记者丨 张旭 编辑丨王峰 陈洁 十四届全国人大四次会议于2026年3月6日下午3时举行经济主题记者会。商务部部长王文涛介 绍了今年激发消费潜力方面的举措。他表示，今年将围绕贸易强国建设"三大支柱"——货物贸 易、服务贸易、数字贸易，加强四个"统筹"，全力稳住外贸基本盘。 "西方不亮东方亮" 王文涛指出，2025年，对于我国外贸来说，外部环境可谓是"风高浪急"。去年的外贸，我们用 四个字来概括： 第一个字是"稳"，贸易大国地位更加稳固。 货物进出口迈过45万亿元大关，增长3.8%，连续9 年实现增长。同时，服务进出口超8万亿元，规模也是稳居世界前列。 第二个字是"进"，稳中有进，贸易强国建设取得显著进展。 贸易结构优化，"含新量""含绿 量""含智量"提升，比如机电产品出口占比首次超过六成，另外，高端智能、绿色低碳、机器 人已经成为中国外贸一个个新的标签。 第三个字是"活"，外贸新业态新模式展现出强劲活力。 跨境电商进出口规模达到2.75万亿 元。现在"三网"——网文、网游、网剧风靡海外。另外，有进出口实绩的企业超78万家，民营 企业进出口占比近六成。 第四个字是"韧"，多元化发展提升了外贸韧性。 我国是160 ...

王文涛表示，在服务消费领域，我们要推动对外开放和对内放开。以服务业为重点，扩大市场准入，推动增值电信、生物技术、外商独资医院等领域开放试点，清 理国内服务领域的不合理限制措施，扩大优质服务供给。 王文涛：我国网剧在全球市场营收占比达90% 王文涛表示，我国现在网剧在全球市场的营收占比达90%，APP下载量占全球80%，基本上我们国内看什么网剧，海外就看什么，只不过换了一下（形式）。 3月6日下午3时，十四届全国人大四次会议举行经济主题记者会，国家发展和改革委员会主任郑栅洁、财政部部长蓝佛安、商务部部长王文涛、中国人民银行行 长潘功胜、中国证券监督管理委员会主席吴清就发展改革、财政预算、商务、金融证券等相关问题回答中外记者提问。 会议上，商务部部长王文涛表示，商务部将坚持惠民生和促消费相结合，坚持政策和活动双轮驱动，深入实施提振消费专项行动，全力促消费扩内需。 王文涛："十四五"时期我国人均消费GDP从1万美元增至1.3万美元 王文涛表示，"十四五"时期，我国人均消费GDP从1万美元增至1.3万美元，居民消费呈现趋势性变化。传统消费从原来的短缺转变为优质、绿色低碳消费。从结构 看，服务消费特别是体验式消费增长强 ...

在货物贸易方面，商务部修订对外贸易法，完成新一批跨境电商综合试验区扩围，推动出台跨境电商出口海外 仓"离境即退税、销售后再核算"等政策。为广交会出口展参展企业减免展位费，扩大出口信保的覆盖面。出台关 于拓展绿色贸易的实施意见，打响"出口中国"品牌。2025年，全国货物进出口额首次突破45万亿元，连续9年保持 货物贸易第一大国地位。市场更加多元，对共建"一带一路"国家进出口额23.6万亿元，占进出口总额51.9%。产品 结构进一步优化，高技术产品出口额5.25万亿元，占出口总额的19.5%。 在服务贸易方面，商务部全面实施跨境服务贸易负面清单，有序推进跨境服务市场梯度开放。出台促进服务出口 的政策措施，修订《鼓励进口服务目录》，持续完善服务贸易政策促进体系，成功举办中国国际服务贸易交易 会。2025年，全国服务进出口额首次突破8万亿元，同比增长7.4%，其中，服务出口增长14.2%，贸易结构持续优 化。 下一步，商务部将优化升级货物贸易，拓展多元市场，培育外贸新动能。 2026年全国"两会"时间即将开启。过去一年，国务院各部门办理全国人大代表建议和全国政协提案工作有关情况 如何？ 2月27日，国务院新闻办举行的 ...

Investment Outlook - The relative elasticity of investment is expected to be highest in 2026, with a projected rebound from a low base of -3.8% in 2025 to around 3% growth in 2026, potentially yielding an elasticity of 6-7 percentage points [3][4] - The Chinese government is focusing on effective investment to stabilize economic growth, emphasizing the importance of infrastructure, urban renewal, public services, and emerging industries [28][29] - Guangdong province plans to increase its annual investment in key projects to 1.05 trillion yuan in 2026, up from 1 trillion yuan in 2025 and 2024 [2][3] Global Market Trends - Global stock markets are shifting towards "non-growth" assets, with a risk-off sentiment dominating pricing, leading to a focus on traditional economic sectors [5][6] - The U.S. stock market has shown significant differentiation, with defensive sectors like consumer staples and industrials leading, while technology stocks face pressure [5][6] - Commodity markets are experiencing high volatility, with gold and silver prices fluctuating significantly, while oil prices have also shown wide swings due to geopolitical factors [7][8] Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market is showing signs of cooling, with job openings dropping significantly, indicating a potential slowdown in economic momentum [14][15] - Consumer confidence in the U.S. is mixed, with current conditions improving slightly but future expectations declining due to concerns over inflation and job security [15][16] - The European Central Bank (ECB) is maintaining its policy stance, indicating a period of observation without immediate changes to interest rates [12][13] Domestic Economic Policies - The Chinese government is implementing measures to promote effective investment, including the use of central budget investments, special bonds, and policy financial tools [28][29] - Local governments are also adjusting their economic growth targets, with Guangdong aiming for a growth range of 4.5%-5% for 2026 [21][22] - Various provinces are introducing policies to stabilize the housing market, including purchasing second-hand homes for rental purposes and providing subsidies for homebuyers [23][24]

