specific annual investments of approximately 2.1 billion for CO2 processing and methanol synthesis equipment, and 800 million for hydrogen and storage tank equipment [4][7][8] - The annual demand for electrolyzers in the green methanol industry is projected to be 2 GW, corresponding to an annual investment of 10.1 billion for hydrogen systems and supporting facilities [4][7] Project Details - The Liaoning Huadian project is the first large-scale "Green Hydrogen + CO2" methanol production project in China, with a total investment of 3.945 billion, expected to produce 100,000 tons of green methanol and 19,000 tons of green hydrogen annually [8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has 17 concept stocks related to green hydrogen and ammonia, with 6 stocks showing an annual increase of over 50% as of December 17 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Six concept stocks have increased by more than 50% this year: Fuzhijie Technology, Huaguang Huaneng, Goldwind Technology, Xizi Clean Energy, Kaishan Shares, and Xinjin Power [1] - The stock with the highest increase in institutional attention is Xizi Clean Energy, which has been investigated 30 times this year [1] Group 2: Institutional Attention - Six concept stocks have received more than 10 institutional research inquiries this year: Xizi Clean Energy, Fuzhijie Technology, Goldwind Technology, CIMC Group, Yunda Shares, and Fuan Energy [1] - Xizi Clean Energy has the most institutional research inquiries, indicating strong market interest [1] Group 3: Company Developments - Xizi Clean Energy has stated on its investor interaction platform that it can participate in the supply of molten salt energy storage equipment and waste heat boilers in the integrated model of wind, solar, hydrogen, and ammonia [1] - The company aims to continuously expand its applications in the green ammonia and green alcohol industries [1]

Summary of Wind Power Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The wind power industry in China is showing strong performance, with domestic bidding data indicating a potential total of 130-140 GW for 2024, possibly reaching 160 GW, which is on par or higher than last year [1][2] - The offshore wind power sector is particularly robust, with bidding volumes around 10 GW, primarily concentrated in Guangdong and Zhejiang [2][13] Key Insights and Arguments - **Bidding Data**: As of December 10, 2024, bidding data is close to 120 GW, with a significant increase in bidding activity in early December, suggesting that the total installed capacity for the year may exceed 103 GW [1][2] - **Wind Turbine Prices**: Wind turbine prices have been on the rise, with average bidding prices reaching 1,857 RMB/kW (excluding towers) for certain projects. The average price for 5-7 MW turbines was over 1,770 RMB, while 10 MW projects averaged 1,280 RMB [4] - **Future Installations**: The expected installed capacity for 2025 is around 120 GW, showing significant growth compared to 2024. The market consensus indicates that total installations will be higher than this year [5][10] - **Component Prices**: There is a low probability of significant price increases for components, although some core components like bearings and gearboxes are experiencing tight demand [6][7] - **Hydrogen and Ammonia Policies**: New policies promoting green fuels, including hydrogen and ammonia, are expected to positively impact the wind power sector, enhancing future installation expectations [12] Additional Important Points - **Offshore Wind Power Trends**: From 2026, more than half of the projects will utilize jacket foundations instead of monopiles, indicating a shift in demand dynamics [14][16] - **European Market Outlook**: The European offshore wind market is optimistic, with several projects entering construction phases and new bidding rounds expected to bring more opportunities for Chinese companies [15][18][19][20] - **Southeast Asia Opportunities**: Countries like the Philippines and Vietnam are initiating offshore wind projects, which could provide significant opportunities for Chinese firms [21] - **Competitive Landscape**: Companies like Goldwind, Haizhuang Wind Power, and Tianjun Wind Power are well-positioned in the foundational pile segment, while smaller firms like Taisheng may also capture market share [22] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding the wind power industry, highlighting both current performance and future expectations.

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Wind Power Industry**: Benefiting from self-discipline agreements and strong demand, with stabilized and rising bidding prices leading to profitable orders for major manufacturers. The industry's high concentration, optimistic market outlook, and increased quality requirements from downstream wind farm operators are critical factors [1][2]. - **Lithium Battery Industry**: Experiencing high growth in demand, which is helping to digest the excess capacity formed in 2021-2022. The global demand is in a phase of explosive growth, with expectations of price increases due to government interventions aimed at improving profitability in the industry [3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Government Initiatives**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is focusing on anti-dumping measures in the lithium battery sector, which is expected to lead to price increases and improved profitability for the industry. The midstream sector is currently facing significant losses, but price increases are anticipated in 2026 [3][9]. - **Data Center Energy Storage**: As of September 30, 2025, U.S. data center energy storage projects reached over 30 GWh, with expectations that half of these projects will be operational by 2026. The main drivers include grid flexibility, backup power, and energy quality regulation [5]. - **AI and Related Industries**: The recovery of AI sentiment is driving growth in related fields such as data center equipment, power supply, and cooling systems. Companies associated with major tech chains like Google and Alibaba are highlighted as potential beneficiaries [6][7]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Price Increase Expectations**: In December, there are widespread expectations for price increases across various lithium battery material segments, including iron lithium, separators, copper foil, and aluminum foil. The anticipated price increases range from 1,000 to 2,000 yuan for iron lithium, with other segments also expected to follow suit [11]. - **New Energy Policies**: Recent policies emphasize the importance of new energy in enhancing power system regulation and encourage the development of various new energy storage technologies. These policies are expected to significantly impact the market and investment landscape [12][14]. - **Fuel Cell Industry**: The fuel cell sector is currently undervalued but is poised for a turnaround due to improved fundamentals and reduced costs. The market potential for fuel cells is expected to exceed previous forecasts, especially in applications such as backup power systems for data centers [17]. Recommendations - **Investment Opportunities**: Companies such as Goldwind Technology, China Tianying, and Jilin Electric Power are recommended for investment in the new energy sector. In the fuel cell space, companies like Yihuatong and Xiongtao Co. are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of market reversals [16][18].

