Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the sustained high enthusiasm for new fund issuance, with 31 new funds starting fundraising this week [1] - On Monday alone, 17 products were launched, indicating a concentrated effort in the market [1] - Equity funds continue to dominate the market, with a total of 19 new equity funds launched this week [1] Group 2 - Mixed funds accounted for 8 of the new offerings, while bond funds saw a significant decrease in issuance, with only 4 new bond funds [1] - The technology sector emerged as a key focus for new fund launches, with products such as Penghua Sci-Tech Innovation Board AI ETF and others being introduced this week [1]

2025 年 07 月 27 日 债券产品占 ETF 总规模接近 10% ——2025 年二季度指数基金季报分析 相关研究 证券分析师 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 沈思逸 (8621)23297818× shensy@swsresearch.com 权 益 量 化 研 究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 ETP 研 究 | 1. 2025 年二季度指数基金市场规模变化 4 | | --- | | 2.二季度指数基金募集与申报情况 10 | | 3. 二季度 ETF 市场表现 12 | | 4. 风险提示及声明 15 | 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 第2页 共16页 简单金融 成就梦想 证 券 研 究 报 告 - ⚫ 被动指数基金规模维持平稳，ETF 比例提升。截止到 2025 年二季度，市场上的 2587 只 非货币指数基金资产规模共计 5.61 万亿元，较上季度规模增加 0.64 万亿元， ...

Quantitative Models and Construction 1. Model Name: Timing System Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model uses the distance between the short-term moving average (20-day) and the long-term moving average (120-day) of the WIND All A Index to determine the market trend. If the short-term moving average is above the long-term moving average and the absolute distance exceeds 3%, the market is considered to be in an upward trend[2][10][16] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the 20-day moving average (short-term) and the 120-day moving average (long-term) of the WIND All A Index 2. Compute the percentage difference between the two moving averages: $ \text{Distance} = \frac{\text{20-day MA} - \text{120-day MA}}{\text{120-day MA}} \times 100\% $ - 20-day MA: Short-term moving average - 120-day MA: Long-term moving average 3. If the distance is greater than 3% and the short-term moving average is above the long-term moving average, the market is in an upward trend[2][10][16] - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively identifies upward market trends and provides a clear signal for timing decisions[2][10][16] 2. Model Name: Industry Allocation Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model identifies sectors with potential for outperformance based on medium-term trends and specific themes, such as "distressed reversal" and "high elasticity" sectors[3][11][16] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Analyze sector performance and valuation metrics 2. Identify sectors with medium-term growth potential, such as distressed reversal sectors (e.g., Hong Kong innovative drugs, Hong Kong securities, and Hang Seng consumption) 3. Highlight high-elasticity sectors like technology, military, AI applications, and solid-state batteries based on the TWO BETA model[3][11][16] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides actionable insights for sector allocation during upward market trends, focusing on high-growth and high-elasticity sectors[3][11][16] 3. Model Name: Position Management Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model determines the optimal stock allocation ratio based on valuation levels and short-term market trends[3][11] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Assess the valuation levels of the WIND All A Index using PE and PB metrics 2. Combine valuation levels with short-term market trends to recommend stock allocation ratios 3. Current recommendation: Allocate 80% of absolute return products to stocks based on the WIND All A Index[3][11] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a systematic approach to managing stock positions, balancing valuation levels and market trends[3][11] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Timing System Model - **Distance between Moving Averages**: 5.21% (greater than the 3% threshold, indicating an upward trend)[2][10][16] 2. Industry Allocation Model - **Recommended Sectors**: - Distressed reversal sectors: Hong Kong innovative drugs, Hong Kong securities, Hang Seng consumption - High-elasticity sectors: Technology, military, AI applications, solid-state batteries[3][11][16] 3. Position Management Model - **Stock Allocation Recommendation**: 80% allocation to stocks based on the WIND All A Index[3][11]

