Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a decline, with major indices falling, while certain sectors like retail and digital currency showed strength due to supportive government policies aimed at boosting consumption [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.11% to 3824.81 points, the Shenzhen Component dropped by 1.51% to 12914.67 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 2.1% to 3071.76 points [1]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.72 trillion yuan, with over 4300 stocks declining [1]. Group 2: Sector Highlights - The retail sector was notably active, with Baida Group achieving a four-day consecutive rise, and Hongqi Chain and Guangbai Shares both rising for two consecutive days [2]. - The dairy industry saw a resurgence, with Huangshi Group hitting a daily limit up and other companies like Huanlejia and Sunshine Dairy also performing well [3]. - Digital currency-related stocks strengthened, with companies like Aerospace Information and Cuilong Shares hitting daily limits [4]. Group 3: Institutional Insights - Everbright Securities anticipates a favorable cross-year market for A-shares, supported by ongoing domestic economic policies and historical trends indicating strong market performance at the beginning of new five-year plans [5]. - Huaxi Securities highlights that recent meetings have bolstered market risk appetite, suggesting a focus on growth sectors and industries benefiting from anti-involution policies [6]. - Dongfang Securities emphasizes the importance of core technology sectors, noting that the market may continue to experience structural fluctuations as it approaches year-end [7].

中新网湖北新闻12月16日电（王紫薇）在2026年元旦、新春佳节即将到来之际，荆州市商务局将以"欢 购荆州 荆彩新年"为主题，聚焦零售、餐饮等消费品类，开展150场以上促消费活动，着力营造浓厚的 节日消费氛围。 商圈联动荆彩活动全域呈现 组织"六大商圈""六大街区"等开展内容丰富、形式多样的促消费活动。 万达广场举办楚韵新风·浪漫跨年夜，推出"楚国音乐节"、K-POP翻跳大赛、国风游园会、秋冬风尚大 秀、满额赠礼、品牌专属优惠、会员积分加倍等多重福利活动，为市民的购物之旅增添更多期待与乐 趣； 吾悦广场举办2026·吾悦超级跨年派对，荆州红人、乐队、DJ、歌手等同台表演，更有万人大合唱、万 人倒计时躁动现场人气； 安良百货举办"红运焕新颜年货囤满仓"系列促销活动，围绕美妆、服装、鞋帽等商品，通过发券、满 赠、积分兑礼等方式，开展优惠促销，吸引人气； 人信汇举办"奇遇暖冬跨年"系列活动，跨年夜营造梦幻冬日场景，为消费者打造一场缤纷多彩的购物盛 宴； 璀璨奥特莱斯购物公园举办"荆州璀璨奥莱双诞狂欢"活动，开展寻味暖冬市集、巡游生日宴会等，节日 氛围浓厚； 花台市集举办2026荆州区非遗年俗节，逛地道楚风年俗市集、 ...

Core Viewpoint - The city will host a series of cross-year activities themed "Chiming Bells and Drums, A Colorful New Journey" from December 21, 2025, to January 3, 2026, aimed at enhancing the festive atmosphere and stimulating the holiday economy [1][2]. Group 1: Event Highlights - The main event will occur on New Year's Eve, featuring the Yongle Bell at Dazhong Temple and a large drum performance at the Great Wall of Juyongguan, creating a "Chiming Bells and Drums" experience [2]. - Over 20 museums will remain open until the early hours of January 1, 2026, to welcome the New Year [1]. Group 2: Pre-New Year Activities - A series of pre-warm-up activities will take place leading up to New Year's Eve, including the 10th China Beijing International Art Biennale showcasing nearly 600 artworks from 119 countries and regions [1]. - The "Beijing Style New Year" music series and the third season of the "Beijing Flavor Fireworks" short video competition will also be launched [1]. Group 3: Diverse Cross-Year Activities - The cross-year activities will include themed events at 26 museums, extended movie screenings at nearly 100 cinemas, and various events at over 30 shopping malls, enhancing the festive experience for citizens [3][4]. - Activities will span multiple areas, including climbing events, ice sports, and cultural exhibitions, catering to diverse audience interests [4]. Group 4: Interactive Consumer Engagement - An interactive mini-program will be launched to enhance consumer engagement, allowing citizens to participate in the "Chiming Bells and Drums" ceremony and receive electronic cards for discounts at various venues [6][7]. - The mini-program will connect with platforms like Meituan and Taopiaotiao, offering coupons and promotional activities to boost consumer participation [6][7].

