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金价可能大跌开始了,26年1月4日黄金跌价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-04 18:42
Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold prices, with international gold dropping to $4348.8 per ounce, reflects a market correction after a significant rise, indicating volatility in the gold market and investor behavior [1][2][3]. Price Movements - International gold prices fell from a peak of $4530 on December 28 to $4348.8, while domestic gold prices decreased to 977.7 yuan per gram, with significant fluctuations observed in trading [1][2]. - The price of Au9999 gold bars on the Shanghai Gold Exchange dropped to 976 yuan per gram, with intraday lows below 960 yuan, indicating a notable price volatility [1]. - Major gold retailers show a wide price range, with wholesale prices around 1140 yuan per gram, while branded stores like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang are selling at prices above 1350 yuan per gram [1]. Market Dynamics - The decline in gold prices is attributed to profit-taking by investors after a strong rally, combined with low trading volumes during the holiday period, leading to increased selling pressure [2]. - The recovery market for 9999 gold has seen a drop in buyback prices to 965 yuan per gram, reflecting a quick response to the falling market [2]. Technical Analysis - The $4300 mark is identified as a critical support level for gold prices, with analysts noting that if this level is breached, further declines could occur, while resistance is noted around $4400 [2]. - The market is currently anticipating potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which could influence future price movements [2]. Fundamental Factors - Despite the recent price drop, the fundamental factors supporting gold prices remain intact, including ongoing purchases by global central banks and geopolitical tensions [3]. - China has reportedly increased its gold reserves for 13 consecutive months, now holding over 2300 tons, indicating strong demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3]. Investment Trends - Gold ETFs are gaining popularity due to their convenience and lower fees compared to physical gold, making them an attractive option for long-term investment [5]. - The market shows a mix of investor sentiment, with some individuals benefiting from previous purchases while others are holding onto assets bought at higher prices [5][6].
刚刚,黄金、白银,双双反弹!是“倒车接人”还是该“下车”了?
Mei Ri Shang Bao· 2025-10-29 05:44
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in spot gold prices have raised questions about whether this is a buying opportunity or a signal to sell, as prices have seen significant declines followed by a rebound [3][10]. Group 1: Market Movements - On October 29, spot gold prices rebounded, reaching a peak of $3982.14 per ounce [1]. - After a week of continuous declines, gold prices fell by $495.285 from historical highs, representing a drop of over 11% [3]. - Spot silver also saw an increase, peaking at $47.58 per ounce [4]. Group 2: Federal Reserve and Economic Factors - The Federal Reserve's two-day meeting began on October 28, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut, while investors are focused on future policy comments due to the U.S. government shutdown [6]. - President Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, calling him "incompetent" and indicating a potential change in leadership by May next year [7]. Group 3: Analyst Insights - Analysts attribute the recent gold price drop to a temporary easing of risk aversion and liquidity pressures in the silver market, alongside geopolitical uncertainties and potential U.S. government shutdown impacts [10]. - Capital Economics analysts suggest that the recent decline may mark the beginning of a downward trend, potentially erasing much of this year's gains in gold prices [11]. Group 4: Investor Guidance - Investors are advised to be cautious of short-term pullback risks, as market sentiment is currently extreme, leading to potential "buy high, sell low" behaviors [12].
美联储突发!黄金又涨起来了!多方预测→
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 03:30
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices have been significant, with a notable decline from historical highs, influenced by various economic factors and market sentiments [1][4][6]. Price Movements - As of October 29, spot gold prices rose to $3977.47 per ounce, while COMEX gold reached $3988.3 per ounce [1]. - On October 28, spot gold prices fell below $3900 per ounce for the first time since October 10, with a drop of nearly $500 from the historical high of $4381.48 per ounce recorded on October 20 [4][7]. - The decline in gold prices has been marked by a drop of over 11% within a week, with the lowest price hitting $3901 per ounce [7]. Market Influences - The Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision is a focal point for investors, with expectations of a 25 basis point cut, which could impact gold prices [3]. - Political pressures on the Federal Reserve, particularly from President Trump, have created a volatile environment for monetary policy, further influencing gold market dynamics [4]. - The recent sell-off in gold is attributed to reduced safe-haven demand and easing liquidity pressures in the silver market, which has also seen significant price drops [8]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the recent downward trend in gold prices may continue, with potential for prices to fall back to $3800 per ounce in the coming months [9]. - Despite the current decline, long-term forecasts remain optimistic, with expectations for gold prices to rise above $4500 per ounce in the next year due to persistent fiscal risks and strong central bank demand [10].