证券研究报告｜公募基金周报 2025 年 07 月 23 日 | 大类 | 项目 | 2025年走势 | 收盘价 | 近一周(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A股 | 沪深300 | | 4058. 55 | 1.09 | | | 创业板指 | | 2277. 15 | 3.17 | | 港股 | 恒生指数 | | 24825. 66 | 2. 84 | | 美股 | 标普500 | | 6296. 79 | 0. 59 | | | 纳斯达克指数 | | 20895. 66 | 1.51 | | 中 债 | 中证全债 | | 261. 42 | 0. 11 | | 商品 | 工业品 | | 3.640.04 | 0. 76 | | | 黄金 | | 18.569.51 | 1. 47 | | | 原油 | | 1.009. 42 | 2. 30 | | 外汇 | 美元兑人民币 | | 7.18 | 0. 12 | 市场数据（截至 7 月 18 日） 数据来源：ifinD 资讯 大同证券研究中心 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dt ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights an upcoming live discussion featuring prominent figures in technology and economics, focusing on their new book "2049: The Possibilities of the Next 10,000 Days," which explores significant changes in technology, society, and the economy over the next 25 years [1]. Summary by Sections - The live event will feature Shitai Feng, a partner at Chongyang Investment, and Wu Chen, a renowned financial writer and former editor of "The Economist: Business Review," discussing the insights from their collaboration with Kevin Kelly, a notable technology thinker [1]. - Kevin Kelly is recognized for his foresight in predicting trends such as the internet, artificial intelligence, and the sharing economy, while Wu Chen is known for his deep exploration of technological innovation and global trends [1]. - The book "2049" serves not only as a futurist work but also as a guide for navigating uncertainties in the coming years, covering topics from "mirror worlds" to AI collaboration, genetic revolutions, and space economy [1].

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月20日 ETF 周报 本周科技 ETF 领涨，其中 AI ETF 涨幅中位数近 7% 核心观点 金融工程周报 ETF 业绩表现 上周（2025 年 07 月 14 日至 2025 年 07 月 18 日，下同）股票型 ETF 周度收益率中位数为 1.37%。宽基 ETF 中，创业板类 ETF 涨跌幅中位 数为 3.17%，收益最高。按板块划分，科技 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 2.39%， 收益最高。按主题进行分类，AI ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 6.87%，收益最高。 ETF 规模变动及净申赎 上周股票型 ETF 净赎回 157.56 亿元，总体规模增加 279.82 亿元。在 宽基 ETF 中，上周科创板 ETF 净申购最多，为 3.25 亿元；按板块来看， 大金融 ETF 净申购最多，为 41.04 亿元；按热点主题来看，芯片 ETF 净申购最多，为 43.20 亿元。 ETF 基准指数估值情况 在宽基 ETF 中，创业板类 ETF 的估值分位数相对较低；按板块来看， 消费 ETF 的估值分位数相对温和；按照细分主题来看，酒、光伏 ETF 的估值分位数相对较低。与前周相比，科 ...

AI基金恒生前海沪港深新兴产业精选混合（004332）披露2025年二季报，第二季度基金利润227.11万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.0446元。报告期内， 基金净值增长率为4.18%，截至二季度末，基金规模为5668.48万元。 该基金属于偏股混合型基金。截至7月17日，单位净值为1.166元。基金经理是邢程，目前管理4只基金。其中，截至7月17日，恒生前海高端制造混合A近一 年复权单位净值增长率最高，达38.68%；恒生前海沪港深新兴产业精选混合最低，为16.15%。 基金管理人在二季报中表示，展望二季度，我们认为市场可能仍然以震荡格局和结构性机会为主。一方面，宏观政策更倾向于有限发力，而科技与新消费等 局部领域的拉动效应，虽然对防止信用周期进一步收缩起到一定作用，但短期内或难以推动全局性修复。 另一方面，在宏观缺乏强支撑的大背景下，我们认为主题类和价值类资产与宏观顺周期关联性较小，因此此类资产或都会受益于贴现率降低和流动性外溢。 中长期来看，我们认为市场方向仍取决于企业盈利的实质性修复，而全面盈利改善的关键仍在于财政政策的有效发力及信用周期的逆转向上。 截至7月17日，恒生前海沪港深新兴产业精选混合 ...