Group 1: Capital Market News - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 105.5 billion yuan, achieving a net withdrawal of 296.5 billion yuan[6] - The operation rate for the 7-day reverse repurchase was set at 1.4%[6] - The Shanghai interbank offered rate (Shibor) for overnight loans rose by 3.7 basis points to 1.365%[6] Group 2: Industry News - The Ministry of Natural Resources aims to streamline real estate transfer registration for enterprises by the end of 2026, promoting integrated services[10] - The national foreign trade work conference emphasized the importance of achieving a good start for the "14th Five-Year Plan" in trade development[12] Group 3: Market Performance - On February 3, 2026, the North Exchange 50 index rose by 3.27%, while the ChiNext index increased by 1.86%[13] - The average market capitalization of the North Exchange component stocks is 3.199 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 21.55 billion yuan, down by 6.05 billion yuan from the previous trading day[13] Group 4: Company Announcements - Biyang Technology announced its inclusion as a supplier for China Petroleum's acid fracturing materials procurement[22] - Gobi Jia reported a reduction in shareholding by 2.8 million shares, representing 1.94% of its total share capital[23]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the meeting is to stabilize foreign trade, develop new momentum for foreign trade, and promote balanced development of imports and exports in 2026 [1][2] - The meeting emphasized the importance of 2026 as the starting year of the "15th Five-Year Plan," highlighting the complex and severe situation facing foreign trade development, with both strategic opportunities and risks [2] - The meeting called for unified action among all levels of business authorities to align with the central government's decisions, focusing on the integration of trade and investment, as well as domestic and foreign trade [2] Group 2 - The meeting reviewed the achievements of foreign trade in 2025 and the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, noting that foreign trade showed strong resilience and vitality, with record-high import and export scales and continuous structural optimization [1] - The meeting outlined the need for a dual approach of "policy + activities" to drive foreign trade development and achieve a good start for the "15th Five-Year Plan" in building a strong trading nation [2]

Core Insights - The 2026 National Foreign Trade Work Conference was held in Beijing from February 2 to 3, summarizing the achievements of foreign trade in 2025 and the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, while analyzing the current foreign trade situation and outlining key tasks for 2026 [1][3] Group 1: Achievements and Developments - In 2025, under the strong leadership of the Party Central Committee, various business departments effectively responded to external challenges, expanded diversified markets, and promoted the development of foreign trade towards new and superior levels [1][3] - China's foreign trade demonstrated strong resilience and vitality, with import and export volumes reaching historical highs and structural optimization contributing significantly to national economic development [1][3] Group 2: Future Outlook and Strategic Focus - The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan," making effective foreign trade work crucial [4] - The foreign trade environment remains complex and severe, with both strategic opportunities and risks present, alongside increasing uncertainties [4] - Business departments are urged to align their thoughts and actions with the Party Central Committee's decisions, focusing on the "three important" positions of business work, and to adopt a dual approach of "policy + activities" to stabilize foreign trade and develop new trade dynamics [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the 2026 National Foreign Trade Work Conference emphasizes the importance of stabilizing foreign trade and developing new momentum for trade growth, while promoting balanced import and export development [1][2] - The conference highlighted the achievements of foreign trade in 2025, noting that the scale of imports and exports reached a historical high and the structure continued to optimize, contributing significantly to national economic development [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen positive results in building a strong trading nation, with various levels of business authorities effectively responding to external challenges and expanding diversified markets [1] Group 2 - The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan," making the foreign trade work particularly significant amid a complex and severe external environment [2] - The conference called for unified thought and action among business authorities to align with the central government's decisions, focusing on the dual drivers of "policy + activities" to promote integrated trade and investment, as well as the integration of domestic and foreign trade [2] - The goal is to achieve a good start for the "15th Five-Year Plan" in building a strong trading nation by stabilizing foreign trade and developing new trade momentum [2]

Core Insights - The 2026 National Foreign Trade Work Conference emphasized the importance of stabilizing foreign trade and developing new momentum for trade growth, aiming for balanced import and export development [1][2] Group 1 - The conference highlighted the achievements of foreign trade in 2025, noting that the import and export scale reached a historical high and the structure continued to optimize, contributing significantly to national economic development [2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period saw positive results in building a strong trading nation, showcasing the resilience and vitality of China's foreign trade [2] - The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan," making effective foreign trade work crucial amidst a complex and severe external environment with both strategic opportunities and risks [2] Group 2 - The conference called for unified action among business departments to align with the central government's decisions, focusing on the dual drivers of "policy + activities" to promote integrated trade and investment, as well as the integration of domestic and foreign trade [2] - The goal is to stabilize foreign trade, develop new trade momentum, and ensure balanced development of imports and exports, aiming for a strong start in the "15th Five-Year Plan" for building a trading powerhouse [2]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 National Foreign Trade Work Conference highlighted the achievements and challenges of China's foreign trade, emphasizing the need for strategic actions to ensure a strong start for the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Achievements in 2025 - In 2025, China's foreign trade demonstrated resilience and vitality, achieving record-high import and export volumes and optimizing trade structure, significantly contributing to national economic development [1] Challenges and Strategic Focus for 2026 - The foreign trade landscape for 2026 is expected to be complex and severe, with both strategic opportunities and risks present, alongside increasing uncertainties [1] - The conference called for alignment with the central government's decisions, focusing on the dual approach of "policy + activities" to stabilize foreign trade and develop new trade dynamics [1] Goals for the "15th Five-Year Plan" - The emphasis is on promoting integrated development of trade and investment, as well as domestic and foreign trade, to achieve balanced growth in imports and exports and ensure a strong start for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1]