11月经济呈现出 "工业稳、投资与消费缓" 的格局。鉴于政策效果将在明年一季度更为充分显现，当前消费与投资仍面临阶段性逆风，"谁先企 稳"对明年经济"开门红"具有关键的信号意义。对此，我们认为可以从如下角度考虑： 投资端："乌云中的银线"。虽然房地产下行压力仍在释放，但基建与制造业已不时释放积极信号：11月制造业投资增速止跌回升，初步显现"拐 点"；建筑业PMI表现偏强，叠加新增专项债加速发力项目建设，表明"稳投资"的政策储备与执行已在跟进。 消费端：增速放缓背后的复杂局面。除高基数效应外，前期"国补"政策的火热、"双十一"促销前置，均在一定程度上透支了部分消费力，对短期 消费增速形成压制。长远来看，消费复苏仍需依赖消费场景实质性拓展以及居民收入预期改善。 尤其在中央经济工作会议"推动投资止跌回稳"的指引下，"稳投资"政策意图明确。投资有望先于消费实现企稳，成为支撑明年一季度"开门红"的 主要亮点。后续关键仍在于政策"愿望清单"能否如期兑现、向实物工作量有效转化。 工业：同环比背离释放了哪些信号？与改善幅度明显强于季节性的环比增速不同，11月工业增加值同比增速却小幅放缓至4.8%（前值4.9%），两 者的背离 ...

二是要有丰富的内容可以消费。一说消费，很容易首先想到吃饭穿衣，但衣食已经撑不起市场的扩容，广义的精神消 费，包括服务消费必须跟上来，而这方面的限制就会多一些，政策也容易变动。 公报说，要"清理消费领域不合理限制 措施，释放服务消费潜力"。希望各地都能够解放思想，把这个精神推进得全面，到位。 三是要让人们有时间消费。太忙，实际假期太短，加班太多，这在我们社会有相当的普遍性。而且，近年来，这个问题 有所加重。增加的工作时间，有一部分是忙形式主义去了，另一部分是忙内卷去了。上级要求高，周围又很卷，找工作 又不容易，人们普遍有了更大压力，延长实际工作时间成了一种有普遍性的无奈。这个问题一定要有所突破。 四是要有心情消费。社会上要形成消费的氛围，比如这些年，旅游消费的氛围就很浓，这非常好。但是"高档消费"的氛 围变低落了，除了很多人的收入压力大了，更考虑省钱了，还因为网上舆论对档次高一些的消费变得冷漠，甚至不友 好。 低调、不露富成为安全的座右铭，这种价值取向的强化产生了抑制消费的种种潜移默化效应。 老胡说的肯定不够全面，但我相信，为促消费，上边这几条都很重要。 中央经济工作会议谈及明年重点任务，第一条就是坚持内需主导 ...

其中，在联合开展促消费活动层面，鼓励金融机构根据各地方促消费差异化政策和场景需求，定制和升 级数字人民币智能合约红包服务方案，更好满足补贴资金高效周转、精准直达、定向施策等要求。在信 息共享层面，地方商务主管部门应结合实际情况，建立消费领域重点项目清单，依托信贷市场服务平台 等平台或机制，加强与金融机构共享，便利金融机构做好精准对接服务。完善消费品以旧换新服务平 台，扩大金融机构参与范围；地方商务主管部门依托支持小微企业融资协调工作机制，通过地方融资信 用服务平台，积极推动加强与金融机构共享商贸类小微企业信息，促进融资精准直达。 （文章来源：证券时报） 中央经济工作会议仍将"内需主导"放在明年各项经济工作的首位。提振消费各项举措涉及面广，一段时 间以来，加强跨部门联动是推动政策落地实施的一项重点。例如，财政部就会同人民银行、金融监管总 局，自今年9月1日起实施个人消费贷款财政贴息政策。商务部财务司有关负责人指出，《通知》的一大 特点同样在于坚持系统思维，通过加强商务与金融系统常态化沟通交流，鼓励强化政策衔接、工作对接 和信息共享，统筹谋划存量和增量政策举措，发挥多种政策组合效应，凝聚更大工作合力。 12月14 ...