Group 1: Market Developments - The U.S. stock market will be closed for Thanksgiving [1] - Japan is experiencing a significant COVID-19 outbreak, with infection numbers reaching the highest level in nearly a decade [2] - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang announced the release of new robotics technology on November 28 [2] Group 2: Corporate Actions and Strategies - Alibaba launched its first AI glasses, powered by its self-developed Qianwen model, priced at 1899 yuan, marking its entry into the consumer-grade AI wearable market [10] - Puma's stock surged nearly 19% amid reports that Anta and Li Ning are considering acquisitions [2] - Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating on Chinese stocks to "overweight," citing a higher likelihood of substantial returns in the Chinese stock market next year [4] Group 3: Policy and Regulatory Updates - The Ministry of Commerce in China plans to promote large-scale consumption and foster new consumption growth points, including AI and consumption integration [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is encouraging the orderly development of various new energy storage and hydrogen energy technologies [4] - The NDRC is actively promoting infrastructure REITs, expanding their scope to include urban renewal facilities, hotels, and commercial office spaces [10][11] Group 4: Industry Insights - The global market for AI and AR smart glasses is projected to reach approximately 1.4 billion units, with a penetration rate of about 70% as the industry matures [10] - The green hydrogen and methanol industry in China is expected to enter a phase of rapid growth, driven by policy support and market demand [13] - The gaming industry is experiencing high market sentiment, with an increase in user ARPU values contributing to steady market growth [12]

Industry Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is set to enhance support for emerging industries such as energy storage and hydrogen energy, aiming to create a favorable environment for their healthy development [1] - The NDRC plans to deepen electricity market reforms, encouraging energy storage projects to participate in energy markets and ancillary services to achieve reasonable returns [1] - There is a focus on coordinating the supply and demand of green hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol, promoting large-scale development in key areas while advancing infrastructure construction to reduce operational costs [1] - The green hydrogen and methanol industry in China is entering a dual-driven phase of "policy promotion + market traction," with rapid expansion in technology breakthroughs, investment, demonstration scenarios, and international cooperation [1][2] - China holds a 55% share of global green methanol project reserves, indicating a fast project advancement speed and potential for early large-scale supply [1] Company Developments - Foshan Energy is collaborating with China Gas to invest in a green methanol project located in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, which has abundant biomass resources for stable raw material supply [3] - The Greater Bay Area's developed port network provides ideal conditions for the refueling and export of green methanol, potentially impacting the Asian shipping fuel market [3] - Jiaze New Energy is entering the green methanol business in partnership with Ningxia Jiaze Group, with the establishment of a subsidiary expected to significantly enhance the company's growth potential [3]

Core Viewpoint - The "Green Hydrogen Ammonia" industrial cluster promotion meeting was held in Xilin Gol, focusing on the development of the hydrogen ammonia industry in the region [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The meeting was co-hosted by the Xilin Gol League Administrative Office and the China Industrial Development Promotion Association, with over 20 academicians and experts, and more than 200 leading industry enterprises and organizations in attendance [1] - Eight experts delivered keynote speeches on topics such as hydrogen energy industry layout, green alcohol fuel, coal boiler ammonia blending, and hydrogen storage and transportation, providing both in-depth technical analysis and practical suggestions for industry implementation [1] Group 2: Strategic Collaborations - The Xilin Gol League and leading industry enterprises signed 11 strategic cooperation agreements during the meeting [1] - Six experts were appointed as consultants for the development of the "Green Hydrogen Ammonia" industry in Xilin Gol [1] Group 3: Resource Availability - Xilin Gol League is rich in wind and solar resources, with over 23 million kilowatts of installed renewable energy capacity and nearly 17 million kilowatts under construction or planned [1] - The region generates 50 billion kilowatt-hours of green electricity annually, ranking first in Inner Mongolia and among the top in the country for installed capacity and electricity generation [1] - Abundant water resources and biomass resources from agricultural, animal husbandry, and forestry waste contribute to the integrated development of the "Green Hydrogen Ammonia" industry [1]