金价跌破4000美元,较高点已跌9%,业内欢迎"健康回调"
华尔街见闻· 2025-10-28 09:19
金融人必备!股神思维 + 专属助手 黄金跌破每盎司4000美元,业内普遍认为此前的涨势已变得不可持续,市场正在挤出"泡沫"。 周一,国际金价最低跌至每盎司3980美元,此前刚刚在短短七周内飙升27%,于10月20日触及4381美元的高点。一周之内, 金价较近期高点已下跌超过9% ,行业人士将早前的涨势归咎于投资者的"投机性"持仓。 业内高管预计金价将在未来几周进入更深度的回调。 世界黄金协会市场策略师John Reade在伦敦金银市场协会京都年会间隙表示:" 我认为行业内很多人实际 上会欢迎比目前更深的回调 。" 一家大型黄金交易银行的高级主管则更直言不讳:"只有疯子才会认为黄金会涨到这么高。" 尽管汇丰、美银和法国兴业银行等机构仍 维持明年金价5000美元的目标,但即便是看涨者也对近期的下跌感到紧张 。眼下,黄金市场面临的问题包括零售投 资者需求的可持续性,以及央行是否会因高价放缓购金步伐。 业内欢迎"健康回调" 10月28日,据媒体报道,在本周黄金行业最大的年度会议上,与会者的乐观情绪被意外的警告所打断—— 金价可能需要进一步下跌才能恢复上涨。 业内高管将这轮下跌视为对过热涨势的"健康回调"。 代表黄金矿 ...
黄金“牛市刹车”,业内高管警告:准备迎接更深回调!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-10-28 06:27
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices has been deemed unsustainable, leading to a correction phase as the market eliminates speculative positions [1][3][4]. Group 1: Price Movements - Gold prices soared by 27% over the past seven weeks, reaching a peak of $4,381 per ounce on October 20, before declining over 9% from that high [3]. - Current gold prices have fallen back to around $3,960 per ounce after briefly recovering above $4,000 [1][3]. Group 2: Market Sentiment - Industry executives believe the recent price drop is a "healthy correction" that addresses the unsustainable rally, with expectations of further adjustments in the coming weeks [3][4]. - The World Gold Council's market strategist, John Reade, indicated that many in the industry are hoping for a deeper correction than currently observed [3]. Group 3: Investor Behavior - Investor demand has been a key driver for gold prices this year, as it is viewed as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty, high government debt, and dollar depreciation [4]. - There is concern about whether retail investor enthusiasm can be sustained, as recent weeks have seen a surge in purchases of small gold bars and coins in Australia and Japan [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Major financial institutions, including HSBC, Bank of America, and Société Générale, have set gold price targets at $5,000 per ounce for the next year [5]. - The CEO of the London Bullion Market Association, Ruth Crowell, stated that gold is on a "robust upward trajectory" and is becoming a mainstream choice for investors [6].