来源：贝壳财经 【#三部门联手放大招促消费#，引导#信贷资金加大向消费重点领域投放#】近日，商务部办公厅、中国人民银行办公厅、 金融监管总局办公厅发布关于加强商务和金融协同，更大力度提振消费的通知。其中提到，强化政策合力。鼓励地方商务 主管部门充分利用现有资金渠道，积极开展促消费活动，与金融支持形成合力，更好激发消费潜力。鼓励有条件的地方运 用数字人民币智能合约红包提升促消费政策实施质效。结合地方实际探索运用融资担保、贷款贴息、风险补偿等多种方 式，加强财政、商务、金融政策协同配合，引导信贷资金加大向消费重点领域投放。鼓励有条件的地方通过多种方式支持 参与康养、文旅等消费重点项目和数字、绿色等新型消费领域。鼓励银行和非银行金融机构发挥各自特点，加强优势互 补，协同参与促消费活动，促进消费提质升级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the light industry manufacturing and textile apparel sectors [4][6]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference highlighted the optimization of the "two new" policies, with an expected increase in subsidy amounts for 2026, from 150 billion yuan in 2024 to 300 billion yuan in 2025. The support scope is expanding from physical consumption to service consumption, indicating a significant policy shift [6][7]. - The report suggests focusing on four main investment lines: emotional consumption, intelligent consumer goods, branded apparel, and manufacturing upgrades. It emphasizes the potential for increased concentration in the paper and textile manufacturing sectors due to manufacturing efficiency, innovation capabilities, and environmental standards [6][7]. - The report identifies specific companies with growth potential, such as Pop Mart, which has a replicable IP incubation capability, and Morning Glory, which is undergoing a transformation [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The light industry manufacturing index decreased by 1.04%, ranking 16th among 28 industries, while the textile apparel index fell by 2.57%, ranking 26th [6][11]. - The report notes a mixed performance in sub-sectors, with packaging printing up by 1.45% and home goods down by 1.75% [11]. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in companies like Sun Paper, Baiya Co., and Huali Group, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth and favorable price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [4][6]. - Specific attention is drawn to the outdoor retail expansion of Li Ning, which is seen as a positive operational change [6][7]. Raw Material and Pricing Trends - The report tracks raw material prices, noting increases in MDI and TDI, while soft foam polyether prices have decreased. The prices of various paper products are also monitored, with packaging paper continuing to rise [19][44]. - The report highlights the rebound in broadleaf pulp prices and the overall positive trend in the paper sector, suggesting potential profitability improvements for companies like Sun Paper [7][44]. Export and Domestic Market Dynamics - The report discusses the recovery of exports, particularly in the furniture sector, with a noted increase in non-wood furniture exports from Vietnam to the U.S. [6][7]. - It also highlights the challenges in the domestic real estate market, with significant declines in property sales and construction activity [69][89].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce, the People's Bank of China, and the Financial Regulatory Administration have issued a notification to strengthen the collaboration between commerce and finance to boost consumption [1] Group 1: Policy Coordination - The notification emphasizes the need for policy synergy, encouraging local commerce departments to utilize existing funding channels to actively promote consumption activities [1] - It suggests that localities should explore various methods such as financing guarantees, loan interest subsidies, and risk compensation to enhance the collaboration between fiscal, commerce, and financial policies [1] Group 2: Digital Currency and New Consumption Areas - The notification encourages qualified localities to use digital RMB smart contract red envelopes to improve the effectiveness of consumption promotion policies [1] - It highlights the importance of supporting key consumption projects in areas such as health and wellness, cultural tourism, and new consumption fields like digital and green sectors [1] Group 3: Financial Institutions' Role - Banks and non-bank financial institutions are encouraged to leverage their unique strengths and collaborate in consumption promotion activities to enhance the quality and upgrade of consumption [1]

鼓励有条件的地方运用数字人民币智能合约红包提升促消费政策实施质效。 12月14日，据商务部网站，商务部、中国人民银行、金融监管总局联合印发《关于加强商务和金融协同 更大力度提振消费的通知》（以下简称《通知》）。《通知》提出3方面11条政策措施： 一是深化商务和金融系统协作。推动地方有关部门加强沟通交流和分工协作，鼓励有条件的地方健全沟 通合作机制，强化财政资金、信贷资金与社会资本等合力，细化落实具体实施细则，共同打好政策"组 合拳"。 二是加大消费重点领域金融支持。鼓励金融机构围绕升级商品消费、扩大服务消费、培育新型消费、创 新多元化消费场景、助力消费帮扶五大重点领域，优化金融产品服务，推动供需两端强化对接，提高对 商品和服务消费的适配性，因地制宜推动新型消费发展，支持消费新业态新模式新场景建设，落实落细 各项金融支持举措。 三是扩大政金企对接合作。鼓励发挥"政金企"扩消费合力，开展多层次、多渠道、多样化的促消费活动 和信息共享，做好精准对接服务，用足用好相关政策红利，更好满足相关经营主体和消费者需求。 一、深化商务和金融系统协作 （一）完善协作机制。地方商务主管部门与金融管理部门加强沟通交流和分工协作，结合 ...