瑞财经 王敏 近日，国联民生证券股份有限公司（以下简称"国联民生"）发布2025年半年度业绩预增公告。 葛小波曾任中信证券股份有限公司投资银行部经理、高级经理，保荐代表人，A股上市办公室副主任，风险控制部 副总经理和执行总经理，交易与衍生产品业务部、计划财务部、风险管理部、海外业务及固定收益业务行政负责 人，执行委员会委员、财务负责人、首席风险官；曾兼任中信证券国际有限公司、里昂证券、华夏基金管理有限公 司、中信证券投资有限公司、中信产业投资基金管理有限公司、中海基金等公司董事，中证协创新委员会副主任委 员、海外委员会副主任委员。 | | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 2022-12-31 | | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ■ 葛小波 | 276.0万 | 376.0万 | 456. 0万 | 288.0万 | 143.5万 | | 行业平均 | 179.8万 | 226. 5万 | 191. 2万 | 136. 7万 | 141. 1万 | 经公司财务部门初步测算，预计2025年半年度 ...

Group 1 - The core index, the CSI Technology Media Communication 150, experienced a decline of 0.36%, closing at 2020.14 points with a trading volume of 1739.25 billion [1] - Over the past month, the CSI Technology Media Communication 150 index has increased by 10.92%, 13.82% over the last three months, and 9.03% year-to-date [1] - The index comprises 150 large-cap, high-growth listed companies from the technology, media, and communication sectors, with a base date of June 30, 2011, set at 1000.0 points [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Technology Media Communication 150 index include Luxshare Precision (4.06%), SMIC (3.74%), and others, with the total weight of these stocks contributing significantly to the index [1] - The market capitalization distribution shows that 57.27% of the index is from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, while 42.73% is from the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] - The industry composition of the index indicates that 82.00% is in information technology and 18.00% in communication services [1] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2] - Public funds tracking the CSI Technology Media Communication 150 include the Invesco Great Wall CSI Technology Media Communication 150 ETF and its corresponding fund [2]

Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Finance will issue 60 billion RMB in government bonds in Macau on July 16, marking the fourth consecutive year of such issuances in the region [1] - This issuance is the first RMB bond in Macau since the bond market infrastructure between Hong Kong and Macau was connected, indicating a significant step in regional financial integration [1] - The scale of the bond issuance is a historical high, and the optimized maturity structure is expected to enhance the regular issuance mechanism, supporting the development of Macau's bond market and its economic diversification [1] Group 2 - The third China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo will open in Beijing on July 16, featuring 1,200 exhibitors, including 651 domestic and foreign enterprises [2] - The expo will cover six major supply chain sectors: advanced manufacturing, green agriculture, digital technology, healthy living, smart vehicles, and clean energy [2] Group 3 - The 2025 World Humanoid Robot Games will commence on August 14 in Beijing, with an energy transmission event starting on July 15 at the Badaling Great Wall [4][6] - Eight humanoid robot athletes will participate in the energy transmission activity, showcasing technological innovation and interaction with the public [6][7] - The event will culminate at the National Speed Skating Hall, where all energy cubes will form the "Smart Core," symbolizing collaboration and technological advancement [9][11] Group 4 - The 11th batch of national organized drug centralized procurement has been initiated, including 55 drug varieties, while new drugs will not be included to protect industry innovation [12] - Since 2018, the national level has conducted 10 batches of drug procurement, covering a total of 435 drug varieties [12] Group 5 - The new regulations for individual business registration have been officially implemented, allowing individual businesses to transition to enterprises while retaining their social credit codes and other identifiers, thus reducing the cost of transformation [13] Group 6 - The Barkun Airport in Xinjiang officially commenced operations on July 15, with an annual passenger throughput design capacity of 300,000 and a cargo throughput of 700 tons, enhancing the regional air transport network [14] Group 7 - The flow of the Yellow River at the Lijin hydrological station has receded to 725 cubic meters per second, marking the completion of the 2025 Yellow River water and sediment regulation project, achieving multiple objectives including drought relief and ecological replenishment [15]