跌破4000美元,金价较高点已跌9%,此前7周飙升27%,业内高管“金价需要先下跌才能走高”
美股IPO· 2025-10-28 03:43
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices, which increased by 27% over seven weeks, is viewed as unsustainable and driven by speculative positions, leading industry executives to welcome a "healthy correction" [1][4][6]. Price Movement - On Monday, international gold prices fell to a low of $3980 per ounce after reaching a peak of $4381 on October 20, marking a decline of over 9% from recent highs [2][4]. - Industry executives believe that the recent price increase has created a "bubble" that is now being corrected [4][10]. Market Sentiment - Many industry professionals anticipate a deeper correction in gold prices in the coming weeks, with some suggesting that a drop to $3500-$3700 could be beneficial for the market [5][13]. - The World Gold Council's market strategist John Reade indicated that many in the industry would welcome a more significant correction [6][12]. Demand Factors - The sustainability of retail investor demand and central bank purchasing at high prices are critical concerns for the gold market [5][14]. - Recent weeks have seen increased interest from retail investors in Australia and Japan, but there are uncertainties regarding whether this trend will continue [14]. Long-term Outlook - Despite short-term corrections, many analysts and industry veterans maintain a positive long-term outlook for gold, with institutions like HSBC and Bank of America setting a target price of $5000 for next year [12][15]. - The long-term demand for gold is supported by its role as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty and high government debt levels [7][10].
半两财经|现货黄金创12年来最大单日跌幅
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 00:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant drop in gold and silver prices, with gold experiencing its largest single-day decline since April 2013, falling by 6.3% to below $4100, while silver saw an 8.7% drop, marking its largest decline since 2021 [1][3] - On October 22, gold prices rebounded above $4100, with COMEX gold futures slightly rising to $4135.1 per ounce, while spot gold remained down at $4103.27 per ounce [3] - The initial surge in gold prices was attributed to market expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and strong safe-haven demand, but the recent pullback is primarily due to profit-taking by investors [3] Group 2 - Analysts noted that the easing of global trade tensions has reduced safe-haven demand, contributing to the decline in gold and silver prices, alongside a strengthening U.S. dollar making precious metals more expensive for most buyers [3] - Citigroup has revised its outlook on gold, shifting from a bullish to a bearish stance in the short term, setting a target price of $4000 per ounce for the next 0-3 months, anticipating a period of consolidation in the gold market [3]
美联储决议前金价回落 技术性回调还是见顶?
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-17 06:08
Core Viewpoint - The gold price has experienced a slight pullback after three consecutive days of increase, currently hovering around $3680, influenced by a modest recovery in the US dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and profit-taking in the market [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Context - The Federal Reserve is holding a two-day monetary policy meeting, with signs of weakness in the job market, including a slowdown in employment growth and the highest unemployment rate since 2021 [2]. - President Trump is pressuring for interest rate cuts, while Fed Chair Powell's dovish remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium have strengthened market expectations for rate cuts [2]. - The market is pricing in a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points by the end of the year, with a near certainty of a 25 basis point cut in the upcoming meeting [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Geopolitical tensions, including attacks in Ukraine and military actions in Gaza, are providing safe-haven support for gold, limiting its further decline [2]. - The recent surge in gold prices reached a historical high of $3702.93 per ounce, confirming a bullish trend, but a pullback suggests a potential pause in this long-term upward movement [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 70, indicating an overbought condition, while the MACD histogram shows signs of diminishing bullish momentum, suggesting a possible consolidation phase before resuming the upward trend [4]. - The $3700 level is a critical psychological barrier; a successful breakout above this point could reinforce bullish sentiment and extend the prevailing trend towards new targets [4].
分析师:黄金价格有可能出现短期回调
news flash· 2025-06-09 13:48
Core Viewpoint - Analysts suggest that gold prices may experience a short-term pullback due to improved risk sentiment and the potential strengthening of the US dollar [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - Stronger-than-expected US employment report encourages market bets on a stronger dollar, further diminishing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [1] - Improved risk sentiment is contributing to a less favorable outlook for gold [1] Group 2: Technical Indicators - Despite the potential for a short-term pullback, technical trading indicators remain bullish, indicating that there is still potential for gold to rise again [1]
地缘政治冲突升温!黄金昨天狂升90美元!回调位置何去何从?金十交易学院正在直播,点击立即观看>>>
news flash· 2025-05-21 07:34
Group 1 - The article highlights a significant increase in gold prices, with a surge of $90 due to escalating geopolitical conflicts [1] - The current market situation raises questions about potential retracement levels for gold [1] - The article suggests that there is ongoing live analysis from Jinshi Trading Academy regarding the gold market [1]